Dowjones Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 38860 zone, US30 is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 38860 support and resistance area.
We would like to add up to current bullish momentum on the US dollar, usually when the dollar is bullish that put some pressure on indices like Dowjones due to the negative correlation
Trade safe, Joe.
US30
US30 H4 | Rising to resistanceUS30 is rising towards a potential breakout level and could breakthrough this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 38898.40 which is a potential breakout level, price could bounce off this level and rise to resistance.
Stop loss is at 38776.96 which is an overlap support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 39185.63 which is a swing-high resistance.
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US30 SELLSUS30 once again had come into the Main 4H & Daily supply zone where I expected rejections. Also 12.30 UK time we had critical new on USD.
I was targeting entry @39235.00 where I entered aggressively with sl@39320.00 (80pts) at 11.30 UK time. Price then came down and broke structure on both 30mins & 1h Once positive USD news was released but then spiked back up to 39247.00 as manipulation but was calm and held.
Aim is to take partial profits at TP
TP1: 39860.00 Tp2: 38500.00 TP3:38300.00
US30 TO NEW ATH OF $43,050 (UPDATE)🚀Remember this US30 analysis I posted back in July calling for a new all time high?👀 This analysis worked out to perfection! Market is now up 5,990 PIPS (18% growth) from our POI😍
Whoever invested into US30 when this analysis was posted, you should all be up now & running in deep profits as we have breached new all time high's!
EURUSD - Be Ready For The Final Wave ✈EURUSD has been recently moving in an uptrend. According to Elliott waves, an uptrend has 5 waves where we have 3 waves in the form of an impulse and two waves in the form of a correction. We are currently in wave 4 ( Correction ) and looking for wave 5 ( Impulse ).
LONG Entry:
Watch for a bounce-off Wave 1 structure that lines up with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and with the major uptrend.
- Stoploss: Below structure
- Target: -0.27 Fib level and channel resistance
- Invalidation: Break of structure and uptrend
Good Luck, and as always trade safe!
US30 Pair : US30 Dow Jones
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves
RSI - Divergence
Break of Structure
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
Impulse Correction
US30 SELL Looking at US30 I was expecting price to reach main supply zone @39050.00 and start to show rejections as I believed the early sell offs were a build up of liquidity. So I was patiently waiting for price to tap into Liquidity and take out these early sellers.
At around 2.30 NYC open volume always comes in and saw price shoot up to 39080.00 where I manually entered sells after seeing price come into my entry range and also seeing a 1min bearish candle. So sell entry @39080.00 with sl@39145.00.
TP1: 38900.00 TP2: 38700.00 TP3:38500.00 TP4:38300.00
Short Idea on the DOW or US30I anticipate further downward pressure on prices, potentially breaking through previous lows. Please note that the chart provided is not intended as financial advice, but rather reflects my personal analysis and expectations. Following the recent CPI news, there was a deceptive upward movement, which I interpret as an opportunity for selling. With buying volume seemingly diminishing, I see potential opportunities for short positions. Wishing you the best in your trading endeavors.
Indices:🔴Is it the major market structure shift?🔴
Well As you can see, we can see the SMT here so we can expect a downtrend.
The first condition is, that we see the price close the candle body below the bullish FVG, only then can we expect the price to go lower to collect the sell-side liquidity.
After that, If the first condition occurs, we need the candle closure below the sell side liquidity, then the price activates the bearish breaker block and the breaker can act as a strong resistance and pull the price down.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️10/03/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Dow Jones: Mixed Economic Data and Dollar DynamicsThe recent release of Initial Jobless Claims by the US Department of Labor has unveiled a slightly higher figure than anticipated. This unexpected uptick is seen as a consequence of the rise in Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 2nd, coupled with lower-than-expected Unit Labour Costs from the fourth quarter.
As market observers eagerly await the arrival of crucial labor market data on Friday, including the Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, and NonFarm Payrolls for February, the trajectory of the US Dollar Index (DXY) hangs in the balance. These forthcoming data points are poised to dictate short-term movements in the DXY.
Moreover, the possibility of additional labor market data releases on Friday raises concerns of imminent rate cuts, which could exert further downward pressure on the Greenback.
On the technical front, the price has reached a critical Resistance level around 38,900, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. In response to this confluence, a selling position has been initiated, with the first take-profit target set at 38,500.
As investors navigate through the complexities of mixed economic signals and anticipate the impact of impending data releases, market sentiment towards the US Dollar remains uncertain. The outcome of Friday's labor market data will likely steer the direction of the Greenback in the immediate future, influencing trading strategies and investment decisions across global markets.
We might see new ATH in DJIA (US30) soon 41k levelsNow I changed my view on all global Indices, any dip looking forward to buy the dip. My stop losses is in place and tight stop losses for now until it breaks last month high. I think we are in major wave 5 and we are in 3(5) in minor cycle considering Elliot wave theory.
this is just my study and I might change my view depending on price action.
EURAUD - Buy The Breakout! ✅EURAUD is currently within a channel. It's appearing as a 535 zigzag and we're anticipating a breakout soon.
Safe entry will be break of the red trendline. Risk entry will be bounce off channel or a lower timeframe trendline breakout.
We'll be targeting the fib levels but it could fall short or go past the fib so we'll be taking a cautionary approach to our targets.
Trade idea:
- Entry on red trendline break (safe entry)
- Risk entry on bounce off channel or lower timeframe trendline break
- Target: 1.67 (600pips), 1.685 (750pips)
Be sure to taper positions as we move higher.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setup below:
US30 15MIN: Technical AnalysisThe US30 has undergone two retests of the 38937.69 level before experiencing a rejection towards the Fibonacci level of 38791.60. Currently, my analysis suggests a potential retest of the 38937.69 high, forming what could be interpreted as a triple top pattern. Subsequently, I anticipate bearish market entry, leading to a break below the 38791.60 Fibonacci level and a subsequent decline to the 38601.69 daily low value. Following this, a bullish effort may ensue to retest the Fibonacci level before gaining momentum for a descent to the profit target level of 38371.99.
US30 Trade IdeaUS530: Riding the Ascending Channel to New Heights
The US30 index has been tracing an ascending channel on the 4-hour chart, a bullish pattern that suggests a continuation of the current uptrend. This pattern is characterized by two parallel upward-sloping trend lines that have been containing the price action.
Key Observations:
Bullish Sentiment: The ascending channel indicates a strong bullish sentiment as it is formed by a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Support and Resistance: The lower trend line serves as support, while the upper trend line acts as resistance.
Trading Strategy: Traders might consider buying at the lower trend line or on a breakout above the upper trend line.
Trade Execution:
Entry Point: A pullback towards the lower trend line could be a potential entry point, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Stop Loss: A stop loss can be placed just below the lower trend line to protect against a potential breakdown.
Take Profit: The height of the channel can be used to project potential take profit levels, either from the point of entry or from the upper trend line if trading a breakout.
Risk Consideration:
Ensure to monitor for any signs of a breakdown below the lower trend line, which could invalidate the pattern.
Adjust positions according to the evolving market conditions and maintain a disciplined approach to risk management.
Trade ideas are speculative and should be considered within the context of your overall market analysis and trading strategy.
This trade idea is based on the ascending channel pattern, which is a common bullish signal in technical analysis. It’s important to combine this with other indicators and market analysis for a well-rounded trading decision. Happy trading!
Bitcoin - BTCUSD 1hr Just so we are clear... I do not trade crypto... but I can not help myself when I see a perfect setup. It's simple trading once again. we are in a bullish market so we are looking for buy opportunities.
*NFP week! We all saw it, Negative USD News!
BULLISH CONFIRMATIONS:
1. massive head and shoulders
2. Hammer above bearish trend high
3. Hammer above Daily Resistance
4. Higher highs above the previous shoulder
*Do not overthink it. We are in a bullish market with clean higher highs.
*Pay attention to Daily and Weekly Close
US30 finally breaking down? (sells from 39000.0)My bias for US30 this week is bullish, anticipating a further upward movement before encountering a 2-hour supply zone around 39000.0. Afterward, I expect a slowdown and distribution within this area before a potential downward move.
Upon receiving confirmation on lower time frames, selling could target the new trendline liquidity above the 23-hour demand zone. If this scenario doesn't unfold initially, I'll wait for a break in structure to the downside to buy back up, as the overall trend remains bullish.
My confluences for US30 Sells are as follows:
- Price changed character to the downside on the higher time frame
- Lots of liquidity to the downside i.e. trend line liquidity and equal lows.
- We've experienced lots of bullish pressure and now bulls are getting exhausted.
- Nice supply zone left on the 2 hourly that caused the move to the downside.
- In order for price to keep going up it must retrace for healthy price action to continue.
P.S. Given the shift in price action to the downside on higher time frames, it appears that a bearish trend is beginning as bullish momentum wanes. Nonetheless, it's crucial to stay flexible and responsive to price movements, adapting to whichever direction it ultimately takes.
US30 sellI had been waiting days for this move and during the week US30 had created equal highs and built liquidity where I was waiting for price to eventually tap into the main supply zone also taking out early sellers.
Upon seeing that volume was coming back into the market at around 2.30pm Uk time I set a sell limit @38950.00 with sl@39000.00 (risking 50pts). Zooming into the 1min once price entered into zone and broke structure to the downside this gave me added confluence.
TP1: 38800.00 TP2: 38650.00 TP3:38450.00 TP4: 38300.00
* Where has the market moved since I entered my trade? PROFITS
* If I looked at the market now, would I take the same trade? yes
* How do I feel about my trade? optimistic
* What do I like about this trade ? precise entry, patience stalking the move
* What do I dis-like about this trade now? nothing just that it may go into next week
* On a scale of 1 to 10, where would I rate this Trade now? 8/10
* If I were not in a trade now, would I take the opposite trade ? no