easyMarkets AUDUSD Daily - Quick Technical OverviewAUDUSD seems to be forming a possible falling wedge pattern, which, according to all the TA rules, tends to break to the upside. However, a confirmation break through the upper side of it is still needed, in order to get comfortable with a move towards higher areas. Until then, if the pair stays inside the pattern, it may continue sliding.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US
US-Oil/WTI 19th FEB What's up guys!
Another breakdown here, this time for US oil market.
As you can see from this breakdown, we have a clear area of demand that price is rejecting away from.
Based on this and where we stand in overall structure, I am expecting bullish movements to take us into the area of supply highlighted above. From that point, I am going to watch to see if the price is either going to hold there or breakthrough to continue higher.
Overall, I will be looking for longs into the supply in shorts away from the supply, but of course, we do not know fully if this area of demand below will hold. So I'll be looking for a short-term entry to go long. If we break the supply above and continue higher, I'll be targeting the triple top highlighted in green.
Worst case, we don't break through the area of supply and we continue going short, in that case, I'll start aiming for the low which is highlighted in red.
Another pretty simple breakdown. Overall, I'm looking forward to trading this pair this week as it shows lots of potential.
Remember guys, if you like this idea, hit that boost button. Drop us a comment down below. Let us know what you think.
As always guys trade safe, stick to your trading plan.
I hope you all have an amazing trading week.
US30 Short-Term Bullish AnalysisClick on Boost (like) to support these free analyses
This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I recommend you to not just execute based on these levels. I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- Wyckoff
- Etc.
usoil long 4h When trading crude oil using technical analysis, it is important to consider the following key factors:
Chart patterns: Understanding common chart patterns, such as head and shoulders, triangles, and trend lines, can help traders identify potential buying or selling opportunities in the market.
Technical indicators: Technical indicators, such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), can provide valuable information about market trends and help traders determine the strength of a trend.
Supply and demand: Traders should also consider supply and demand dynamics, such as changes in production levels, global economic conditions, and geopolitical events, which can greatly impact the price of crude oil.
Volatility: The crude oil market is known for its high volatility, and traders should be prepared for significant price movements. It is important to have a risk management strategy in place to limit potential losses.
Diversification: As with any investment, it is important to diversify one's portfolio to minimize risk. Crude oil should be just one component of a well-diversified investment portfolio.
Keep updated: Staying informed about market news and developments, such as changes in production levels, geopolitical events, and economic indicators, can help traders make informed investment decisions.
Patience and discipline: Successful trading in the crude oil market requires patience and discipline. Traders should not make hasty decisions based on emotions, and instead follow a well-thought-out trading plan.
In conclusion, technical analysis can provide valuable insights into the crude oil market, but it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and a well-diversified investment portfolio. As with any investment, there are risks involved and traders should always approach the market with caution.
USOIL buy short term Hi All,
as we gear up for the week, We are looking at buying the USOIL from current price, price is currently printing HLs which means the possibility of the break out of the downward channel is on the card, we do not expect a full blow bullish movement, however few pips won't hurt.
Entry, TP and SL marked.
Please follow, Share, comment and like.
Many thanks
US30 Buy Short term Hi All,
A nice opportunity has presented itself on the US30. An Inverse H&S pattern. Looking at price action we can see price printing a HL which also shows a possibility of price moving a bit higher in the short term.
entry, Sl and To marked.
Follow, comment, Share and like
Many thanks
USOIL Potential for Bearish Drop towards supportLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 80.22, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.44, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 77.90, where the 50% Fibonacci line and support is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USOIL Potential for Bearish Drop | 30th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 80.22, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.44, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 77.90, where the 50% Fibonacci line and support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
GBPUSD: will fed slow the pace by 25 bps next meeting?Hey traders, a 25 bps next meeting should trigger more dollar bears, hence in this week we will be monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.232 zone, once we will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dollar gain strength again SA randUSDZAR gained momentum in pushing to the upside since South africa had a negative impact on the economy due to the poper supply issue. We our first price target from last week was that price would hit 17.50 but now that it has made multiple breakout on certain levels we looking forward for the price to head around 17.70.
We see a very clear price has reached the RS ZONE on 1H TM and 4H TM.
We take longs just after few countable minutes from market open.
Most preferable time will be 01h15 am +2 GTM Johannesburg time zone.
US30 TO 31700A peak was made when price was almost at 35000 and it has been bearish ever since, currently price is forming a bearish penant pattern that I expect that price will fill the imbalance at 33750 before it sells to 31700.
USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation| 19th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a retracement pullback buy entry at 76.84, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation| 18th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. Looking for a retracement pullback buy entry at 76.84, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
How did the U.S. biggest bank perform in 2022?During the summer of 2022, we laid out a thesis about the stock market progressing in the second stage of the bear market. We said that we would look for signs of corporate underperformance and downgrades in forward guidance within earnings statements for 3Q22 and 4Q22. In the 3Q22 earnings season, many companies began downgrading future outlooks and warning investors of a tough time ahead. For some sectors, inventories rose, and revenue streams showed a decline compared to the previous year's period.
With the start of the new earning season, we will pay close attention to the new data, which may or may not confirm our thesis about the market diving deeper into a recession. Interestingly, the last Friday, multiple big banks on wall street announced their earnings statements. These names included JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo.
Today, we will briefly examine the biggest U.S. bank - JP Morgan Chase & Co. This bank has $3.66 trillion in assets and has not posted a yearly loss for more than 15 years. Its earnings report is divided into five segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Corporate and Investment Bank, Commercial Banking, Asset and Wealth Management, and Corporate.
The bank’s Consumer and Community Banking segment showed gradual growth in net income and net revenue quarter after quarter in 2022. Furthermore, it maintained relatively stable noninterest expenses throughout the year. However, despite that, it posted a 29% less net income in 2022 versus 2021.
In 4Q22, the Corporate and Investment Bank experienced a drop of 27% YoY (year over year) in net income. Additionally, in that same period, this division saw a decline in revenue by 9% YoY, and an increase in non-interest expenses by 10%. As for the full-year 2022, the Corporate and Investment Bank brought in 29% less net income versus 2021.
Meanwhile, the Commercial Bank brought $1.4 billion in net income for the company in 4Q22, showing an increase of 15% versus 4Q21. Furthermore, it also enjoyed a rise in revenue by 30% versus 4Q21. Despite that, these two segments underperformed when compared to 2021. For the full-year 2022, the net income of this division dropped 20% versus 2021.
The Asset and Wealth segment showed steady growth in net income quarter after quarter in 2022. However, it also suffered a drop of 8% in net income for the entire year 2022 versus 2021. The Corporate segment posted a net loss in the first three quarters of 2022 and a net gain in 4Q22. But for 2022, it is the only sector that posted a loss while still showing significant improvement from the last year.
For the full-year 2022, JP Morgan Chase & Co. gained $37.7 billion in net income, which is down 22% versus 2021. Its revenue increased by 5.6%, and non-interest expenses jumped by 6.8%. Meanwhile, the company’s stock declined by 16%.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of JP Morgan Chase stock. The stock declined more than 16% in 2022.
2022 (full-year) vs. 2021 (full-year)
Net income 2022 = $37.7 billion
(vs. $48.3 billion in 2021; -22% YoY)
Revenue 2022 = $132.3 billion
(vs. $125.3 billion in 2021; +6.6% YoY)
Noninterest expenses 2022 = $76.2 billion
(vs. $71.3 billion in 2021; +6.8% YoY)
Pre-Provision profit/loss 2022 = $56.1 billion
(vs. $54 billion in 2021; +4% YoY)
EPS = $3.57
4Q 2022 vs. 4Q 2021 (year over year)
Net income 4Q = $11 billion
(vs. $10.4 billion in 4Q21; +5.8% YoY)
Net revenue 4Q = $35.6 billion
(vs. $30.4 billion in 4Q21; +17%. YoY)
Net interest income 4Q = $20.3 billion (+48% YoY)
Noninterest income 4Q = $15.3 billion (-8% YoY)
Noninterest expenses 4Q = $19.0 billion (+6% YoY)
USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a buy entry at 77.90, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DXY Dollar Currency IndexInvesting.com - The U.S. dollar traded largely unchanged in limited European trade Wednesday, but posted gains against the Japanese yen after latest minutes from the Bank of Japan suggested its accommodative monetary stance is likely to remain in place.
At 02:35 ET (07:35 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded largely flat at 103.870, above its lowest level since mid-June at 103.44 seen on Dec. 14.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - USDCHF into resistance. Highly speculative.Trade Idea: Selling USDCHF
Reasoning: Double top on the weekly chart. Into intraday resistance. Highly speculative ahead of CPI at 1:30Uk.
Entry Level: 0.93382
Take Profit Level: 0.9167
Stop Loss: 0.9398
Risk/Reward: 2.82:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.