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Daily US Volatility Forecast 25 May 22 SPY,SPX, QQQ, NDXSPX/ES/SPY 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 1.85% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 4045 BOT 3900 From fundamental point of view, today we are going to have US GDP release, which it may affect with a high probability the price of this asset Since the expected GDP is going to be negative/bearish compared to the previous values, I believe once we are close to 30k we can enter in a short trade before the release of the data. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NDX/NQ/QQQ 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 2.28% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 12150 BOT 11600 From fundamental point of view, today we are going to have US GDP release, which it may affect with a high probability the price of this asset Since the expected GDP is going to be negative/bearish compared to the previous values, I believe once we are close to 30k we can enter in a short trade before the release of the data. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CME_MINI:ES1!
by exlux
Daily US Volatility Forecast 23 May 22 SPY,SPX, QQQ, NDX, IWMSPX/ES/SPY 25 May 2022 The current expected volatility movement for today, with around 85% chance, is that is going be below 1.85% In this case the channel for this asset is going to be: TOP ~4025 BOT ~3875 For SPY, you can take the current opening price of the asset and to make the top/bot you should add or rest 7.2 points Lets imagine the price will open on 394 TOP 394 + 7.2 BOT 394 - 7.2 For today, in terms of fundamental news that can affect this asset price, we have : FOMC meeting Lastly, we can see that the point of concentration of the volume is around 3950 Having said that I believe that you can either short once the price arrives around the top part of the channel and rebounce. Or you can go long once the price arrives around the bot part of the channel and rebounce. In that case you can use the POC from volume as a TP point and below the top/bottom line the SL --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NDX/NQ/QQQ 25 May 2022 The current expected volatility movement for today, with around 85% chance, is that is going be below 2.2% In this case the channel for this asset is going to be: TOP ~12070 BOT ~11550 For QQQ, you can take the current opening price of the asset and to make the top/bot you should add or rest 6.7 points Lets imagine the price will open on 288 TOP 288 + 6.7 BOT 288 - 6.7 For today, in terms of fundamental news that can affect this asset price, we have : FOMC meeting Lastly, we can see that the point of concentration of the volume is around 11800 Having said that I believe that you can either short once the price arrives around the top part of the channel and rebounce. Or you can go long once the price arrives around the bot part of the channel and rebounce. In that case you can use the POC from volume as a TP point and below the top/bottom line the SL --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Russel 2000 25 May 2022 The current expected volatility movement for today, with around 80% chance, is that is going be below 2.22% In this case the channel for this asset is going to be: TOP ~180 BOT ~171 For today, in terms of fundamental news that can affect this asset price, we have : FOMC meeting Having said that I believe that you can either short once the price arrives around the top part of the channel and rebounce. Or you can go long once the price arrives around the bot part of the channel and rebounce. In that case you can use the POC from volume as a TP point and below the top/bottom line the SL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CME_MINI:ES1!
by exlux
Bearish Divergence on DXY could be good for Bitcoin and CryptoThe daily chart of the US dollar (DXY) shows bearish divergence. This occurs when there is a higher high in the price and a lower high on the RSI over the same time period. The blue MACD line also crossed below the red signal line, indicating a change in trend to negative for the dollar. This set up indicates that the price of the dollar could fall further to an oversold condition. A fall in the dollar would likely drive a rise in Bitcoin, Ethereum and other crypto as they tend to have an inverse relationship. It is important to note that crypto has been trading closely with the stock market. I recently posted about how the SPY has a bullish divergence on the daily chart with RSI. This could lead to a stock market rally in the near term, which would mostly likely result in a Bitcoin and crypto rally. Let me know your thoughts in the comment section. David Zanoni
TVC:DXY
by Zman1175
Joe Gun2Head Trade - More downside for S&P500Trade Idea: More downside for S&P500 Reasoning: Downward sloping head and shoulders top pattern Entry Level: 3989 Take Profit Level: 3860 Stop Loss: 4047 Risk/Reward: 2.24:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by Signal_Centre
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Short. Is The US market crash?Is The US market crash coming ? We have 3 types of “crashes” Correction <15% downward movement in a major indicy Bear Market <20% downward movement in a major indicy Black Swan event, something very unexpected that tanks the market, think 1987, 1929, challenger disaster, 911 and so on. The fourth type is the 1919, 1929, 1999 and 2008 scenario that people generally refer to as a “crash” 2022 a new one ? Sincereley L.E.D In Spain 14/05/2022
AMEX:TZAShort
by wallstreetstocks
2
Oil Next Move Before Summer This my idea about the current movement on oil we have seen a big chart aiming at 120$+ But for the moment and in the present situation things need to chill out and gain power and clear path. we will see increase in prices very soon but this is a time to take the chance of an exploit and benefice from it. Never trust a candle use your risk and money management very well, you can get money but you can lose it to (don't risk with what you can't lose)
TVC:USOIL
by UnknownUnicorn2830187
US dollar and DXYThe US dollar still maintains some strength after the DXY recorded the last peak at 103.78, before the results of the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) were released today. Also this week, the US dollar is awaiting many important indicators that affect its trading, starting from tomorrow, Wednesday The 1.4% decline in first-quarter GDP released last week may catch the eye of the FOMC with high inflation readings and waning positivity labor market data support prospects for a follow-up rate hike 104 to 104.70 a very possible target in the coming period and we may see more
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Walid_Aboeldahab
Sidemarket SPX 2 May 2022With the daily close of 1 May, with 80% confidence, we can assume that SPX TOP is going to be around 4200 SPX BOTTOM is going to be around 4065 From Volume point, we can see that the POC is around 4150 area From volatility point, we are in the 75th Percentile of HV, with an aprox daily movement of 1.46%, while current VIX is around 33 / sqrt(252) an aprox 2% implied daily movement. So currently IV > HV, good moment to be a seller to benefit from overvalued option selling. From the fundamental POV, news that can affect it ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) , where the current forecast is bullish. From the intraday mode, we can see as well we are in the middle ground(sidemarket) I believe currently since is the beginning of the month, the overall sentiment that I have is sidemarket So an IC 4200/4050 can be a very safe bet with a very positive R:R
SP:SPX
by exlux
US02Y­-US10Y 🎯Wells Fargo Chart of the Week 🎯💰🤔Hey Fam. 😊🙏Just wanted to share this information with you all.. I found it very interesting.. This was a chart of week that Wells Fargo shared on there site. I thought it was interesting how they saw a 4 week inversion roughly 43 weeks on average in regards to our last seven Recessions before they happened (Shaded Areas on chart) Before a US recession officially started.. which is roughly about 10 months..🎯💰🤔👌🙏😊
TVC:US02YEducation
by robinstallsforyou2