DISNEY, WILL WE SEE A THANOS SNAP ERASING 50% OF ALL GAINS?I have a lot to talk about with Disney.
1. Why is this company special?
I would likely say, high ticket marketing, collectables/toys, and Disney+. Out of those, I would say toys and collectables.. whatever. High ticket marketing for rich people at parks are always a money maker, minus a coming shutdown or another big virus.
2. More into Disney+, SPECIFICALLY MARVEL, I hear they are running out of content ideas.
The big money maker is 100% without a doubt not star wars, but marvel. I refuse to believe that any rumor of "running out of ideas" is true. First of all, I feel like I can think of hundreds.
If they are truly running out of content for Disney+ and want a cheap fix, they literally already created the perfect scenario to really pump out content. Basically, one of the best things you'll ever see in Cinema is the End Game battle. They created a moment where everyone suddenly appeared (Some 100+ characters) and started to battle against a bunch of other characters. Well, first of all, this scene can carry Disney for another 10 years if they wanted it to. In other words, there was a lot of things that happened off screen between the hulk snapping people back, and the teleportation into the battle. That is easy to create content, from the moment a character "wakes up" and gets pulled into a massive battle. Each character could get a 45 minute episode from their point of view waking up and walking through the teleport, and then make it a two-parter where we see their point of view in the battle. Want to save money, Make it first person film style. That way you really only need the characters voice, and whoever the story has them around before getting teleported into the battle. Creating the battle may be a little more difficult but in the end, most of the work should be done and now you're viewing a single characters viewpoint from the entire fight. That could create literally so much content to keep fans engaged rather than waste a ton of money on a lot of "meh" shows. I also wonder if this counts as them using a character and retaining the copy right. IT would be quite easy to keep up with every character and not have to dump them into the most random spots in random movies and shows.
Second part to how can Disney use Marvel to make more money. Well, it relates to the idea above, and involves VR. I'm willing to bet fans would pay crazy money for a game that allows them to battle along side their favorite avengers in the actual move scene. It would be more like a Disney ride in that the VR would be scripted to a degree (like moving down a track), but ultimately, they could use a lot of technology with videogames that makes the battle unique to the player jumping in. Here's the kicker, if you allow the "players" or viewer to buy custom "superhero" gear to wear during the battle, you get those sweet sweet microtransactions.
Even more so, I'm sure with AI or something, I bet you could literally rewrite each script and make it multiversal, unique to each player all the way though, allowing other players to play within their universe or one of their own. I'd imagine it's possible to have the scenarios lead to ultimately the same situations no matter the actions of the player, but the individual gameplay with vary and have different outcomes (similar to the Walking dead game, but hopefully way better and more realistic with real time choices).
Again, I refuse to believe the cash cow that is Marvel is tapped out of ideas.
Disney+, WHAT ELSE?
Cinematic Universe (Marvel, Star Wars, Mighty Ducks, Pixar, and so many more)
Why is a cinematic universe great. Well, it allows for usage of the popular titles, with crossover and guest spots. Marvel with the Multiverse almost allows for free creation. It allows them to kill off expensive characters and still potentially bring them back when their contract demands are less. It allow for the creation of so many different stories within the main story.
It allows people to feel nostalgia while also seeing new and engaging content. If you don't see where I'm going with everything I've said so far, THEY ARE CREATING A DIGITAL VERSION OF THEIR THEME PARKS. Which leads to the metaverse.
The Metaverse
Con, the headsets are big, bulky and expensive.
Well, what if a company like Disney, that has literally so much money, was able to design slim VR goggles that are basically sunglasses.
They could theoretically get the cost down cheap enough that they could eat a short term loss and give them out to the "people" nearly free and then make a huge amount of money from data and microtransactions/content in the long term.
Subscriptions are going to be a big model in the future, a lot of companies seem to be going this route for this reason.
There are only so many viewing hours per person, and each company will want them to use their online services. Similar to how google is the search engine and has created youtube to be the How To website. In other words, you use google to search, you stay on google to watch and google makes a lot of ad money and facebook doesn't because you were on google the whole time.
Theme Parks
Cool but expensive, imo Disney should sell the parks and keep the land. Tap into the Digital theme park world and go all in. Let a smaller company worry about the theme parks.
Gambling
Espn, sports, Disney, streaming. Going back to VR, imagine if Disney used ESPN to setup cameras all over the stadiums allowing VR users to pay for VR seats and watch a live game as if they were there. I really think Disney should go all in on the VR at home Cinematic universe experience rather than waste time on much else. But that is my opinion, all of this is my opinion so please note that. I think gambling could be quite big. Especially with Crypto. Disney is a big enough company to back the value of a token for their platforms. They takes cash, you get token, they spend cash, you spend token, you cash token in for cash, they likely used your cash for something but give you other cash. Ya know, banks or something like that..
TECHNICALS
Okay, so what about the chart.
well, to keep this quick because I tried to make the chart as simple as possible.
Trend A breaks to Trend B which breaks to Trend C, which is crazy strong. Both B and C are, which means, B will likely be the midterm trend that it could hit and slip under allowing a buy on a bounce to the upside.
If C breaks, it likely is a covid like crash scenario, and the price target of 29 springs the price quite high. So if that were to occur, I'd probably consider buying into the fear.
I included 29 and 200+ as the high potential and low potential targets in the long term. Personally, I like the rejection coming pretty soon around 111 which could retrace down to 83ish. Before seeing another move to the upside. However it's so hard to tell what it will do at time being. No earnings until MAY, meaning a covid like crash and recovery once people hear earnings in May fits the timeline fairly well. All stocks are showing a top, you have Bezos selling Amazon shares, you have multiple massive sport franchises being sold, huge companies being bought by even bigger companies.. The drop is coming, the big big big return bounce is coming and that can lead to a depression without question. Which then leads to crypto being king for awhile.
Alright, if you made it through that, congrats, and THANK YOU for following along, whether you agree or not.
Good luck!!
Universe
Wave Auction Theory & WHY it worksSup, this is the 30th & the last post that concludes all the previous ones, and finally reveals the name how I've called all this - wave auction theory. Well, me as a creator of all this (or more like a mixer, a DJ lol) I think about it more as a theorem, but that's for nerds and geeks to work it out, me I just wanna flexx.
If you take a look at all existing market theories their main thing is they all attempt to divide market activity into parts. Patterns, El waves, Wyckoff market states, then what Steidlmayer created (I call it Interval Auction Theory, since he divided market activity in parts by days, weeks, months etc). The main problem with is all these concepts (maybe except the last one) dem are not well defined, and they apply on the fractal market something that the highest resolution of this fractal (raw tick chart) doesn't have.
Wave auction theory ain't superimposing any exogenous structures on the market, such as "crowd behaviors", nah, it doesn't guess and predicts anything, it derives the principles and structures from the sequences of fundamental particles of the market - ticks, and it can be used fully on this fundamental resolution. This is the most fundamental principle how you can divide market activity without any subjectivity: waves and levels. Btw, indirectly, we also gain the interval size information by choosing the right resolutions, while interval auction theory disregards sequence of events (read my post about market & volume profiles).
Why it all works
It's a lil bit recursive kind of thing, you need to read all the statements below multiple times in different order, then your brain will start making the whole picture out of it, and finally things will come together, you'll feel that "snap" in your head. It's the best I can do.
* Market is fractal => all the principles propagate through all the resolutions;
* Market is a feedback loop, market is ALL of us together, that famous "composite operator" that Wyckoff tried to explain to people around him, that composite operator is All of us - the collective;
* Each individual entity in the collective has different voting power = better you operate = better the market = more revenues & capital you have = more voting power you have;
* We all have all the same data => we can gain as much information as there is in the data;
* Data on every resolution has information where it is, it was, or it will be cheap or expensive, every1 gains it with different degree of precision, but essentially every1 gains the same info because it's the same market & same data;
* The only thing that works all the time in all the cases is being an operator (a market maker) aka you buy cheap and sell expensive;
* Market making happens on all the resolutions, be it 1 minute or 1 week chart, on the former it might be one dude with 100 shares, on 1W it might be 100k dudes with 100 shares, the collective is always there, even on yearly charts;
* More data & information you have, the more question of "what's going to happen in the future" transforms into the question of "what IS happening NOW";
* market works on the principle I call "GTC Naive" (good till cancel Naive forecast), meaning that "the stuff's gonna continue the same way UNTIL there's an event/evidence that'll change it";
We all make the future, how can we not know what we're making ourselves if we have the info and exogenous factors are not numerous and secondary at best, and the system itself is quazi-closed? Still gonna try to analyze log returns? xD
Everything is already decided, we've decided all of that ourselves having the same data & same info xdddd
All the prophecies are self fulfilling prophecies by definition lmao, they are consequences of sequences of choices made by every1 through all the timeline. While loosing precision we gain generality => are able to understand what IS happening NOW. Not even contra intuitive aye?
The good side point of all this is that now you can rewatch Matrix movies (all of dem) and finally understand the dialogs between Neo and The Oracle (the parts her telling him the choice is already made).
Coming back to the theme, I share all this because I think that markets are sadly unhealthy, there's ENORMOUS room for liquidity provision for centuries to come on Ks of assets. Better we gonna operate, more clients = more volume will come to the markets => better for all of us.
The last several things I wanna share:
1) You can approach designing an automated agent (a bot) by following principle, smth I call "sMATEs framework";
- s: selection of assets that will end up in your masterlist;
- M: management - choosing between the most potent timeframes & assets within the assets in masterlist;
- A: analytics, seeing what's happening on your chosen data, choosing the signal generation method aka strategy accordingly;
- T: trading, generation the actual signals based on the strategy chosen before;
- E: execution, processing & fine tuning the actual executions based on the signals;
-s: sizing: choosing the quantities based on equity control and what the market can give.
The two small Ss are the only levels where you need to use ML. Reinforced learning for sizing based on order book & equity chart of a given agent. Then you can use ML & AI to form the masterlist, based on what you want. Generally you're interested in action or as I say in MEAT (ain't no vegan bruh sorry).
2) Each market has its own main cycle set: set of properly chosen optimal resolutions & time frames & rolling window lengths (no, there's nothing to optimize there & no need in dynamic lengths). I think you can figure it out reading all the posts & studies I've posted lately.
I can give a hint: if you want to divide smth, you always try to divide it by 5 first. If you can't by 5, then by 4. If you can't by 4, then by 6. If you can't by 6, then by 3. If you even can't by 3, then by 7. And omg if you can't by 7, then in theory it's by 2, but not on our planet with our modern time system. Look at the 2 centuries of S&P chart in this post and see what I see.
3) If you a coward, or an overconfident prick, or a cheater, or a lier, or a snitch, you wont't succeed. You'll succeed if you're real & legit, in this case it's only a matter of time.
From there it seems like my path goes somewhere else, but this is the way, all good TV, was fun.
Remember, there's no noise, only the truth
CERN should we be conCERNed?Things are changing, to some the Mandela effect may be a joke but even I have noticed a few things recently where's my Kit-Kat
Could this be a device that communicates with alternative dimensions parallel universe or a portal for time travel who knows not even the scientists know what this device is...
are you a cerner?
NASDAQ:CERN
BMV:CERN
LSE:0R00
The ramblings of a wannabe trader #184KRAKEN:XBTUSD - Do patterns stop playing out once they are identified?
In one of the concepts of multiverse, every action branches out into it's own universe thus creating gazillions of parallely exisiting universes.
I'm wondering what if, my identifying a particular pattern in this universe, results in creating an alternate universe, where the pattern actually plays out!! Hmmm... That would make me a famous trader in that universe!! Does it mean my alternate version just got a free pass, upon me publishing this chart right now? Is this what "they" call "luck"?!
Tether Fud, India Bans Bitcoin, and $ATOM/Cosmos LaunchWith the recent launch of Atoms on Poloniex, Kraken, Huobi, & others, we have seen some great hype regarding the project.
At a .1 cent token price, ICO participants are sitting pretty for the time being.
However I think market sentiment and recent news and Tether FUD will be seeing us to sub 5k BTC levels giving us a nice chance for a decent short on a $ATOMS position.
India bans Bitcoin is also a nice cherry on top for some DIP.
2 years of lock and there will surely be some people wanting to take profit off the table.
With more Atoms to unlock in the upcoming days, expect to see heavy volatility as whales take profit and re-balance portfolios.
Targets To Rebuy:
.000165 ATOM/BTC
.000825 ATOM/BTC
.00004125 ATOM/BTC
Gl!