BTCUSD 4hr Sell pressure is coming! Watching to see if BTC will break below the triangle and continue the "M" pattern. Super clean bearish structure. Let's hope for NFP week to drop BTC out of the sky. With a Hawkish expectation on the DXY, I can only imagine a fakeout. The Feds will stir up the DXY to create a Bloody Friday
US30
US30 M30 | Bearish Drop Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 39342, which is a pullback resistance that is close to 23.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 38953.69, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 39760, a pullback esistance level
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US30: Dow Jones Retreats After Double Top FormationThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has shifted into negative territory, experiencing a notable downturn following a double top formation around the $40,000 mark on April 1st. As of the time of writing, the price has descended to $39,179, exhibiting a reaction near the neckline of the price pattern. This development prompts a strategic approach based on Fibonacci levels, indicating potential pullback zones where sell limits have been set to capitalize on retracement opportunities.
The recent softness in US services activity data has provided a degree of respite for investors, who have been increasingly apprehensive about the implications of robust US macroeconomic indicators on Federal Reserve monetary policy. Specifically, the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dipped to 51.4 in March from 52.6 in February, contrary to market expectations of a marginal uptick to 52.7. Furthermore, the Prices Paid sub-index receded to 53.4 from 58.6, marking its lowest reading in years and indicating a disinflationary trend in the economy. These figures have somewhat counterbalanced the impact of strong ADP employment data and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Powell and Atlanta Fed President Bostic.
In light of these developments, our strategy revolves around anticipating a pullback from the previous zone area, followed by a renewed downward movement. This tactical approach aims to capitalize on market dynamics and potential retracement opportunities, aligning with broader market sentiments and macroeconomic indicators.
As market conditions evolve, continued monitoring and adjustment of strategies will be essential to adapt to changing dynamics and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
its possible to test te highs again This technical analysis sounds promising! Here's a breakdown:
Support Line Test: The price reached a level (support line) where previous buying pressure halted the decline. This suggests demand for the asset at that price point.
Retest of Support: The price dipped back towards the support line but didn't break through. This retest can be seen as a confirmation of the support level's validity.
Together, these pattern suggests a potential reversal:
The price might be bouncing off the support, indicating a possible upswing.
US30Daily
The beginning of a reversal (to the upside) the completion of todays candlestick will help confirm that. It looks to be forming an evening star right at the top of the resistance which adds to our confirmation.
4H
We definitely are still on the right track but we are still just slightly early.
Got the test of the previous resistance (39620) correct just days later
1H
Expanding wedge during a bear channel, yet it is a bullish trend. So we either anticipate this as a reversal (to continue the bear run) or we see this as a reversal to bring back the bulls in the market.
15Min
Wait and watch
DOW JONES Sell the MA50 (1d) break out.Dow Jones reached the top of the late 2022 Channel Up and is already on a 3day rejection.
If it crosses under the MA50 (1d), the strongest short term sell signal emerges.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell if the price crosses under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 38050 (Support A).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is testing the 58.47 level. Past breakouts under this level have coincided with MA50 (1d) break outs, so use it as an additional sell signal.
2. The strongest long term buy entry has been when the RSI (1d) breaks under the 30.00 oversold limit.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Dow Jones - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish convergence.
Expecting short term bearish moves to happen here.
H1 - Strong bearish momentum.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
Bearish momentum to extend?Could the DJIA (US30) extend its current downturn beyond the pivot point and drop toward a support level at 38,693.81?
Pivot: 39,078.84
Support: 38,693.81
Resistance: 39,329.55
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD - GOLD 1hrSimple trading:
M - Pattern "Double top"
We look to sell gold for a correction. Gold is respecting the trend, but if the price fails to break above 2265, it could see a possible downside after its massive bullish impulse.
When U.S. bond yields rise:
- Gold prices might decrease as investors find bonds more attractive due to higher returns.
US30 Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 39768.0.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 39375.1 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
US30So wrong or just too early.
Mid way we were moving following our analysis and the bulls just gained energy but that's okay. I did have quite a bad week so it would have affected my thoughts.
Currently 39450, were we anticipated the major drop is where we can adjust and rework our analysis from 1W down to 15min.
Weekly we have a strong bearish candle, which looks to be engulfing the previous week. It's cause of sign because it is happening at the top of the trend.
Daily we had an evening star, that further adds to our analysis and believe of the bears.
4H we had a double top, indicating the fall (39900 being the ceiling). If we get a neckline (39300) break then we off to the races.
1H we'll wait for 39260.
Trade Idea: Wait
US30 Technical Analysis: Counter-Trend Short OpportunityThe US30's bullish momentum has encountered a key resistance level. This presents a potential counter-trend shorting opportunity. Here's the trade idea:
Entry: Sell short at the current resistance level.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the recent high.
Target: Aim for the previous support/imbalance zone established at a prior low.
Rationale: The US30's extended rally into resistance increases the likelihood of a pullback. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio for a short-term counter-trend trade.
Important Note: Market conditions can change rapidly. Manage risk diligently and adapt your strategy as needed.
US30 Bulls still holding strong (buys potentially from 39400.0)US30 remains in a strong bullish stance, and I'm still on the lookout for long opportunities. Last week, we witnessed a retracement in price to fill the previous imbalance, although some imbalances remain. This was adequate for initiating a new rally, as we're currently observing.
Now, I anticipate two possibilities: either price will break past the newly formed high, or it will retrace to address a significant demand level. In the event of a retracement to the demand level, I'll wait for lower timeframe confirmation before preparing long setups, targeting either new highs or significant liquidity points.
Confluences for US30 Buys are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the upside once again.
- Lower and higher time frame remains extremely bullish.
- Clean nearby demand zone on the 18hr or 21hr.
- New high is close by which is a strong level of liquidity tat is lying there.
- After this imminent retracement we can expect a new rally.
P.S. I strongly favor the bullish trend due to several recent breaks of new highs. Additionally, there are several demand zones that have yet to be mitigated. However, given the impulsive nature of price movements, I wouldn't be surprised if we witness further upward momentum, potentially breaking the high once again.
Have a great trading week guys!
Bitcoin - BTCUSD 4hrUPDATE:
Head and shoulder patterns continue. BTC is following a 1hr trend (blue lines). Pay attention to the lower high BTC is about to create. The USD markets are on a holiday break, if the USD news is bullish for GoodFriday then BTC will continue to drop.
***Fed Powell is speaking as well.
This could be the start of the biggest pullback in BTC History.
I am looking for BTCUSD to continue falling as it respects the lower highs.
Tp1: 61500
Tp2: 51500
Tp3: 47500
Tp4: 37749
DOW JONES At the edge of the cliff.Dow Jones (DJI) is approaching the top of the 1.5 year Channel Up, while at the same time holding the Inner Higher Highs trend-line. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) Support is getting increasingly weak as it is now on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the closest it has been to the price action since the the November 2023 break-out.
Technically this is as overbought as it can get on the 1D time-frame and the 1D CCI gives a clear sell signal that is consistent with the late July and January 2023 peaks. On this scale, the time to buy is far from the current prices, quite the contrary, the RR favors selling on the short-term.
We are expecting 38050 (Support 1) to be tested on the 0.618 Channel Fib level. Even though the previous two corrections made -9.25% dips, the time to buy would be when the 1D CCI posts a Higher Low on oversold territory. That was a solid buy signal in 2023. The ideal price level for that would be as close to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as possible, although it is not necessary.
Profit by selling short-term and buying the dip long-term.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Looking for US30 to rise back upWaiting for a internal liquidity sweep of today's low for a possible buying opportunity up to march 21st high. There is liquidity on lower time frames more visible (30min,15min & 5min). I'm personally using 1Hr and 5 min combination for this entry. When there is confirmation on the 5 min chart I'll enter around 39345- 39336 area located in the discount. That huge dump was distribution, we've consolidated in a range monday through tuesday, then made a lower low and got a market structure shift to the upside showing reversal signs. Good luck!