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Us10yr_long

US10Y yield to 8%+I know most people don't think this is a possibility, but I think it's highly probable. I think we'll see the US10Y break the recent highs and head to 5.59% as the first target to the upside. Then I think we'll continue the bullish trend and end the bullish move in yields at 8.13%, I think at that point, that's when you'll want to go long risk for the long term. I think shorting the 10yr and 20yr bonds, might be a great trade over the next 6 months. I think the start of the move might take a little bit to play out, but should really gain steam from March onwards. Let's see what happens over the coming months.
TVC:US10YLong
by benjihyam
3
$US10Y Reaches 16 Year High, Short-Term Forecast & DiscussionThe TVC:US10Y has been extremely bullish since May 2023, and has gained more strength after the Fed's hawkish announcement that led to a "higher for longer" interest rate environment. The TVC:US10Y has broke through numerous resistance levels to reach its 16-year high. From a technical analysis perspective, the TVC:US10Y has a tendency to have strong bullish rallies with breaks above the Bollinger Band (marked by yellow lines). We are observing that scenario in the current bonds market. There is a likelihood that the rally continues for a few more weeks (approximately 1-4 weeks). However, I think the TVC:US10Y and bonds market are due for a correction back down to the EMA ribbon. A strong bond market hurts equities because investors perceive TVC:US10Y as a less riskier investment alternative. This is hurting SP:SPX in the short term, but a peaking TVC:US10Y could also signal the bottom of the SP:SPX correction at current levels. For now investors are waiting for Friday's jobs data after the Tuesday JOLTS job openings data came in worse than expected.
TVC:US10YShort
by realchartchamp
1
Dollar and treasury yields are back on the marchU.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Friday to their highest since July 21 and U.S. stock futures fell by almost 1%, along with similar losses in Europe. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was up 8 basis points at 2.967% as the Fed indicated July meeting minutes that it would continue hiking rates until inflation slows down significantly, although the central bank could soon decrease its pace of tightening. The 10-year Treasury yields above its 100-day exponential moving average, yields may extend its strength to 3.00% mark with the dollar's rally.
TVC:US10YLong
by AlyaAkram
US 10 year yield, US 10Y The most important chart of all the markets is this little kid here. This chart shows us the cost of US government borrowing which also means the strength of the US dollar as cash in the investors portfolio, As we can see in this monthly graph that the government's 10-year borrowing yield is 3% (high going back to 2018 before COVID) What is the meaning of this? It means that the cash held by households, investors and institutions has reached its peak, as no one is buying and not investing and inflation has remained high and the Federal Reserve will target higher rates on the federal funds, All this leads to increased risk appetite as bond yields may regress south + inflation starts to fall = real yield will approach 0% after being in negative territory. The bear market will be over and risky assets like cryptocurrencies may welcome decent green days if not months. *Note, if the 10-year US yield continues to rise to 5% and 6%, then we will see the euro, stocks, Japanese yen, as well as cryptocurrencies in the best place to buy them all
TVC:US10Y
by ghattas360
US10Y: U.S. 10 Year Treasury (Does inflation eat money?)There are two channels in a row on the chart. One of them is the Fibonacci Channels, while the horizontal ones are the Fibonacci Retracement. The overlapping point of these two channels is 1.93% and we predict that we will reach this point in a short time. Of course, we don't say this just by looking at the lines on the graph. With the latest incentive package, the money that will flow to the markets is obvious, and everybody says that inflation is coming. Growth in the US will be very strong, and this will inevitably result in deferred demand turning into a buying act ... It contains only personal views and opinions. Does not contain legal investment advice ...
TVC:US10YLong
by EmoteK
ridethepig | US Yields Breaking Higher!So much for the 5th wave... the formulation has truncated after the payrolls report. This is an example of an erroneous freeing. In similar patterns, the rebound will translate in a 5 wave impulsive sequence which is somewhat cramped after the knee-jerk reaction from covid. The appropriate positional response to the lows here is to ride the pig , what we are talking about is taking measures outguessing the road to normalisation of rates which we have not yet recognised as such. Now we turn to the analysis of play in unemployment claims, despite how the media are selling business as usual we have a long (and likely sluggish) road to recovery, because of the poor handling of lockdowns and closures. The one who is playing the macro data always has the upper hand, but this is especially the case once we clear the 'knee-jerk reaction' from the virus. The recurring bankruptcies, layoffs, social unrest and shutdowns have been forgotten about after politicians promising diversions! Smart money will not move so easily. Retail will pay their tribute in the form of horrible losses to an unconditional truth. Vix has completed the round trip, first prize to all those riding it from 85! Of course the swing from 85 was no less imaginative than the swing from +/- 11 lows: We are entering into a new development for volatility, my models are forecasting a dramatic expansion into year-end which will make it very difficult for manual or emotional players. 2022/2023 looks like the start of the next bull run in global equities, expectations are for advanced conditions to remain with us for 12-18 months.
TVC:US10YLong
by ridethepig