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US500 - Let the Bulls Strive!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong support and structure! 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #US500 approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
7
Global Calm, Fiscal Storm: The Yen's Challenge?The USD/JPY currency pair has recently experienced a notable surge, driving the Japanese Yen to its weakest level against the US Dollar in a month. This appreciation primarily stems from a significant improvement in global risk sentiment, sparked by a breakthrough trade agreement between the United States and China. This deal, aimed at reducing the US trade deficit, has bolstered investor confidence and diminished the traditional safe-haven appeal of the Yen. Adding to the dollar's strength is the Federal Reserve's continued hawkish stance, signaling no immediate plans for interest rate cuts and reinforcing the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets amidst easing concerns about a US recession. Simultaneously, internal economic pressures in Japan significantly weigh on the Yen. The nation's public debt has reached an unprecedented high, driven by persistent increases in defense spending and social welfare costs due to an aging population. Government subsidies for energy bills and the need to issue more bonds to cover rising expenditures exacerbate this fiscal strain. This challenging domestic backdrop contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve's position, creating a widening divergence in monetary policy outlooks that favors the US Dollar through yield differentials, despite the Bank of Japan's cautious consideration of future rate adjustments. Furthermore, reducing global geopolitical tensions has contributed to the shift away from safe-haven currencies. Recent ceasefires and prospects for diplomatic talks in key conflict areas have encouraged a "risk-on" environment in financial markets. This increased appetite for riskier assets directly reduces demand for the Japanese Yen, amplifying the impact of fundamental economic factors and monetary policy divergence on the USD/JPY exchange rate. The pair's trajectory remains subject to evolving global dynamics, upcoming economic data releases, and central bank communications.
Long
by UDIS_View
BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳ As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈 As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀 For now, we wait! ⏳ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
Gold is still Strong; Long-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange. After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase. Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
2
A Broader Market Review...As we have all seen within the last month or so, the U.S. equity markets have been getting the worst ass whooping since 2020. And as much as we'd like to forget that absolute disaster, it does bring to thought the idea of buying general market funds (such as AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ , or AMEX:DIA ) to gain a nice entry into the next bull market, whenever that may be. However, not everything is all smooth sailing. The unfortunate part of this market downturn is that no amount of technical astrology fortune-telling analysis could have predicted the market's reaction to the tariffs being levied on foreign nations. So we need to put our big-boy pants on and look at the market as if it isn't some automatic wealth generating pattern that points north-east all day long. Let's start with the tariffs. Firstly, we know there has been a 90 day pause on all conforming countries most notably leaving out China. It's not like that's anything special, just almost all our crap is made there. Unfortunately, we are observing what may be the greatest economic error of our lifetimes. For those who are lost, foreign governments DO NOT pay for the tariffs in the way we are told. The U.S. Government levies the tariffs on the exporter (Chinese companies in this case), who then pass it on to the buyer of the goods (think Walmart, Target, Apple, etc.), who then pass those charges onto YOU... Enjoy! So with an attempt at a full blown trade war, which the U.S. cannot win nor even has the industrial strength or infrastructure to compete, we can expect the markets to completely do a Bald Eagle courtship nosedive into new lows as observed a few weeks ago. But what will the Creature from Jekyll Island think of this? Well miraculously, Fed chairman Jerome Powell claimed that the Fed will NOT allow the tariffs to exacerbate inflation into new highs. Get that, the Federal Reserve will not allow economic movements that raise prices on an importing nation ( that's the United States by the way), to raise prices anymore. While he's at it, how about we just get no inflation ever since it's just that simple? And as if that wasn't enough, Donald Trump called for Jerome Powell to lower rates for some reason, saying that Powell was too late on his economic movement at the Fed. As it turns out, our plan for strengthening the economy is to.... weaken the dollar? Not sure why that's the case but at least we will be able to borrow more money at a cheaper price, as if the United States doesn't already have a debt problem. The Fed lowering rates would of course open the possibility of getting yet another wave of quantitative easing which will most likely be observed further down the road. Another round of QE, along with rate cuts, will of course send the equity markets to new highs on top of a weaker dollar. Speaking of a weaker dollar, we should lastly talk about the TVC:DXY which measures the comparative strength of the U.S. Dollar to other currencies. As it turns out in this scenario, the dollar is getting weaker and weaker every day, meaning that people are running from U.S. Debt like it's the plague. If we were going to get a weaker dollar, at least could we have a higher market to offset our inevitable losses? I guess not... Here is the TVC:DXY 1D looking back into late 2024. Lastly for what to expect out of the market. If the trade situation will all the tariffs and this neo-cold war cool down, we might see some tariff pauses or lowering which will of course fire the market into new highs. However, if the situation doesn't cool, our debt yields rise, the market is going to go south faster than a Canadian in December. On a positive note, macroeconomic events move slowly, so it should be clear when a turnaround is coming...
SP:SPX
by addatheriver0808
EURUSD - Macro ViewHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈From a macro perspective, EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling red channel. Medium-term, EURUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the rising channel in orange. Moreover, the green zone is a massive monthly resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red and orange trendlines and resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
SOL - Longs on the Horizon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 Medium-Term : SOL has been overall bearish and it is currently trading within the flat wedge pattern marked in red. 📍 As it retests the lower bound of the wedge — which perfectly intersects with the $100 round number — I’ll be looking for short-term longs. 🚀 In parallel, for the bulls to take over in the long term and kick off the next bullish phase, a breakout above the $147 previous daily high is needed. Which scenario do you think will happen first — and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TICKMILL:SOLUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
3
BRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (2 hours chart, NASDAQ) - LongBRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (2 hours chart, NASDAQ) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.38 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 519 Entry limit ~ 517 on April 11, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 532 (+2.90%; +15 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 536 (+3.68%; +19 points) Stop order limit ~ 509 (-1.55%; -8 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented here is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:BRK.BLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
1
US-China Rift: India's Golden Hour?Heightened trade tensions between the United States and China, characterized by substantial US tariffs on Chinese goods, inadvertently create a favorable environment for India. The significant difference in tariff rates—considerably lower for Indian imports than Chinese ones—positions India as an attractive alternative manufacturing base for corporations seeking to mitigate costs and geopolitical risks when supplying the US market. This tariff advantage presents a unique strategic opening for the Indian economy. Evidence of this shift is already apparent, with major players like Apple reportedly exploring increased iPhone imports from India and even accelerating shipments ahead of tariff deadlines. This trend extends beyond Apple, as other global electronics manufacturers, including Samsung and potentially even some Chinese firms, evaluate shifting production or export routes through India. Such moves stand to significantly bolster India's "Make in India" initiative and enhance its role within global electronics value chains. The potential influx of manufacturing activity, investment, and exports translates into substantial tailwinds for India's benchmark Nifty 50 index. Increased economic growth, higher corporate earnings for constituent companies (especially in manufacturing and logistics), greater foreign investment, and positive market sentiment are all likely outcomes. However, realizing this potential requires India to address persistent challenges related to infrastructure, policy stability, and ease of doing business, while also navigating competition from other low-tariff nations and seeking favorable terms in ongoing trade negotiations with the US.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by UDIS_View
Driven Brands Holdings: Dominating North America's Auto ServicesKey arguments in support of the idea. A potential rise in U.S. car prices may positively impact the company’s sales. DRVN is expanding its footprint in the essential automotive services market, simultaneously reducing its car wash segment with more cyclical sales. Investment Thesis Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) is the largest automotive services company in North America, operating an increasing network of approximately 5,200 franchise, independently owned businesses operated by the company across 49 U.S. states and 13 other countries. The company has a footprint in all major automotive service areas, catering to both retail and commercial customers. Its main business segments include car maintenance and repair, express car wash, bodywork and paint services. U.S. car import tariffs, introduced in March, support the trend of an increasing average age of cars on U.S. roads and may lead to higher car prices. These factors may contribute positively to DRVN’s revenue growth. On April 3, a 25% tariff on cars imported to the U.S. will take effect, and by May 3, equivalent tariffs on automotive components will be implemented. These tariffs may disrupt automakers’ production processes due to a reconfiguration of production chains. Only half of the 16 million new cars sold annually in the U.S. are produced domestically, while other autos could be subject to these tariffs. Production disruptions may result in price increases for both new and used cars. Many consumers may delay purchasing new cars, opting instead to spend more on maintaining their current vehicles. The new factors support the general long-term trend to an increasing average age of cars on U.S. roads. In 2000, the average vehicle age in the U.S. was 8.9 years; it has now grown to 12.6 years and continues to rise annually. Despite this, the total number of vehicles on U.S. roads is also steadily increasing at an average annual rate of about 1% over the past two decades. Combined with the new tariffs, the overall growth of the automotive aftermarket is likely to boost DRVN’s revenue in the upcoming years. Driven Brands continues successfully shifting its focus to essential automotive services. After 2023, the company began reducing its ownership of standalone car washes while expanding its Take 5 Oil Change locations. Take 5 Oil Change provides rapid oil change services within 10 minutes, allowing drivers to remain in their cars. In March, reports have indicated that Driven Brands plans to sell its Take 5 Car Wash chain. We suppose this deal will accelerate the expansion of the Take 5 Oil Change segment and enable the company to allocate some proceeds toward debt reduction, potentially decreasing debt service expenses by up to 20%. The valuation of DRVN stock, compared to its peers, shows potential for growth. DRVN’s valuation corresponds to 14 projected earnings for 2025, aligning with the average valuation among U.S. car dealers. Nonetheless, DRVN’s potential for revenue growth in the coming years is anticipated to surpass that of its peers. In the last three quarters alone, the Take 5 segment has demonstrated a sequential revenue increase of 10%, accounting for about 60% of the company’s total sales. We suppose that Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) shares may exhibit positive momentum in the near term. The target price for DRVN shares over a two-month horizon is $19.90, with a “Buy” rating. We suggest setting a stop-loss at $15.50.
NASDAQ:DRVNLong
by FreedomHolding
2 more reasons to buy gold? Israel is sending a delegation to Washington for strategic talks on Iran, while Trump has reportedly given Tehran a two-month deadline for a nuclear deal—so far, Iran isn’t engaging. So, the question is: Are we headed towards military conflict or a significant wave of sanctions? Meanwhile, protests erupted after Erdoğan’s main rival was arrested, triggering a sharp selloff in Turkish markets. The lira hit record lows, forcing the central bank to intervene with nearly $10 billion in currency sales. Turkey’s inflation remains elevated at 39%, with interest rates at 42.5%. Continued lira weakness could push inflation higher, forcing further rate hikes and adding to the country’s economic instability.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
the Head and Shoulders of the Month!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 This week, XRP rejected the $2 support level and has been trading higher. Today, XRP formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern and broke its green neckline upward. 🏹 As long as the bulls hold, a movement towards the upper bound of the falling red channel would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
Omnichart presents - NIFTY/(USDINR) long term trend Nifty's performance when compared to US dollar (vs its base currency i.e. Indian Rupee) broke above a long term since 2007 resistance through Dec 2020. As you can see it broke above the blue line in Dec 2020 and has been outperforming the dollar - to -rupee. What this means is that investing US dollars to buy Nifty started becoming more profitable in Dec 2020 vs just keeping the wealth in US Dollars (not converting to INR). This is in a long term uptrend - what this means is that investing US dollars in NIFTY long term is a profitable strategy.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by omnitrade
Treasury Secretary Bessent: Make Iran broke again Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, speaking at the Economic Club of New York, said the U.S. is enforcing sanctions on Iran for “immediate maximum impact,” warning that Iranians should move their money out of the rial. The goal is to cut Iran’s oil exports from 1.5 million barrels per day to near zero. His comments came as oil prices fell to multiyear lows on Wednesday, driven by concerns that tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China could slow economic growth and weaken crude demand. Following Bessent’s remarks, both U.S. crude and Brent prices turned positive, with JP Morgan analysts noting that a decline in Iranian supply is currently the only bullish factor for oil prices. Bessent also signaled that the administration is prepared to impose full-scale sanctions on Russian energy if it helps lead to a ceasefire in Ukraine. This is a welcome shift from the Trump administration, who so far has only been pressuring the victim of the war rather than the perpetrator.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
Trump's Golden RatioTrump has launched his own personal token that he will use solely for his own benefit for bribes and money laundering. He's not a politician, he's a businessman who knows how to make money. Creating his own cryptocurrencies is direct proof of that. The $TRUMP token plays a role as the president's personal token for the Republicans to donate to him and a legal way to get money from other politicians. The whole saga with his token is just beginning, it is one of the few steps in building the Trump family the greatest business ever. As far as the chart is concerned, we should wait for a bounce into the golden section area. Now there was a FUD regarding the ByBit hack, it's like a fake attempt to panic the crowd, but it didn't work with smart people. Only the strongest are left here, who have survived everything they can. Horban Brothers.
Long
by horbanbrothers
Can Soybeans Survive the Global Trade Chessboard?In the intricate game of international trade politics, soybeans have emerged as pivotal pieces on the global economic chessboard. The soybean industry faces a critical juncture as nations like the European Union and China implement protectionist strategies in response to US policies. This article delves into how these geopolitical moves are reshaping the future of one of America's most significant agricultural exports, challenging readers to consider the resilience and adaptability required in today's volatile trade environment. The European Union's decision to restrict US soybean imports due to the use of banned pesticides highlights a growing trend towards sustainability and consumer health in global trade. This move impacts American farmers and invites us to ponder the broader implications of agricultural practices on international commerce. As we witness these shifts, the question arises: How can the soybean industry innovate to meet global standards while maintaining its economic stronghold? China's strategic response, which targets influential American companies like PVH Corp., adds complexity to the global trade narrative. The placement of a major U.S. brand on China's 'unreliable entity' list highlights the power dynamics involved in international commerce. This situation prompts us to consider the interconnectedness of economies and the potential for unforeseen alliances or conflicts. What strategies can businesses implement to navigate these challenging circumstances? Ultimately, the soybean saga is more than a tale of trade disputes; it's a call to action for innovation, sustainability, and strategic foresight in the agricultural sector. As we watch this unfold, we are inspired to question not just the survival of soybeans but the very nature of global economic relationships in an era where every move on the trade chessboard can alter the game. How will the soybean industry, and indeed, international trade, evolve in response to these challenges?
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by UDIS_View
Critical 4.50% level being tested ahead of Trump speech and FOMCThe US10-year yield closed the week marginally higher at 4.48% after a busy week of events which saw the DXY stumble by 1.2% despite US CPI rising for the 4th consecutive month coupled with a rather hawkish yet upbeat testimony before congress from Fed chair Powell, which in my opinion was all dollar positive. US CPI for the month of January came in hotter than expected at 3.0% yoy, up from 2.9% in December. Additionally, on top of Powell’s comments regarding the strength of the US economy, the ISM Manufacturing PMI completely shattered expectations after coming in stronger than expected at 50.9 for the month of January. The US10-year yield is currently testing the 50-day MA level of 4.52% as well as the blue support range between 4.45% and 4.50%. A break below 4.40% will however force me to invalidate my series of ideas on the US10-year yield calling for a move higher towards 5.00%. A break below 4.40% will allow bond bulls to pull the yield lower onto the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 4.30% and the 200-day MA at 3.69%.
TVC:US10Y
by Goose96