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Us100

NQ, Short setupJust before market Open price dropped lower, I expect price to travel back up into the 15 m Gap and then sell off. This is the only setup I am interested in today. The 15m level will be a resistance level for price. This level is derived from the last reversal. Since NQ was lagging, i expect price to use his level to squeeze the shorts out and start a new down trend. If this does not happen and the highs get taken out, I will be flat today Goodluck, Good trading. F
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TIMETRADERNL
2
NQ Weekly Recap-Projection 13.07.2025NQ Weekly Recap + Outlook 1️⃣ Recap: NQ made a new All-Time High, but the breakout ended up being a deviation. Price got rejected and started pulling back. This signals potential weakness and suggests price may want to explore lower levels. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: 📍Target: Daily Swing low (Blue line) 📍Deeper target: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Purple zone) I’ll look for LTF confirmations around these zones to position for potential longs. 3️⃣ Bullish Catalyst Watch: There’s increasing speculation that Powell may resign this week. If that happens, we could see: ✅ Strong bullish momentum ✅ Little to no retracement ✅ Immediate push into new ATHs Weekly Plan Summary: 🔸 Scenario 1 - Pullback Continuation: Look for reactive long setups at Daily Swing or W FFVG zone. 🔸 Scenario 2 - Powell Resignation: Expect a breakout move with momentum — potentially no retrace. Stay nimble. Trade what the chart confirms, not what the news promises.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by UA_CAPITAL
NASDAQ 100: AI Momentum and Resilient Earnings Drive New HighsThe NASDAQ 100 continues its strong uptrend 📈, recently breaking to new highs after a period of consolidation. The rally is broad-based but remains led by heavyweight tech names and AI-related stocks 🤖. Key Fundamental Drivers: AI & Tech Growth 🤖💡: The biggest catalyst is the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence and digital transformation. Companies in the index, especially the “Magnificent Seven” (like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple), are seeing robust earnings growth and strong investor demand for AI exposure. Global IT spending is projected to grow by over 9% in 2025, with AI spending up nearly 30% year-on-year. Earnings Resilience 💪💰: Despite high interest rates and inflation, tech companies have adapted well, maintaining strong margins and growth. The sector is expected to remain a top performer through 2025. Fed Policy & Rate Expectations 🏦🔮: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pause or even cuts in US interest rates later in 2025, which is bullish for growth stocks and tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ 100. Geopolitical & Macro Factors: Reduced Uncertainty 🌏🕊️: The market has absorbed major geopolitical shocks (such as the Israel-Iran conflict and US-China trade tensions), and the resolution or de-escalation of these risks has reduced uncertainty, supporting risk assets. US Election & Policy 🇺🇸🗳️: The outcome of the US election and expectations for stable or pro-business policies have also contributed to positive sentiment. Global Supply Chains & Resilience 🌐🔗: While some risks remain (e.g., cyber threats, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions), the tech sector’s global reach and adaptability have helped it weather these challenges. Why is it rallying now? AI optimism and strong tech earnings are the main drivers 🤖💹. Expectations of easier Fed policy and a resilient US economy are fueling risk appetite 🏦📈. Geopolitical risks have eased or are being priced in, allowing investors to focus on growth 🌍🕊️. Summary: The NASDAQ 100’s rally is powered by AI-driven tech growth 🤖, resilient earnings 💪, and easing macro/geopolitical risks 🌏. The index remains a global leader as investors bet on the next wave of technology and digital innovation 🚀.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
MarketBreakdown | GBPAUD, WTI CRUDE OIL, US30, US100 Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #GBPAUD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇦🇺 The market is trading within a wide horizontal parallel channel. The price is stuck on its support. Probabilities will be high that the market will start growing from that. Alternatively, its bearish breakout will provide a strong bearish signal. 2️⃣ #WTI CRUDE OIL daily time frame 🛢️ The price is now testing a significant rising trend line. It is a critical decision moment for the market. A bearish breakout of that may trigger a strong bearish continuation. Monitor intraday price action today. If you see a strong bullish pattern, it will provide a reliable confirmation to buy, 3️⃣ DOW JONES INDEX #US30 daily time frame The market started a correction movement in a bullish flag pattern. Your next signal to buy will be a breakout of its resistance and a daily candle close above that. 4️⃣ NASDAQ INDEX #US100 daily time frame The market is now breaking a resistance of a horizontal parallel channel. IF a today's daily candle closes above that, it will confirm a start of another bullish wave. The market will continue growing then. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
NAS100 Forecast 24HAs of Tuesday, July 15, 2025, 2:03:11 AM UTC+4 the forecast for US100 (Nasdaq 100) in the next 24 hours presents a mixed outlook, with underlying bullish sentiment but caution due to ongoing market dynamics and potential for short-term pullbacks. Factors Contributing to a Bullish Bias: Underlying Strength and Breakout Behavior: Despite some short-term bearish technical signals, the Nasdaq is described as being in "breakout mode," decisively overriding key levels. This suggests underlying bullish momentum. AI as a Growth Driver: Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a primary growth driver for the US economy and the technology sector, which heavily influences the Nasdaq 100. Confidence in secular tailwinds like cloud computing and semiconductor demand also persists . Temporary US Dollar Weakness: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a retracement phase, pulling back after strength. A weaker dollar can provide a relief rally for risk assets like the Nasdaq, making US tech stocks more attractive to international investors. Potential for Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: While no rate cuts are expected over the summer, a rate cut is considered likely in September. Historically, phases of moderate interest rate cuts in the absence of a recession have been positive for the US stock market. "Buy on Dip" Mentality: Some analyses suggest that any short-term declines could be viewed as buying opportunities, indicating an underlying positive sentiment among investors. Strong Earnings Expectations (for some tech): Despite general market concerns, some technology companies associated with AI innovation are expected to perform well, contributing positively to the index. Factors Suggesting Caution and Potential for Bearish Movement/Volatility: Escalating Trade Tensions (Trump's Tariffs): President Trump's continued aggressive protectionist stance and new tariff threats (e.g., against Canada) are a significant risk. These can create uncertainty, weigh on corporate profits, and lead to market volatility. This is frequently cited as the main risk for US indices. Short-Term Technical Bearishness: Some technical analyses indicate a high chance of bearish candle closures across various timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly) , and some traders are eyeing selling opportunities from specific resistance zones (e.g., around 22,800-22,869). Overvalued Growth Stocks: Following a recent rally, US stocks, particularly growth stocks, are trading at a premium to fair value. This can limit upside potential and make the market more susceptible to corrections if tariff negotiations falter or earnings guidance disappoints. Market Seasonality: As we move into the latter half of July, market seasonality can shift from bullish to a more bearish stance. Earnings Season and "Sell on the News" : While major financial institutions are kicking off Q2 earnings season, there's a potential for a "sell on the news" response, even if earnings aren't particularly bad, given the strong rally stocks have already staged. Mixed Global Signals: European markets showing mixed performance and pressure from US futures suggest cautious global risk sentiment, which could cap upside for the Nasdaq. Unfilled Stock Imbalances: Some technical analysis points to an unfilled stock imbalance around 22,300, which could act as a reaction point if the price pulls back. Key Levels to Watch (Approximate): Support: 22,600, 22,300 (unfilled imbalance), 21,611 (resistance-turned-support), 20,673 (Fibonacci extension and prior high). Resistance: 22,800, 22,869, 23,000-23,100 (potential re-entry targets for rally continuation), 25,000-25,100 (approximate imbalance level to be filled). In conclusion, for the next 24 hours, the US100 is likely to face a battle between underlying bullish momentum driven by AI and potential Fed policy, and the immediate headwinds of escalating trade tensions and some short-term technical bearishness. Traders should be prepared for volatility and quick shifts in sentiment based on news flow, particularly regarding trade and upcoming earnings reports. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
NASDAQ Is looking for a massive break-out to 24000!Nasdaq (NDX) is most likely taking advantage of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Support and after hitting it, it appears that the price will look for a way above the Parabola. This might be similar to what took place after the May 07 test of the 4H MA50. The price broke above that parabolic pattern and peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are looking for 24000 as a potential Target in the next 2 weeks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
1
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500. Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained. The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength. This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets. As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights. Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures. The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index. June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain. Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change. According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%. If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
US100 (Nasdaq 100) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)The US100, which is heavily concentrated in technology and growth companies, has been a significant driver of overall market performance in recent times. Its future trajectory is intricately linked to a combination of macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and evolving technological narratives. Key Factors Shaping the Outlook: Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics: Cooling Inflation: If inflation continues to moderate (as indicated by CPI, PCE, and other economic data), central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve, will have more flexibility to consider easing monetary policy. Interest Rate Expectations: Lower interest rates are generally a boon for growth stocks. They reduce the cost of borrowing for companies and increase the present value of their future earnings, which makes their (often higher) valuations more palatable. Conversely, any resurgence in inflation that forces a "higher for longer" interest rate stance could put significant downward pressure on the US100. As of mid-2025, the market has largely priced in the expectation of potential rate cuts later in 2025 or early 2026, but this remains highly data-dependent and subject to change with each new economic report. C orporate Earnings and AI Enthusiasm: Tech Earnings Season: The performance of the major tech titans within the Nasdaq 100 (e.g., Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla) during their quarterly earnings reports will be critical. Continued strong earnings beats, particularly from companies that are leading the charge in Artificial Intelligence (AI), will reinforce investor confidence and support higher valuations. Artificial Intelligence (AI) Narrative: The intense excitement and significant investment surrounding AI remain a powerful tailwind for the US100. Companies demonstrating clear pathways to monetize AI, or those establishing dominant positions in AI infrastructure and applications, are likely to continue seeing robust performance. However, any signs of the AI narrative losing steam, or a perception of an AI "bubble," could trigger profit-taking or a broader market correction. Economic Growth and Consumer Behavior: U.S. Economic Health: A resilient U.S. economy, characterized by healthy GDP growth and a strong labor market, provides a conducive environment for corporate revenues. A "soft landing" scenario (where inflation is tamed without triggering a recession) is the most favorable outcome for the US100. Consumer Spending: Strong consumer confidence and sustained spending directly benefit sectors like e-commerce, software services, and consumer electronics, which are heavily represented in the Nasdaq 100. Valuation Considerations: While many Nasdaq 100 companies have delivered impressive earnings growth, their valuations (e.g., P/E ratios) are, for some, elevated compared to historical averages. This implies that there might be less margin for error in future earnings reports or unexpected shifts in the economic landscape. A "valuation reset" could occur if growth projections fail to materialize or if interest rates remain higher than currently anticipated. Geopolitical and Global Factors: Global Trade & Geopolitics: Ongoing global trade dynamics, geopolitical tensions (e.g., US-China relations, regional conflicts), and potential supply chain disruptions can introduce unforeseen volatility and impact global economic growth, which, in turn, affects the predominantly international-facing tech sector. Overall Future Outlook (from a mid-July 2025 perspective): The US100's future outlook appears cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by the enduring strength of underlying technology trends and the transformative potential of AI. The index has demonstrated remarkable resilience and continues to be favored by growth-oriented investors. Upside Potential: Could be fueled by sustained strong earnings from its tech giants, especially those leading in AI, coupled with clear indications of forthcoming interest rate cuts. Downside Risks: The index remains highly susceptible to shifts in interest rate expectations (e.g., if inflation proves stickier than anticipated), any disappointments in high-profile tech earnings, or a broader economic downturn. Given its concentration in high-growth, high-beta stocks, the US100 is prone to more significant fluctuations in both upward and downward market moves compared to broader, more diversified indices. Investors and traders will be closely monitoring key economic data (inflation, employment), central bank communications, and the performance of bellwether tech companies for crucial clues about the index's direction. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
2
NAS100 Nasdaq Range-Bound: What Traders Should Watch Next US100I'm currently keeping a close eye on the Nasdaq 🧠📊, which is trading within a range-bound structure 📉📈. While we’re seeing some bullish momentum on the NAS100 4-hour chart today ⏱️📈, it’s nothing particularly strong or decisive just yet. I’m waiting for a clear break 🔓 either above or below this current range before considering any trading opportunities 🎯. In this US100 chart 🖼️, I’ve highlighted key components such as price action, market structure, the prevailing trend, and other important elements of technical analysis 🧩📐. ⚠️ Please remember: this is a market analysis and reflects my personal opinion — not a trade recommendation. Always do your own due diligence 🕵️‍♂️ before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq Surges to New Highs – 23,200 and 24,000 in Sight? (READ)By analyzing the Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index is currently trading around the 22,700 zone and has followed the main analysis perfectly so far — continuing to print new all-time highs. According to the original outlook, as long as the index holds above 22,150, we can expect further bullish continuation toward the next targets at 23,200 and 24,000. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner) • Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years • Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD • Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history • New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets • Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history Possible Reasons for the Move • Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security • Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered • Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off • Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms • Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs • Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup • OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale • Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market • Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction Market Reaction • COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move • ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment. • What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling Near term support & resistance $106000 support $109500 first resistance 👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍 Best Reguards MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MartyBoots
43
NAS100 Reading Market Structure: When to Trade and When to WaitI'm currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ 📉. Price has remained largely range-bound over the past few sessions and continues to show signs of pressure 🔻. While we've seen a short-term rally 🚀, it lacks the conviction and momentum typically seen in stronger trending environments 📊. When comparing the current conditions to previous trend phases, the difference is clear. Structure is unclear, and there's no confirmation of sustained direction yet. As shown on the chart 📈, we previously saw strong bullish momentum followed by a sharp shift, suggesting indecision in the market 🤔. In these situations, patience is key ⏳. It's just as important to know when not to trade as it is to know when to act 🎯. For now, I’m choosing to stay on the sidelines until a clearer trend develops. Not financial advice ⚠️
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
NASDAQ going to 23500 by August.Nasdaq (NDX) is trading above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, staging a very structured uptrend that has recently gotten out of a 1D Golden Cross. As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, we might get a repeat of the November - December 2024 rally that peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level from he August 2024 Low. That whole July - October 2024 pattern is quite similar to the February - June 2025 of today. A quick pull-back is possible at this stage but by the end of August, we expect the index to test at least the 23500 level. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
4
NASDAQ After the Fireworks: Bearish Setup LoadedAfter the classic 4th of July rally, I stepped in on the short side of Nasdaq, targeting 22,000 and 21,400 zones. The market structure shows exhaustion, and with the cloud retest failing to hold new highs, I positioned accordingly. Technical: • Price stalled at prior expansion highs with tight compression near 23,000. • Daily FibCloud offered resistance confirmation. • Bearish risk-reward skew forms after extended rally and thin retraces. • Volume divergence spotted. Fundamentals: Multiple overlapping uncertainties: • Trump confirmed tariffs will take effect on August 1, threatening a 10% surcharge on BRICS-aligned nations. • Treasury Secretary Bessent anticipates several trade deal announcements within 48h—but stresses quality over quantity. • Bank of America maintains its base case of 0 rate cuts in 2025, citing strong economic data and sticky inflation risks. The combination of tariff escalation, hawkish monetary expectations, and global trade friction creates a perfect backdrop for volatility and correction—especially in overextended tech indices like the Nasdaq. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AR33_
NAS100 - Stock market is waiting for tariffs!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets, but if it does not rise and corrects towards the demand limits, you can buy the Nasdaq index with appropriate reward and risk. Three months ago, Donald Trump postponed the imposition of severe retaliatory tariffs, granting America’s major trading partners more time to reach new agreements that Washington views as “fairer.” Now, as the White House’s July 9 deadline approaches, only two official trade deals have been finalized—one with the United Kingdom and another with Vietnam. As for China, merely a fragile temporary truce has been reached, which has so far prevented any additional tariffs from being enforced. Although reports suggest promising progress in negotiations with India, Japan, and South Korea, no final agreements have been secured with these countries yet. Interestingly, talks with the European Union—which had previously stalled—have suddenly taken a positive turn, and prospects for a deal with Canada in the coming days have also improved. However, given the limited time left, it seems unlikely that trade agreements with all of America’s 18 key partners will be reached before the deadline. This situation has raised a critical question for the markets: Will Trump set a new deadline for the remaining countries, or will the suspended tariffs be reinstated? The prevailing view is that the U.S. president will once again resort to threats before granting any extensions—this time not merely by reviving the “Liberation Day” tariffs, but also by promising even heavier tariffs to extract the last concessions from the remaining trade partners. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett stated that if no agreements are reached by August 1, tariffs will revert to the levels announced in April. He also emphasized that Washington’s core strategy in these trade talks is to apply maximum pressure. According to Bassett, letters will be sent to various countries, outlining the August 1 deadline for reaching deals. This news, which broke during the market’s closing hours, sparked a wave of risk appetite in the financial markets. In a week when the U.S. economic calendar is notably devoid of major data releases, investors are focusing their attention on the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June FOMC meeting—a document that could offer fresh insights into the trajectory of interest rates for the second half of the year. June’s strong employment report, which exceeded market expectations, has effectively dashed hopes for an interest rate cut this month. Now, if the positive economic momentum persists, the likelihood of a rate cut in the September meeting may also gradually be priced out by the markets. According to data from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. employers announced 47,999 job cuts in June, marking a sharp decline from 93,816 in the previous month. Compared to June of last year, layoffs have dropped by 2%. However, total job cuts in the second quarter of 2025 reached 247,256—a 39% increase from the same period last year (177,391) and the highest second-quarter layoff figure since 2020. With no significant economic reports scheduled for the coming days, investors will be closely analyzing Wednesday night’s Fed minutes and the limited remarks from central bank officials—statements where every word has the potential to significantly move the markets.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
BTC - Bullflag Pattern points to new ATHMarket Context Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined descending channel for several weeks now, respecting both upper and lower boundaries with precision (3 touches on the top, 2 on the bottom). This structure suggests an orderly pullback after a strong impulsive leg to the upside in Q2. As price compresses within this flag-like pattern, market participants are watching closely for signs of breakout or breakdown. Bullish Fair Value Gap Reaction Recently, price dipped into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and bounced strongly — a key bullish signal indicating that demand stepped in at the inefficiency. The FVG also aligns with a retest of the channel’s resistance-turned-support, further validating the bounce. This confluence zone acts as a springboard for potential continuation. Channel Breakout & Liquidity Above ATH Price has now broken above the channel structure, shifting the market narrative from consolidation to potential expansion. The breakout zone is located just beneath the All-Time High (ATH) — an area that’s likely loaded with stop orders and breakout buys. A sweep or clean break above the ATH would not only invalidate the prior bearish structure but also trigger a fresh wave of bullish momentum. Bull Flag Continuation Potential Structurally, this chart presents a classic bull flag breakout. After a strong impulsive leg up and a controlled consolidation phase, we now see bullish continuation potential toward the 112,000–114,000 region. If the ATH gets breached and reclaimed, it could become strong support in the next leg higher. Final Thoughts This is the type of setup that blends both technical precision and market psychology — structure, liquidity, and momentum all coming together. Whether you're already long or watching for confirmation, this move could set the tone for Bitcoin’s next major rally. If you found this analysis helpful or thought-provoking, please give it a like! And let me know in the comments — do you see this as a true breakout or a trap in disguise?
Long
by Louigi_24
98
Candlestick Patterns - How to read them like a ProOverview Candlestick charts serve as a cornerstone in technical analysis, presenting price activity in a visually digestible format. By examining how prices move over a given timeframe, traders gain key insights into potential market direction, sentiment shifts, and trend strength. Mastering candlestick interpretation is essential for identifying bullish or bearish sentiment, as well as for spotting possible trend reversals or continuations. Still, candlesticks alone don’t paint the full picture—using them without broader context increases the risk of false signals. --- What You'll Learn What are candlestick charts? Common bearish candlestick patterns Common bullish candlestick patterns How to apply candlestick analysis in trading --- What is a Candlestick Chart? A candlestick provides a snapshot of an asset’s price behavior during a specific time interval, whether it's one minute, one hour, or one day. This format allows traders to quickly assess how the price has moved within that period. Each candle reveals four price points: * Open – the price at the beginning of the interval * Close – the price at the end of the interval * High – the highest price reached * Low – the lowest price during that time Anatomy of a Candlestick: * Body: The thick section between the open and close. A green (or white) body means the close was higher than the open (bullish), while red (or black) means the opposite (bearish). * Wicks (or Shadows): Thin lines extending from the body to indicate the high and low. * Upper wick: Marks the highest traded price * Lower wick: Marks the lowest traded price --- Bearish Candlestick Patterns Understanding bearish candlestick patterns helps traders identify moments when buying momentum might be running out—setting the stage for a potential downward shift. Evening Star A three-candle formation that signals a shift from buying pressure to selling dominance. It starts with a strong bullish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle of indecision, and concludes with a large bearish candle that cuts deep into the first. This pattern often appears at the end of an uptrend. Bearish Engulfing This setup includes a small bullish candle followed by a large bearish candle that completely swallows the previous one. It indicates that sellers have seized control, potentially marking the beginning of a downward trend. Shooting Star With a small real body near the low and a long upper wick, this pattern reflects strong early buying that is ultimately rejected by the close—suggesting fading bullish momentum. Gravestone Doji This candle opens, closes, and hits its low all around the same price, leaving a long upper wick. It suggests that bulls pushed higher during the session but were overpowered by bears by the close. Three Crows Three consecutive bearish candles, all approximately the same size. These indicate that a sell off is coming soon. --- Bullish Candlestick Patterns Bullish patterns can alert traders to possible reversals after a downtrend or strengthen conviction during an uptrend. Morning Star This three-candle formation marks a potential turning point from bearish to bullish. It begins with a strong bearish candle, followed by a smaller candle showing indecision, and ends with a large bullish candle breaking upward—signaling buying strength is returning. Bullish Engulfing This two-candle pattern begins with a bearish candle, then a larger bullish candle that completely envelops the previous body. It reflects a sharp transition in sentiment, suggesting renewed buying pressure. Dragonfly Doji A single candle where the open, close, and high are all very close, with a long lower wick. It shows sellers pushed prices lower but buyers stepped in and brought them back up—an early sign of possible reversal. Hammer A classic bullish reversal signal that features a small real body near the top and a long lower shadow. It indicates a battle where sellers initially dominated, but buyers managed to close near the open price. Three soldiers Three consecutive bullish candles, all approximately the same size. These indicate that a big buy is coming soon. --- Trading with Candlestick Patterns Candlestick patterns become more meaningful when they align with major chart areas—such as previous support or resistance, trendlines, or retracement zones. A bullish signal at a support level can hint that the downward pressure is fading, while a bearish pattern at resistance may warn of an upcoming decline. To increase the reliability of your trades, combine candlestick patterns with other forms of technical analysis: * Support & Resistance Zones: These are price levels where the market has historically reacted. Candlestick patterns forming near these zones have stronger potential implications. * Fibonacci Levels : These help identify likely retracement areas. When a candlestick pattern forms near a key Fibonacci level like 61.8%, it adds strength to a potential reversal setup. * Liquidity Areas: Clusters of orders (buy or sell) tend to create strong reactions. When patterns appear in these zones, they often precede more decisive moves. * Technical Indicators : RSI, MACD, Moving Averages, and Stochastic RSI can provide confirmation. For instance, a bullish reversal pattern that appears when RSI is oversold strengthens the signal. 💡 Tip: Don’t rush into trades based on one candlestick alone. Always wait for the next candle or price confirmation (e.g., a break of a previous high/low) to validate your signal. --- Thanks for Reading! ✨ If you found this helpful, show some love by liking or commenting! 🔔 Don’t forget to follow for more technical breakdowns and trading insights coming soon!
Education
by Louigi_24
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