Uranium
BTC Bear Casethis is my plan for a short scalp or swing on BTC.
liquidity has been taken at range high. Usually happen before a bigger move lower.
If we reject/hold below mid range im looking for shorts with targets marked on the chart T1 T2 and T3.
looking at ES and Nasdaq for confluence which look like a pullback is a high probability.
Again i dont care what way it goes.. plan for it and if your trigger gets triggered play it and manage risk.. Fu#k the Perma Bulls they will get you rekt..
$PDN Paladin Energy PDN Formed a nice macro Bull Flag that broke out and trapped a lot of traders as it turned out to be a fakeout. These Breakout traders have since puked their positions on the fake breakout.
PDN then broke support and ranged under the OCT 2004 ATH. This looked like PDN was breaking down and about to go lower.. Exactly whaty a big Hedge fund would want you to think if they were building a position. they are hunting for liquitity imo.
Im bullish here for the following reason.
1.Reclaim of 2004 ATH acting as resistance.
2.Stoch in an area that tends to have a high probability for long setup
3.Small but Bullish Divergence on MACD.
A nice clean break and hold above 720 may start the next leg up on this stock
URA - 4:1 opportunity. Year long distribution patternWhat the market is presenting:
Neckline kiss setup
Daily view shows one year distribution pattern
Weekly view shows massive double top pattern
You don't need to know what's going to happen next to make money ~Mark Douglas
Anything can happen ~Mark Douglas
Getting through recession before Cameco (uranium) bounces?In prior 2008-09 recession, Cameco massively underperformed.
In a high volatility regime for stocks (VIX > 20), equities overall tend to do poorly.
The arc (a @northstar badcharts favorite) suggest another touch down before resuming its uptrend.
Uranium the anti-COVIDThanks for viewing.
No, not as a treatment - please don't inject uranium as a treatment (if Uranium came in a bottle it would need a warning for Americans).
Competition? What I mean is that Uranium has been on a run starting from when the equity markets showed weakness - and has yet to show signs of slowing. I'm not sure what the relationship is yet, as crude, coal, and natural gas are down in 2020, which would make them more competitive as energy sources.
Energy Security? It could be that crude, coal, natural gas, wind turbines, and solar panels all have rather long, and as we have seen, potentially vulnerable supply chains. Maybe, it is about energy security. Uranium needs for the US aren't all mined at home so that wouldn't account for it - although adding supply from long-standing allies like Australia could probably supply the needs of North America while having security of supply.
Is it about the environment? That could be part of the picture - as long as everything is well managed. There is that "catastrophic and uninsurable" hazard if things go wrong. The energy itself is clean, although the capital expenditure is considerable. Finding a long-term storage place for the waste hasn't been solved yet in the US.
Hard assets? Expectations of future inflation in light of historic levels of quantitative easing and currency printing are possibly driving the search for hard assets with use-value. As I look around the markets, very little appears undervalued. Equities, bonds, treasuries, gold all appear to be, if not over-valued, then not cheap. The most popular store of value in the world, and the destination of huge amounts of funds: treasuries don't even seem to be worth a second look at the moment and any up-tick in interest would wipe out a significant portion of those positions.
Expectations of an up-tick in military demand? I certainly hope not.
End of the bear? Maybe it has been long enough after Fukushima that people see an undervalued commodity. There has been a significant rise in plans for new nuclear power plants.
Anyone have any plausible fundamental analysis to add?