Us100
NASDAQ pulling back on high correlation with the July 2023 Top.Nasdaq (NDX) appears to be forming a Top approximately at the levels we described on our most recent idea (January 23, see chart below):
Today we move to the 4H time-frame where we can discuss the shorter term parameters of this expected pull-back. As you can see right away, the July 2023 peak (and the price action that led to it) is very similar to today's attempted technical peak formation. Both sequences started with an Accumulation Phase (green ellipse), rose and then had a 10-day correction and after a short re-accumulation (circle), they peaked on approximately a +6.80% rise. During all this time, they have been trading within a (dashed) Channel Up pattern.
In addition, the 4H RSI sequences between the two periods are virtually identical and we are now on the Lower Lows formation, where the actual index is below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), following the overbought 4H RSI peak. If the price continues to replicate the late July - early August 2023 sequence, then expect a Lower High and then sharp short-term correction below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Target 1 is on Support 1 at 16560 and if we get a 1D candle closing below it, we will re-sell with Target 2 on Support 2 at 16200. That will be roughly a -8.67% decline from the top, similar to the August 18 2023 Low.
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NASDAQ: Is the correction starting?Nasdaq isn't overbought on the 1D time-frame anymore but technically it remains bullish (RSI = 63.538, MACD = 210.050, ADX = 41.826) and will continue to be as long as the two month Channel Up holds. It may be supported by the 1D MA50 but if the index follows the late July peak formation and crosses under the 0.382 Fibonacci level, then we expect a technical short term correction. The crossing will be our sell entry trigger and we will target the S1 level (TP = 16,200).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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🔝 Berkshire Hathaway. Grandpa Warren Breaks The TopLegendary investor Warren Buffett was on a trip to Tokyo, the capital of Japan, ten months earlier in mid-April 2023, and the titans of the country's giant energy and commodity conglomerates were there to make their presentations.
As usual, over glasses of Coca-Cola NYSE:KO - one of Buffett's most famous investments, they walked into Warren Buffett's suite at the luxury Four Seasons hotel and individually told the 92-year-old American investor the same thing: Japanese trading houses are cheap and should accelerate their move beyond commodities.
The support of the Oracle of Omaha is an important vote of confidence in the big five Japanese trading houses - Mitsubishi Corporations TSE:8058 , Mitsui TSE:8031 , Sumitomo TSE:8053 , Itochu TSE:8001 and Marubeni TSE:8002 .
It's also a broad endorsement of Japan, that is considered to have outlived its heyday 30-35 years ago, as well as considered less relevant than Asian counterparts such as China and India.
But there's one big question: Is Buffett betting on phasing out fossil fuels, the trading house products themselves, or a combination of the two? Or something else, like impact of the weak yen!?
Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway NYSE:BRK.B reported in August 2020 that it had acquired about 5% of the shares of five trading houses, that sent their stocks up and raised their total investment value above $6 billion. When the Covid-19 pandemic dampened demand for goods, it pushed down the value of company stocks, four of which traded below book value.
“They were selling, I thought, at a ridiculous price,” - 3 years later Buffett said to CNBC, in March 2023.
Three years after the Covid-19 pandemic (that is now hardly remembered) Warren Buffett's bets on Japan have nearly tripled to over $17 billion.
But even this Growth does not stop Buffett. Staying in Tokyo last spring, Buffett confirmed intentions to buy more shares, and participate in more big deals.
In addition, Berkshire recently unveiled plans to issue its own yen-denominated bonds, which can help hedge against the depreciation of the yen against the US dollar as well as depreciation of Japanese stocks in dollar terms.
In nowadays Japan Stock Index TSE:TOPIX ended 2023 on a positive note, adding more than 25 percent at the end of the year, that is, the maximum growth over the last 10 calendar years.
Early in 2024 TSE:TOPIX continues its growth path, as technology companies stocks are rallying.
In 2024 TSE:TOPIX hit the 2,500 yen mark - point that not been seen for more than 30 years - since the first half of 1990, while another one Japan stock index Nikkei225 INDEX:NKY hit its 36'000 Milestone - the level that was not seen also since early 1990s.
The main technical graph says Berkshire Hathaway Class B NYSE:BRK.B stocks are on the runway to break its key resistance - 6-month and all time highs, to further upside price action delver.
US100 17348.6 +0.14 % SHORT IDEA INTRA-DAY SETUP 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great 🛑
A look at NASDAQ ahead of LONDON OPEN 📌
* Asian range taking beautifully.
* We are trading above the D, & W OPEN on the S&P 500 ( SMT)
* Looking for a sweep of BSL for continuation with the bears.
* If we take Asian lows 1st the trade is still valid for NY.
* we will just wait for BSL to be taken
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
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SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
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LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
US100Is US100 exhausting at All time high level?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after reaching at resistance level and bearish divergence suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 16500 followed by 16000.
What you guys think of it?
NASDAQ Extremely close to a peak and a correction.Nasdaq (NDX) closed yesterday on a red 1D candle, with the 1D RSI above the 70.00 overbought barrier, but remains within the (dashed) Channel Up, as well as supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since November 03 2023.
Based on the 1D RSI which is within a Megaphone pattern, we might be approaching a peak similar to July 19 2023, whose RSI was also inside a Megaphone on almost the same levels as now. Following the peak, the price declined initially by -8.50%. Since the start of the year the other two major declines have been around -9.50%.
This suggests that if the index reverses around next week (Fed Rate Decision), we are technically aiming for 16200, which will put to a test Support 2 and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which made the bottom on the first -9.50% decline of last year on March 13.
The confirmation signal for atleast a short-term sell, can be when the index breaks the 1D MA50. Also, currently, the downside potential can be as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which by its current course can make contact with the price around Support 3 (15700). The 1D MA200 has been untouched for more than 10 months (since March 13 2023).
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NAS100 Trade IdeaThe NAS100 experienced a substantial rally towards the end of last week, displaying signs of being significantly overextended. A retracement may be in store, particularly if the Dollar Index (DXY) maintains and strengthens its position, considering the general inverse correlation between DXY and US100. It is essential to emphasize that this analysis is provided exclusively for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
Is failure valid?As you can see, the daily trend has managed to break its downward trend line and it is also in the direction of the weekly trend.
Due to the breakdown of the daily trend line, we are waiting to return to the target area, and of course, we are considering the goals ahead
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Banipal : @hosseinbakrani
📅 02.20.2023
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US100 Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US100.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 16692.3.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 16904.9 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NASDAQ Starting a double Top rejection towards the 1day MA200.Nasdaq / US100 is pulling back after a Double Top formation at 16970.
The 1day RSI is already inside a Channel Down, much like the patterns of the July 19th 2023 and February 03 2023 Tops.
They both declined by -9.00% on average.
Sell and target 15850, which is slightly over the bottom of the Rising Wedge (Rising Support) - 1day MA200 - 0.5 Fibonacci Support Zone.
Previous chart:
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US100 M30 / NASDAQ SHORT TRADE OPPORTUNITY💲✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to US100 M30. I see more bearish signals at the moment, for example, the chart did not set a new high, meaning that the Bulls are weak. Accumulation at the ATH level and the beginning of the bearish domination after a breakout. My target for this trade is the price of 16360.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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NAS100 - MY BEARISH SCENARIO (TARGET 16500)What are we looking at?
1) An all-time-high (ATH) to end 2023 with fireworks and champagne.
2) A sneaky daily bearish FVG that we know is relevant thanks to step 5 and 7.
3) A retracement creating a range that ends on the notorious 0.618 fib level (weekly fib).
4) The continuation of the general trend, price pulls back into the range and creates a daily bullish FVG. It is indeed plausible that price does continue and forms a new ATH but for arguments sake, I prefer the probabilities a short gives me in a premium market with more liquidity to grab on the sellside.
5) Price halts in the bearish FVG mentioned in step 2 and prior to that created a 4H bullish FVG.
6) The CPI release had price wick into the 4H FVG and back into the consolidation we go!
7) Price wicking at multiple occasions in the daily bearish FVG which is to me a primary signal for a short setup despite all the bullish price action around it. Listen, if price breaks buyside aggressively, no short will be taken. We need price to break a low and then a short structure may present itself.
8) Here we have the potential break to the downside, taking out sellside liquidity. We can also call this a break-of-structure.
9) A pullback for a potential short entry and voilà.
10) 2 targets for partials.
NFA and happy trading guys! ;)
NASDAQ: Potential correction to the 1D MA200.Nasdaq is on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.007, MACD = 103.260, ADX = 29.522) as since January 5th it reversed before testing the 1D MA50 and is near the R1 level (16,980). The last three 1D candles have been flat and with the RSI trading downwards (Bearish Divergence), it is a first sign of a potential technical decline. This is like the top pattern of July 18th 2023, also on an RSI Bearish Divergence. In accordance to that price action, we expect yet another decline under the 1D MA50, for a close test of the 1D MA200. Our target is at the top of the S2 Zone (TP = 15,800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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US100 D1 - Short Signal🇺🇸US100 D1
Another stock index markup here, for those that had a watch of the weekly watchlist video, you would have seen the detailed analysis on this, but we are simply waiting patience for a test of this 17k price, a huge psychological price with ATH’s, D1 resistance and supply.
A truly strong area of confluence, and a rejection here would be amazing, alerts set. Sitting patiently.
US30 H1 / TWO POINTS OF INTEREST / POSSIBLE SCENARIOS FOR LONG✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to US30 H1. I see two possible scenarios where I will look for a long entry in case of confirmation of retracement.
You can see two resistance zones from where I expect US30 will go bearish. In case of confirmation of retracement from the resistance zones, I will execute long trades until the price of 37760.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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