Could US30 drop from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 42,413.14
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 42,768.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 41,939.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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US30
DOW JONES - Short from bearish OB !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from OB.
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US30 I Potential long from bottom of the channel & weekly levelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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US30 Analysis in Elliott Waves - Anticipated Correction ScenarioUS30 Analysis in Elliott Waves - Anticipated Correction Scenario :
Fibonacci extensions. This level often signals a potential reversal point, suggesting that a significant correction may be approaching in the short term.
We anticipate a possible correction towards Fibonacci levels, around 23% to 38% of the third wave. The end of this third wave has also formed an ending diagonal, reinforcing the likelihood of a pause or reversal in the trend.
Awaited Confirmation Signals
To confirm the potential for a correction, several technical signals are in place:
Divergences on MACD and RSI: A bearish divergence is present on these indicators, indicating a weakening of bullish momentum and increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal.
Break of the Trend Line: Although the market is still in an uptrend, the break of this trend line would provide final confirmation of the end of the third wave and the start of a deeper correction. Monitoring this break is crucial before entering short positions.
Price Action: On the weekly chart, a Bearish Engulfing pattern has already been observed, further supporting potential sell signals.
Price Targets
First Target (TP1): 38,418, a key support zone expected to serve as the initial correction target.
Second Target (TP2): After a minor bullish correction, we could aim for the 33,735 area as the final target of this downward phase.
After this anticipated correction, we’ll reassess the market to look for new buying opportunities if the bullish trend resumes.
Potential bullish rise?US30 is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 42,387.94
1st Support: 42,084.97
1st Resistance: 42,759.06
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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DOW JONES: testing the 4H MA200 and is expected to rebound.Dow Jones is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.958, MACD = 306.300, ADX = 31.951) as the Channel Up pulled back to almost test the 4H MA200 for the first time since the September 11th Low. This is basically the top of the support zone of the Channel Up and based on the 1D RSI, a strong buy candidate. We turn bullish, aiming at the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 43,900).
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US30 Breakout Setup – Targeting 43700 and 44000 US30 is showing strong bullish momentum with price holding above an ascending trendline,
I am currently seeing consolidation near a key resistance level if price breaks above 43346 it could signal a good buying opportunity,
I am targeting two main levels for take profit:
First target: 43700 (minor resistance).
Second target: 44000 (psychological level).
My Stop Loss is set just below 43000 to protect the trade, right under the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and trendline support,
Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: Above 43346 on a confirmed breakout.
Stop Loss: Below 43,000 (protected by the Fib 0.618 level and trendline).
Take Profit 1: 43700
Take Profit 2: 44000
This setup has a strong risk reward profile and follows the ongoing bullish trend in US30, Watch for a strong breakout before entering the trade!
Best of luck!
Will the market uncertainties impair the Dow?Macro theme:
- The US30 has pulled back from record highs after a long rally, driven by rising Treasury yields and worries over high valuations.
- Investors are watching earnings from companies like Boeing (BA) and Coca-Cola (KO), which could affect market sentiment.
- With mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainties, short-term volatility is expected. Investors are balancing hopes for Fed rate cuts against concerns about economic growth and corporate earnings.
Technical theme:
- From the 4-hour chart, US30 broke its ascending trendline and retested EMA78 and the support level at 42720.
- If US30 breaks below 42720, the index may change the structure sideways and reach nearby support around 42390.
- On the contrary, if US30 remains above 42720, the index may consolidate within 42720-43300 until an apparent breakout occurs.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DOW JONES ahead of an huge rally based on the 2017 fractal.More than a year ago (September 13 2023, see chart below), we posted a long-term fractal comparison for Dow Jones (DJI) between the 2022 - 2025 and 2015 - 2018 periods:
As you can see the 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross eventually placed the index on a huge rally (even though it had to go lower for a month) that hit Target 1 at 42000. The 1W RSI and MACD sequences in 2024 however evolved in such a how that we have to re-adjust the patterns in order to fit the 2017 price action.
The charts now display very symmetric fractals and it appears that we are now on a short-term consolidation (circle) after a +50% rise from the September 2022 bottom. In November 2017, that was the final consolidation before the most aggressive rally of the Bull Cycle that made Dow top and then pull back to test its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
As a result, we move our final target even higher at 49300, which represents a +71% rise from the 2022 bottom, similar to the rise that priced the January 2018 High.
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US30 -Futures dip ahead of earnings-packed weekFutures dip ahead of earnings-packed week
US30 Technical Analysis
The price has recently reached a new high, and to confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, it must stabilize above 43,350, potentially targeting 43,630.
However, if the price closes a 4-hour candle below 43,215, this would suggest a bearish reversal, with the next target being 42,920.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 43215
Resistance Levels: 43450, 43650, 43870
Support Levels: 43025, 42820, 42450
Trend Outlook:
- Consolidation 43350 - 43215
- Bearish By stability below 43215
- Bullish by stability above 43350
DJIA H4 | Potential bullish reversalDJIA (US30) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 42,779.36 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 42,320.30 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Take profit is at 43,369.56 which is a swing-high resistance at the all-time high.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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US30: Seize the Opportunity - Buy Signal Active!US30: Seize this buying opportunity on the US30, as market conditions indicate a potential upward trend. The US30 is currently in a reversal phase, making it an ideal time to enter the market. Pay close attention to technical signals and indicators, as the US30 could soon experience a strong rise. Don't miss this buying opportunity on the US30 to maximize your gains.
DOW JONES 1hour Channel Up on its bottom. Buy.Dow Jones / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up and the price hit its bottom today.
By doing so it almost tested the 1hour MA200, which is holding since October 9th.
Also it completed a decline identical in % terms with the first one of the pattern.
This is a strong buy opportunity. Buy and target 43,450 (top of the Channel Up).
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GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H TF)As you've seen on the update, Gold has or is close to completion of Wave 5 (Wave V) of its bullish structure. Waiting for a minor shift in price action to indicate a bear trend is about to start, but I’m looking to short the market now.
⭕️5 Wave Bullish Move Complete.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
⭕️DXY (Dollar Index) Bullish.
US30 (Dow Jones) Weekly Analysis Alert!🚨 US30 (Dow Jones) Weekly Analysis Alert! 🚨
📊 Resistance Zone: 43,500 - 44,000
📉 Reversal Point: 43,300
🎯 Target: 40,300
US30 is showing signs of a **potential fake breakout** near the 43,500 - 44,000 resistance level. A rejection here could lead to a **downward move**, with the next target around 40,300. Watch closely for a reversal near 43,300!
⏳ Keep your eyes on the RSI and momentum indicators for confirmation! This could be a **great shorting opportunity** if the price reverses.
#Trading #US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingOpportunities #TraderLife #StockMarketAnalysis #MarketTrends #InvestSmart
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NASDAQ - It's Not All Doom And Gloom...NASDAQ 2WEEK CHART
Red EMA = Weekly 50EMA
Blue EMA = Monthly 50EMA
Nasdaq is on a steady incline but with all good things, it must end... kinda. Every so often we get a big correction. The last time we got a correction was in early 2022 where we saw a drop of 38%! After the corrective period ended, we saw a climb of over 100%.
It is likely that we'll see a similar corrective period soon.
We have the Weekly EMA holding up price, which has been respected really well. We can use that as confirmation to tell us when the corrective period has started.
We also have the monthly EMA which we can use to gauge where we'll bounce off from. We could see another 30%-40% drop for the next correction, which will lead us nicely to the monthly EMA where we have seen a bounce previously.
We're still expecting price to move a little higher so we'll be keeping a close eye on this.
As to what will cause this correction is yet to be determined. Various fundamental factors can play a part such as War, Recession, Inflation etc.
If interested in receiving updates for this analysis, do drop a comment and we'll be sure to keep this updated!
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Strong Buy Opportunity on GBP/JPY – Ready to Trade?Exciting trading opportunity on GBP/JPY! If the daily candle closes above the green rectangle, it's a clear buy signal. The stop loss will be placed below the red rectangle, with take profit set at the blue rectangle.
Do you have questions or need analysis on any financial asset? Feel free to reach out to me in private for a comprehensive and tailored analysis!