Get started

Us10y!

US10Y: Channel Up intact but first time on a Bearish Divergence.US10Y continues to rise inside a long term Channel Up, with its 1D technical outlook bullish (RSI = 57.618, MACD = 29.942, MACD = 0.116). The 1D RSI though is for the first time in the recent months under a LH bearish divergence so for the first time the probabilities for a bearish reversal get stronger. Consequently, if the price crosses under the Channel's bottom, we will see and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 4.600). Until then, we will but on the first 1D candle that closes under the S1 level, aiming at a +10.70% rise (TP = 5.185). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:US10Y
by InvestingScope
EURO VS U.S. DOLLAR. TO LOW, OR NOT TO LOW. THIS IS THE QUESTIONThis publication is for Euro against U.S. dollar, and quick and simple as well as all other publications by @Pandorra 2023 is about the end, so let's take a look on technical perspectives for FX:EURUSD . The main graph is EURUSD semi-annual 6-month chart (yes, they also exist on TradingView, as well as quarterly 3-month charts and annual 12-month charts). EURUSD is being concentrated on multi year floor, with lowest levels at semi-annual close around 1.05 (actual again in this time). Well, recently being inspired with finding NASDAQ:TLT multi year floor, I guess that breaking down the 1.05 floor in EURUSD can turn the price much and much lower. Maybe to 1.6 Euro for 1 U.S. Dollar somewhere in mid or late 2020s, or early 2030s. Patience.. Patience.. and once again Patience.. The Time will show.
by Pandorra
#US10Y Yields perhaps a little extended here short term?Got to be brave trying to run infront of this steamroller, but we are starting to see signs of bearish divergence where price(yield) is making higher highs, not confirmed by the RSI and MACD which are currently making lower highs. This could be warning of a short term reprieve in yields which could be bullish risk assets. However, given the current environment with conflict in the middle east, one has to becareful
TVC:US10YShort
by MarcoOlevano
How the Fed affects long Bond YieldsInverse chart of US10Y Yield to show changes in Bond prices. Overlayed with the following: Fed Funds Rate US Treasury Deposits to Federal Reserve Banks Increase/Decrease Rate of change to Fed Balance Sheet Balance Sheet Total in separate pane below The USCBBS Percentage Change shows the money raining down :-D It's clear to see the relationship between the Fed buying Treasuries, i.e. Quantitative Easing (QE) and the increase in US10Y prices. Quantitative Tightening (QT) is the name of the game now. There is A LOT of QT left to do, we're at most 25% into QT since the Fed has only rolled off roughly 1Trillion. They likely have 3+ Trillion to go. Expect US10Y to be under continued pressure as long as QT is in effect. Even when Fed Funds rates are lowered it will have little effect on US10Y while the biggest buyer of Treasuries is on hiatus.
TVC:US10Y
by RobBiddle
US 10Y TREASURY: has finally topped?It was a sort of game of nerves during the previous week, watching the US 10Y yields reach the level of 5%. This occurred for the first time after 2007, but the difference on charts was that no one was sure whether yields would stop at this level. It was such a strong push to the upside, after Fed Chair Powell's speech at the Economic Club of New York on Thursday. Although he said nothing new with respect to potential further rising of interest rates or inflation, still, the markets did not want to hear that jobs and economic growth need to suffer in order to bring the inflation down to 2%. Adding to it the developments within the Middle East crisis, the perfect storm occurred with US Treasuries. Friday`s trading session brought some ease in 10Y Treasury yields, so they finished the week at the level of 4.91%. In case that they continue to ease in the week ahead, then the level of 4.80 might be the next stop for yields. However, in the case of any potential negative news which might bring yields to the higher grounds from 5%, it would certainly not be at all a good sign for the future prospectus for the US economy.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Bitcoin decopule with US10Y ? Where to look in bull cycle ?It has been commonly accepted that when yields and rates rise then higher risk assets should fall in value as money is tempted by yield returns This relationship seems to be getting tested as Bitcoin and US10Y moves up together. It does give impression that bitcoin is not as risky as potentially imagined and can be seen as a flight to safety or "quality" to quote Fink. If bitcoin continues then it is commonly accepted that it will lead out smaller caps in the cryptosphere Its important to note that Bitcoin (on average) moves first. Why this is important is because it flies in the face of those who say Bitcoin will give less return then 'X' coin because in the very end X will ultimately move up more in % terms. However, if Bitcoin (on average) leads out the rest then the opportunity to reallocate lays mostly with those holding bitcoin. If you have to wait and watch as the rest of the market booms to see smallcap X coin eventually make its move.. then you have little chance of redistribution and any compounding. Whereas Bitcoin holders can take profit during btc move and redistribute into smallcap X coin pre its own breakout and essentially compound growth in that cycle. Where after Bitcoin? I believe that safe bets beyond Bitcoin that will move well post bitcoin runs are the sub sector monopolies within the cryptosphere. Coins that dominate their sector. Clear example is Uniswap's UNI.
by SoftQuant
4
US10Y Bearish Divergence tells us it may be time for correctionLast time we looked at the U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y), it gave us a technical bounce and profitable buy signal (see chart below) as the Higher Lows trend-line held: This time we get an opposite signal as the 1D RSI formed Lower Highs, while the price is on Higher Highs, which is a technical Bearish Divergence. The asset is still supported both by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Higher Lows 3 trend-line since the May 04 Low. Our strategy is to sell and target a price slightly above each Higher Lows trend-line, then re-sell if a 1D candle closes below that Higher Lows trend-line. Target 1 is 4.745, if a 1D candle closes below Higher Lows 1, we will re-sell and target 4.645 (expected contact with the 1D MA50). If Higher Lows 2 break, then re-sell and target 4.465 on Higher Lows 3 and a projected contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:US10YShort
by TradingShot
1
Citizens Financial Group. Possible Upside on Q3'23 Earnings CallBond pressure... Pushing' down on me, Pressing' down on you, No man ask for... Technical graph says that possible upside with NYSE:CFG stocks could be possible, with projected/ targeted line at 52W SMA. With 6.20% dividends yield, double-digit operating yield and P/B just at 0.6, NYSE:CFG securities can be considered as quite undervalued. The protection level can be considered as multi months (6-, 12-months) low.
NYSE:CFG
by Pandorra
🐹 Caution To All TLT Hamsters - TBT Has More Room to DeliverTBT is a UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF. This Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the Daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. 1. Always look first. Never rush into a trade or investment blindly. 2. Wait, and wait again, for the pattern to develop. 3. Be patient and use alerts to get notified when the time is right. 4. Measure trading ranges and adjust your plan for sideways action. 5. Look for bases and consolidations. 6. Zoom out and look for historical levels of support and resistance within those bases or consolidations. 7. Markets can go sideways longer than traders can stay solvent. 8. Adjust your stop loss and take profit targets for the choppy price action. 9. Be prepared for false breakouts and false breakdowns. 10. Choppy markets do not trade like trending markets. Technical picture in AMEX:TBT indicates it has possibility to further upside price action, up to 57 - 60 U.S. dollars per share, as key multi year resistance (5-years simple MA) has been successfully broken at the end of 2022.
AMEX:TBT
by Pandorra
US 10Y TREASURY: weight interest rate outlookThe US Treasury yield eased a bit during the previous week, after a sharp move to the upside, during the past two weeks. This comes as a result of market expectations that the Fed might skip further rate increases during the course of this year. Latest published inflation figures are indicating that the inflation is clearly on its down-path, but still there are some uncertainties which might impact its short reversal, especially due to geopolitical tensions. The 10Y Treasury yields started the previous week around 4.8% level, but soon eased and reached level of 4.5%. Still, yields are finishing the week around 4.6% level. As markets are now increasing probability for Fed to pause its further rate hikes during both November`s and December`s meetings, it could be expected for US Treasury yields to further ease. They will start the week ahead around 4.6%, with a high probability for 4.5% to be tested one more time, but there is no indication on charts that 4.4% might be reached in the week ahead.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US10Y Bullish as long as the 1day MA50 holds.The 10year Bond Yields / US10Y is trading inside a Channel Up since May 1st. The last two weeks the price is pulling back after a Higher High rejection and Double Top on Resistance A (4.888), aiming at the bottom of the Channel Up. That is a buy opportunity to target 4.888 again. If on the other hand the 1day MA50 breaks (is untouched since July 20th), sell and target 4.222 (Support A). Keep an eye on the Rising Support of the 1day RSI also for early bearish signals. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:US10Y
by TheCryptagon
5
$DXY & $TNX & Rates show signs of exhaustionThe US #Dollar has pulled back a bit: At MAJOR SUPPORT At Green Moving Avg = Support RSI is at 50 (neutral bullish unless crosses lower) Weekly TVC:DXY is 50-50 The RSI is curling over but the MACD is now above 0 = down trend over Hmmm, interesting scenario Not sure what to make of it Monthly #currency ------------------------------- The 2Yr #Yield broke the recent up trend. While it has performed better than shorter term #interestrates it's gotten weaker recently. The RSI & MACD have been trending lower for some time and it's much easier to see on a weekly! Look @ that Severe Negative Divergence! Could rates be DONE? ------------------------------- The 10 Yr #Yield on the other hand has built good deal of steam lately. Weekly it is overbought. Monthly it's overbought as well. But what is interesting is that the MACD has only been higher 1x than current scenario. MACD histogram lower (arrow) = future MACD neg crossover? However, it's nowhere near as weak as short term #interestrates TVC:TNX
TVC:US10Y
by ROYAL_OAK_INC