US100 Trade LogUS100 setup: Long position with "1:4 RRR" and "0.5% risk" based on accumulation and gap fill breakout.
- Entry within the "1H FVG" , targeting a push towards the "daily Kijun" .
- Structure confirms a potential continuation move, though risk remains controlled.
- Powell’s recent remarks and market liquidity shifts may fuel volatility.
- Stops placed below the accumulation zone; aiming for an extended move if momentum holds.
US30
Tariffs, tariffs and more tariffs... What's next for the Dow?It seems like we are stepping into Tariff Wars 2.0, with the announcement of the tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. But is the outlook really that bad? Let's take a look at the MARKETSCOM:US30 scenario.
TVC:DJI
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Outlook Explained
It feels like US30 index is preparing to recover
after Friday's and today's selloff.
As a confirmation, I see a nice bullish imbalance
after a test of a daily support and a tiny ascending triangle
pattern on an hourly.
Goals: 44196 / 44470
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US30 H4 | Bounce Off the 50% FiboBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 43,280.46, which is a significant overlap support that aligns close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 44,575.46, a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss is placed at 42,602.17, a pullback support level.
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DOW JONES - Long after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish OB around 44,000.
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USDCAD Bullish Flag Breakout and Uptrend PotentialUSDCAD is currently trading at 1.45200, showing a bullish outlook. The expected target price is 1.48590, indicating a potential gain of 300+ pips. A bullish flag pattern has already broken out, confirming strong upward momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control and may push the price higher. The price action aligns with technical analysis, supporting a continued uptrend. Traders anticipate further bullish movement toward the target. Proper risk management is essential to navigate any pullbacks. Monitoring key resistance levels and market conditions is crucial. A sustained rally above the breakout zone can strengthen bullish confidence. Patience and discipline will be key in managing this trade effectively.
Dow Jones Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Dollar - Gold Market CorrelationThe Dollar (DXY) has closed extremely bullish this week. This is another confluence that we can see Gold (XAUUSD) start moving down soon or later.
As you all know the DXY & XAUUSD have negative market correlations, so when one moves up the other move down. The Dollar has been correcting down recently, which has led to Gold pushing up & creating new ATH’s. However, I now expect Dollar bulls to resume, which means we can see Gold get ready for a bear market in the mid term.
US30 Analysis: Liquidity Zones, FVGs & Trendline Support
This is personal breakdown of the US30 price action, focusing on key liquidity areas, fair value gaps (FVGs), and potential reactions.
Key Observations:
📌 Current Price: 44,552.4
📉 Recent High: 44,960 (Liquidity grab at resistance)
📈 Recent Low: 44,530 (Testing key support)
Market Structure:
-Liquidity Engineering:
-LEG1:Sharp move up, creating imbalance.
- LEG2:Range formation, followed by a strong sell-off into FVG.
-Trading Range:
-Resistance: 44,960 - 45,000 (Liquidity zone)
-Support: 44,500 - 44,400 (Demand area + FVG)
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
-30-Minute FVG: 44,390 - 44,450 (Potential demand zone)
-4-Hour FVG: 44,200 - 44,300 (Deeper liquidity pool)
Trendline Support:
-Uptrend Line: Aligns around 44,350 - 44,400, adding confluence to the FVG zone.
Bearish Momentum:*
- The price has broken down from the trading range and is testing liquidity levels.
- If the 4,400 zone holds, we may see a reaction toward 44,700 - 44,900.
- If it fails, next downside targets are 44,300 - 44,200.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is NOT financial advice—just personal market analysis. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
US30 Analysis: Is This Resistance the Turning Point?👀 👉 In this video, we conduct an in-depth analysis of US30, dissecting its prevailing uptrend and the recent retracements from resistance. We’ll examine key support and resistance zones, market structure, and price action behavior to identify potential trade scenarios. With price nearing a significant resistance level, we assess possible countertrend opportunities—provided price action aligns with our technical outlook. Watch now for a comprehensive breakdown. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
US30 Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 45,015.5.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 46,667.3 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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DOW JONES starting a bullish streak to 48500.Dow Jones / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up since August 2022 and is right now on the 3rd straight green 1week candle.
Even though it is approaching the top of this 2.5 year pattern, the upcoming Bullish Cross on the 1week MACD indicates that the rally that is starting could be of a similar magnitude like November 2023 and October 2022.
Consequently, we expect this to reach at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension on a diverging Channel Up.
Target 48500.
Previous chart:
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US30 - Make or Break zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 US30 is currently retesting its all-time high at $45,000.
🏹For US30 to enter the price discovery phase and reach new ATHs, an 4H candle close above $45,000 is required.
📉On the other hand, if the last major low marked in red is broken downward, a deep correction towards the orange support would in play.
For now, we wait! ⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. This helps me cover the cost of providing regular insights.
CHFJPY Symmetrical Triangle Pattern AnalysisCHFJPY is currently trading at 170.100, with a target price set at 165.000. The trade setup suggests a potential gain of over 500 pips if the price reaches the target. A symmetrical triangle pattern has been identified on the chart, a common technical pattern indicating consolidation before a breakout. In this case, the breakout has already occurred to the downside, signaling a bearish trend. Traders often expect strong momentum after a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the probability of price decline. The target of 165.000 is likely based on measured move calculations from the triangle pattern. Risk management strategies, such as stop-loss placement, are crucial to mitigate potential reversals. Fundamental factors like central bank policies or economic events could influence the trade’s outcome. If selling pressure continues, the price may reach the target faster than anticipated. Monitoring key support and resistance levels will help assess trade validity.
Dow Jones 30 is near its all-time high. Can we create a new one?Can the Fed help the MARKETSCOM:US30 move a bit further north and establish a new all-time high? There is a possibility for that, however, we need to wait for the Fed press conference, when market volatility may increase significantly. That said, let the market settle and we can see what we can do. Check the video for more details.
TVC:DJI
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
AUD/JPY Bearish Pennant Breakout and 500+ Pips TargetAUD/JPY represents the Australian Dollar against the Japanese Yen in the forex market. The current price is 96.800, with a target price of 86.000, indicating a strong bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 500+ pips if the trade moves as predicted. The analysis is based on the bearish pennant pattern, a continuation pattern signaling potential further downside. The price is currently consolidating within the pennant, awaiting a breakout. A bearish breakout would confirm strong selling pressure, leading to a sharp decline. Traders anticipate a drop toward the 86.000 level once the breakout occurs. This setup aligns with technical analysis, where pennants often lead to significant price movements. If the breakout is confirmed, momentum could accelerate the decline. Risk management is crucial, as false breakouts can occur.
DOW JONES close to a rejection. See where to buy & target 47000.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us the most optimal buy entry on our previous call (January 09 2025, see chart below), as we bought right below the 4H MA200, which was the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up, and on minimum risk it hit our 45000 Target:
The price is currently about to break above Resistance 1. As this chart shows, every time a sub-1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rebound broke above a Resistance 1 level, it was only on a marginal note and then corrected back to the 1D MA50.
The two notable examples where August 30 2024 and May 20 2024. After the correction bottomed and the bullish trend was resumed, the rebound that followed reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, making a roughly +8.50% rise from the Low.
This indicates that the next Higher High of the Channel Up should be a little over 47000 and that will be our Target after we catch that 1D MA50 pull-back entry.
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Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (UPDATE)The Dollar has melted down to our second POI, down to $107 & so far has bounced back up. It is possible that price might still drop a little lower, but overall I expect the Dollar to turn bullish again.
We've seen Wave 4 correction complete, followed by a 'BOS' above Wave 3 high confirming the bull run will continue. Retest of supply zone completed, now time for the move up to continue📈