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Trump's Golden RatioTrump has launched his own personal token that he will use solely for his own benefit for bribes and money laundering. He's not a politician, he's a businessman who knows how to make money. Creating his own cryptocurrencies is direct proof of that. The $TRUMP token plays a role as the president's personal token for the Republicans to donate to him and a legal way to get money from other politicians. The whole saga with his token is just beginning, it is one of the few steps in building the Trump family the greatest business ever. As far as the chart is concerned, we should wait for a bounce into the golden section area. Now there was a FUD regarding the ByBit hack, it's like a fake attempt to panic the crowd, but it didn't work with smart people. Only the strongest are left here, who have survived everything they can. Horban Brothers.
Long
by horbanbrothers
Can Soybeans Survive the Global Trade Chessboard?In the intricate game of international trade politics, soybeans have emerged as pivotal pieces on the global economic chessboard. The soybean industry faces a critical juncture as nations like the European Union and China implement protectionist strategies in response to US policies. This article delves into how these geopolitical moves are reshaping the future of one of America's most significant agricultural exports, challenging readers to consider the resilience and adaptability required in today's volatile trade environment. The European Union's decision to restrict US soybean imports due to the use of banned pesticides highlights a growing trend towards sustainability and consumer health in global trade. This move impacts American farmers and invites us to ponder the broader implications of agricultural practices on international commerce. As we witness these shifts, the question arises: How can the soybean industry innovate to meet global standards while maintaining its economic stronghold? China's strategic response, which targets influential American companies like PVH Corp., adds complexity to the global trade narrative. The placement of a major U.S. brand on China's 'unreliable entity' list highlights the power dynamics involved in international commerce. This situation prompts us to consider the interconnectedness of economies and the potential for unforeseen alliances or conflicts. What strategies can businesses implement to navigate these challenging circumstances? Ultimately, the soybean saga is more than a tale of trade disputes; it's a call to action for innovation, sustainability, and strategic foresight in the agricultural sector. As we watch this unfold, we are inspired to question not just the survival of soybeans but the very nature of global economic relationships in an era where every move on the trade chessboard can alter the game. How will the soybean industry, and indeed, international trade, evolve in response to these challenges?
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by UDIS_View
Critical 4.50% level being tested ahead of Trump speech and FOMCThe US10-year yield closed the week marginally higher at 4.48% after a busy week of events which saw the DXY stumble by 1.2% despite US CPI rising for the 4th consecutive month coupled with a rather hawkish yet upbeat testimony before congress from Fed chair Powell, which in my opinion was all dollar positive. US CPI for the month of January came in hotter than expected at 3.0% yoy, up from 2.9% in December. Additionally, on top of Powell’s comments regarding the strength of the US economy, the ISM Manufacturing PMI completely shattered expectations after coming in stronger than expected at 50.9 for the month of January. The US10-year yield is currently testing the 50-day MA level of 4.52% as well as the blue support range between 4.45% and 4.50%. A break below 4.40% will however force me to invalidate my series of ideas on the US10-year yield calling for a move higher towards 5.00%. A break below 4.40% will allow bond bulls to pull the yield lower onto the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 4.30% and the 200-day MA at 3.69%.
TVC:US10Y
by Goose96
SHORT! US Dollar.....For nowUSD is in a clear wave 2 down for many reasons. - Tariffs speculation - Inflation data higher than expected - US M2 money supply increase - US manufacturing output drops and Retail sales drop Moreover, the dollar for now is bearish until reversals in the aforementioned list of causes for its recent decline. Primarily, look for the FED to hold off on any future rate cuts until later in the year. Treasury Yields(Bond Sell off) rising recently is an indication that the market does not expect any FED rate cuts happening anytime soon. This could spur demand for the US Dollar as other Central Banks globally look to continue to cut rates (i.e. ECB and BOE).
TVC:DXYShort
by UCHE9121
Hot Inflation & What to Watch Next - 14/02/2514th of February 2025 •XRP and BNB leading, as Bitcoin trades flat in the last seven days. •Headline inflation metrics in the US land above expectations. •Impactful data point to watch heading into the end of February. --- A big week of headlines and events, particularly out of the US, have netted very little change in Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin is down 0.1% at the time of writing in the last seven-days, while altcoins such as XRP and BNB are showing double-digit gains. Bitcoin has struggled to make new year-to-date highs in the current state of global conditions. In contrast, global indices in the UK (FTSE100) and China (CSI300) have continued to make new year-to-date highs Mixed Messages & Above Expected Results Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned earlier this week at a senate banking enquiry that the current state of monetary policy does not require easing conditions, as the economy remains strong and the 2% target for inflation is key. However, he has referenced that unexpected moves in the labour market or a significant cooling of inflation could change the committee’s mind. “If the labor market were to weaken unexpectedly or inflation were to fall more quickly than anticipated, we can ease policy accordingly.” On this point, headline metrics for inflation land above expectations this week. On Tuesday, Consumer Price Index (CPI) landed above expectations at 3.0%, rising 0.1% from the previous month. Overnight the Producers Price Index (PPI) landed above expectations at 3.5% year-on-year. This figure remains unchanged from the previous month and represents the inflation burden on producers in the US. Key data to come On the last day of February the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data will provide further clarity towards the state of monetary policy heading into next month. PCE is the leading indicator used by the policy committee to measure inflation. Fear and greed currently reads 40 – neutral. Bitcoin Analysis The price of Bitcoin is currently trading within the January high and low range, and on the Bollinger band we are entering a period where the upper and bottom channel is compressing. Bullish Scenario In the coming days, price may see a sharp move higher as the Bollinger Bands tighten. If bulls regain control and reclaim the monthly open, they could push toward last month’s high. Bearish Scenario We could also with this compression in the Bollinger Bands, see volatility moving price to the downside. This may result in prices heading towards the January low. DISCLAIMER: The information is for general information purposes only. It is not intended as legal, financial or investment advice and should not be construed or relied on as such. Before making any commitment of a legal or financial nature you should seek advice from a qualified and registered legal practitioner or financial or investment adviser. No material contained within this website should be construed or relied upon as providing recommendations in relation to any legal or financial product.
by PHundal
2
US30 - Make or Break zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 US30 is currently retesting its all-time high at $45,000. 🏹For US30 to enter the price discovery phase and reach new ATHs, an 4H candle close above $45,000 is required. 📉On the other hand, if the last major low marked in red is broken downward, a deep correction towards the orange support would in play. For now, we wait! ⏱️ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. This helps me cover the cost of providing regular insights.
TRADENATION:US30
by TheSignalyst
7
Nothing bad happendThe US markets fell sharply today. The S&P500 lost almost 2%. Many investors, especially on social media, are wondering whether the “Trump Rally” is now over. I think this is extremely unlikely. As is so often the case, markets tend to exaggerate, both upwards and downwards. The price slide was triggered by news from China. Th AMEX:SPY ere, the start-up “DeepSeek” has announced that it has AI models that work just as well as their US counterparts at a much lower price and with less data. This will certainly not have a lasting impact, but it should make us aware that the AI party will be over at some point.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Ichimoku-Trading
Can Turkey's Lira Dance with the Dollar?Turkey stands at a pivotal moment in its economic journey, navigating through the complexities of fiscal management and monetary policy to stabilize the Turkish Lira against the US Dollar. The nation has embarked on a strategic pivot towards domestic funding, significantly increasing the issuance of Turkish Government Bonds to manage soaring inflation and debt service costs. This approach, while stabilizing in relative terms, challenges Turkey to balance between stimulating growth and controlling inflation, a dance that requires both precision and foresight. The Central Bank of Turkey's decision to cut rates amidst rising inflation paints a picture of calculated risk and strategic optimism. The bank is threading a needle between fostering economic activity and maintaining price stability by targeting a reduction in inflation over the medium term while allowing short-term increases. This policy shift, coupled with a focus on local funding, not only aims to reduce external vulnerabilities but also tests the resilience of Turkey's economy against global economic currents, including the impact of international political changes like the US election. Globally, the economic landscape is fraught with uncertainties, and Turkey's strategy of maintaining a stable credit rating while forecasting a decrease in inflation sets an intriguing stage. The country's ability to attract investment while managing its debt profile, especially in light of global monetary policy shifts by major players like the Federal Reserve and the ECB, will be a testament to its economic stewardship. This narrative invites readers to delve deeper into how Turkey might leverage its economic policies to not only survive but thrive in a fluctuating global market. The enigma of the USD/TRY exchange rate thus becomes a compelling study of economic strategy, where every policy decision is a move in a larger game of financial chess. Turkey's attempt to balance its books while dancing with the dollar challenges conventional economic wisdom and invites observers to ponder: Can a nation truly master its currency's fate in the global marketplace?
Long
by UDIS_View
Can the Yuan Dance to a New Tune?In the intricate ballet of global finance, the Chinese yuan performs a delicate maneuver. As Donald Trump's presidency introduces new variables with potential tariff hikes, the yuan faces depreciation pressures against a strengthening U.S. dollar. This dynamic challenges Beijing's economic strategists, who must balance the benefits of a weaker currency for exports against the risks of domestic economic instability and inflation. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is navigating this complex scenario with a focus on maintaining currency stability rather than aggressively stimulating growth through monetary policy easing. This cautious approach reflects a broader strategy to manage expectations and market reactions in an era where geopolitical shifts could dictate economic outcomes. The PBOC's recent moves, like suspending bond purchases and issuing warnings against speculative trades, illustrate a proactive stance in controlling the yuan's descent, aiming for an orderly adjustment rather than a chaotic fall. This situation provokes thought on the resilience and adaptability of China's economic framework. How will Beijing reconcile its growth ambitions with the currency's stability, especially under the looming shadow of U.S. trade policies? The interplay between these two economic giants will shape their bilateral relations and influence global trade patterns, investment flows, and perhaps even the future of monetary policy worldwide. As we watch this economic dance unfold, one must ponder the implications for international markets and the strategic responses from other global players.
Long
by UDIS_View
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The NASDAQ closed higher, digesting the release of the CPI data. On the weekly chart, it faced resistance at the 5-week moving average, forming an upper wick. After a downtrend early this week, the market rebounded significantly. On the daily chart, the index rose to around the 20-day moving average but has yet to see the MACD cross above the signal line, making it premature to confirm a buying signal. Even if the uptrend continues, it would be prudent to wait for a golden cross in the MACD before committing to a buy position. Moreover, there is significant resistance from prior supply zones, making a sell strategy around higher levels valid. On the 240-minute chart, as mentioned previously, a failed dead cross led to a rebound, forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The MACD is trending upwards and diverging from the signal line. However, since the signal line is still below the zero line, a sideways consolidation phase may be necessary before a sustained move higher. Today, it is advisable to focus on range-bound trading within a box, managing risks carefully with sell strategies at higher levels. OIL Crude oil closed higher as it absorbed inventory data and the pipeline shutdown news. On the daily chart, it found support at the 5-day moving average and broke strongly above $78 (March futures), the upper boundary of the monthly chart. However, the sharp upward move has created significant gaps between the moving averages, suggesting the potential for a corrective phase today. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has triggered a sharp rise, but the MACD has not yet surpassed its previous high. A failure to rally further could create bearish divergence. A significant correction and support at previous resistance levels, such as the $74–$75 range, could present a buying opportunity. Meanwhile, profit-taking may dominate as the market digests the recent rally. A box range approach with buy strategies on dips and sell strategies at higher levels is recommended. GOLD Gold closed higher after digesting the CPI data. On the daily chart, both the MACD and the signal line have moved above the zero line, signaling a confirmed buy trend. Further upside is expected, as it has also broken above the resistance line of a triangular consolidation pattern. A buy-focused strategy remains valid. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal preceded continued gains. Should the MACD and signal line diverge further, this would increase confidence in the uptrend. Even if gold consolidates instead of continuing to rally, the signal line above the zero line indicates a neutral-to-positive outlook. Considering that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is showing signs of peaking and pulling back, gold’s strong upward trend is worth monitoring closely. As numerous data releases are expected today, stay cautious and trade wisely. ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21325 / 21270 / 21190 / 21140 -Sell: 21440 / 21500 / 21550 / 21590 Crude Oil - Bullish Market (March futures) -Buy: 78.10 / 77.50 / 76.90 / 76.30 -Sell: 79.70 / 80.10 / 80.80 / 81.30 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy: 2717 / 2709 / 2700 / 2696 / 2690 -Sell: 2726 / 2732 / 2738 / 2745 / 2754 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Nasdaq composite index projected to reach previous peak To put it simple: 1. Change of Administration together with future Economic Policy and Priorities 1. Monday the 20th D.Trump is going to be inaugurated at the President of the USA. What we have learned from his election is that he is Nationalist (for his country only) and he is very close with Elon Musk. Therefore we can assume he is obligated to act accordingly to benefit these Tech and Crypto elites. Currently the state of California is burning. Company headquarters in the valley are burning and Trump is obligated to be the hero t save them a with quick and cheap bailout money thus inject money into the market. 2. Technical Analysis Ever since Nasdaq reach its peak during election week it has since retraced its value back to the initial price breakout forming a descending triangle with a support around the 21 100 /21 200 denomination. Using the total length of the triangle we have calculated a 1600 point move (3/4%) to the upside. Remember this is not advise rather an objective opinion Trade responsibility
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Kloud67Cortez
EURUSD 5/1/25Heading into the First Trading Week of the Year We’re ready to dominate as always, with Orion leading the way and providing a clear bias. This week, we continue with our bearish outlook, looking to trade from the highs into the lows outlined here, with the target clearly defined. Before diving in headfirst, let’s cover a few key points: There’s currently a large gap between the highs and the current price. Based on this, we need to be mindful of the following scenarios: A short-term high could form before reaching the main highs shown here. A new low might be created, giving us an additional target low. These scenarios suggest we could see some form of manipulation before a move higher. For example, the price could create new highs, sweep them, and then form a new short-term low. While this wouldn’t invalidate the larger bearish move, it could shake out many lower time frame traders. Please also take note of the heavy liquid we have stored above the current highs we are looking at. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
by PipSurfingSociety
MSTR - The Saylor in the Storm!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈MSTR has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. (log chart) Currently, it is in a correction phase within the falling red channel. Moreover, the red zone is a strong demand. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #MSTR approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by TheSignalyst
21
US30 - Once A Castle, Always A Castle!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈US30 has been bullish , trading within the rising channel in blue. After rejecting the $45,000, has been in a correction phase and approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, the zone marked in green is a strong structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the structure and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #US30 approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by TheSignalyst
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 105.16 1st Support: 103.68 1st Resistance: 106.96 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop off overlap reisstance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 106.58 1st Support: 105.44 1st Resistance: 107.05 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
3
ETH 1M brief analyzeHi Traders, ETH is looking good heading to new high with momentum candle. All we need to is finding out how ETH is react at Order block whether price correction is initiating or pushing up higher to the new high record price. In comparison with BTC for last a month , there has been no much liquidity in ETH. Probably, I guess because of BTC domination. I believe there is still strong potential that ETH will go new high. We only need to wait BTC start off sideways, then Market liquidity flows in Altcoin market. 3 RULES BUY SELL WAIT Make sure set up the Stop loss all the time. There is always opportunity as long as you are alive in the market.
by Eventhorizon486
Will the Dollar Index Redefine Global Economic Equilibrium?In the intricate dance of international trade and geopolitical strategy, the Dollar Index emerges as a critical compass navigating the turbulent waters of economic uncertainty. The article illuminates how this financial barometer reflects the profound implications of proposed tariffs by the U.S. administration, revealing a complex interplay of currencies, trade relationships, and global market sentiments that extend far beyond mere numerical fluctuations. The proposed tariffs targeting key trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and China represent more than economic policy—they are strategic maneuvers with potential seismic shifts in global trade dynamics. As the Dollar Index climbs, reflecting the U.S. dollar's strength, it simultaneously exposes the delicate balance of international economic relationships. The potential consequences ripple through supply chains, consumer markets, and diplomatic corridors, challenging the post-World War II trade paradigm and forcing nations to recalibrate their economic strategies in real time. Beyond the immediate market reactions, these developments signal a broader philosophical question about economic sovereignty and interdependence. The tariff proposals challenge long-established multilateral agreements, potentially accelerating a transformation in how nations perceive economic collaboration. While the immediate impact is visible in currency fluctuations and market volatility, the long-term implications could reshape global economic architecture, prompting a reevaluation of the U.S. dollar's role as the predominant global reserve currency and testing the resilience of international trade networks.
INDEX:DXYLong
by signalmastermind