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Us100

Nasdaq WE ARE DOOMED! IF Trump will keep doing same bs)NQ on top of the range, have to wait for weekly opening because there are few direction where it can go 1 - without correction all the way up till 20044 and 20200( daily IFVG) 2 - correction till breaker ~19200, liq grab rebalance here and all the way up 3 - it will be deviation of the range that we had then aggressive market shift( ChoCH) with FVG small pull back to 19200-19400 (depends on FVG) and then all the way down till 18-17-16k (red line)
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Almenio
US100 - Corrective Pullback into FVG + Golden Pocket setup?This 1H Nasdaq chart paints a classic structure of retracement within a bullish leg, offering potential for continuation after a clean corrective move into inefficiency. It's all about balance restoration before the next impulse. --- 1. Resistance Reaction & Local Distribution Price faced strong rejection at a clearly defined Resistance Zone , marking a point of supply where sellers stepped in with aggression. - The sharp rejection indicates profit-taking from earlier longs or a short-term distribution zone. - Structure is transitioning from impulsive to corrective, suggesting a pullback is unfolding rather than a trend reversal (at least for now). --- 2. Short-Term Demand Zone Holding Price (Gray Box) Before reaching deeper liquidity, price is hovering above a local demand block —a previously unmitigated consolidation that supported the last push up. - This gray zone may provide temporary support, but lacks depth of imbalance. - It's a weak floor, and smart money typically seeks deeper fills for proper re-accumulation. --- 3. Fair Value Gap Below (Primary Draw on Liquidity) The key area of interest lies just below, where a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) is formed. This imbalance represents a void in price action where buy-side inefficiency remains. - Aligned with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement range (confluence entry). - Price is likely to seek this inefficiency for proper rebalancing. - It’s not just a “fill the gap” play—it’s a liquidity grab where smart money is most likely waiting. This zone is ideal for reaccumulation before resuming the move higher. --- 4. Internal Structure Suggests Bullish Intent After Fill Price is forecasted to: - Step 1: Break beneath the short-term demand to draw in liquidity - Step 2: Tag the FVG zone, tapping into fresh demand - Step 3: Shift structure via higher low formation and breakout This is the behavior of an engineered retracement—not panic selling. --- 5. Macro Bias Still Bullish – Controlled Pullback While the short-term price action looks bearish, the context remains supportive of upward continuation: - No signs of aggressive selling below structure - Current flow is corrective, not distributive - FVG zone is strategically placed in alignment with optimal trade entry levels (OTE) If this zone holds, expect a return to bullish expansion targeting inefficiencies left behind on the push down. --- Conclusion: This setup is textbook: - Efficient rejection at resistance - Controlled retracement into FVG with Fibonacci confluence - Potential structural shift post-rebalance Watch for bullish intent to return once the imbalance is filled. Until then, this is not a breakdown—it's a setup.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Louigi_24
42
NAS100USD: Bullish Scalping Opportunity Within Fair Value GapGreetings Traders, On NAS100USD, the current market structure is clearly bullish. To capitalize on this momentum, we aim to align our intraday opportunities with the prevailing trend. At present, price has retraced into a fair value gap (FVG), presenting a potential high-probability zone for a bullish reaction. Upon receiving confirmation, this setup offers a favorable opportunity to enter long positions, with the objective of targeting the liquidity pool situated above. Key Focus: Structure: Bullish Entry Zone: Fair Value Gap (retracement) Target: Overhead liquidity pool As always, ensure confirmation before executing any trades, and remain disciplined in managing your risk. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
2
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels. Current Situation: The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement. Potential Bullish Scenario: A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245. Potential Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322. Conclusion: The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
SKILLING:US100
by AccumulationPro
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Liquidity GrabGreetings Traders! As we transition into the New York session, increased market volatility is expected. Currently, NAS100USD is showing signs of potential further bearish continuation. This outlook is supported by a draw on liquidity toward downside liquidity pools and a notable inefficiency—an unfilled gap left earlier in the week. Key Observations: 1. Unfilled Gap – A Draw on Liquidity: The market has left behind an inefficiency in the form of a price gap, which typically acts as a magnet for price. Although such inefficiencies are not always filled immediately, they often become targets for future price movement as the market seeks balance. 2. Reclaimed Order Block Breach – Engineered Liquidity: Price has recently broken below a reclaimed order block that was serving as a temporary resistance zone. This indicates that the market was hunting for liquidity at a relatively premium price—above a key resistance level. The presence of relatively equal highs in this area further supports the notion that this was an engineered liquidity zone. Engineered liquidity refers to zones designed by smart money to entice retail participation. Once sufficient liquidity is gathered, institutions then drive price through these zones to execute large sell orders at a premium. 3. Downside Targets – Liquidity Pools and Gaps: With resistance now confirmed as engineered liquidity, smart money is likely to shift focus to the downside. Key targets include liquidity pools at lower price levels and the aforementioned inefficiency, which represents an area of fair value—ideal for profit-taking and potential continuation of institutional selling. Trading Strategy: Monitor price for confirmation within any short-term retracements. Selling opportunities aligned with institutional intent may present themselves as price gravitates toward the inefficiency and deeper liquidity zones. Stay focused, remain patient, and ensure all trades align with your trading plan. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Quick technical piece on Nasdaq100From the technical side, we are near the short-term downside resistance line, which if broken, may open the door towards higher areas. But will it be enough? Let's take a look. MARKETSCOM:US100 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US100
by Marketscom
NAS100USD: Will Price Fill the Gap?Greetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe that the market is currently operating within a broader bullish institutional order flow. However, recent price action has left behind an inefficiency—a gap that may serve as a short-term draw on liquidity. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Gap in Price – Inefficiency Identified: Price has created an imbalance that is yet to be filled. Typically, such inefficiencies act as magnets for price, drawing it back before resuming its primary trend. In this case, the gap may be partially filled as the market seeks equilibrium. 2. Draw on Liquidity – Last Point of Efficiency: The last point of efficiency below current price levels may serve as the draw on liquidity. This level could attract price action as institutions look to rebalance orders and facilitate continuation. 3. Active Order Block – Potential Entry Zone: Price is currently testing a bearish order block. Upon confirmation, this area may offer a short-term selling opportunity with the objective of targeting the liquidity pool and the inefficiency below. TRADING PLAN: Entry Consideration: Look for bearish confirmation within the current order block zone before entering. The goal is to trade the short-term retracement within a bullish environment. Profit Targets: Target the liquidity pool and the unfilled gap near the last point of efficiency as short-term objectives. Remain diligent, patient, and aligned with your trading plan. Always conduct your own analysis to ensure any setup is in harmony with your strategy and risk tolerance. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
NAS100USD: Bearish Bias Expected to Hold After RetracementGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we maintain a bearish outlook despite short-term bullish movements in price action. These bullish signs appear to be corrective and in alignment with institutional objectives to rebalance inefficiencies created during yesterday’s sharp decline. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Inefficiency Rebalancing Completed: Price has retraced to fill fair value gaps left behind by recent downside volatility. With those inefficiencies now rebalanced, we anticipate a continuation of the dominant bearish institutional order flow. 2. Buy Stops Taken – Institutional Order Pairing: The sweep of buy stops confirms liquidity collection for institutional sell-side positioning. This aligns with a classic distribution phase, where institutions utilize buy-side liquidity to enter short positions. 3. Institutional Resistance – Rejection Block: Price is currently reacting at a key institutional resistance zone, known as the rejection block. This zone, formed prior to the latest downside move, may act as the final area of resistance before renewed bearish continuation. TRADING PLAN: Entry Consideration: Monitor price behavior at the rejection block. Upon confirmation, this area offers a high-probability setup for short entries. Profit Targets: Focus on targeting liquidity pools resting at deeper discount levels. These areas represent logical destinations for price based on institutional order flow dynamics. Remain diligent and patient in your execution. Let the market confirm the direction before committing to a position. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
NASDAQ Decision making becomes easy after seeing this chart.NASDAQ (NDX) is currently on the 3rd straight red month (1M candle), following the February High and subsequent sell-off due to the Trade War. This has been analyzed extensively in previous analyses and how the fundamental scene is only now starting to show some positive progress but still has a long way to go. Technically though, the picture is very clear and favors long-term investing. The market has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the U.S. Housing Crisis in 2008 and along with the 2022 Inflation Crisis, those have been the only real Bear Cycle events in the past 18 years. In between those there have been another 5 shorter term corrections, that offered great buying opportunities for the long-term and the recent 3-month one classifies as one. There reasons are three. First it has come very close to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which only broke during the Major Corrections. Second, the 1M RSI hit the 50.50 Symmetrical Support, which has held during all those 5 prior Minor Corrections. Third, those corrections only range between two Fibonacci levels. The current correction fulfills all those conditions. And since the 'weakest' rally we've have on this 5 event sample has been +37.57% and the strongest +96.77%, we have a medium-term Target on Nasdaq at 22800 and a long-term one at 32500. Do you still reserve doubts at investing long-term after seeing this macro chart? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
1
NAS100 - Will the stock market go bullish?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for the next Nasdaq long positions with a good risk-reward ratio. Economists remain divided over whether President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are weakening the economy enough to trigger a recession. Some believe the possibility of a recession is significant, citing the rising costs of tariffs that are burdening both businesses and consumers. Others argue that the U.S. economy is strong enough to weather the trade war without falling into recession, pointing to resilient employment levels and consumer spending. Forecasting experts also express differing views regarding the risk that Trump’s tariff campaign could tip the economy into a downturn. A Wall Street Journal survey conducted in April among 57 economists revealed that, on average, participants estimated a 45% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months—up from just 20% in the January survey. The economic outlook took a notable downturn in February, when Trump began announcing tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. Many forecasters, who had expected a “soft landing” from post-pandemic inflation, are now preparing for a possible recession, as these tariffs and other economic barriers are forcing both households and businesses to tighten spending. A separate survey of financial professionals working with businesses found that many companies have recently faced greater difficulty in collecting payments from clients, indicating growing financial strain among key economic players. The Credit Managers’ Index, overseen by the National Association of Credit Management and monitored by economist Chris Kuehl, still showed growth in March, though at a slower pace than before. On the more optimistic side is Allen Sinai from Decision Economics, who assigns only a 20% probability to a recession within the next year. Although this is an increase from his January estimate of 10%, he still considers it an unlikely scenario. Sinai’s primary reason for optimism is the strength of the labor market, which has remained stable since recovering from the massive layoffs during the COVID-19 lockdowns. March’s unemployment rate was 4.2%—close to historic lows—and not indicative of an economy in recession. One major point of disagreement between recession pessimists and optimists lies in the interpretation of consumer sentiment data. Surveys have shown that people are increasingly worried about inflation, the job market, and their personal finances. If such concerns lead to more cautious consumer spending, it could weigh heavily on the overall economy. The upcoming week is expected to begin quietly in terms of economic data releases, particularly due to global markets being closed on Monday in observance of Easter. However, midweek brings key reports that could significantly influence market expectations. On Wednesday, the preliminary S&P Global composite purchasing managers’ index for April and March new home sales figures are due. Thursday will feature a packed slate of indicators, including durable goods orders, jobless claims, existing home sales, and the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index. Alongside the data releases, investors will closely monitor remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Following Jerome Powell’s firm stance last week, upcoming speeches by Kashkari, Goolsbee, and Harker could shape or reinforce market expectations regarding the Fed’s future policy path. Meanwhile, Apple is grappling with mounting challenges in the global marketplace. In China, the company has lost a significant portion of its market share, with sales declining by 9%, while Huawei’s sales have grown by 10%, and Xiaomi now holds the top spot with an 18.6% market share. These shifts reflect a notable pivot in Chinese consumer preferences toward domestic brands. Furthermore, U.S.-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods have put additional pressure on Apple’s profit margins in its home market, placing the company in a tough position.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 Testing Lows: Will a Bounce Offer a Sell Opportunity?NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis 🧐 Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path 🏦, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment. 1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture 🗺️ The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone ⚠️. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively. A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating. 2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure 🏗️ My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4). This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area. Anticipated Scenario: I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it. Point of Interest (POI): The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. 👍 3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15): Entry Confirmation Trigger 🔫 The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level). What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows). Confirmation Signal: For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for: A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high). Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows. Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level. Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary). Synthesized Outlook & Strategy: The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback. The Strategy: Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). 🧘‍♀️ Confirmation: Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). 📉 Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry. Targets: Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. 🎯 Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. 🛡️ Fundamental Check: cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. 📰
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
3
NASDAQ: Stop the noise. Long term investors are buying here.Nasdaq may be recovering on its 1D technical outlook but remains bearish on the 1W (RSI = 37.616, MACD = -451.790, ADX = 38.564) as the timeframe is still under the dramatic effect of the 3 month correction. The market however appears to be finding support a little over the 1W MA200 and may turn out to be the new long term technical bottom as the 1W RSI rebounded from oversold grounds. The last three times that happened, the index rose aggressively. The 15 year pattern is a Bullish Megaphone and every rally inside it obviously gets stronger. As long as the market is holding the 1W MA200, the trend will be bullish and this is the right opportunity to buy for the long term, aiming at another +113.90% bullish wave (TP = 36,000) to get hit towards the end of 2027. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope
2
US 100 - At a Critical Crossroads The US 100 index shows intriguing price action as it navigates key technical levels. Currently trading at 18,967.2 , the market has formed a clear double top pattern at the resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion in the uptrend. Key Technical Observations: The chart reveals strong resistance near recent highs around 19,024.3 , with price struggling to break through this ceiling. Below current levels, we spot a double bottom formation that previously provided support, creating an interesting tension between these patterns. Notable price levels include: - Resistance: 19,024.3 (double top confirmation) - Support: 18,961.7 (recent swing low) - Critical zone: The weakened gap that remains to be filled below current prices Market Dynamics: The minimal +0.02% change indicates indecision at these levels. The presence of liquidity pools both above and below suggests potential for volatility when either side gives way. Trading Considerations: A break above the double top resistance could signal continuation of the uptrend, while failure to hold current levels may see price test lower supports to fill the gap. The tight range between 18,961.7 and 19,024.3 suggests an impending volatility expansion. The market appears to be at an inflection point where the next directional move could be significant. Traders should watch for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or breakdown below support before committing to positions. Final Note: This technical setup presents clear risk/reward opportunities, but requires confirmation before acting. The double top pattern would only be validated by a break below the interim support levels. Disclaimer: Market conditions can change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should be verified with additional indicators. Always use proper risk management.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by wdstrades
25
US100 - Lots of opportunities unfoldingChart Overview: This analysis focuses on the US 100 (NAS100) index, sourced from CAPITAL.COM . The chart highlights critical price levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) , and a Buy side liquidity (BSL) , offering actionable insights for traders. Key Observations: 1. Price Action & Structure: - The index has shown significant volatility, with a clear Break of Structure (BSL) indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. - The price is currently navigating between key support and resistance zones , marked by horizontal levels. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): - Two prominent FVGs are visible on the chart, representing areas where price may revisit to fill imbalances. These zones often act as magnet levels for price retracements. - Traders should monitor these FVGs for potential entry or exit opportunities , depending on price reaction. 3. Critical Price Levels: - Resistance Zones: - 20,250.0 : A major psychological barrier. - 19,750.0 - 20,000.0 : Intermediate resistance cluster. - Support Zones: - 17,000.0 - 17,250.0 : Strong historical support. - 16,000.0 : A pivotal level for long-term bias. Trading Strategy: - Bullish Scenario: A break above 20,250.0 could signal further upside, targeting 20,500.0 and beyond. - Bearish Scenario: A drop below 17,000.0 may confirm a deeper correction, with 16,250.0 - 16,000.0 as the next target. - FVGs as Confluences: Use the identified FVGs alongside volume and momentum indicators to refine entries. Timeframe & Validity: This analysis is based on the daily timeframe (Apr 19, 2025) and remains valid until key levels are breached or new structures form. Final Notes: Always pair this analysis with risk management (stop-loss, position sizing) and confirm with additional indicators (RSI, MACD, volume). The market may fill FVGs before continuing its trend. Like, follow, and comment if you found this useful! Happy trading!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Louigi_24
38