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Uranium

Copper HG - Is It Finally Time?I have witnessed much consternation on Twitter over the last months and weeks about how Copper, a critical industrial element, continues to decline in price. All the while, like most other metals, the exchange vaults are being raided of thousands of tons of physical spot, which futures markets need to back short positions. One would think this would result in a price increase, and yet, metals have remained exceedingly bearish. Whether Copper can constitute a commodity in a price action cycle that can be considered bullish, rather than bearish, boils down to whether or not you believe that the $5 all time high set during the 2021-2022 bull run is either the ultimate top or the medium and short term top. Looking at the monthly, the situation is more clear: This pattern stands in sharp contrast to say, Soybeans, which has a very similar pattern of price action, but is less bearish over the last 3 months and also failed to set a new all time high during the early 2022 supercycle test run. Soybeans ZS - Lagging the Pack, but Ready to Go And is somewhat more like Wheat, which did take out the previous long term high, albeit only on a short term sweep. Wheat Futures - ZW - Like Snakes in a Can The contrast is that copper ran the old high three times already. So you really have to consider that the ultimate top may be in. More information on Copper HG can be discerned from the weekly, which shows notable gaps above $4, a healthy V-Bottom following the July dumps, and a close, albeit not-too-close, range bottom to the key Sept' 20 pivot: Breaking it down into the daily, we can see that July month end and August open plinked out a dump high, followed by August being characterized by a slow grind upwards before finally selling off at the end of the month: September, thus far, has opened very bearish, taking out the August pivot (twice, now), yet retaining the overall market structure, and showing an indication that it wants to trade higher. September is not likely to finish in a straight line down. What I like about this call is that while I have mixed feelings that copper will ever see $5 again, despite all the fundamentals saying it really ought to trade for a lot more, the reality is that I believe if it were to turn around and dump to new lows in the low $3s or mid-high $2s, it certainly does this, more likely than not, after raiding the $4 level first, based on how price action has developed. Currently, we're still young in the month and copper has so far traded bearishly, although it's showing a lot of promise in its price action that higher prices, rather than lower prices, are sought for now. The situation in this world is very strange at present. Energy shortages and food shortages are looming, hard, especially if you are in Europe. Recession, aka "Depression" is looming everywhere, and yet the U.S. equities market is still trading pretty high and for a lot of us life is just normal, albeit not as pleasant as before. The dollar index is mooning and many critical currencies from other countries, including ones as strong and crucial as Japan, are being slaughtered, and yet, no matter how siren-sounding Twitter is, price action does not reflect a degree of panic really anywhere. Even WTI Crude Oil, which I called would trade towards the $81 mark at the beginning of August, is trading in such a fashion that despite losing 30% of its value, there is still no fear, no shock and awe. WTI Crude Oil - Running and Gunning And even so far as Natural Gas NG has already lost more than 10%, somehow despite all the fundamentals saying otherwise, nobody is batting an eyelid. Natural Gas / NG - What, Truly, Is a Bull? Right now, everything, everywhere, is just business as usual, and another dip to buy. But for how much longer? A 72 VIX print is looming in the cards, and the lack of fear will truly have such a move catch many off guard. VIX - 9x8 = 72 The hardest thing in trading is not determining the direction or the targets. Instead, the hardest thing is gauging and predicting _when_ the move will happen and how it will unfold, since time is weaponized, and not very many things go up or down in a straight line all that often. Frankly, reason stands that the reality is that we will see Copper trade for prices like $10 in the relatively close future, and if so, then this price action we're sitting at is truly the place where the abyss will start to rage from. But to go long for that day... when does it really unfold? More likely than not, if you want to aim for numbers over $5, you're looking at a date in 2023, and it's very hard to trade options and futures that far out. And never forget, the world's greatest "black swan" looming is the coming collapse of the Chinese Communist Party . When that day really unfolds, most of the world's population will be bamboozled and caught off guard, which is why I call it a "black swan." But in reality, it is a development that is so, so easy to see. If you can't see it, maybe renounce your faith in communism, socialism, Marxist-Leninist stuff, and have better thoughts. Position yourself with the mentality that saw the world defeat Hitler in World War 2. The CCP has killed more than 100 million of its own people during its sanguine 100-year reign, including the 23-year-long organ harvesting persecution against Falun Gong meditation. How much longer can a group of rogues squatting in Shanghai last, soaked in sins like that? Rationality is simply too critical, and the level of one's rationality is connected directly to the level of their morality.
COMEX:HG1!
by LordWrymouth
3
$XLMUSDtXLM is currently trading around range low marked on the chart. My Trigger plan for this is a breakout of the falling resistance and a relaim of the 2021 Low. This would mean a deviation of the 2021 low and would be bullish imo. My targets are market o the chart are are essentially the Mid range and Range high. If it dosent break out above the falling res and reclaim the 2021 low then i have no interest. patience patience is the key here. size it right so it it fails you don't get wiped out or take heavy loss.
by gillman_hugh
2
$UUUU looks like it will fall (again) - back to $6.44 minimumThe bulls have come out of hiding, and have started beating their chest again, calling for new highs-- but the chart says otherwise. While I know there's a lot of fundamental news that makes people want to think the Uranium sector is going higher, the chart doesn't line up with the fundamental narrative. Just like it didn't when I called for the price to drop back in April (see related ideas below). If we look at the chart, price is retesting the structure it broke down from back in May. It's now testing the $8.24 resistance and I expect to see price to retrace from this level back to $6.44. If support is able to hold there on a retest, there is a possibility that price could go a little higher and test the $9.17 level, which I think would pull in a lot more bulls. But price would need to break over that level and confirm for me to believe that there might be a trend change. Otherwise, if we look at the chart, $UUUU is just forming another lower high, which should take prices lower. The first support on the downside would be at the $6.44 level, but if that were to break, the $4.81 support has already been tested 3 times, and I think if price breaks down to that level, the support should break and take price down to the $3.57 level (or lower). I'd be cautious if you're long here.
AMEX:UUUUShort
by benjihyam
UROY LONG SETUPNASDAQ:UROY On the daily chart UROY which is a uranium royalty play is at a three month long. Outlook is good when energy costs are rising and uraniums is widely considered more green than Oil, natural gas and other CO2 producing fuels. The RSI Oscillator is in mid-range. Within the past few days, a high spike of buying volume is noted. A Doji candle a few days ago signaled the reversal. It is there that I will set the stop loss. I am targetting a 40-60 % retracement of the downtrend mindful of the Fibonacci levels and so about a 20-25% upside.
NASDAQ:UROYLong
by AwesomeAvani
$92e Energy Limited92e currently trading below that important daily range low. Previously a move above this range low and re-claim saw the market move higher. Bullish Scenario: -Double Bottom -RSI Small Bull Div -MACD Big Bull Div Plan: looking for entry at @425 or below as i think it will be the backtest of this double bottom pattern that played out in the past. If market does not give this backtest then P2an 2 will be to buy the re-claim of that important daily range low @ 485 Protection: if market trade's below that double bottom @380 its time to jump ship and reevaluate the next plan.. A quick dip below 380 and re-claim of MAY 21 AYH level will give me a signal to enter again. Hope this helps.
9Long
by gillman_hugh
UNRANIUM READY TO 55.0 - CTSI can belive this Is uranium ready for 549$ dollars? Unbelievable This analysis is designed to provide information that CTS believes to be accurate on the subject matter, but is shared with the understanding that the author is NOT offering individualized advice tailored to any specific portfolio or the particular needs of any individual. The author of the analysis specifically disclaims any responsibility for any personal or other loss or risk incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, of the use and application of any of the contents of this analysis.
AMEX:URALong
by CaliforniaTS
Double cup and handle U.S dollar blow off?With more rate hikes coming in the future due to inflation still being too hot, this could be a reality. When commodities stop falling in the future with a dollar pushing higher (2023?), that should be a good time to really back up the truck with physical gold and silver #1. #2 Mining stocks in gold, silver, copper, uranium, steel, etc should also be on your radar for deals you never thought you'd get. Tech boom done, next is a Commodity Boom after an all out assault to smash inflation. Good luck everyone.
ICEUS:DX1!Long
by Shawn_38
1
NXE (Uranium play) bull flagging to set up coming +/-20% gainsI bought NXE today at 4.05 after seeing this nice bull flag setup. I am targeting 5 as a sell target, approximating at 20% gain from my buy point, which could be undercut on Monday. Notice two days of significantly increased volume: 1st on attaining a higher high on 7/27, than again on 7/29 representing the breakout and follow through from the down sloping trendline. Additionally, NXE has been out pacing the S&P 500 since its (NXE's) closing low on July 5th (comparison not shown on the chart). Could be a sign of things to come.
NYSE:NXELong
by tfoley472541
2