Opening (IRA): URTY February 21st 42 Covered Call... for a 39.56 debit.
Comments: This ... is unwinding. Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.56/share
Max Profit: 2.44
ROC at Max: 6.17%
50% Max: 1.22
ROC at 50% Max: 3.09%
URTY
Opening (IRA): URTY January 17th 51 Covered Call.. for a 49.25 debit.
Comments: With my usual leveraged go-to TQQQ in kind of the IV doldrums (IVR 18.1/IV 49.6), opting for a play in URTY with its 63.4% 30-Day IV instead. It's not as liquid and doesn't have nearly as robust an options chain as TQQQ, but I will make do.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 49.25/share
Max Profit: 1.75
ROC at Max: 3.55%
50% Max: .88
ROC at 50% Max: 1.78%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call on test of take profit price, and add should I be able to get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on.
URTY - the 3X leveraged ETF for the Russell 2000 LONGURTY seeks to yield 3X the Russell . The Russell has lagged the other major indices. This is
probably because this is a big collection of small companies which are weaker in general
and more suspectible to financial pressures like to cost of borrowing to finance growth and
so on. This week the Russell is out performing SPY, QQQ and DIA. These leveraged ETFs should
not be traded downside as the 3x causes expotential decay over time. Buy and hold will not
work well.
On the chart, the up trends as tracked by the "alpha trend" indicator are fairly obvious and
substantial. The zero lag MACD confirms buy and sell signals with K/ D line crosses. Entry
points are marked by a dramatic uptick in relative volatility making it easy to buy fast
and early in trend momentum, URTY is up nearly 20% so far in June. ( So much for sell
in May and go away). At present, it is waiting in consolidation waiting for more buyers
to step into its price action.
The bear case The Russell 2000 usually leads the SPX. This is because small businesses ramp up and grow faster when the economy is growing and are more likely to fail if the economy is in recession. This chart shows that in May the Russell began to underperform the SPX measuring from the beginning of the cycle.