US30
US30 SHORT/LONG NON FARM PAYROLLAs traders, we constantly seek opportunities to capitalize on market movements driven by fundamental events. One such event that significantly influences the financial markets, particularly the US30 index, is the release of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report. This monthly economic indicator published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provides insight into the overall health of the U.S. labor market, making it a crucial piece of data for traders and investors alike.
Our trading strategy revolves around the premise that the US30 index tends to react strongly to deviations from expectations in the NFP report. Specifically, we have devised a clear approach for trading US30 based on the outcome of the NFP report:
Low NFP Figures (Below Expectations):
When the NFP report reveals figures that fall below market expectations, indicating a potential weakness in the labor market, we anticipate a negative sentiment in the market. Historically, disappointing NFP figures have led to downward pressure on the US30 index as investors interpret such data as a sign of economic sluggishness. Consequently, we will be actively seeking short positions on the US30 index in anticipation of a bearish trend.
Positive NFP Figures (Above Expectations):
Conversely, if the NFP report exceeds consensus forecasts, signaling robust job growth and economic vitality, we expect a positive reaction in the market. In such scenarios, traders typically interpret strong NFP figures as a bullish signal for the U.S. economy and, consequently, for the US30 index. As a result, we will be inclined to pursue long positions on the US30 index, anticipating an uptrend fueled by optimistic market sentiment.
By adhering to this trading strategy, we aim to capitalize on the volatility and directional bias triggered by the release of the NFP report. It's important to note that while this strategy provides a framework for decision-making, prudent risk management and thorough analysis of market conditions should always accompany any trading approach. Additionally, it's crucial to monitor other economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment to refine our trading decisions and adapt to changing market dynamics.
BTCUSD 4hr Sell pressure is coming! Watching to see if BTC will break below the triangle and continue the "M" pattern. Super clean bearish structure. Let's hope for NFP week to drop BTC out of the sky. With a Hawkish expectation on the DXY, I can only imagine a fakeout. The Feds will stir up the DXY to create a Bloody Friday
US30 M30 | Bearish Drop Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 39342, which is a pullback resistance that is close to 23.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 38953.69, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 39760, a pullback esistance level
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US30: Dow Jones Retreats After Double Top FormationThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has shifted into negative territory, experiencing a notable downturn following a double top formation around the $40,000 mark on April 1st. As of the time of writing, the price has descended to $39,179, exhibiting a reaction near the neckline of the price pattern. This development prompts a strategic approach based on Fibonacci levels, indicating potential pullback zones where sell limits have been set to capitalize on retracement opportunities.
The recent softness in US services activity data has provided a degree of respite for investors, who have been increasingly apprehensive about the implications of robust US macroeconomic indicators on Federal Reserve monetary policy. Specifically, the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dipped to 51.4 in March from 52.6 in February, contrary to market expectations of a marginal uptick to 52.7. Furthermore, the Prices Paid sub-index receded to 53.4 from 58.6, marking its lowest reading in years and indicating a disinflationary trend in the economy. These figures have somewhat counterbalanced the impact of strong ADP employment data and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Powell and Atlanta Fed President Bostic.
In light of these developments, our strategy revolves around anticipating a pullback from the previous zone area, followed by a renewed downward movement. This tactical approach aims to capitalize on market dynamics and potential retracement opportunities, aligning with broader market sentiments and macroeconomic indicators.
As market conditions evolve, continued monitoring and adjustment of strategies will be essential to adapt to changing dynamics and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
its possible to test te highs again This technical analysis sounds promising! Here's a breakdown:
Support Line Test: The price reached a level (support line) where previous buying pressure halted the decline. This suggests demand for the asset at that price point.
Retest of Support: The price dipped back towards the support line but didn't break through. This retest can be seen as a confirmation of the support level's validity.
Together, these pattern suggests a potential reversal:
The price might be bouncing off the support, indicating a possible upswing.
US30Daily
The beginning of a reversal (to the upside) the completion of todays candlestick will help confirm that. It looks to be forming an evening star right at the top of the resistance which adds to our confirmation.
4H
We definitely are still on the right track but we are still just slightly early.
Got the test of the previous resistance (39620) correct just days later
1H
Expanding wedge during a bear channel, yet it is a bullish trend. So we either anticipate this as a reversal (to continue the bear run) or we see this as a reversal to bring back the bulls in the market.
15Min
Wait and watch
DOW JONES Sell the MA50 (1d) break out.Dow Jones reached the top of the late 2022 Channel Up and is already on a 3day rejection.
If it crosses under the MA50 (1d), the strongest short term sell signal emerges.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell if the price crosses under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 38050 (Support A).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is testing the 58.47 level. Past breakouts under this level have coincided with MA50 (1d) break outs, so use it as an additional sell signal.
2. The strongest long term buy entry has been when the RSI (1d) breaks under the 30.00 oversold limit.
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Dow Jones - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish convergence.
Expecting short term bearish moves to happen here.
H1 - Strong bearish momentum.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
Bearish momentum to extend?Could the DJIA (US30) extend its current downturn beyond the pivot point and drop toward a support level at 38,693.81?
Pivot: 39,078.84
Support: 38,693.81
Resistance: 39,329.55
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