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UPST

GNW - THE MOST UNDERVALUED COMPANY IN THE MARKET? MIND BOGGLING All, Lets get down to the financials on this one. Outside the fact this is absolutely going to break here with this bullish ascending tri. I mean take a look at P/B at 0.14... Price to Free Cash Flow ... 2?!?! I mean forward P/E is 4.98? THEY HAVE 1BILL REV AND NET MARGINS LOL @$4. SOME COMAPNIES WITH WORSE FINANCIALS THEN THIS TRADE AT $15-$55 ON HIGH END. Summaries -EPS has not only grown over 5 years but even gotten better exponentially now. -Price to free cash flow is essentially what Buffett looks for I mean holy hell not to mention P/B puts this as 1/10th undervalued (even though PB is an older valuation usage still) Highlights -P/S 0.25 -P/B 0.14 -P/FCF 2.06 -EPS past 5Y 40.10% -EPS Q/Q 651.30% These financials are real.. and disturbing this somehow is trading at $4 Negatives (about one) -Float 500M (hard to move but does have options) Positives Market Cap 2.13B Income 1.02B Sales 8.36B Book/sh 29.91 Cash/sh 4.47 P/E 2.19 Forward P/E 4.98 PEG 0.44 P/S 0.25 P/B 0.14 P/C 0.96 P/FCF 2.06 EPS EPS next 5Y 5.00% EPS past 5Y 40.10% Sales past 5Y 0.20% Sales Q/Q 1.90% EPS Q/Q 651.30%
NYSE:GNWLong
by DigitalData
UPST-- Time to go shortUPST-- bearish territory started. Might go down in waves. But the descend is on. The wild ride or more than 1000% gains since the beginning of the year are about to end. There will be a profit-taking cycle happening. Few data points, 1) 9 EMA crossing below 23 EMA 2) Price is not able to break above the trendline from recent highs. Forming lower lows on daily 3) Price is not able to break above 9EMA recently on 4hr and daily 4) 333 is acting as resistance from the left shoulder of the H&S pattern.... and in the distribution phase, as per stock cycles If you follow this chart, it is matching to the textbook representation of stock cycles. Will it go down before ER or after? Note: ER is on Nov 9th. It is time to watch this one. What do you guys think?
NASDAQ:UPSTShort
by nextgenm
1
UPST Projections.These aren't accurate to time but to patterns visible on the monthly and weekly time frames. UPST is following the Elliot Wave cycle and so far, Wave 3 is in the extension zone. I project a completion of the extension into earnings and a retracement for wave 4 anytime after that. Once that retracement is done, wave 5 will push us even higher. My current timeline is between now and 08/2022 for the cycle to complete. Always do your own DD and pls add any corrections or comments to this thought.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by pakhamie
My Trading Mantra: "Follow the Money "I believe one of the best indicators to watch is Volume Price..! You should try to invest where money flows in..! In trading and investing your mantra should always be: Follow the money..! I believe stock prices only go up when there are fresh players who bring money to the play, regardless of the quality of the underlying asset! One of the most important duties you have as a trader or investor is to monitor the money flow in the market to find out emerging opportunities! I have picked 3 Stocks with a +100% gain since August, let's review them My best-performing picks since August: -1 UPST: +150% gain since August 2nd when I published my analysis at 131.65 2- AFRM: +125% gain since August 2nd when I published my analysis at 64.71 3- DATS: +100% gain since October 6 when I published analysis at 8.16 For complementary information, you can watch my youtube video about volume and Volume Price: youtu.be
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by Moshkelgosha
3
$UPST - Is this just the start?!?!This is a hyper bullish count, but considering what this name has done recently and the massive increase in guidance from management, this is far from impossible. 1) Either we have completed a primary 5 wave structure, giving us wave 1 of the cycle around 300 (in yellow) and will now begin a cycle wave 2 that could take us to between 84-135, before a wave 3 takes us to a mind boggling value of 550-600 (white dotted line)....I don't wanna get ahead of myself, but a full completion of this count takes us to 800+, and more likely closer to $900+. This hyper bullish scenario could play out if Upstart is truly the disruptor it claims to be. OR 2) We are in a triple nest which is currently playing out with cycle wave 3 (yellow count, but 3/4/5 are not complete yet), a primary wave 3 (red count, w3 not complete yet, targeting ~400) and an intermediate wave 3 (pink count) which just reached its 161.8% target of ~290. From here we could see a retrace for primary W4 to around 235-210, before we reverse for a intermediate wave 5 and head back to ~400 to reach the primary W3 target (red count). The interesting thing about this is, when you take the red count to its final wave 5 target, you end up at 560-600! this is the same range as W3 target of scenario 1. Regardless of how you count is, you end up at 400, then 600 then 900. The key is, do we hold 235-210, confirming that we are in the triple nest, OR do we fall below 200 and back down to 135-84, confirming that we have just completed cycle wave 1 at 300. Basically, this is looking like a massive opportunity with buy zones at 235-210 and 135-84. Give this name a couple of years and see where we end up! BTFD
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by ir-rizzle
1
Win Big and Lose Small storyAugust 2021, was one of the best months for me. While Major indexes (NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones, Russell 2000) gained between 1.5-4 %, I had 8 analyses with a 10-73% gain in one month, those which hit stop loss made 1- 4% loss..! I also trade BABA option twice and close them with +180 and 100% profits..! and had 2 unsuccessfull trade with -30% loss (use 3% of my capital for each trade) I publish this review to talk about one of the most important habits(strategies) in trading. Novice Trader Story: Season 1: In the middle of a bullish market, FOMO: Fear of Missing Out Episode 1: Before Trading Journey Started Many people and friends share their experience of making profits trading cryptos and stocks on their social media, why should not I give it a try??? Episode 2: Trading Journey Started Opening the trading account, installing the app, transferring the money, and the gate of a multi-trillion dollars world are open now! Episode 3: Pushing the first buy button Welcome to the journey of trading, a journey full of adrenaline for novice traders! Episode 4: Making the first profit It feels like I am the wolf of wall street! Those who entered the market after March 20, 2020, think making money in the market is the easiest thing in the world. From a statistical point of view, it is very unlikely to made loss between March 2020 and February 2021. Episode 5: Market become less inefficient In a trended market (inefficient market) most tickers are positive on most of the trading days..! so making money is more probable than loosing it even for novice traders! Problems start when corrections start, novice traders start changing their positions to find the bullish tickers that gave them the same good feeling. They do not know market behaves in cyclical patterns and they experience multiple corrections by chasing for the best bullish movees. Episode 6: Fear of Loss after a couple of bad experiences, they decide to cash out the profits as soon as they see any, no matter how little it is..! Episode 7: Vicious Cycle Novice traders now experience the killing phenomenon of losing big in the hope of making reversals and wining small in fear of losing their small profits. Episode 8: blowing up the trading account There is not much left to lose! After the trading account becomes smaller and smaller, it is time to go all-in. Usually, it does not work..! Episode 9: what should I do now Novice trader is now addicted to trading and can not stop trading, so decides to recharge the account..! Episode 10: start over Novice Trader 1: Keep doing the same thing over and over again, the same result over and over again (majority) Novice Trader 2: Start learning about the market (reading books, courses) and keep trading, better results but making lots of mistakes because of not having a fully defined strategy. Novice Trader 3: Stop trading and back to normal life, an insightful decision for many people if they make it..! Novice Trader 4: Stop trading, start learning, and promise themselves not to start trading unless they have a fully defined strategy with good backtesting results. (less than 5% of all people) Nash Equilibrium: What Is Nash Equilibrium? Nash equilibrium is a concept within game theory where the optimal outcome of a game is where there is no incentive to deviate from the initial strategy. More specifically, the Nash equilibrium is a concept of game theory where the optimal outcome of a game is one where no player has an incentive to deviate from their chosen strategy after considering an opponent's choice. Overall, an individual can receive no incremental benefit from changing actions, assuming other players remain constant in their strategies. A game may have multiple Nash equilibria or none at all.(Investopedia) What Is a Zero-Sum Game? Zero-sum is a situation in game theory in which one person’s gain is equivalent to another’s loss, so the net change in wealth or benefit is zero. A zero-sum game may have as few as two players or as many as millions of participants. In financial markets, options and futures are examples of zero-sum games, excluding transaction costs. For every person who gains on a contract, there is a counter-party who loses.(Investopedia) Conclusion : Traders can make decisions and hurt themselves if they deviate from their main strategy based on Nash Equilibrium. Most Important Question any trader should ask her/himself: What is my strategy to make money in the market? How I can make it better??? Refrence: 1- UPST: 2- AFRM; 3-ROOT: 4- PLTR: 5-AMC: 6- COIN: 7- GME: 8- BABA: 9- SPRT:
NYSE:AMC
by Moshkelgosha
3
UPST: Pullback in progress (ON AN UPTREND)UPST: pullback in progress ~Ever since it opened in feb at 44 bucks, it has been growing fast and is at 270 rn ~The uptrend we are in now is in the midst of a pullback and is a good replica of the one on Aug 18-20 ^^Support zone 1 at 260-263: should bounce here to around 276 resistance before going back down to a PT: 255 ~I would play puts in parts Part 1 with a PT: 262.50 Part 2 entry at the bounce to 276 with a PT of 255 ~After we confirm a bounce off 255 support, swing long 3 weeks out
NASDAQ:UPST
by CheckMatted
1
UPST: 3 for 3 on 30% Pullback? - Standing by for entryWith this analysis I notice that UPST always seems to top out as indicated in the upper trend line in orange. Looking for a bounce off the fib line around 218 to start it's quick journey lower. On average we see about a 30% drop when this occurs. Watching this closely for entry as it's been getting a lot of positive headlines and they recently increased guidance. I think the valuation is quite rich though and a pull back is needed to continue higher. Will look to enter puts on confirmation.
NASDAQ:UPSTShort
by Nijj