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Unitedstates

Percent of Revenue for Interest Payments vs FEDFUNDs DifferenceThis chart shows the difference between the percent of federal tax receipts used to pay interest on the national debt (currently around 20% of tax receipts) and the FEDFUNDS rate. This difference has been growing through the years as the debt grows larger and people are less willing to buy treasuries at low interest rates. Even with historically low interest rates in the present day, the debt burden is large enough to over come this. The effect of the FEDFUNDS rate on government expenditure will continue to grow with time. Even at an effective rate of 0%, the interest payments on the debt continues to grow. There is a clear upward trend on payments despite a near 0% FEDFUNDS rate. Increasing the FEDFUNDS rate will be detrimental to US government solvency. Inflation or default seem to be the two options available. Good luck, Fed people.
FRED:A091RC1Q027SBEA
by rrmhearts
1
DXYHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring DXY for a buying opportunity around 96 zone respecting the daily supply and demand zone in combination with the bullish trend. Once we will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed. i highly recommend doing US DOLLAR INDEX analysis at the entrance of every trading week if not everyday to trade USD pairs in more professional way. a bullish DXY can result a xxxUSD drop and a bearish DXY can result a xxxUSD Pump Trade Safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
2
DXY-Weekly OutlookTVC:DXY Hello Traders, This is my weekly outlook for DXY, this week should be a relatively relaxed week as their is no high impact news except for Friday and a US holiday on Monday, because of this I believe USD will pull back from last weeks sell off to a HTF key point-on the daily TF-to rebalance price. A few long positions have been added by commercials, which makes me think they're hedging for a small correction to then continue a sell off since the majority of their positions are net short. Stimulus benefits will end this Monday, therefore the dollar should begin to gain a bit more strength due to the reduced printing of the dollar, however, inflation is still a big concern as I see a weakened 10y, meaning, inflation is still a prominent risk with rising delta cases, continued government purchases, and supply and demand issues. There still is an overall secular decline of inflation as last months CPI numbers showed, however delta cases, additional 3.5 trillion government package, and reduced 10y yields could change that weakening the dollar further. With the huge miss of Friday's NFP report and a continued pause on tapering, more net short positions by commercials and overall seasonal technical analysis I still see dollar as net BEARISH. Septembers NFP will be the catalyst about tapering thoughts, due to the end of stimulus and people having to go back to work because of no income or help from the government, therefore, we should see higher NFP numbers, strengthening the dollar. If September/October reports are stronger enough, by November we should begin hearing talks about rate hikes or a slow down of purchases, which will cause another small correction of 2-7% on the equity market and an increase in yields. Thats if Delta, WH turmoil, and inflation are controlled... Potential Bullish Fundamental Catalyst: 1. 09/08 Increased Job Openings 2.Lower Unemployment Claims 3. Less oil inventory 4.Lower PPI, inflation curving down, reduction in government spending package. 5. accelerating the TF for rate hikes. Bearish Fundamental Catalyst: 1.09/15 Increased corporate/capital earning tax 2. 09/27 3.5 Trillion Government spending package bill (can be negotiated through november)-- possible 5-10% pull back on equities. 3. increased inflation, less job openings, higher unemployment claims 4.Stimulus support because of rising delta cases 5. delaying tapering process. 6. Europe reopening and possible rate hikes. Hope everyone has a great trading week! :) Will update everyday if anything changes. (this is my trading journal not signals).
TVC:DXYLong
by stimichele
2
EU- EUR / USD ANALYSISEUR / USD- EURO Vs. UNITED STATES DOLLAR- Daily Time Frame Chart Analysis + Market Bias/Market Trend + Key Weekly & Daily Time Frame Chart Market Levels ✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬ #1. D1-DTFC MARKET TREND ✬- MARKET TREND / MARKET BIAS- THE DAILY TIME FRAME CHART MARKET TREND / MARKET BIAS-✬ MARKET TREND / MARKET BIAS- The Overall Daily Time Frame Chart Market Trend As Of Right Now Is - The Market Is In A Bullish Trend The Market Has Been In An Uptrend Since The 23rd Of March, 2020 It Has Been Constantly Rising And Making HH- HIGHER-HIGHS & HL- HIGHER-LOWS 1. The Market Began Pushing Higher Up Where It Broke Thorough The Key Daily Time Frame Chart Market Level Of Resistance At 1.19535 Where Price Then Consolidated For About 2 Days... Then Continued The Push Higher Up 2. Price Then Pushed Higher Up Where It Broke Through The Key Daily Time Frame Chart Market Level Of Resistance At 1.20555 Where It Then Pulled Back And Encountered A Key Daily Time Frame Chart Market Support Level At 1.9960... 3. Price Then Pushed Higher Up... Broke Past The Key Daily Time Frame Chart Market Level Of Resistance At 1.20555... Then Pulled Right Back Down To The Key Daily Support Level At 1.9960... Where Price Skyrocketed Immensely 4. As You Can Clearly See There Was A Pullback To The Key Daily Time Frame Chart Level Of Support At 1.20555 5. Price Then Pushed Higher Up Where It Experienced Some Consolidation And Some Interaction With The Key Weekly Time Frame Chart Market Level Of Resistance At 1.22465... Price The Pulled Back... Where It Created A BULLISH PIN BAR... Buy Signal... ✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬ #2. W & D1-TFC KEY MARKET LEVELS ✬- KEY WEEKLY & DAILY TIME FRAME CHART MARKET LEVELS OF SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE-✬ Analysis Of The Weekly Time Frame Chart & Analysis Of The Daily Time Frame Chart The Weekly Time Frame Chart Market Levels of Resistance & the Weekly Time Frame Chart Market Levels of Support- Shown On Chart The Daily Time Frame Chart Market Levels Of Resistance & the Daily Time Frame Chart Market Levels of Support- Shown on Chart THE KEY WEEKLY TIME FRAME CHART MARKET LEVELS OF SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ARE: A Key Weekly Resistance Level At- 1.23516 A Key Weekly Resistance Level At- 1.22465 A Key Weekly Support Level At- 1.17005 THE KEY DAILY TIME FRAME CHART MARKET LEVELS OF SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ARE: A Key Daily Support Level At- 1.20555 A Key Daily Support Level At- 1.19960 A Key Daily Support Level At- 1.19535 ✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬ #3- PA MARKET TRADING SIGNALS / SETUPS As Of Right Now I Am Only Looking For PRICE ACTION MARKET TRADING SIGNALS / SETUPS That May Form / Develop At / From That Key Weekly Time Frame Chart Market Level Of Resistance ✬✬✬✬✬BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THE FORMATION / CREATION OF PRICE ACTION MARKET TRADING SIGNALS / SETUPS THAT MAY FORM AT Or FROM THAT KEY DAILY TIME FRAME CHART MARKET LEVEL OF SUPPORT✬✬✬✬✬ ✬✬✬✬✬AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES THE MARKET IS SUBJECTED TO CHANGE THROUGH PRICE ACTION MARKET MOVEMENTS...SO BE ON THE LOOKOUT AND STAY ALERT✬✬✬✬✬ ✬✬✬✬✬As For That Bullish Pin Bar PRICE ACTION MARKET TRADING SIGNAL... I Will Wait To See What Price Does. I Am A Little Skeptical About Entering Into The Market And Taking A Long Position... Considering The Placement Of That Bullish Pin Bar... I Will Sit On My Hands And Wait For Another Confirmation / Factor Of Confluence Before Entering Into The Market✬✬✬✬✬ ✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬✬
by DMAFXTRAD