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Us2000

Russell 2000: historical drawdowns point to more downside riskThe Russell 2000 's drawdown from its peak has been important (-26%), but not as severe as those seen during the dot-com bubble in 2002, the 2008 financial crisis, and Covid-19 at the start of 2020, when the US small-cap index plummeted by more than 40%. To reverse the current downtrend of the Russell 2000 , the underlying causes must also be reversed, which are primarily rising inflation and the need to raise interest rates. US ECONOMY: MACRO OVERVIEW Inflation is now widespread and is not solely due to increases in energy prices, such as oil and natural gas . The United States still has a very tight labour market that requires a rebalancing of supply and demand, to avoid further wage pressures. There are currently nearly two job openings for every unemployed American ( FRED:JTSJOL / FRED:UNEMPLOY ) and the labor-force participation rate has not recovered to pre-Covid levels. The result is a strong pressure on salary growth , which is currently at 11% year-on-year. The combination of higher energy prices and wage pressures raises labour input costs for US firms. Those who are unable to pass on higher costs to their customers will see their profit margins dwindle dangerously. In addition, since the Fed is firmly committed to raising interest rates , higher borrowing costs represent an additional drag on the growth outlook of small-cap firms. RUSSELL 2000 index: outlook The market believes that a recession will cause the Federal Reserve to slow its rate hikes or even reverse its policy stance. However, the Fed's focus remains solely on inflation, as the labour market remains close to full employment. To rebalance the labour market, the Fed will continue to raise interest rates aggressively. The short/medium term outlook on the Russell 2000 index remains bearish until the Fed signals a change, which is unlikely unless there is a major recession. A 40% drop from the peak would be a good entry point for opportunistic buyers to step in, indicating a wide bullish positioning clean-up. Such a level of drawdown corresponds to a Russell 2000 index level of 1,450.
TVC:RUT
by Capitalcom
1
NAS100 [US100] Daily Outlook | July 15Long Term Outlook: Looking at NAS100 Daily TF, the instrument remains bearish until 12949.00 level is broken. I see a trend-line joining 13500, 12949 and 12175 indicating that price may yet see 11163 area with enough volume . Short Term Outlook: a. Market is ranging between 11843 and 11773 zones, 1HR break and closure above 11843 zone could drive price to test 11997 area with partials closure at 11930.66. b. On the other hand, the break and closure of 1HR price bar below 11773 zone, we may yet see a dip down to 11538 with partials closure at 11625 zone. Let me know what you think in the comment section. NOTE: I trade NAS100 live from Mon-Fri at 8:45 AM EST/ 4:45 PM GST I close 2 trades with massive profits (NAS100 sell and EURUSD sell) during my live streaming yesterday, and all my live audience took advantage of this opportunity to secure good wins. Kindly see my previous streaming video for educational purposes. Join the winning team! -Kings
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by Kingsley_lotanna
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Short term bottom on Russell2000?Trade Idea: Selling EURJPY Reasoning: EURJPY to continue lower? Broken trend and EUR under pressure Entry Level: 1752 Take Profit Level: 1794 Stop Loss: 1741.5 Risk/Reward: 4.15:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
FOREXCOM:US2000Long
by Signal_Centre
US2000 has more room to fall !!RUSS2000 Intraday We look to Sell at 1699 (stop at 1714) We look for a temporary move higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Previous resistance located at 1700. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Our profit targets will be 1645 and 1605 Resistance: 1700 / 1750 / 1945 Support: 1640 / 1470 / 1200 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
UShort
by VantageMarkets