Time for US30 to take a breather?Dow Jones index has been spiking since the Fed decided to lower interest rates in September 2024. With just two weeks until the 2024 US presidential election, history suggests that the market typically experiences a correction before elections due to uncertainty.
Will this time be an exception?
Us30analysis
DOW30/US30 - SWING TRADE ONLYTeam, with the DOW/US30, we are doing swing trade.
With swing trade, we require to leave room for stop loss, so our target is also big as well
We prefer to enter SHORT at 43069-43085
STOP loss can be TIGHT at 42115 or SWING STOP LOSS at 43215
Target at 42815-45
then Target at 42410-56
PLEASE NOTE: With the swing trade, we could hold the trade for a few days until the target is reached. If we lucky we can get the target hit within the same day demand on how the market react due to data.
DOW JONES - Potential long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from OB.
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Dow 30 Tanks! Short Trade Hits First Target – More Downside?The Dow 30 (DJIA) has shown significant bearish momentum, with the short trade reaching Take Profit 1 (TP1) at 42855.11.
Key Levels
Entry: 42975.00 – The short position was entered as the price broke below this level, indicating bearish sentiment.
Stop-Loss (SL): 43072.00 – Placed above recent resistance to protect against a potential price reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 42855.11 – The first target has already been reached, confirming the downward move.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 42661.11 – The next target as the bearish trend continues.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 42467.11 – A further target if selling pressure persists.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 42347.22 – The ultimate profit target signaling a continued decline.
Trend Analysis
The price has dropped below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming the strength of the bearish trend. With TP1 already hit, further downside potential is in play, with the price likely to test TP2 and beyond.
The short trade on the Dow 30 has successfully hit its first profit target, with further targets likely if the current bearish trend holds. The strong downward move suggests that TP2 and TP3 could be reached in the near term.
Dow Jones Index (US30): More Growth is Coming?!
US30 successfully violated a resistance line
of a horizontal parallel channel on a daily time frame on Friday.
It indicates a highly probable bullish trend continuation.
Next resistance - 43150
For entries, consider a retest of a broken structure.
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US 30 I Impulse, correction, and potential continuationWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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DOW/US3- PREPARE TO SHORT ONLY WHEN IT FALL INTO THOSE PRICETeam, I prepare for the DOW tonight, ensure only SHORT when the price reach at 42516-42497, STOP LOSS at 42625
Target 1 at 42409-42012 - BRING STOP LOSS to BE once target
Target 2 at 42312
Target 3 at 42150
ONLY short when they are falling to that price only
US30/DOW what to expect of entry levelTeam, we will wait for the US30/DOW to retest once it break below 42100
Once it reverse back toward 42106-42110 then we enter long with target as per photo
with STOP LOSS at 42067-62
target at 42168
target at 42226
Once it break above 42150, bring stop loss to BE
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US30: Will Bears finally be able to take over? BLACKBULL:US30
Bullish impulse has continued to dominated the market with US30 touching all time high in today, showing some rejections on last three daily candles. However, what we anticipate is the $43200 region which remain a psychological level and there is massive selling opportunity coming up. Please do your own research before taking any entries.
US30 H4 - Short SignalUS30 H4
More exhaustion being seen here today, with the dump yesterday of 300-400 points, we are straight back into our sell zone, but we aren't trading much higher than when we started yesterday. That being said, US100 is trading higher, which throws a slight spanner in the works. As long as US30 isn't setting new highs, the DXY is trading above 100 to 101 price, we are still focussed on seeing if we can catch a downside move across stock indices.
US100 analysis to follow, but as we mentioned yesterday, we need to see the break and retest to the downside first, to give us the confirmation we desire. With US30, we could argue we already have it.
US30 (DowJones) - Daily Bearish SetupThe BLACKBULL:US30 index experienced a bullish spike, followed by a period of consolidation within a bullish channel. However, after a fake breakout above the upper boundary of this channel, it appears that the index could be poised for a downward correction. Based on the technical analysis, a fall toward the lower boundary of the channel is expected, providing traders with potential shorting opportunities in the near term.
Fundamentally, stock market volatility tends to rise during September, a historically weak month for stocks. This pattern is often attributed to traders returning from summer vacations, rebalancing portfolios, and increased bond offerings, which divert capital away from equities. In 2024, this volatility is further exacerbated by uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. Investors are closely watching labor market data, inflation trends, and the Fed’s stance on potential rate cuts, all of which could impact market sentiment and drive further fluctuations in stock prices.
With the TVC:DJI at the top of the bullish channel and signs of weakness after the fake breakout, a pullback to the lower end of the channel seems likely. Traders should stay cautious and monitor key economic events and technical signals for opportunities to re-enter positions at more favorable levels.
A simple RSI Point Of ViewAnalyzing RSI Divergence in US30: Is a Bear Market or Crash on the Horizon?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is a key indicator for global markets. Recently, a warning sign has emerged with a divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) observed from July 16, 2024, to September 27, 2024. This divergence, along with high trading volume, raises concerns about a potential market shift. Analysts are comparing this situation to past financial crises, leading to questions about a possible bear market or crash.
Understanding RSI Divergence in US30
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures price momentum. A bearish divergence occurs when prices make a new high but the RSI does not, indicating weakening momentum. Between July and September 2024, US30 showed this divergence: prices reached a higher high, but the RSI formed a lower high, suggesting a loss of buying strength and potential price declines. Additionally, the daily chart shows a lower high in US30 price and a higher low in the RSI, reinforcing the notion of weakening upward momentum.
Is a Bear Market or Another "Black Thursday" Looming?
The current divergence in US30, along with historical comparisons, signals warning signs. However, it remains uncertain whether this will lead to a bear market (a sustained decline of 20% or more) or a major market crash. Several factors could influence the outcome:
- Macroeconomic Conditions: High inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions may exacerbate the divergence.
- Investor Sentiment: Panic among investors could lead to increased selling and sharper declines.
- External Shocks: Global events like financial instability or political turmoil could further destabilize the market.
Conclusion and Daily Chart Analysis
The RSI divergence in US30 from July to September 2024 is a significant development that warrants attention. The daily chart reveals weakening momentum, with a lower high in price and a higher low in the RSI, indicating a higher risk of market correction or downturn. While it is uncertain whether this will lead to a bear market or crash, traders and investors should stay alert and consider adjusting their portfolios.
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.