Nasdaq US100: Positioned for a Breakout to New Highs!After a deep retrace on the daily timeframe, I’ve initiated a long position on the Nasdaq US100. The plan is to ride this wave back to its Higher High, capitalizing on the recovery momentum.
Technical Insight:
• Key Structure: The market has shown strong respect for the current retracement levels, providing a solid base for a bounce.
• Trendline Support: Price action aligns well with the trendline channel, indicating potential for upward continuation.
• Fib Levels: The pullback reached a critical zone, signaling that buyers may step in to push the price higher.
Let’s see how this plays out! Always remember to trade with proper risk management and pay yourself along the way!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Us100
NASDAQ Triple buy signal.Nasdaq (NDX) is having a very aggressive correction early into the week, mostly due to Chinese start-up DeepSeek. Fundamentals aside, this move has taken the index back to its 1-month Support Zone, which has given an excellent buy entry 3 times already.
At the same time, it has come the closest to the Higher Lows trend-line that has been in effect since October 01 2024, while the 4H RSI entered its oversold (<30.00) Support Zone, which in the past 3 months has offered the 5 most optimal buy opportunities.
This is in our opinion a Triple Buy Signal on the short-term, which should test at least the Lower Highs trend-line at 21800, before patterns on the wider, longer term time-frames take over.
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Bearish Shift in NAS100: What’s Next for the US100 Trend?👀 👉 In this video, we take an in-depth look at the NAS100, analyzing its trend, market structure, price action, key support and resistance zones, and how liquidity is influencing the market. Currently, the US100 is approaching an important support level following a bearish market structure shift. We discuss possible strategies if the trend continues. All the details are covered here. Please note, this is not financial advice.
NAS100 - Is Nasdaq on track to record a new ATH?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the supply zone, we can look for further short positions on Nasdaq with a risk-to-reward ratio. Nasdaq’s position in the demand zone will provide us with short-term buying conditions.
President Trump announced that the U.S. government plans to invest $500 billion in artificial intelligence infrastructure. This project, carried out in collaboration with companies such as OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank, aims to create 100,000 jobs.Trump also pledged to support the project through emergency declarations.
OpenAI, along with SoftBank, Oracle, NVIDIA, and ARM, announced the start of their collaboration in technology development. This partnership includes Microsoft’s commitment to Azure, with plans extending until 2030.
Microsoft confirmed that it will maintain its strategic partnership with OpenAI and participate in the Stargate project. This collaboration includes new agreements granting Microsoft priority rights to utilize the new capacity. Additionally, Microsoft will leverage OpenAI’s intellectual property (IP) in its products, such as Copilot.
This week’s economic calendar is dominated by major events related to central banks. The U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada will announce their interest rate decisions on Wednesday, while the European Central Bank will follow on Thursday.
Additionally, several significant economic reports are expected. On Monday, data on new home sales for December will be released. On Tuesday, reports on durable goods and the Consumer Confidence Index will be published. On Thursday, the U.S. GDP for Q4, weekly jobless claims, and pending home sales data will be announced. Finally, on Friday, the PCE index (the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation), along with personal income and spending reports, will be released.
It is projected that the U.S. economy will grow at an annualized rate of 2.6% this quarter, compared to 3.1% in the previous quarter. If the data surpass expectations, the likelihood of the Fed adopting expansionary policies may decrease. Similarly, inflation data from the PCE index and consumer income and spending reports on Friday will play a crucial role in shaping expectations for rate cuts.
Unlike the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada, the Federal Reserve is expected not to reduce interest rates. The robust U.S. economy and inflationary pressures have left the Fed with limited room to lower borrowing costs. This situation existed even before Trump’s administration and the Republican-led Congress implemented tax cuts and tariff hikes.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stated that the Fed has no predetermined path and may raise interest rates if new government policies lead to higher inflation. However, inflationary pressures have recently eased and could continue to decline in early 2025. Christopher Waller, a prominent Fed official, recently hinted at a possible rate cut in the first half of the year, but market reactions to his comments were muted, with only minor dollar weakening following news of Trump’s tariffs.
Several major companies are set to release their quarterly financial updates this week. Among them are some members of the Magnificent 7, as well as leading firms in technology, energy, finance, and manufacturing. Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla are scheduled to report on Wednesday, while Apple will release its financial information on Thursday.
Tesla’s report comes as Elon Musk, its CEO, has taken on a role in President Trump’s administration. The company’s recent vehicle delivery data fell short of analysts’ expectations.
Microsoft’s planned report follows last week’s announcement of a $500 billion AI initiative, which includes Microsoft-backed OpenAI. Meta’s report comes as the company raises its investment forecasts for emerging technologies such as AI. Meanwhile, Apple’s report is being released amid analysts’ downgraded ratings due to concerns about demand for its new iPhones.
NASDAQ You will not be scared to invest in tech after this.Nasdaq / US100 has just started a massively bullish phase long term.
Both on 1month RSI terms and pure monthly candles, the index has entered 2025 the same way it entered 1992.
That was the start of Nasdaq's Internet Bubble, much like today we have established the era of Artificial Intelligence.
A.I. has given us a glimpse of its enormous growth potential in 2023-2024 but that is nothing compared to what's coming.
Eventually it will turn into a Bubble that will pop but we don't know how high it can go before it does.
It it repeats the Internet Bubble, the it should burst by 2031/32 in levels around 10000, no matter how crazy this price may seem now. In fact it shouldn't surprise you as Nasdaq quadrupled in the past 7 years.
In any event, this chart serves as a reminder to long term investors like us, that investing in technology stocks is a 'must' going forward into 2025.
Previous chart:
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Nasdaq market analysis: 23-Jan-2025Good morning. Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis and educational insights for price action traders.
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NAS100USD: Analyzing Bullish Institutional Order FlowGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe the continuation of bullish institutional order flow, presenting potential opportunities to align with this trend. The focus is on identifying evidence that supports taking bullish setups with proper confirmations.
Key Observations:
1. Institutional Support Zone:
Price is currently resting at a bullish order block, a strong institutional support zone.
This order block is reinforced by an FVG (Fair Value Gap) positioned above it, further solidifying its significance.
2. Liquidity Dynamics:
Sell stops resting below a recent low have been taken out, aligning with the order block.
This suggests institutional activity, as liquidity has been created for order pairing (buying against sell-side liquidity).
3. Price Positioning:
Despite being at a premium price relative to the intermediate high and low, there is no strong evidence to suggest a continuation into a discount zone.
The liquidity sweep below the low strengthens the case for a bullish reversal from the current level.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Await confirmation at the current institutional support zone before taking buy setups.
Target Levels:
Focus on liquidity pools resting at the highs, as these are likely institutional profit-taking zones.
By aligning with institutional order flow and leveraging evidence of liquidity sweeps and strong support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum. Always remain vigilant and ensure confirmation before entering positions.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NAS100USD: Building Support for a Bullish BreakoutGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market exhibits bullish momentum, and we aim to align with this narrative by focusing on bullish setups. Confluences supporting this direction include key institutional support zones that present opportunities for potential buy entries.
Key Observations:
1. Retest of a Breaker Block:
Price is currently retesting a breaker block, a critical area of institutional support.
This zone represents where institutions mitigate prior sell orders and reinstate buy orders, offering a strategic entry point.
2. Confluence with FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The breaker block aligns with an FVG, further strengthening the support zone and enhancing its reliability for buy setups.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Look for confirmation within the breaker block and FVG area to establish buy positions.
Approach: Focus on scalping opportunities, given the current short-term market structure and setups.
By leveraging these institutional support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum with precision and discipline.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ: 4H MA200 held, Channel Up targeting 21,850.Nasdaq has just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.079, MACD = 48.410, ADX = 18.587), which is a strong buy signal after two days of consolidation, considering that the short term pattern is a Channel Up. Assuming that consolidation was its latest correction that had to test the 4H MA200 as support, we now expect the pattern to resume the uptrend and target the R2 level (TP = 21,860).
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Back to Bullish Trend
US30 Index completed a bullish accumulation in a wide
horizontal sideways range on a daily.
Its resistance was broken on Friday and we see a positive
bullish reaction to that after its retest.
There is a high probability that the market will continue rising.
Next resistance - 44360
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NASDAQ Major Lower Highs break-out just took place!Nasdaq (NDX) broke on Friday above the Lower Highs trend-line that started more than a month ago on the December 16 2024 High that initiated the recent correction. This has technically been a Bearish Leg within the +2 year Channel Up and every time such a structure broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, a strong rally followed.
At the same time, the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 neutral level and out of the 9 previous time this took place, it only failed to produce an immediate rally 2 times.
We technically see that the current Bullish Leg that started on the August 05 2024 Low, isn't over yet, so we still expect it to complete a +47% to +48% rise before a stronger correction. As a result, our Target is 25000.
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NAS100 - Nasdaq index path, after the inauguration!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply range will provide us with the conditions to sell it.
As markets prepare for Donald Trump’s inauguration, the dollar has weakened slightly. Early signals suggest that no significant changes in tariff policies are imminent, leading to a minor dip in the dollar’s value. Over the weekend, Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had a positive conversation. Following the call, Trump tweeted, “Just had an excellent conversation with Xi Jinping of China. This was very good for both China and the U.S. I expect us to solve many issues together, and we’ll start immediately.”
Meanwhile, the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq Technology Index has reached its highest level in two years. Bloomberg data shows the 30-day correlation index between the world’s largest cryptocurrency and the Nasdaq stands at approximately 0.70, indicating closely aligned movements between the two assets.
On another front, Jared Bernstein, head of Joe Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers, has warned that the incoming Trump administration’s potential interference in Federal Reserve interest rate policies could risk a resurgence in inflation. Bernstein emphasized the importance of maintaining the Fed’s independence and noted that executive actions should not influence interest rate decisions.
TD Securities predicts that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady during the first half of this year. However, it expects rate cuts to resume in the second half, with the terminal rate reaching the low 3% range. This strategy reflects the economy’s need to digest Trump’s new policies, particularly on tariffs and immigration.
This week’s economic calendar is relatively light.Both the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed on Monday, January 20, 2025, in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.
Later in the week, key economic data will be released. On Thursday, the U.S. weekly jobless claims report will be published, followed by preliminary S&P Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and existing home sales figures on Friday.
Bank of America forecasts that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will reach 4.75% this year, with the potential to surpass 5% depending on Federal Reserve decisions. However, it sees a low probability of yields exceeding 5.25%.
The bank cites a strong macroeconomic backdrop and a hawkish Federal Reserve, suggesting that any rate hikes will depend on inflation data. Bank of America also notes that yields near 5% could represent a compelling buying opportunity, provided the Consumer Price Index remains stable or declines slightly.
Uptrend or Reversal? Unpacking a Case for NAS100! The NAS100 has been trending bullish recently, but when we zoom out to a higher timeframe, there’s a case to be made for a potential bearish opportunity. In the video, we explore the trend, price action, and market structure, analyzing how it’s approaching a key resistance level. We also discuss a possible trade setup if the conditions align. This is not financial advice.