Denison Mines breaking outDenison Mines is breaking out of its 12 years range on massive volume.
The huge demand for clean energy, particularly with AI's exploding growth and needs, means a lot of positive news coming for the nuclear industry.
Coupled with the devaluation of developped markets currencies, this could propulse DNN much higher.
Next resistance is the $4 area, then there is $8.50 before the all time high around $14.
Uranium
Cameco (CCJ) vs peer group uranium miners (Jan 2023-April 2024)As a sector, uranium mining has been in a strong uptrend throughout 2023 with a peak in early 2024.
Pullback currently underway, based on Uranium U308 (UX1!) spot price softness since January 2024.
Geopolitical and operational factors to be considered: (a) Nuclear energy facilities in Europe and USA are reliant to a large degree on fuel sourced from Russia and Kazakhstan, which may be curtailed via legislation (sanctions on Russia and possibly Kazakhstan) or supply chain disruptions (reduced military presence in Niger, announced operational curtailments in Kazakhstan and Saskatchewan which together produce half of global supply). (b) Legacy nuclear facilities are being extended beyond scheduled retirement dates, which will add to demand-side pressure. (c) Nuclear energy is a significantly less elastic market than other types of fuel due to the continuous operational nature of facilities and imperfect substitution alternatives in the short term, which maintains a floor on uranium demand.
For consideration: Buy uranium miners located in stable jurisdictions, friendly to US and European interests, and located close to natural markets for fuel consumers.
Breakout into 155% measured move?OTC:GLATF TSX:GLO 's counter trend downward broadening wedge is testing its breakout. Fundamentally, the coup in Niger has kept this near term #uranium producer back, but it's time to catch up. We're looking at a 155% measured move based on the bottom of the wedge to the top.
The time frame here is generated via the falling wedge's staff overlayed at the point of breakout. This projects into 2025 which will likely coincide with some of the first pounds produced or reported.
This move has potential to be far more violent and sudden given how much this one has lagged and with consideration to being one of the few near term producers.
So long as the geopolitical issues relax (ECOWAS is rumored to be relaxing sanctions), we're looking good.
3 Year Cup and Handle for $URA UraniumWhen in doubt, zoom out. URA is forming the handle on the multi-year cup and handle pattern on the weekly. While doom and gloom besets the new investors, they would be wise to observe that this contraction is a part of a much larger pattern.
Besides, nothing in the fundamentals has changed.
Uranium could explode back half of 2024CCJ leader of uranium.
CCJ has been developing a text book Livermore Accumulation Cylinder. In the last uranium bull market CCJ developed this accumulation cylinder over 4 years from 2000-2004 and now its doing the same accumulation cylinder from 2020-2024.
We are in the final flush out stage 7 before an explosive wave 8 up.
The chart on the right shows CCJ/SPX. You can see we are in the final bearish flush-out stage before CCJ starts outperforming SPX massively. The ratio also signals CCJ is a long way from outperforming SPX so the real bull has not even started yet.
We can confirm this analysis by the miners underperforming the metal - URA/U.UN. Once the miners start outperforming the metal, the real bull takes place as we are on the APEX of that happening soon.
The Junior miners will be the stars of the show when the big capital rotates into the smaller developers and explorers.
Potential Long on PENPEN is currently in a descending wedge with bullish RSI divergence but still looks bearish on an intraday chart so should move down to support at around 0.07c. Look for a breakout and retest of upper trendline for entry or enter a small position on break of wedge, stoploss at last swing low move SL to BE when safe to do so. Good luck
Canalaska $CVV up 50% on new findNew uranium find has pushed Canalaska up 50% in a day. Wow!
Downward trend channel formed in April 2021 and almost 3 years later it has broken out, pulled back and now rocketed with volume.
0.85 therefore seems achievable and 1.54 all time high could also be possible.
As ever, this is not a solicitation to trade. Do your own research and you decide all aspects of your own trading.
Investing into Uranium-Backed Producers. Technical perspectivesUranium ore trades is at records highs, as several hedge fund managers are expanding their allocations to uranium stocks, with a conviction that an increasing embrace of nuclear energy as part of a "green" future - along with geopolitically-rooted ambitions to reduce dependence on Russian oil and gas -- means the trend has a lot of room to run.
On Wednesday, November 1, French President Emmanuel Macron arrived in uranium-rich Kazakhstan on the first leg of a trip to Central Asia.
According to a study by the World Nuclear Association (WNA,) published in August this year, Kazakhstan possesses 12 percent of the world's uranium resources and in 2021 produced about 21,800 tons. In 2009 it became the world's leading uranium producer, with almost 28 percent of world production. In 2019, the country produced a staggering 43 percent of the world's uranium.
A dozen years after the disaster at Japan's Fukashima reactor put nuclear energy on worldwide probation -- and in, Germany, gave it a death sentence -- various factors are combining to bring it back into the acceptable realm of energy solutions.
UXC URANIUM U3O8 Futures Price, over the past 5 years.
First reason, the International Energy Agency says that, in order to meet "net zero" goals -- which describes a state where carbon emitted into the atmosphere matches the amount removed from it - global nuclear generation capacity must double from 2020 levels by 2050.
In addition to nuclear energy coming to the fore as a zero-carbon-emitting power source, it's also seen as a way for the western economies to reduce their need for Russian oil and gas. The fact that Russia currently accounts for about 8% of the world's uranium reserves underscores the need to develop new supply sources. There's also an increasing appetite for nuclear power in Asia and Africa.
Taken together, the uranium-friendly trends could power significant gains in the sector. Uranium equities could see dramatic upside -- 50%, 100%, possibly MultiX more.
The main graph represents technical perspectives for AMEX:URA - The Global X Uranium ETF that provides investors access to a broad range of companies involved in uranium mining and the production of nuclear components, including those in extraction, refining, exploration, or manufacturing of equipment for the uranium and nuclear industries.
The Global X Uranium ETF is 35.66% year-to-date return in this time, that is much stronger against top 4 American well-known indices i.e. S&P500 Index SP:SPX (11.95% YTD), Nasdaq-100 Index NASDAQ:NDX (35.22% YTD), Russell 2000 Index TVC:RUT (-3.38% YTD) , and Dow Jones Industrial Average DJ:DJI (1.94% YTD).
Top 5 Holdings of AMEX:URA - The Global X Uranium ETF (as of November 1, 2023)
# Weight Name
1. 23.80% TSX:CCO - CAMECO CORP
2. 11.25% TSX:U.U - SPROTT PHYSICAL
3. 6.77% LSIN:KAP - NAC KAZATOMPROM-DR
4. 6.45% NYSE:NXE - NEXGEN ENERGY LTD
5. 5.41% AMEX:UEC - URANIUM ENERGY CORP
👉 The main graph says, there're alternative technical perspectives for AMEX:URA - The Global X Uranium ETF in this time, where the major break out of multi year highs can open the door to further huge, MultiX upside price action under well-knoww Technical figure "Cup-and-Handle".
👉 Vice versa, if resistance is still strong, it can bring the graph to its main 5yrs SMA support.
Macro trend reversal: Uranium ETFMultiple geopolitical and macroeconomic factors providing strong tailwind for Nuclear power.
From a technical perspective, there is a massive macro trend reversal playing out here with volume behind it, which presents a promising long-term opportunity.
DYOR.
happy trades,
CD
Breakout for Canalaska?Is this a breakout for Canalaska? No retest of the channel yet and over head resistance at 0.67 and 0.84. In support: over 4x average volume on week commencing 25th September and a higher pivot high compared to Jul 22.
WARNING: This is not a recommendation to trade. Do your own research and decide your own trades.
CCJ reached important macro-resistance zonePrice has reached an important macro resistance zone: 39.40-45.91-48, that coincides with 0.618% extension of wave I (2000 low - 2007 top time span) from wave II bottom (2020 lows).
Monthly view
This 0.618% extension aligns with standard 2.00% resistance of the fifth wave - wave (5) - of first impulsive structure (wave (1)-(5)) that started in March 2020.
If price stays bellow the top boarder of the resistance zone (48), the structure is prone to the start of the possible multi-year correction to support zone: 20-12.
I price will be able to move confidently above 48 and close above it on volume support for several session, than the proposed price structure needs to be revised. Next resistance zone in that case is close to 76-80 area.
Breaking bellow 21ema with volume increase could be confirmation sign for the larger correction starting. This levels could be used by any shorts with 21 ema or prior (Feb 2021) left side pick at 44.81 as a covering guide (with resonable 2-3% latitude).
Thank you for your attention!
Uranium ETF Update - The perfect trade playing out Uranium ETF - $SRUFF
✅ 45% increase since entry at 200 day bounce
✅ Pennant Breakout confirmed trend
🎯 Target remains 0.618 Fib Ext at $45.00
❌ Stop Raised to $26.67 guaranteeing 27% profit
(Stop placed here as it is the most recent higher
low and should remain intact for short term trend
to remains valid)
Hope this simplifies the approach and structure of the trade.
Thanks
PUKA
$URA: Bulls at 30 seem positioned wellAMEX:URA showing promise here at 30 and we could be looking at a turn around in price soon. Growth stocks may need to find their footing and dollar may need to soften a bit but for now, this seems like a decent spot for longs. Best of luck traders..
The green line at 27.5 was where our previous trade occured for a nice little run and is linked to this post.
RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - GLA EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - Stocks with breakout potential .
In this edition, we'll be looking at ASX:GLA ...
I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility.
If price can hold above $0.033 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked.
My key upside targets include:
- $0.048 (Conservative)
- $0.057 (Medium)
- $0.075 (Aggressive)
If however price falls below $0.023 ... Bearish potential may be unlocked.
(My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart)
Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future.
If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and/or comment below.
MR RM | Risk Mastery
Disclaimer:
This post is intended for educational purposes only - Publicly available RiskMastery information & content is not intended to be financial advice in any shape or form. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed professional before acting on any of the information contained within this post. This post is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any positions in any financial instrument. All demonstrated trades are merely incidental to the educational training RiskMastery aims to provide. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions, of which should be made only according to your own opinion, knowledge and experience. You should not rely on any of the information contained on this site or contained in any RiskMastery material on any website or platform. You assume the sole risk of any trade or investment you elect to make. RiskMastery and affiliates shall not be liable to you for any monetary losses or any other damages incurred directly or indirectly, from your use, reliance or reference of RiskMastery materials, content and educational information. Thank you for your understanding and cooperation - We look forward to working with you into the future to navigate the fine line of trading and investment success.
CCJ... are we destined to repeat the past?just some coloring.. could we sell our charts as arts? okay, kidding.
i like CCJ..check out the 9/17 calls 28 strike and the 10/15/21 28's (really anything between $20 and 32ish)
Price prediction. IMO. is bullish. Do i think this exact thing will happen? ..not at all.
i just wanted to draw but its making stops and hitting locations just like before. trade safe my friends -Benz951
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short term- ups and downs for Options. Puts winning as we come back down from hitting the intraday high.
id expect a small continuation monday morning, to only bounce and go back up.
Supercycles in commodities - i.e. Bitcoin, UraniumSupercycle - a term which is gaining popularity these days, applies to commodities. Basically what happens is surge in demand, which current supply struggles to cover, causes prices to sky-rocket from being under-valued to highly over-valued.
In my opinion Bitcoin and its' four-year cycle is the best example. The main event of the cycle is halving (halving the rewards of mining bitcoin), which is causing supply-shock and aftermath in the form of speculative bubble.
I strongly believe we are about to see a supercycle in Uranium in the following years. Spot price of that commodity is right now under-valued to such an extent Cameco (one of its largest global providers) is buying it from the spot market in order to meet the contracts and keeping some of its mines closed (waiting for the prices to rise). Currently there are about 440 active nuclear reactors and 50 being constructed (more than 10% of the actual number) mainly in China and India (respectively 16 and 6 as of March 2021). Interesting pair, isn't it? If the rest of the world does not want to stay behind they will have no choice but to follow that direction.
Nuclear energy is not opponent of wind and solar energy. It is their carbon-free companion versus the coal.
Technicals:
We are confirming the falling wedge break-out right now. If price action will succeed to do so, there might be rally much quicker than I expected when I first opened position.
$URA double top, target sub 10?Looking at the chart, we've just formed a high timeframe double top. Unless price can break resistance and confirm it as support, price is heading down.
Based on the structure of the chart, if the midline gets broken at $18, the target of the move should be sub $10. Hitting the lower supports around $6-7.
If we get down there, that should setup a great multi-decade buy.
Let's see how it plays out.