Unity dropped 7.7% Q3 earnings, still got chance go bullish?
Technical speaking, the price is overall moving in a bullish market after forming a head-shoulder bottom.
It is fluctuating between a consolidation box for a short-term pullback.
However, it dropped 7.7% after releasing the earnings report, which disappointed many investors.
From a fundamental perspective, Unity Software's latest earnings report reveals that the company achieved a revenue of $447 million last quarter, representing an 18% year-over-year decline. Specifically, its game development engine segment, Create Solutions, and game advertising segment, Grow Solutions, experienced declines of 22% and 16%, respectively, indicating a significant setback in its core business.
So, will the price continue to go bullish after this pullback?
I think it might continue to go bullish if the price could break above the consolidation box later, so we could buy there.
If not, we'd better to wait for a better buy timing.
Unitysoftware
Unity Software Scraps Controversial 'Runtime Fee' Pricing PolicyUnity Software Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:U ), a leading platform in game development and real-time 3D content creation, has scrapped its highly controversial "runtime fee" pricing policy after a fierce backlash from the developer community. The company is reverting to its seat-based subscription model and will introduce price increases for its Unity Pro and Unity Enterprise subscriptions, marking a strategic shift aimed at restoring trust among developers and rejuvenating its market position.
Background and Key Changes
Unity's "runtime fee" policy, announced nearly a year ago, was designed to charge game developers additional fees if their games met certain revenue and install thresholds. The announcement led to a significant revolt among developers, many of whom saw the new charges as unfair and detrimental to their business models. The backlash was so severe that Unity was forced to roll back some aspects of the policy shortly after its announcement.
In a recent blog post, Unity CEO Matt Bromberg acknowledged the community's concerns and announced a return to the "existing seat-based subscription model for all gaming customers." This move not only reverses the runtime fee structure but also comes with subscription price hikes: Unity Pro will see an 8% increase, and Unity Enterprise will rise by 25%. These changes are slated to take effect on January 1, 2025.
“We aim to revert to a more traditional cycle of considering potential price increases only on an annual basis,” said Bromberg. This more predictable approach is intended to provide stability and rebuild the trust that was eroded over the past year.
Company Reset and Cost-Cutting Measures
In addition to pricing model changes, Unity has undertaken a broader “company reset,” which included cutting 3.8% of its global workforce and closing 14 offices worldwide. This restructuring is part of Unity’s efforts to streamline operations and focus on its core mission of empowering creators.
Technical Outlook: Unity’s Stock Rebound
Following the announcement, Unity's stock (NYSE: NYSE:U ) surged 10.39% in afternoon trading, indicating positive investor sentiment. The stock has been in a recent falling wedge pattern, a technical setup often associated with potential reversals and bullish momentum.
With an RSI (Relative Strength Index) of 46.96, Unity’s stock remains in a neutral zone but shows promising signs of further upside. The RSI suggests that buying momentum is gradually building, and the stock is poised for potential growth. Breaking out of the falling wedge pattern could be a critical catalyst, providing the stock with the momentum needed to recover from previous losses.
A Strategic Turnaround
Unity’s decision to revert to a more traditional pricing model aligns with its efforts to mend relationships with the game developer community. The seat-based subscription model offers more predictability and fairness, which is likely to be well-received by developers who rely on Unity's platform for game development.
The price hikes for Unity Pro and Unity Enterprise, though significant, are structured to provide Unity with additional revenue without alienating its core user base. This pricing strategy is a calculated move that balances the need for revenue growth with the necessity of maintaining developer loyalty.
Moreover, Unity’s restructuring efforts, including workforce reductions and office closures, reflect a company that is making tough but necessary decisions to optimize its cost structure. These changes are expected to improve Unity’s financial health and position the company for long-term success.
Conclusion
Unity Software’s pivot away from the controversial runtime fee model marks a critical step in its ongoing efforts to realign with its core community of developers. The company’s renewed focus on traditional subscription pricing, coupled with strategic price hikes, aims to stabilize its business and provide a clearer path forward.
As Unity’s stock shows signs of technical recovery, the company’s fundamental shifts provide a compelling narrative of resilience and adaptation. Investors and developers alike will be closely watching how these changes unfold, as Unity navigates its path to regain trust and market strength.
Unity Surges 14% as It Strengthens Advertising LeadershipUnity (NYSE: NYSE:U ), the leading platform for creating and growing games and interactive experiences, has made a strategic move that sent its stock soaring by 14%. The company announced the addition of Jim Payne, a heavyweight in the mobile advertising space, as the new Chief Product Officer for Advertising. Payne, the founder of MoPub, the world’s largest mobile in-app ad server, and MAX Advertising Systems, is set to join Unity on August 12, 2024, marking a significant milestone in Unity's efforts to dominate the mobile advertising sector.
Strategic Leadership for a $150 Billion Opportunity
Unity’s CEO and President, Matt Bromberg, expressed excitement over Payne’s appointment, emphasizing that his arrival underscores Unity’s commitment to accelerating its advertising business. With the global mobile advertising market expected to hit $150 billion, Unity is poised to leverage Payne’s deep expertise and innovative approach to tap into this lucrative opportunity. Payne’s previous ventures, MoPub and MAX Advertising Systems, have been instrumental in shaping the mobile ad landscape, and his experience is expected to bring substantial growth and innovation to Unity’s advertising products.
Unity’s Bold Move in Ad Tech
Jim Payne is not joining Unity in isolation; his arrival follows the recent hiring of Alex Blum as Senior Vice President of Corporate Development. Blum brings a wealth of experience from his time investing in and incubating numerous ad tech companies, including AdMeld, Acquisio, and Tru Optik. Together, Payne and Blum represent a powerhouse duo that will steer Unity’s advertising division toward greater market share and technological leadership.
Driving Innovation and Revenue Growth
Unity’s acquisition of CloudExchange, Payne’s latest venture focused on publisher-hosted mobile advertising, further cements its ambition to lead in the ad tech industry. CloudExchange’s innovative approach to leveraging first-party data for superior ad quality will be integrated into Unity’s platform, enhancing its value proposition to publishers and advertisers alike.
Payne’s vision aligns perfectly with Unity’s mission to provide innovative and flexible tools that drive greater revenue for publishers in gaming and beyond. His leadership is expected to spearhead new product developments that will keep Unity at the forefront of mobile advertising technology.
Technical Outlook
Unity Software (NYSE: NYSE:U ) is currently experiencing a 13% increase in its stock value as of the time of writing, while exhibiting a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 51.19. The stock had been following a bearish flag pattern, declining until a strengthened advertising campaign sparked a 14% price surge. Following a prolonged period of a falling wedge pattern, the recent surge in stock price marks a notable retest for Unity Software.
Conclusion
Unity’s strategic hires and acquisitions are clear indicators of its intent to become a dominant force in the mobile advertising arena. With Jim Payne at the helm of its advertising products, Unity is set to capitalize on the burgeoning mobile ad market, delivering cutting-edge solutions that benefit both publishers and advertisers. As the company continues to strengthen its leadership and expand its capabilities, Unity’s stock surge reflects investor confidence in its future growth and innovation potential.
Unity Software IncUnity Software stock soared on Monday, rising nearly 20% into the close after a shoutout during Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference.
Unity's gaming software will be used in Apple's new mixed reality headset, the Apple Vision Pro, Apple announced on Monday.
"We know there is a community of developers who have been building incredible 3D apps for years," Apple's vice president of worldwide developer relations said during the WWDC presentation. And today we are excited to share that we've been working with Unity to bring those apps to Vision Pro. So popular Unity-based games and apps can gain full access to vision OS features such as pass-through, high-resolution renderings, and native gestures."
Volume in Unity stock shot up to more than triple the 20-day moving average as the stock had its best intraday performance since November 10.Unity operates a cross-platform game engine that was first discussed at a Apple WWDC in 2005 in regards to the Mac. The company went public in 2020 and the stock was bought up to nearly $200 a share during the 2021 tech surge in stocks. Ark Innovation Founder Cathie Wood is a shareholder. Unity is the 15th largest holding in Ark's flagship fund, the Ark Innovation ETF (ARKK) and represents 3.46% of the total portfolio.
On May 10, Unity reported first-quarter earnings that beat Street estimates for revenue while posting a wider-than-expected loss per share. Unity reported first-quarter revenue of $500.36 million compared to Wall Street estimates for $477.67, per Bloomberg data. Unity's adjusted earnings per share loss of $0.09 was more than $0.01 the Street had been expecting.
Like others in the gaming sector, Unity spent its first-quarter earnings call positioning itself as an AI winner.
"AI is going to have a profound effect on the industry," Unity CEO John S. Riccitiello said on the company's earnings call. "First, it's going to lead to inflection up in growth as game types are built that were no longer — were not previously possible. And secondly, we're going to see, I believe, some of the crazy expense that goes on in some high-end production come down some. It's a favorable part for the game industry for growth. And I guess it'd be very favorable for Unity as we drive some of these changes through the industry."
U - Unity Software Continuation LongWe've opened a leveraged continuation long on Unity software. Our larger setup hit it's first TP before retracing.
There is clear bullish divergence maturing, along with a falling wedge breakout on the 4h, all happening at a key level of significance.
Above this level in history, we have always gone to a minimum of 39$, hence the first TP.
The 4h set up can be seen below:
Unity Software Faces Turbulence as Forecast DisappointsUnity Software (NYSE: NYSE:U ), once lauded for its innovative toolkit used by video game developers worldwide, finds itself grappling with challenges as its latest forecast falls short of expectations, sending its stock tumbling in Premarket trading but shortly consolidated and surged by 5.69% hours later.
In premarket trading on Tuesday, Unity Software ( NYSE:U ) shares plummeted by 15%, reflecting investor dismay over the company's gloomy outlook for 2024. Despite previous attempts to navigate choppy waters, Unity's anticipated turnaround seems to be encountering delays, signaling a longer road to recovery than initially anticipated.
The company's 2024 projections, announced recently, failed to meet Wall Street estimates, exacerbating concerns about its future trajectory. With revenue forecasts ranging between $1.76 billion and $1.80 billion, notably below analysts' expectations of $2.31 billion, Unity Software ( NYSE:U ) faces mounting pressure to regain its footing in a fiercely competitive landscape.
Unity's strategic "reset" initiative, unveiled in November following a developer revolt triggered by proposed pricing changes, aimed to realign the company's trajectory. This multi-phase plan includes workforce reductions and a concerted effort to reignite revenue growth, with expectations pinned on a resurgence in the latter half of 2024.
However, challenges persist on multiple fronts. The company's "Grow" business segment, crucial for customer expansion and monetization, faces intensified competition, hindering revenue growth. Analysts at Piper Sandler note ongoing pressure stemming from the portfolio reset and heightened competitive dynamics within this segment.
Moreover, Unity's operations in China, a pivotal market for game development, encounter headwinds due to regulatory restrictions. The impact on its "Create" segment, primarily comprising developers based in China, underscores the complexities of navigating geopolitical uncertainties.
Unity's response to these headwinds has been decisive but consequential. In January, the company announced its largest layoffs to date, affecting approximately 1,800 employees, as part of efforts to streamline operations and manage costs. However, such measures come with significant financial implications, with an estimated $195 million earmarked for employee separation costs in the first quarter alone.
As Unity Software ( NYSE:U ) navigates this turbulent period, investor sentiment remains cautious. The company's ability to execute its turnaround strategy effectively, amidst competitive pressures and regulatory challenges, will be closely scrutinized in the coming months. For stakeholders, the path forward hinges on Unity's capacity to adapt, innovate, and regain its competitive edge.
Navigating Unity Software's Transformation
Unity Software Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:U ) is undergoing a transformative journey, marked by strategic restructuring, leadership changes, and a shift in its business model. The recent announcement of a 25% reduction in its workforce, or approximately 1,800 employees, underscores the company's commitment to streamline operations and refocus on its core business. In the midst of challenges and course corrections, Unity is navigating the complexities of the game development industry, where competition is fierce, and innovation is paramount.
The Unraveling of Unity's Business Model:
Unity, best known for its popular Unity game engine, faced a significant setback with a poorly communicated pricing change that led to widespread dissatisfaction among developers. The subsequent departure of long-time CEO John Riccitiello and the appointment of James Whitehurst as interim CEO signaled a pivotal moment for the company. Whitehurst, formerly the CEO at IBM's Red Hat, brought a fresh perspective, acknowledging that Unity was attempting to do too much.
The Layoffs and Urgency for Change:
Unity's decision to cut its workforce for the fourth time since mid-2022 is a bold move reflecting the urgency with which Whitehurst is acting. While details about the costs and charges involved are sparse, the company is signaling a commitment to swift and decisive action. The layoffs, while undoubtedly challenging, are a necessary step to achieve cost savings and align the organization with a more sustainable business model.
Challenges in the Game Development Landscape:
Unity operates in a competitive space alongside Epic Games' Unreal Engine, with developers always having the option to pursue alternative engines or develop their own tools. Unity's attempt to generate revenue through the Runtime Fee faced backlash, forcing the company to revise its strategy. The current per-seat subscription model limits Unity's financial upside when developers achieve success, necessitating a shift towards more performance-driven revenue models.
Financial Realities and Turnaround Efforts:
Despite reporting a net loss of $572 million on $1.58 billion in revenue for the first nine months of 2023, Unity remains free-cash-flow positive, albeit relying heavily on stock-based compensation. The layoffs are expected to contribute to significant cost savings, providing a near-term boost to Unity's financial position. However, the company's long-term turnaround hinges on finding a permanent CEO capable of rebuilding relations with developers and steering the ship toward profitability.
Technical Outlook:
Unity Software's stock is currently within a horizontal trend channel, indicating a potential development in the same direction.
Conclusion:
Unity Software Inc. is at a crossroads, navigating challenges in the dynamic game development industry. The recent layoffs and strategic restructuring reflect a commitment to long-term, profitable growth. As Unity seeks to redefine its business model and recover from past missteps, investors and industry observers alike will be watching closely to see how the company adapts to the evolving landscape and positions itself for success in the future.
Unity Software Surprising 25% Stock Rally
Unity Software Inc (NYSE: NYSE:U ) has experienced a notable fluctuation in its stock price over recent periods. With a current market capitalization of $15.31 billion, the company's stock is trading at $42.14. Over the past week, Unity's shares have seen a marginal decline of 0.25%. However, looking at a broader timeframe, the stock has gained an impressive 25.03% over the past three months. This growth is particularly striking when considering the company's past and current GF Value.
Unity's Competitive Landscape
In comparison to its competitors, Unity stands out with a higher market cap than BILL Holdings Inc (BILL, Financial) at $8.94 billion, Ceridian HCM Holding Inc (CDAY, Financial) at $10.48 billion, and Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY, Financial) at $9.3 billion. This suggests that Unity holds a stronger position in the market, potentially offering a more stable investment opportunity.
Technical Analysis
Unity Software has broken the falling trend channel in the medium long term and reacted strongly up. For the time being, it is difficult to say anything about the future trend direction. The stock is moving within a rectangle formation. An established break predicts a further rise.
Volume tops and volume bottoms correspond well with tops and bottoms in the price. Volume balance is also positive, which strengthens the stock RSI above 70 shows that the stock has strong positive momentum in the short term. Investors have steadily paid more to buy the stock, which indicates increasing optimism and that the price will continue to rise.
The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which could be an early signal of the start of a rising trend for the price as well.
Unity Software- ready for the pump?Unity Software- ready for the pump?
As you cand se,, the price it is in an accumulation range, a broken trend line with a broken resistance confirmation will add more investors/buyers and after that wee can see some beautiful pumps..for now lets see what the price will do.
U Unity Software Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of U Unity Software prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 27usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $4.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Unity Software (NYSE: U) Resurrection Unity Software Inc. is an American video game software development company based in San Francisco. It was founded in Denmark in 2004 as Over the Edge Entertainment and changed its name in 2007. Unity Technologies is best known for the development of Unity, a licensed game engine used to create video games and other applications.
Unity Software's earnings report Does Not Look Good
Shares of 3D virtual reality company Unity Software (U 7.01%) plunged 12% at the open on Friday after reporting an earnings miss Thursday evening.
Heading into Q3, analysts had forecast Unity would earn $0.17 per share on $553.7 million in sales. Instead, Unity reported a $0.32 per share loss, and its sales fell short of expectations at just $544.2 million.
That sounds like bad news, and explains the steep early sell-off at Unity. On the plus side, the stock already seems to be recovering.
Unity Software sales and earnings
And yet the news wasn't all bad. As Unity Software pointed out, its revenues may have missed estimates, and "we believe we can do better." Nevertheless, Unity did still grow its sales 69% year over year, which...isn't too shabby.
Similarly, while management failed to deliver Wall Street's expected profit, it did cut its losses in half from the year-ago quarter. Net losses fell from $250 million to $125 million per generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). And the negativity of the company's net profit margin improved significantly, from negative 77% a year ago to negative 23% this time around.
Should you buy Unity Software stock?
This means that Unity effectively flipped from burning cash to generating cash profit in Q3. And while management did not provide guidance through the end of this year, year to date, the company has generated $118 million in positive free cash flow, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. If this trend continues, the company might generate as much as $157 million in free cash flow this year -- and deliver its first full year of positive free cash flow ever.
Admittedly, at a current-year valuation of more than 61 times free cash flow, the stock isn't obviously cheap. Still, analysts polled by S&P think Unity Software will double its free-cash-flow number next year, then nearly double it again in 2025 -- putting the company at about $590 million in cash generation that year.
UNITY SOFTWARE - GREAT OPPORTUNITYI like U, and from what i see on the chart, i have an downtrend line broken , and nou the price its in the discount zone but also in a bottom zone, if you want to be a buyer, this is the perfect entry.
I just bought some share at 27.8usd and i will buy every dip betwen 24-28.
Also in 9 November we have earnings from U , so there is another possibility for a rally form here.
UNITY : Livetrade using simple TA and Band of Midas1. Clear all drawings and indicators.
2. A horizontal support line consists of 18Aug23 low and previous breakout level, observe if price reversed at here (React Don't Predict).
3. Add BandofMidas from indicators. Use Midas factor of 9.( suitable for this chart)
4. Price fall into Midas zone and reversed. Midas line still in pink. Double confirmed.
5. CONSIDER to go long, nothing 100%
6. Plan your trade, risk reward ratio. GO Long.
In my opinion, this is a news driven panic sell.
im LONG with $1 cut loss risk.
Unity Software Inc.: The Future of Real-Time 3DUnity Software Inc. (U) is a leading provider of real-time 3D development tools. The company's platform is used by game developers, artists, architects, and other creative professionals to create interactive experiences.
Fundamental Analysis
The fundamental analysis of U stock is positive. The company is growing rapidly, and its financials are strong. U is also well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for real-time 3D content.
Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of U stock is mixed. The stock is currently trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which are bearish signals. However, the stock is also trading near its support level of $37.00, which could provide a buying opportunity.
Overall, the fundamental analysis of U stock is positive, while the technical analysis is mixed. Investors should carefully consider both factors before making a decision about whether to buy or sell the stock.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
U Unity is now recovering from a paradoxicalearnings beat of 189% selloff. On the 4H chart the trend down has reversed
and the ZL MACD is confirmatory. Price has bounced off the lower Bollinger
bands as confirmed by the BB Oscillator. I will take a long trade here targeting
the 0.5 fib level in a retracement of the trend down ( 39.95) with the stop loss
at the pivot low of the Friday morning open. U could easily bounce back up to
its per-earnings trading range in the upcoming week. ( See also PANW)
U Unity Software Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought U calls last time:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of U Unity Software prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 55usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $5.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Stage 2 Breakout Buy in UUnity is a gaming company that fits perfectly into the AI theme we are seeing lead this market.
I have marked up a weekly chart of the stock to show how it has progressed through the 4 stages of the stock cycle.
After chopping around the $20-$40 range for the better part of a year, U is trying to break out into a new Stage 2 uptrend.
Price action has tightened and the moving averages are now supporting the stock near its 52-week highs.
Also note the heavy buying volume that has come into the stock over the last several weeks. This is something we often see before a stock begins a quick move higher and is indicative of institutions absorbing supply and building a line in the stock.
The stock popped higher on Thursday morning before pulling back Friday with the rest of the market. Investors should consider buying here with a 10-15% stop loss.
Unity. Inverse Head and Shoulder forming. + Bullish divergenceHey folks,
Another Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern with bullish divergence. My favorite pattern to trade, especially on these longer time frames. I am also noticing micro h and s patterns within in the smaller time frames on various stocks.
Besides the lackluster market response to its AI features, U hasn't had a whole lot going on fundamentally, noteworthy at least, but I'm picking up on the metaverse trend building steam again. This one is a great metaverse play.
I'll lock in profit accordingly. Around $42, $58, $65 and save some for all mighty $100 liquidity zone. I think mid July could see some nice action.
Happy trading!
OnePath
Unity stock has been suppressed at the same position !Unity stock has been suppressed at the same position in the past year!
This figure shows the weekly candle chart of Unity stock since its listing and trading. The graph overlays the top to bottom golden section of the highest point in history. As shown in the figure, after the full release of the bearish momentum in May 2022 of Unity stock, it completed its recent bottom in July 2022 and has been suppressed by the 2.000 position of the golden section in the figure until now! In the future, it is likely to hit a new low or achieve a double bottom before accumulating bullish momentum and rebounding upwards!
Long Trade in UUnity is a big player in the metaverse space since the company specializes in real-time 3D content. The company is also deep in AI development which is a space I want as much exposure to as possible.
The stock has had a hard time getting above the $43 level, but the recent surge in volume looks like the fuel it needed to power to new highs.
If you zoom in on a daily chart, you will also notice a cup with handle pattern forming here.
The big clue for me is the volume. Look at the big surge of activity as the stock ramped up the right side. There is a huge appetite for this stock which is unsurprising given the AI theme of the current bull market.