US30
US30 shortsHere is why;
Daily
Price broke below the region of 39100. There have been two retests. This is as of Tuesday and Wednesday
Wednesday's candlestick engulfed Tuesday's candlestick to the downside. The next noticeable zone 38,500 but I expect price to go even lower.
4 hour
Price has formed a massive 3 pin pattern formation which has broken below 38,865 (this is a minor region where orders were collected). I expect a retest of this region before price continues going lower.
US30 - 4H DowJones is in a pullbackThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is currently facing significant bearish pressure, as indicated by recent market trends and technical analysis. The support trend line has broken, leading to a notable drop in the index. This break, coupled with a clear pullback, presents an opportune moment for traders to consider short positions with a logical stop loss.
From a fundamental perspective, the rising rate of unemployment and the postponement of interest rate cuts are increasing the chances of a recession. These economic indicators suggest that the market could experience further declines as investors react to the potential economic downturn.
DOW JONES Is a new rally starting right under our nose again?Consistent with our macro approach to investing (particularly with stocks), we continue to address the recent stock market correction by examining similar behavioural patterns of the past.
It was 10 months ago (October 11 2023, see chart below), when Dow Jones (DJI) was under another short-term turmoil phase that turned out to be exactly that, short-term:
As you can see on that chart, while most were panic selling, we addressed the idea that Dow was "starting a new Bull rally under our nose". And as you can see, the index did exactly that, as it rebounded at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Rising Wedge, starting a new +23% rally.
Our basis for this projection was the similar Rising Wedge pattern of September 2015 - November 2016 (almost 1 year), which after a fake-out for the week hands (green circle) on January 2016 (as it was on October 2022), it rebounded in October 2016 at the bottom of the Wedge and posted a +19% rally.
You can see that so far the lows are highly symmetrical as the first was priced in the month of October (2016 then and 2023 now) and the next in April (2017 and 2024 respectively).
The initial rally that broke above the Rising Wedge in 2017, had a small upward extension that then gave a new pull-back for an August 2017. If symmetry continues to dictate the price action, then the current August Low (2024), may be our new bottom as Aug 2017 was.
On the past fractal, the new rally was concluded on a +30.72% rise. As a result, we see it highly possible to get a new long-term peak early next year (January 2025 if symmetry continues) at around 49000.
High as this Target may seem at the moment with the current economic slowdown fears, these are the standard conditions that make rallies start "under our nose".. Especially as November's U.S. elections are approaching.
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US30 - DOW JONES - SHORT POSITION Due to the consolidation area at 39 450, we could see possible short opportunities for the US30. Should this be in favour, a sell will continue to levels 38 400. We've also seen a slower upward momentum. Confirmation was given on the Fib Retracement tool at level 0.618
CAPITALCOM:US100 CAPITALCOM:US100 BLACKBULL:US30
US30 Neutral today but expecting price to head upwards longtermI believe that there is no clear cut setup for US30 at the moment. A daily closure would give the best signal for what it is going to happen.
However, I believe that price will go upwards long term.
Here is why;
- Price broke below 40,000 which is a massive weekly region with a lot of bearish momentum.
- Price has not retested 40,000 and I believe we will see a retest in the near future.
- Price went as low as 38,500 where we can see that is the region where most of the bullish orders were filled. 39,000 is also a notable region where orders were filled.
- As of this morning, price is trapped between 39,100 and 38,500. Until I get a full daily closure above 39,100 then I will know whether to buy or sit on my hands.
My thesis as of now is that there is no clear bias to jump on today and that it is best for me to sit on my hands as I wait for price to make a comprehensive decision. I will update if there are any changes during the day.
Dowjones Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 38400 zone, US30 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 38400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dow Jones Index (US30): One More Bearish Setup
I also see a bearish trend following setup on Dow Jones.
After yesterday's selloff, the market started a correctional movement.
On an hourly time frame, the market found a resistance around 39100 level
and formed a double top on that.
I think that the Index may drop at least to 38655 level.
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US30: Day 3 short traders in the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance ✅
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, potential signal of reversal, day 3 short traders in the market, closed yesterday out of balance (out of previous daily level). I would be interested in a long position if the market will hold the consolidation till indexes opening at 9:30am NY time.
Short: secondary, when a market is out of balance can stays out of balance, it can still blowing down in the direction of the main trend. Why Im not interested at the moment? because I let the 3 session setup to drive my main thesis, and at the moment the setup is long.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
US30 / Global Stocks Decline as Investor Sentiment SoursStocks Drop as Early Relief Fades
Global stocks retreated on Tuesday, surrendering earlier gains as the uncertainty from the previous day's aggressive selloff weighed on investor sentiment. This occurred despite central bank officials making reassuring statements to calm the markets.
Current Outlook:
The price is trading in a critical zone, indicating potential breakout movements between 38,770 and 39,130. A decisive move in either direction is required to establish a clear trend, with a greater likelihood of a downward movement.
Bullish Scenario:
- Stability above 39,130 could signal a bullish trend, targeting 39,360 and 39,510.
Bearish Scenario:
- A bearish trend would be confirmed by stability below 38,770, with a 4-hour candle close below this level, aiming for targets of 38,380 and 37,800.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 38,770
- Resistance Levels: 39,130, 39,350, 39,550
- Support Levels: 38,450, 38,100, 37,790
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 38,450 and the resistance at 39,130.
US30 Will Move Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 39,292.10.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 40,213.21 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
US30 longHello traders, I believe that US30 is due for some buy orders to be filled. Here's why;
On the weekly timeframe, price broke below a major liquidity region at 40,000 and has not retested the region. Price might collect orders at 39,215 before it retests 40,000
On the daily timeframe, there is an M formation. There are a lot of orders that have been filled at 39,320. Price may collect orders from that region before going to retest 39,875.
It is a Monday morning, hence I am waiting for the market to get a sense of where it is headed to before I do anything.
Potential bullish rise?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 39,444.43
1st Support: 38,973.24
1st Resistance: 40,213.21
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Oversold Market & Pullback
I think that Dow Jones may pullback on Monday.
The Index became heavily oversold after the release
of US unemployment data on Friday.
The price formed a double bottom pattern on an hourly time frame
and violated its neckline.
I suppose that the price may bounce to 39800
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POST NFP +$4200.00 | Tradingview's "The Leap Competition"Made what I needed to make for the day already and more. Trying to continue to trade is literally adding insult to injury at this point - I am chilling.
Also I am competing in the Tradingview Contest but I will be honest I don't see myself winning that lol. Those traders are crazy good or at least really good at making quick money.
My style is much more of a slow burn. Oh well, See you guys next week :)
DowJones Polar Bear!!According to the linked previous analysis, price touched specified range and the shadow was as expected (a little more than expected) and then the Bearish trend started.
I see #dowjones as a wild polar BEAR.
Bearish trend will continue with swings and corrections.
will be updated...