US-DOLLAR
EURUSD: Where are We Going? Price Action Analysis
EURUSD is currently stuck within an expanding triangle formation on 4H.
Its lower boundary is based on a major horizontal daily/4h support.
Its upper boundary is based on a strong 4H rising trend line.
The breakout of its boundaries will clarify the future long term direction of the market.
If we see a bear breakout of horizontal support,
it will most likely lead to a start of a long term bearish trend on a pair.
If we see a bullish breakout of its trend line, bullish continuation will most likely follow.
For intraday trading, both boundaries can be considered.
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What about the DXY? Potential Retracement + ImpulseGood morning traders, today we bring you our analysis on the DXY index, along with an analysis of the potential behavior based on the short and long term zones.
🔸For most of 2020, the price was in a downtrend after bouncing off the Resistance Zone.
🔸The movement was so strong that it managed to penetrate the Bullish Channel that had been active for almost 10 years to the downside.
🔸At this time, the price is approaching the Support Zone, where we will most likely see a reaction/consolidation for a few days/weeks.
🔸If the price does not make a strong reversal, we may see a breakout to the downside of this correction.
🔸In case this happens, the next support area is around $80, which would imply an interesting price drop.
EURUSD: Bullish Wave Continues! Where is the STOP?!
EURUSD remains sharply bullish.
The price keeps growing setting new structure highs.
On a weekly we can see where bulls are aiming at:
during the last 5 years, the price is trading within a gigantic horizontal trading range.
1.04 is the support of this range and 1.25 is its resistance.
Right now the price is very close to the upper boundary of the range.
It looks like bulls are willing to reach that soon.
Only then we can expect a strong pullback and potential reversal,
but for now, let it run.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Fall Continues!!! Where is the Next STOP:
DXY keeps falling.
All major usd pairs and commodities are benefiting from dollar weakness.
The next strong weekly structure from where we can expect a pullback is 88.5 - 89.5 level.
It is a major key level based on 2009'th/2010'th/2018'th price action.
I won't expect a reversal. Rather a pullback from that.
And until we are above that level, bearish bias remains.
AUDUSD: Key Levels
AUDUSD is trading in a sharp bullish trend.
I know that many traders are looking for a pullback because the pair is way overbought.
However, be very careful.
Here are the closest key levels that I identified on a weekly chart:
Support 1 - 0.73 - 0.745 (based on a local year's daily high and 2015th - 2018th price action)
Resistance 1 - 0.77 - 0.78 (based on 2016th-2017th price action)
Resistance 2 - 0.81 (based on 2015th - 2018th price action)
As you can see current spot prices are way too far from identified key levels.
I would recommend to stay away from trading AUDUSD until the underlined key levels are reached.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Time To Recover?!
Dollar index leaves reversal clues:
the price has broken above a falling trend line on 4H
and has set a higher low before the breakout.
We haven't seen a strong pullback on dxy for a while,
so it looks like it's finally the moment to recover.
Intraday goals:
91.5
91.4
AUDUSD: Pullback From Key Level
AUDUSD is approaching the year's high 0.74 level.
Yesterday, once the level was tested, the price reacted immediately and bearish engulfing candle formed on a daily.
Taking into consideration slowing market, chances are high that we will see a pullback.
Goals:
0.731
0.725
EURUSD: Important Structure Ahead!!!
With DXY weakness EURUSD keeps growing.
We saw a nice expansion this week and it's time to look for the next strong supply area.
I am paying close attention to the confluence area between:
1.2 horizontal resistance (current structure high);
Rising trend line ;
1.272 extension of the last bullish leg.
I won't expect a major reversal from the identified area,
rather a pullback to 1.195 at least.
I will be looking for a confirmation on lower time frames before I short.
Good luck!
EURUSD: Important Structure Ahead!!!
With DXY weakness EURUSD keeps growing.
We saw a nice expansion this week and it's time to look for the next strong supply area.
I am paying close attention to the confluence area between:
1.2 horizontal resistance (current structure high);
Rising trend line;
1.272 extension of the last bullish leg.
I won't expect a major reversal from the identified area,
rather a pullback to 1.195 at least.
I will be looking for a confirmation on lower time frames before I short.
Good luck!
NZDUSD: Catching Pullback
NZDUSD has reached a resistance line of a rising parallel channel on 4H.
The price has formed the sequence of 3 dodji candles on that.
On hourly the price went rejected multiple times and formed a double top formation.
Now I expect a pullback to support of the channel.
Goal is based on 618 retracement of the last bull impulse - 0.6973
USDJPY: Potential Bearish Scenario
USDJPY is trading within an ascending triangle on the hourly chart.
Taking into consideration that the trend is globally and locally bearish,
I remain bearish biased and expect a trend continuation.
In order to catch the next wave, I would suggest being focused on 103.67 - 103.73 hourly demand area.
If we see a 1H candle close below that, it will be a strong selling signal and bear run will most likely start.
Next goal will be - 103.4
(in contrast, if we close above 103.9 level, the setup will be invalid)