US100 Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for US100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 21,249.90.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 22,102.42.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Us100
US100 Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 21,549.6.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 22,260.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NASDAQ rebounding strongly on its 1D MA50. 1 month rally ahead.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and hit last Tuesday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) exactly on the Channel's bottom. Even though it marginally broke it, the 1D candle closed exactly on the 1D MA50, causing a strong bullish Friday reaction.
As today opened equally green, we technically view this sequence as the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, which may be confirmed today if the 1D RSI breaks above its MA (yellow trend-line), as both previous Bullish Legs did.
Our Target is 22600, which represents a +9.00% rise, the minimum a Bullish Leg had within this Channel Up.
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NAS100 - Nasdaq, no interest in Santa Rally!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply zone will provide us with the conditions to sell it.
In the annual rebalancing of the Nasdaq Index, the shares of Tesla, Meta Platforms, and Broadcom saw a reduction in their weighting, while Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet gained more weight. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, this marks the second time in roughly a year that index regulators have adjusted the allocations for its largest members.
The rules governing the Nasdaq 100 are designed to prevent a small number of companies from exerting excessive influence on the index. These rules have become increasingly relevant in recent years due to the extraordinary growth in market value of major companies and advancements in artificial intelligence. Although the Nasdaq 100 is weighted by market capitalization, certain limits are enforced if a few companies grow disproportionately large.
This recent rebalancing may have been prompted by a rule that allows regulators to reduce the weighting of the top five companies to below 40%, with other adjustments made accordingly. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, remarked, “At times, the Nasdaq 100 has to take such measures because it becomes a victim of its own success; the largest stocks in the index have grown significantly faster than others.”
This year, the shares of major technology companies have risen sharply due to advancements in artificial intelligence. Broadcom, a key chip supplier for Apple and other tech giants, reached a market value of $1 trillion. Tesla also surged by around 75% following the U.S. presidential election.
In the Nasdaq 100, Apple’s weighting increased from 9.2% to 9.8%, while Nvidia rose from 7.9% to 8.4%. Microsoft and Amazon also gained weight, and Alphabet saw a slight increase. However, Broadcom’s weighting fell from 6.3% to 4.4%, Tesla’s dropped from 4.9% to 3.9%, and Meta’s decreased from 4.9% to 3.3%.
Currently, over 200 exchange-traded products, with combined assets totaling approximately $540 billion, track the Nasdaq 100 or its variations globally. Athanasios Psarofagis of Bloomberg Intelligence noted, “This highlights the increasing influence of index providers on market dynamics.”
Last year, thanks to the resilience of the economy, strong earnings reports, a 100-basis-point rate cut by the Fed, and the leadership of the Mag7, the S&P 500 recorded 57 new all-time highs (ATHs).
On Friday, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, speaking at the Maryland Bankers Association, outlined the conditions needed for rate cuts and discussed the broader impacts of the new tariff plan proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. Barkin downplayed the immediate and direct effects of the tariff program. Markets do not anticipate any rate changes in the upcoming Fed meeting.
The private and non-farm payrolls report (ADP) set to be released on Wednesday, along with Thursday’s weekly jobless claims data, could offer a clearer picture of the U.S. labor market ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Additionally, the ISM Services PMI for December, scheduled for release on Monday, could provide further insights into the overall performance of the U.S. economy, as the services sector accounts for over 80% of GDP.
The minutes of the December Fed meeting will also be published on Wednesday, but they are unlikely to have a significant impact on markets as updated economic forecasts have already been released.
The November Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a sharp increase in job creation, with 227,000 new jobs added to the U.S. economy. This contrasted with just 12,000 jobs added in October, marking the weakest job growth since December 2020. If the December report also indicates that October’s weakness was temporary, some investors might conclude that even two rate cuts in 2025 would be excessive. This could contribute to the continued strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies.
The key question is whether the stock market, given expectations of fewer rate cuts, will continue its downward trend or recover with signs of robust economic performance.
NAS100 Price ActionHello Traders,
Our Supply Demand Analyzer indicator has identified fresh zones that price has yet to test. These untouched zones present high-probability areas where price action is likely to respond—potentially moving from a strong demand zone to the next key supply zone.
Additionally, I’ve highlighted two types of breakout patterns:
1. Curve Breakout – An early signal indicating a potential breakout.
2. Channel Breakout – A more confirmed breakout pattern for added confidence.
You can leverage these supply and demand zones to plan long entries effectively.
Pro Tip: Always prioritize risk management before executing your setups.
Wishing you profitable trades and continued success.
Happy Trading!
NAS100 Bull BiasCurrent Market Structure:
1. Trend Analysis:
• The price is still within a well-defined ascending channel.
• The recent price action shows a pullback toward the channel’s midline after hitting resistance near the upper channel boundary.
2. Key Levels:
• Resistance:
• 21,400–21,500: Price is near this key zone, which aligns with previous swing highs. A break above this could confirm further bullish momentum.
• 21,800: The next significant resistance, where a potential rejection could occur.
• Support:
• 21,200–21,300: Immediate support zone near the current price. A break below may lead to a retest of the channel’s lower boundary.
• 20,766 (blue line): Major support that aligns with previous lows and the base of the channel.
Possible Scenarios:
1. Bullish Case:
• If price holds above 21,300 and breaks through the 21,500 resistance zone, there’s a strong likelihood of a move toward the next resistance at 21,800 or even the upper boundary of the channel at 22,200.
• Buy confirmation: Look for bullish momentum candles or a retest of 21,400–21,500 as new support.
2. Bearish Case:
• If the price fails to break 21,500 and falls below 21,300, we may see further downside toward 20,766 (blue line).
• A break below 20,766 would invalidate the bullish structure and potentially lead to a deeper pullback toward 20,400–20,321.
Indicators to Watch:
• Trendline Interaction: The price is near the channel midline. A bounce or rejection here will determine the direction.
• Volume: A breakout above resistance zones requires strong volume for confirmation.
• Momentum Indicators (e.g., MACD/RSI): Watch for divergences or crossovers that might indicate a shift in momentum.
Trading Plan:
1. Long Setup:
• Entry: Above 21,500, after a breakout and retest.
• Target: 21,800, then 22,200.
• Stop Loss: Below 21,300 (midline).
2. Short Setup:
• Entry: Below 21,300, after rejection.
• Target: 20,766, then 20,400.
• Stop Loss: Above 21,500.
Conclusion:
The market remains in an ascending channel, favoring bullish bias unless 20,766 is broken. Monitor price action at 21,300–21,500 for confirmation of direction.
NASDAQ Double Bottom starting the new bullish waveNasdaq / US100 is trading inside a 5 month Channel Up.
The price made a Double Bottom on January 2nd and rebounded today back to hit the 4hour MA50.
If it crosses above the Falling Resistance, we will have a technical confirmation of the new bullish wave, similar to September 12th 2024.
That bullish wave hit the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target 22400 (Fib 1.236).
Previous chart:
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NASDAQ 100 index / US 100 outlook Based on the previous week rejection of the 21742.33 zone, I'm anticipating price to come back to 21610.60 which is my daily point of interest for sell continuation (a pullback os anticipated) taking the Monday high as Inducement. But I'm looking forward to catching the pullback with the H4 POI: 21045.73 , yesterday's low as Inducement hence buying till we reach my daily poi before the sell continuation.
What's your outlook on this.
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US100 - Key Levels and Recovery Potential in Focus🚨 US100 Market Update 🚨
Today’s price action on the Nasdaq (US100) is displaying a recovery from a strong bearish impulse earlier in the session. Let’s dive into the chart and key actionable levels:
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
Bear Day: $21,380 is a critical resistance level. A breakout above this zone could pave the way toward the Close Day/Week level around $21,500.
Sellers are heavily defending this zone, making it a key battleground for the day.
Support Zones:
Bear Week (Yellow Dashed Line): $21,260 is providing strong intraday support. This level needs to hold for the bullish recovery to sustain.
Day - ATR: $21,120 represents the lower bound for today’s session. Breaching this level could trigger accelerated selling pressure toward $20,960.
Bullish Swing Zone:
The $21,240 region aligns with the start of bullish interest. A confirmed bounce here could lead to upward momentum toward the next resistance levels.
Volume Profile Insights:
High Volume Nodes (HVNs): A significant volume cluster exists between $21,260 and $21,300. This zone is pivotal for determining market direction.
Low Volume Nodes (LVNs): A gap near $21,180 suggests potential for rapid price movement if the price revisits this area.
Market Structure:
The recovery off the lows is showing signs of strength, but resistance at the Bear Day level has yet to be broken.
The Volume Profile reveals a consolidation near the mid-range of $21,300, indicating indecision in the short term.
Strategy Suggestions:
Longs:
Entry above $21,380 with a target of $21,500 and $21,520. Stop-loss near $21,320.
Alternatively, consider buying near $21,240 if bullish momentum resumes.
Shorts:
Entry below $21,260 targeting $21,120 and $20,960. Stop-loss above $21,300.
Scalping Opportunities:
Use the range of $21,260–$21,380 for intraday scalps until a breakout or breakdown occurs.
Final Notes:
Nasdaq is currently range-bound, and key levels like $21,260 (support) and $21,380 (resistance) will dictate the next move. Watch for volume spikes and strong candle closes to confirm any breakout or breakdown scenarios.
🔔 Are you bullish or bearish on Nasdaq? Let me know in the comments!
NASDAQ headed into a volatile January but uptrend remains intactNasdaq (NDX) is yet again testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the direct hit of December 20. Despite the pull-back, it is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in.
Until we get a 1W candle closing below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the pattern remains intact and the strategy is to continue buying into the current Bullish Leg. The previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg has been trading above its 1D MA50 since September 12, it is not unlikely to see a correction below it.
Technically, it could be similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), as we are trading within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range. This means that one more rise above the 0.382 Fib is to be expected in the first week of January but it is likely to then see a correction for the rest of the month below the 1D MA50 into the first 2 weeks of February.
If after that, the 0.5 Fib and 1D MA200 levels hold, we expect the Bullish Leg to resume the uptrend and target 25300. That would be a rise of around +48%, which is the % rise of both previous Bullish Legs.
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"US100 / NASDAQ 100 / US TECH" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Goal 🎯: 22,800.0
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NAS 100: Bullish Trend with Year-End Pullback - Where To Next?In this video, I analyze the NAS 100 on higher timeframes, starting with a quick top-down review to explore a potential trade setup. The three-week and weekly charts indicate a bullish trend; however, as we approach the end of the year, there’s some pullback and uncertain price action. I share my insights on the current market conditions and discuss a possible trade idea. Please note, this is not financial advice.
NASDAQ: Technical pullback presenting a buy opportunityNasdaq got oversold on 1H due to the strong selling on opening but remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.372, MACD = 205.380, ADX = 49.545) as it is still over the 1D MA50. More specifically, it was the rebound on the latter last Friday (Dec 20th) that has initiated the current bullish wave. This is the 5th bullish wave inside the 5 month Channel Up and as long as the 1D MA50 continues to support, we are expecting a new High. As with the prior Highs, we are targeting the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 22,550).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NVIDIA | 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME | STOCK TRADINGHello guys, I made NASDAQ:NVDA analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY NVIDIA 137.26 - 134.44
🟢TP1: 140,90
🟢TP2: 144.90
🟢TP3: 150.90
🔴SL: 128,03
Stay with love guys.