NASDAQ Long-term Rising Wedge top approaching.Nasdaq / US100 is getting close to the top of the Rising Wedge pattern that started in August 2022.
The Triangle pattern formed inside displays similar features with the one tha peaked on February 2nd 2023.
That formation eventually pulled back to the 1day MA50 and 0.5 Fibonacci level.
Sell and target 15850 (expected contact with the 1day MA50).
Previous chart:
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Us100
Can the MAGNIFICENT 7 outperform once more?We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform on this rally since the October Low relative to the rest of the Nasdaq index (NDX). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all previous rallied by at least +50%.
In fact the M7's first major rally (2016 - 2018) rose by +150% while NDX's by +95%. The second major rally (2019 - 2021) registered +363% for MA7 and 'just' +185% for NDX. If there is any progression between them, we can argue that on M7 the rallies increase by a constant of (0.41) while on NDX by (0.51). Of course the sample isn't big enough for solid conclusions. But there is a Higher Lows trend-line on both that is driving this logarithmic growth. Especially for M7, it has been touched on all corrections.
As a result, a modest target estimate for both could be the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which for M7 is 600.00, while for NDX 27500. Indeed those seem remarkable from the levels we stand currently but the projections can get even more inflated if we follow the 0.41 and 0.51 progressions respectively, which indicate that M7 could rise up to +511% (767) from the recent market bottom, while Nasdaq up to +279% (39700).
In any event, do you think the Magnificent 7 will start to outperform Nasdaq again after November - December's pause?
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US100 H4 / POSSIBLE RETRACEMENT UNTIL THE PRICE 15735 ✅Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for US100 H4. NASDAQ just set a new ATH (All Time High), and now I expect a retracement until the price of 15735. A very strong move this week. In case of confirmation, it would be a good opportunity to execute a short trade.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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NASDAQ Hit the ATH but has one more push to give.Nasdaq (US100) hit yesterday the 16772 All Time High (ATH) level, reaching in the process our 16680 short-term target as shown on our December 11 call (see chart below):
The dominant pattern on the 4H time-frame is a Channel Up and the price is trading on its middle. As long as the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) supports, any pull-back is a buy opportunity for at least one more push marginally above the 5.0 Fibonacci extension, as it happened on the November 14 pump. Our target is 17300.
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NASDAQ One opportunity to target 17300Nasdaq is trading inside a Channel Up.
The current Rising Wedge which is dring the price on the current bullish leg resembles that of October 27th - November 7th.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Sell below the MA50 (4h).
Targets:
1. 17300 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension which was the target top of the mid November rise).
2. 15700 (Support 1).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) sequences among the two bullish legs are identical, confirming the bullish sentiment towards the 1.618 Fibonacci.
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NAS100 US100 Technical Analysis London Open / NY OpenThis video provides a detailed analysis of the NASDAQ. Presently, it has reached a robust resistance level on the weekly timeframe. The market appears quite stretched, presenting a potential counter-trend trading opportunity around the London Open. If missed, there might be another chance around the New York Open later today. Throughout the video, we delve into essential technical aspects such as price action, market structure, and the prevailing trend. It's crucial to note that this content is purely educational and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
US100 ~ Ho Ho Santa Rally or EOY Bah Humbug Bust? (4H)CAPITALCOM:US100 chart mapping/analysis.
Nasdaq 100 consolidating into key macro economic news, much like S&P 500.
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Bullish reaction to macro economic news = break above ~16167 trading range (yellow dashed) towards ascending trend-line (green) / red box confluence zone.
Bullish extension target(s) = new historical highs surpassing ~16770 November 2021 high.
Bearish reaction to macro economic news = break below ~15690 trading range (yellow dashed) + descending trend-line (light blue) towards 78.6% Fib / 200SMA dynamic support confluence zone.
Bearish extension target(s) = descending trend-line (white dotted) / ascending trend-line (green) / Golden Pocket confluence zone.
US100 Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 16026.2.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 16571.0 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NASDAQ: Channel Up soon to test the ATH.Nasdaq is almost overbought again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.937, MACD = 245.100, ADX = 36.889) but that shouldn't affect it much as it is trading on the lower band of the November Channel Up. Leg 1 of the bullish sequence that made the Nov 15th HH extended to the 2.382 Fibonacci level. As the 1D RSI is identical to that Leg and shows that we are roughly halfway there, we remain bullish aiming again at the 2.382 Fib extension (TP = 16,840) which is marginally over the All Time High of 16,780.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100) Bullish Rally Continues
US100 successfully violated a resistance of a horizontal range on a daily.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a strong bullish trend,
such a breakout confirms a highly probable trend continuation.
Next resistance - 16500
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NASDAQ BULLISH OUTLOOKThe Nasdaq 100 witnessed a robust recovery driven by investor enthusiasm surrounding the future of artificial intelligence (AI). This surge followed the launch of Google's cutting-edge Gemini AI model, generating positive market sentiment supported by analysts' favorable remarks. Simultaneously, market speculations about potential changes in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy saw the yen ascend while the dollar dipped.
In a swift market overview, the Nasdaq 100 rose by 1.5%, countering a three-day decline in the S&P 500. This surge in tech stocks like Alphabet (GOOGL) and AMD (AMD) reflected the bullish sentiment surrounding AI's anticipated role in future economic growth.
Key insights revealed a pivotal role for AI in driving economic growth beyond 2024, with investors speculating on potential central bank rate cuts in the coming year. Notable corporate developments included setbacks for Tesla's self-driving technology efforts and Dish Network's (DISH) significant stock surge post-FCC approval of its merger.
Looking ahead, market focus gravitated towards forthcoming economic data releases. Events like Germany's CPI and Japan's household spending and GDP data were anticipated alongside the US jobs report and University of Michigan consumer sentiment. These data points were expected to guide future economic and market directions.
The most recent US jobs report, indicating nearly 200,000 new nonfarm jobs in November with stable average earnings, bolstered market optimism. Although the report showed a positive labor market, it raised concerns about inflation due to higher average earnings, pushing yields higher. However, investors remained cheerful, interpreting the data as a sign of a softening, rather than collapsing, job market.
The Federal Reserve's stance on inflation and future rate decisions became a focal point for markets, with speculation around potential rate cuts in the coming months. The markets awaited signals from the Fed to gauge its approach in balancing inflation and economic growth.
The overall sentiment was cautiously optimistic, with markets closely monitoring developments in AI, central bank policies, labor market dynamics, and upcoming economic data releases to navigate potential market shifts in the days ahead.
On the technical side, both MACD and RSI are showing BUY signals, with possible target of 16307.48. If the trend reverses, as pivot point might be considered 16040.98, from where the price might drop to 15818.18.
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NASDAQ Targeting the ATH minimumNasdaq established its price action over the 4hour MA50 again.
A Channel Up is emerging, and could be a very aggressive one as the 4hour RSI is already overbought.
You can buy now and target at least the 16785 ATH.
If the price breaks over it and after re-testing it holds, re buy and target 17850 (+13.65% rise like the first leg of the Channel).
Previous chart:
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NASDAQ Last obstacle before a Christmas rally.Nasdaq (NDX) completed the short-term pull-back we called on our latest November 29 analysis (see chart below), hitting our 15750 target and then rebounding:
This rebound can seasonally be the start of the end-of-the-year rally, which the market calls 'Santa' or 'Christmas' rally. However, one last Resistance level remains before it is confirmed and that is the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the (blue) Channel Up, which happens to also be synched with the Lower Highs trend-line of the 4H RSI.
If the index closes a 4H candle above it, we will buy and aim for a +6.34% rally (from the bottom), which has been the minimum bullish sequence since June, and target 16680 (Resistance 1), which is the December 28 2021 High, essentially the first Lower High of the 2022 Bear Cycle. A notch higher on that rally, the index can even test the 16770 All Time High.
On the other hand, if Nasdaq breaks below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down first, most likely will have made contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) by then, we will sell instead and target 14900 (-7.60% from the Lower High, which is the minimum short-term decline since June).
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Nasdaq (us100) - H4 - Careful!!There is some reasons that I think Nasdaq is going to experience a fall in near future:
1) The federal reserve still wants to keep interest rates higher for longer.
2) These prices for stocks it means the market think the fed is going to decline interest rates for 1.25% in December 2024!
3) Retail investors buy 7 billion Dollar of stocks, but Banks just buy gold!
Be careful!
US100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis And Trade Idea NAS100Lately, the NAS100 has displayed a strong bullish trend. This video extensively explores the trend, meticulously analyzing price movements and identifying possible trading prospects by thoroughly assessing both the weekly and daily timeframes. Anticipate a detailed assessment of price behaviors, market patterns, trend assessments, and key technical analysis components. It's crucial to emphasize that the content provided is purely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
US100 H4 | Bullish bounce?US100 could bounce off our buy entry level and potentially reach our take profit level.
Entry: 15596.04
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop Loss: 15394.07
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support level.
Take Profit: 15851.34
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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NASDAQ: Healthy pullback serving as end of year rally vessel.Nasdaq is pulling back today after the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross and the 1D technical outlook turned neutral (RSI = 54.419, MACD = 183.360, ADX = 45.724). This has so far achieved at offsetting the previous overbought condition on the chart. Technically it can be a HH rejection on a newly emerging Channel Up. This can serve as a buy opportunity either on the S1 level or if it is extended on the S2 and the 1D MA50 for the end of year rally. Our target is the ATH (TP = 16,775).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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