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NAS100USD: Targeting Low-Resistance Liquidity ZonesGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe a recent bullish shift in price action, presenting opportunities to capitalize on buying setups. Wednesday’s volatile move to the downside, triggered by the FOMC announcement, created a liquidity void—an inefficiency in price delivery where only sell-side action was present. The market tends to revisit these zones to rebalance, making them key areas of interest. This liquidity void also qualifies as a low-resistance liquidity zone, where minimal obstacles exist to impede price movement. Consequently, we aim to target price progression through this zone until reaching the high-resistance liquidity zone, the last area where significant price resistance occurred. Key Observations: Institutional Perspective: Price moved from a discount zone, where institutions order-paired against sell stops, indicating they are now running their trades toward fair value. Fair Value Areas: Liquidity voids and fair value gaps are prime zones for institutions to scale out of their positions, making them strategic targets for our trades. Trading Strategy: We will look for confirmation to align with bullish institutional order flow and target the liquidity void as a fair value zone. The FOMC-induced displacement provides a clear inefficiency that institutions are likely to use to balance their positions. Let’s analyze the price action carefully and adapt as the market develops. Share your thoughts or questions in the comments, and let’s navigate the markets together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
3
NAS100USD: Strategic Selling Amidst Bearish MomentumGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we reflect on yesterday’s high volatility, which triggered a significant displacement to the downside. Such strong movements often leave inefficiencies in price action that may be revisited in the near future. However, the prevailing bearish institutional order flow suggests opportunities to capitalize on selling setups. Key Observations: 1. Consolidation in Premium Zones: Currently, price is consolidating at a premium level, providing an optimal zone to initiate sell positions. Following the principle of selling in premium and buying in discount, this setup aligns with institutional trading strategies. 2. Bearish Momentum: The bearish structure remains intact, reinforcing the likelihood of price continuing its descent toward discount zones. 3. Potential Reversals in Discount: When price reaches discount levels, it is possible for a reversal back into premium zones. This necessitates a strategic and observant approach to anticipate the next market move. Trading Strategy: Entry: Seek confirmation to sell at premium levels during this consolidation phase. Target: Discount zones, where sell-side liquidity resides, will serve as the primary profit-taking area. As always, remain vigilant and adaptive to market dynamics. If you have insights or questions, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
NAS100 Overextended? Anticipating a Retracement to Re-BalanceThe NAS 100 has seen a sharp move to the downside and, in my view, is overextended. It has reached previous lows on the daily timeframe, sweeping southside liquidity. Considering the extreme nature of this move and the presence of significant gaps or imbalances above, I anticipate a retracement as the market seeks to rebalance. Additionally, there is buy-side liquidity resting above that could serve as a target. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if the conditions outlined in the video materialize. This is not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
2
NAS100 NAS100 price is still in a strong uptrend, but we expect that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will correct in the 22195-22247 zone. If the price cannot break through the 22247 level, the price may decline. Consider selling in the red zone. *Very Risky Trade 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by Serana2324
NAS100USD: Targeting Liquidity in Discount PricesGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, bearish institutional order flow remains dominant, characterized by a sustained downtrend and multiple bearish breaks of structure. This bearish momentum presents clear opportunities to capitalize on selling setups. Key Observations: 1. Premium Price Retracement: Price has retraced into premium levels, where premium buy stops were taken. At these levels, institutions likely entered sell positions against willing buyers, a process known as order pairing. 2. Liquidity Targeting: Institutions that sold at premium prices will aim to book profits at discount prices, targeting sell-side liquidity pools. This aligns with the fundamental principle of selling in premium zones and taking profits in discount zones. Trading Strategy: Entry : Seek confirmation in premium price zones before entering sell positions, ensuring alignment with institutional order flow. Target: Focus on the liquidity pools in discount price zones as the primary profit-taking objective. If you have any questions, insights, or analysis to contribute, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s collaborate, learn, and succeed together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
NASDAQ: Bullish until March 2025.Nasdaq is overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 72.532, MACD = 396.420, ADX = 56.355) and is about to do the same on the 1W as well (RSI = 69.424). This is because the Bull Cycle is on full extent. However, in anticipation of Q1 2025, we are entering the final phase of the Cycle. This is a Top sequence that we've seen three time before in the last 10 years. The early signal for this is when the 3W RSI forms overbought (RSI > 70.000) LH. Each time that happened, the index had a sharp drop to at least the 3W MA50. TP = 19,000 could be an early target. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope
7
Elliott Wave Analysis and Fibonacci Projections for US 100CAPITALCOM:US100 The Elliott Wave Theory identifies 5 impulsive waves in the direction of the trend, followed by 3 corrective waves: Impulse Waves (1-2-3-4-5): Main trend movement. Corrective Waves (A-B-C): Countertrend correction. 2. Detailed Analysis of Observed Waves Wave 1: Initial Upward Impulse Definition: This is the first wave that initiates a new trend, driven by optimistic investors. Key Level on Your Chart: The bottom of Wave 1 is observed at 21,571.8, marking the trend’s starting point. Wave 2: Correction of Wave 1 Definition: This wave corrects a portion of Wave 1, typically between 38.2% and 61.8% of Fibonacci retracements. Interpretation: The correction does not breach the starting point of Wave 1. Observation: Wave 2's correction stays above the critical support. Wave 3: Strongest Impulse Wave Definition: This is typically the longest and strongest wave, often extending 1.618 times Wave 1. Key Features: It surpasses the high of Wave 1 and creates a significant trend move. Key Level on Your Chart: The peak of Wave 3 is at 22,133.4, confirming a strong upward move. Wave 4: Intermediate Correction Definition: Wave 4 corrects part of Wave 3 but does not overlap with Wave 1’s territory. Typical Retracement: Between 23.6% and 50% of Wave 3 (Fibonacci levels). Observation: The low of Wave 4 is seen at 21,946.8, aligning with a retracement between 38.2% and 50%, indicating a moderate pullback. Wave 5: Final Impulse Wave Definition: This wave continues the trend but is usually weaker than Wave 3. Projection: Fibonacci extensions project Wave 5 to end around 0.618x or 1.0x of the distance between Wave 1 and Wave 3. Key Level on Your Chart: Wave 5 is projected to reach 22,400 (based on a 61.8% extension). 3. Fibonacci Levels and Wave Validation Fibonacci Retracements: Wave 2: Corrects 38.2%–61.8% of Wave 1. Wave 4: Corrects 23.6%–50% of Wave 3. Fibonacci Extensions: Wave 3: Often extends 1.618x the length of Wave 1. Wave 5: Projected at 0.618x or 1.0x the total move of Wave 1–3. 4. Validating the Elliott Wave Scenario To ensure the waves on your chart follow the Elliott Wave principles: Wave 2 does not retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is not the shortest of the three impulsive waves (1, 3, 5). Wave 4 does not overlap the territory of Wave 1. 5. Observations and Projections Based on your key levels: Wave 3 successfully formed a strong impulse at 22,133.4. Wave 4 retraced to 21,946.8, aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels. Wave 5 is projected to reach approximately 22,400, based on the 61.8% Fibonacci extension. 6. Recommendations Monitor Fibonacci levels to confirm Wave 5's target near 22,400. Use indicators like RSI or MACD to detect divergences, signaling potential Wave 5 exhaustion. Validate Elliott Wave rules to avoid misinterpretations.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Trwin
1
Deep short for SPY? My target is at 510, here why!Christmas Eve Rally? - Not quite. Trump Trade? - Hardly. So, what’s driving the market higher, and where is SPY headed next? Investor sentiment surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential elections seems to echo the euphoria of 2016, raising hopes for a similar post-election rally. Themes like tax cuts, protectionism, and trade wars are fueling optimism for U.S. equities. But let’s not get carried away. The economic and geopolitical landscapes today are vastly different, and so is the narrative. The “Superman” Trump of 2016 no longer holds the same sway over markets. The post-COVID stock market rally was buoyed by an unprecedented flood of liquidity. Based on our analysis, those excess dollars are nearly spent. Furthermore, the global economic outlook bears little resemblance to the relatively stable environment of 2016. While the Democrats’ recent performance metrics provide Powell with ample material to champion a “resilient economy,” the bigger question remains: Is the U.S. stock market truly worth its current valuations? We’ll delve into the overvaluation of the #SPY and #SPX indices in greater detail in the coming updates. For now, you can pay close attention to technical analysis, identifying key peaks and potential correction levels.
AMEX:SPYShort
by gorgevorgian
NASDAQ rally still has lots of upside before is tops.Nasdaq (NDX) is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in. As you see, the previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg already had a strong pull-back early on (August 26 - September 02 1W candles), it may continue to rise up to its target without another correction, assuming the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) holds. If however it has another pull-back similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), then it should rise some more near the 0.236 Fibonacci level and then pull-back. In any event, the current level is technically a solid long-term buy entry and since both previous Bullish Legs have been around +48%, we expect to see 25300 before the current one tops. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
1
NAS100 - Nasdaq, the only green index last week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. The valid failure of the previous ATH will provide the conditions for the continuation of the rise of this index. The Economist predicts that as 2025 approaches, the U.S. economy is in a highly favorable position. It expects a soft economic landing in the upcoming year, meaning the U.S. will successfully reduce inflation to its 2% target without harming economic growth. While analysts previously forecasted a recession for the U.S., Washington now stands out as the only major economy whose output exceeds pre-pandemic trends. This year, the Nasdaq index has significantly outperformed other major U.S. stock market indices. The primary reason is the heavy weighting of tech stocks in the index. Technology stocks, particularly the “Big Seven” tech giants, have seen remarkable growth due to the AI revolution and market optimism.On the other hand, the Dow Jones index, which is more focused on industrial stocks, has lagged behind Nasdaq despite notable gains. The United States is preparing new restrictions on AI chips to block China’s indirect access to this technology. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, these restrictions aim to prevent China from using hidden pathways to obtain AI chips. Sources familiar with the plan revealed that the U.S. intends to hold companies like Google and Microsoft accountable for managing access to advanced AI chips. The most significant economic event this week is the Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2024, set to be announced on Wednesday. Markets are already anticipating a 25-basis-point rate cut, but attention will focus on the Fed’s policy statement and Jerome Powell’s remarks during the press conference. Traders will look for clues about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook for the upcoming year. Additionally, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, which could have a global market impact. Key economic data on American consumer health will also be released this week. On Tuesday, the November retail sales report will provide fresh insights into consumer behavior during the holiday season. Moreover, on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—a key inflation metric closely watched by the Fed—will be released, potentially clarifying the direction of future monetary policy. Other important economic data include the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and the S&P Global PMI leading index, both set for release on Monday. On Thursday, critical figures such as the final Q3 GDP growth rate, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, November existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims will also be published. Analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the pace of rate cuts in 2025 is expected to be slow. Due to sticky inflation and some inflationary policies from Donald Trump, economists anticipate only three rate cuts in 2025. The U.S. dollar has performed impressively this year, supported by the country’s economic conditions. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, including David Adams, believe buying the dollar at this point may be a mistake, as there is a downside risk for the currency. Based on their discussions, many investors expect the dollar index to rise further. Morgan Stanley argues that positive news is already fully priced into the dollar and that markets may be overestimating the speed, scope, and impact of economic measures.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
NAS100USD: Capitalizing on Bearish Displacement!Greetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the M15 timeframe shows a recent shift to bearish price action, marked by significant displacement to the downside. This displacement provides strong evidence of institutional sell order distribution, as seen in the large bearish candles that led to a bearish break of structure. Key Observations: 1. Premium Price Retracement: After the bearish break, price retraced into deep premium levels, where institutional arrays are present. These premium zones offer opportunities to seek confirmations for selling toward discount prices. 2. Breaker Block as a Key Zone: Price has retraced into a premium breaker block, a critical mitigation zone. What is a Breaker Block? Breaker blocks are mitigation zones created as institutions mitigate losses from opposing orders placed during the prior trend. Once price retraces to these zones, institutions close those losing positions and reinstate new orders to align with the prevailing trend. Trading Strategy: Entry: Look for confirmation at the premium breaker block to align with institutional order flow. Target: The primary target is the liquidity pool in discount prices, adhering to the principle of selling in premium and booking profits in discount zones, mirroring institutional strategies. If you have insights or questions, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s analyze, learn, and succeed together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
3
US100 Is Very Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for US100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,766.7. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 20,570.5 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by SignalProvider
5
NAS100USD: Are We Seeing a False Bullish Break?Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis, NAS100USD continues to follow bearish institutional order flow, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the current market narrative. While the overall trend remains bearish, recent price action has displayed a bullish break of structure. However, I interpret this as a false break of structure, supported by the following evidence: Key Observations: 1. Engineered Retail Resistance: Institutions have created a retail resistance zone with relatively equal highs. This formation entices retail traders to sell at the resistance level, placing their stop losses above it. These stop losses are viewed as buy stops by institutions, representing willing buyers at premium prices. Institutions capitalize on this by order pairing—selling their positions against the retail buy stops. 2. Institutional Order Pairing Logic: Large funds require opposing liquidity to fill orders efficiently without slippage. To achieve this, institutions manipulate the market by engineering liquidity through patterns such as resistance zones or equal highs. After selling at premium levels, institutions aim to buy back positions at discount prices, targeting sell stops and liquidity pools below. Trading Outlook: Given this institutional behavior, my interpretation is to anticipate further bearish movement . With institutions likely targeting sell-side liquidity at discount levels, I am focusing on the sell-side liquidity pool as the primary target for this setup. If you have any insights, questions, or analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let’s collaborate and refine our strategies together. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
GBPJPY BEARISHGBP/JPY is displaying bullish momentum, driven by a breakout above a key resistance level, with strong bullish candles and minimal wicks signaling sustained buying pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a prior low triggered sell stops, followed by a sharp rebound that indicates buyer accumulation. The pair is respecting an ascending trendline, confirming it as dynamic support, and trading above both the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a golden cross further reinforcing the uptrend. Bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD highlight recovering momentum, while increasing volume during upward moves compared to lighter pullbacks suggests strong buyer dominance and the potential for further gains. + this can go two ways : reaching the first KL or the second one just under, globally the movement will be the same
Long
by edl75
EURUSD GOING DOWNEUR/USD appears poised for a bearish move, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has rejected a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong selling pressure and the inability of buyers to hold higher levels. A confluence of resistance from a descending trendline and the 50-day EMA strengthens the bearish outlook. On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key high has been followed by a sharp rejection, indicating trapped buyers and the potential for further downside. A break below the recent market structure low could trigger stop orders, accelerating the move toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing momentum and volume as confirmation of this potential bearish shift. + responding to the liquidity rectangle, pushing down
Short
by edl75