US30 Bearish Momentum | Key Support Levels in FocusUS30 Analysis | February 21, 2025
The price has broken below the pivot line of 44,404, confirming a bearish momentum. Now, it is testing the support zone at 44,051, and a continued failure to reclaim the pivot will strengthen the bearish case toward 43,763 and 43,212 support zones.
For bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 44,404 and break the resistance zone of 44,500 to initiate a potential recovery toward 44,756 and 45,099.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 44075
Resistance Levels: 44190 – 44404 – 44650
Support Levels: 43763 – 43520 - 43212
📉 Directional Bias: As long as the price remains below 44,404, US30 remains bearish, with a high probability of testing lower support levels.
US30
US30 I Bearish Continuation Based on the D1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 344,295.65, a pullback resistance.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 43,313.48, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is set at 45,048.64, a swing high resistance.
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US30 | Consolidation or Breakout? Key Levels to Watch! 📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – February 20, 2025 📉📈
The US30 has been consolidating around the pivot zone (44,404 - 44,550), showing signs of a potential breakout.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price stabilizes above 44,560, we can expect a continuation toward 44,756 and 44,926.
A breakout above 45,000 could trigger further bullish momentum toward 45,323.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
A 4H close below 44,404 may signal weakness, with downside targets at 44,204 and 43,763.
If 43,763 fails to hold, further decline toward 43,212 and 42,769 is possible.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Pivot Zone: 44404 - 44550
🔹 Resistance Levels: 44756 | 44926 | 45323
🔹 Support Levels: 44204 | 43763 | 43212
💬 Will US30 break 44,926 and rally higher, or will it pull back for a correction? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
US30 stalls amid Fed uncertainty and trade policy risks
Macro:
- The Dow remained in a prolonged sideways trend within a tightening range, navigating Fed policy uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and evolving trade policies.
- Markets expect it to stay range-bound until the Trump administration finalizes tariff measures early next month.
Technical:
- US30 is trading in a tight range at the previous top level and awaits an apparent breakout to determine the potential trend.
- If US30 breaks above the resistance at 45000, the index may continue rising to 47146, the 100% Fibonacci Extension level, which is confluence with the Ascending Channel's upper bound.
- On the contrary, a closing below 44000-44200 may prompt a further correction to restest the following support at 43300.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Dow Bullish sideways consolidationThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 44460, the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44460 level could target the upside resistance at 44835 followed by the 45060 and 45140 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44460 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44265 support level followed by 44160 and 43980.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES Rectangle bottom formed. Bullish.Dow Jones hit today its MA200 (4h) and rebounded.
This has come too close to the bottom of the Rectangle pattern that dominates the price action in the past 3 weeks.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Buy again if the price closes above the Falling Resistance.
Targets:
1. 44450 (MA50 4h and Falling Resistance).
2. 45000 (top of Rectangle).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) got oversold and rebounded like on the February 3rd Low. Strong buy signal.
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DOW JONES 1D MA50 supporting huge Inverse H&S push!Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 15 months. The pattern that could be the strongest driving force however in the coming weeks is an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which is about to complete its Right Shoulder.
As you can see this is being strongly supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in the past 30 days and every such IH&S pattern in the last 2 years broke to the upside and hit at least its 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
The 1D RSI sequences between those IH&S fractals are identical and the current RSI Bearish Divergence matches perfectly all previous Right Shoulder formations that preceded the 1.382 Fib push.
As a result, a 46400 Target would be an ideal technical Higher High for the Channel Up.
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DOW JONES: Triangle about to break out.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.474, MACD = 190.020, ADX = 26.060) as it is trading inside a Triangle pattern, sideways around the 4H MA50. A crossing over the R1 level will be a long aiming at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP1 = 48,000), while a crossing under the S1 level will be a short aiming at Fib 0.0 (TP = 42,000).
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US30 Holding Above 44,404 – Breakout to 45,099 or Pullback FirstUS30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – February 18, 2025
The US30 (Dow Jones) is currently holding above the pivot line at 44,404, indicating a potential bullish move. The price is consolidating within an ascending channel, and as long as it remains above this pivot zone, the trend remains bullish.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above 44,404, it is expected to push higher toward 44,756. A breakout above 44,756 would confirm a continuation toward 45,099 and 45,323.
Bearish Scenario: If 44,404 fails to hold, a downside move toward 43,763 could occur. A confirmed break below 43,763 would push US30 further down to 43,212 and 42,769.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 44,404
🔹 Resistance Levels: 44,756, 45,099, 45,323
🔹 Support Levels: 43,763, 43,212, 42,769
📈 Directional Bias: The price is expected to test 44,756 before deciding whether to break higher or reject toward 44,404. Holding above this level keeps the bullish trend intact.
💬 Will US30 break resistance for new highs, or pull back first? Share your thoughts! 👇🔥
US30 Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 44,532.9.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 45,324.8.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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US30 | Holding Support – Ready for the Next Leg Up?📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
🔹 Market Outlook:
Price is trading within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish bias while above key support levels.
The pivot zone at 44,404 is acting as a critical level to maintain bullish momentum.
A break above 44,756 - 44,926 will confirm further upside potential.
🔥 Bullish Scenario:
✅ As long as price holds above 44,404 - 44,570 → Bullish trend remains intact!
📌 Targets:
📍 44,756 (first resistance)
📍 44,926 (next key resistance)
📍 45,099 - 45,323 (major resistance zone & ATH area)
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
❌ A 4H close below 44,404 could trigger a deeper correction.
📌 Support Targets:
📍 44,260 (first support zone)
📍 43,910 (strong demand area)
📍 Below 43,763 = deeper pullback likely
🔑 Key Levels:
📍 Pivot Zone: 44,404 - 44,570
📍 Resistance: 44,756 | 44,926 | 45,099 - 45,323
📍 Support: 44,404 | 44,260 | 43,910
📌 Conclusion:
✅ Bullish momentum holds above 44,404, targeting 44,756+.
🚀 Break above 44,926 will open the door for a test of 45,099 - 45,323.
⚠️ Drop below 44,404 = possible correction to 44,260 - 43,910.
💬 Do you think we push to new highs or see a pullback first? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
BTCUSDT Targeting 120K with 20%-25% Gains Ahead!BTCUSDT is currently showing a strong bounce from its key support level, a critical area that has historically held up during periods of price correction. The price action suggests that BTCUSDT is poised to make a significant move upward, especially as it is testing this support with good volume backing the move. Traders are watching closely as Bitcoin shows resilience and the potential for a price rally toward the 120K level. With expectations of a 20% to 25%+ gain, this setup presents an exciting opportunity for those looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s bounce off this major support zone.
Support and resistance levels play a vital role in technical analysis, and BTCUSDT's current price action is a clear example of how these levels can guide market behavior. After a period of consolidation near the support level, the market has begun to show signs of upward momentum, with solid volume confirming that buying pressure is increasing. If BTCUSDT continues to hold above this support and breaks through resistance, it could trigger a strong rally, pushing the price closer to the 120K mark. This move is in line with broader market trends, with increasing investor interest suggesting that Bitcoin is gearing up for the next leg of its bullish cycle.
The good volume behind the bounce is a positive indicator for traders, as it signals that the market is backing the move. As more investors take notice of the support and resistance levels, the likelihood of a breakout increases, potentially leading to a sharp upward movement. With Bitcoin’s historical ability to break through resistance levels after strong support holds, there’s a growing sense of optimism that BTCUSDT could see further gains in the near term. The projected 20% to 25%+ return is within reach, especially if the momentum continues to build.
Traders should continue to monitor key support and resistance zones, as these levels will be crucial in determining whether the price can sustain its bullish momentum. Bitcoin’s next move could be a critical one, and timing the entry could make all the difference in capturing these potential gains. With the market showing increasing interest in BTCUSDT, this setup could lead to a rewarding opportunity for those positioned correctly as Bitcoin aims for new highs.
DOW JONES is completing a Bull Flag to jump to 46700.Dow Jones / US30 is posting a Bull Flag pattern on the 4hour timeframe, currently between the 4hour MA50 and MA200.
The last time we came across this pattern was with the early September Bull Flag.
Both patterns started after a +8.20% rise on the index.
If the new one repeats September's, then we should see an immediate rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci.
Buy and target 46700.
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Dow (US30) coiling price action after increase in US PPI dataThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. Today, Thursday 13th February 2025 the US (PPI) Producer Price Index data was published showing the increase to 3.5% on a yearly basis in January. The annual core PPI rose to 3.6% in the same period, surpassing market forecasts of 3.3%. On a monthly basis, the PPI and the core PPI rose 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively.
The key trading level is at 44206, the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44206 level could target the upside resistance at 44980 followed by the 45080 and 45200 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44206 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44000 support level followed by 43740.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Awaits CPI – Breakout or Breakdown?🚀 US30 Technical Analysis – CPI Impact in Focus
The US30 index remains within a descending channel, reacting around the pivot level at 44,404. The upcoming CPI report is expected to bring high volatility, as inflation data will influence the Fed's rate outlook and market sentiment.
📉 CPI Impact & Bearish Scenario:
- If CPI remains high or meets expectations (above 2.9%), the Fed is less likely to ease policy, leading to negative pressure on indices.
- A rejection from 44,575 would confirm bearish movement.
- A break below 44,404 will trigger a drop toward 43,763, confirming bearish continuation.
If 43,763 fails to hold, further downside targets are 43,212 and 42,769.
📈 CPI Impact & Bullish Scenario:
- If CPI drops below expectations (<2.9%), markets may rally on rate-cut hopes, pushing US30 higher.
- Holding above 44,404 could drive price toward 44,575.
- A breakout above 44,756 would invalidate the bearish setup, targeting 45,099 and beyond.
Key Levels
Pivot Line 44575
Resistance lines: 44756, 44925, 45100
Support Lines: 44404, 44230, 43890
Trend Outlook:
Bearish if CPI remains high (≥2.9%) & price stays below 44,404 📉
Bullish if CPI drops below expectations (<2.9%) & price holds above 44,756 🚀
💬 Will US30 break down or push higher? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
Dow awaits US inflation reportThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 44206, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 44206 level could target the upside resistance at 44980 followed by the 44080 and 44200 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 44206 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 44000 support level followed by 43740.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES One last drop below the 1D MA50 is possibleDow Jones (DJIA) has found itself in an uncomfortable spot as it's been trading sideways within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance 1 of the December 2024 High, for the past two weeks.
The 1D RSI has already started trending downwards on a Bearish Divergence while the 1D MACD just completed a Bearish Cross. The times we've seen all those conditions fulfilled within the 2-year Channel Up, are in mid-May 2024 and early May 2023.
On both occasions, the price got rejected on Resistance 1 and pulled back below the 1D MA50 to form a Higher Low. After the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, the price confirmed a technical reversal and targeted the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back.
As a result, you might want to keep a buy order waiting for a sub-MA50 drop and buy once a MACD Bullish Cross is formed to target 46500 (Fib 1.5 ext).
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US30 Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 44,546.65.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 45,015.58 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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