Us30short
Us30 Reversal /Re entry 📝 US30 (Dow Jones) - Bearish Outlook | 1H Chart 📉
🔹 Market Bias: Bearish
🔹 Key Zones:
Sell Entry: 40,850 - 41,100 (Retracement to resistance)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 41,250 (Beyond liquidity grab zone)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 40,500 (First support)
TP2: 40,250 (Key demand zone)
TP3: 39,920 (Final target)
🔹 Analysis:
Price is trading below the 50 & 200 EMA → Downtrend intact 📉
Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish market structure
Potential fakeout before the drop, especially around high-impact news at 4 PM SAST ⚠️
🔹 News Event Consideration:
If data is weak → US30 likely continues dropping 📉
If data is strong → Possible short-term spike before reversal 🔄
🔹 Risk Management:
Be cautious of stop hunts & manipulation before the news.
If price breaks above 41,250 & holds, reconsider bearish bias.
🚀 Trade smart, manage risk, and stay updated on market sentiment!
#US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices
US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – March 4, 2025
Market Structure Across Multiple Timeframes (M15, M30, H1, H4, D1)
Key Observations (Multi-Timeframe Analysis)
1️⃣ 15-Minute (M15)
Price has dropped from the PDH (Previous Day’s High) and is now consolidating around the PWL (Previous Weak Low).
Liquidity sweep at PDH led to a sharp decline.
Equilibrium at 43,500 could act as a mid-range resistance if price retraces.
Potential bounce or breakdown from the 43,200 demand zone.
2️⃣ 30-Minute (M30)
Price has fully retraced from the premium zone near 44,300.
PDH (43,800) is confirmed as a strong resistance, leading to a bearish structure.
The next key zone is around 43,000 - 42,900 (liquidity zone).
If price holds above 43,200, a short-term rally could occur toward 43,500.
3️⃣ 1-Hour (H1)
Major bearish BOS (Break of Structure) confirms bearish sentiment.
Equilibrium at 43,500 aligns as a potential resistance zone.
If price breaks below PWL (43,100), next support sits around 42,900 - 42,850.
A retracement to 43,500 - 43,600 could give a short entry.
4️⃣ 4-Hour (H4)
Price is in the Discount Zone after a significant sell-off.
Previous premium zone (44,200) rejected price, leading to a shift in momentum.
If price holds above 43,200, a retracement could be seen towards 43,500.
If price breaks 43,100, a move to 42,850 is expected.
5️⃣ Daily (D1)
Major liquidity grab from the 44,200 supply zone confirms bearish sentiment.
Price is currently testing support around 43,200.
Failure to hold this level could lead to a further decline toward 42,900 - 42,700.
A retracement toward 43,500 - 43,800 could be a shorting opportunity.
1️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)
Entry Criteria (Short)
Ideal Entry Zone: 43,500 – 43,600 (Equilibrium & Lower High).
Confirmations Needed:
Rejection from 43,500 - 43,600 with strong bearish candles.
Break of structure (BOS) on M15/M5 confirming bearish intent.
Liquidity grab near equilibrium before dropping.
Entry Trigger
If price retraces to 43,500 and fails to break above, enter short.
Stop Loss (SL)
Above 43,700 (recent lower high).
Take Profit (TP)
First TP: 43,200 (current demand zone).
Final TP: 42,900 (strong demand zone).
📉 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher.
2️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)
Entry Criteria (Long)
Ideal Entry Zone: 43,100 – 43,200 (PWL & Demand Zone).
Confirmations Needed:
Bullish reaction at 43,100 - 43,200 without breaking lower.
Higher low formation on M15 or M5.
Strong bullish candle confirmation.
Entry Trigger
If price rejects 43,100 and shows bullish strength, enter long.
Stop Loss (SL)
Below 42,900 (next liquidity zone).
Take Profit (TP)
First TP: 43,500 (Equilibrium retest).
Final TP: 43,800 (Bearish Breaker Level).
📈 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher.
3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)
If price remains between 43,100 – 43,500, avoid trading.
Wait for either a bearish rejection (short) or a demand hold (long).
Break below 43,100 confirms shorts, while strong demand at 43,200 could give a long opportunity.
Trading Plan Summary
Setup Entry Zone SL TP1 TP2 R:R
✅ Short 43,500 – 43,600 Above 43,700 43,200 42,900 1:4+
🚨 Long 43,100 – 43,200 Below 42,900 43,500 43,800 1:3+
Final Thoughts
Bearish Bias: If price rejects 43,500 - 43,600, expect a drop to 42,900.
Bullish Bias: If price holds above 43,100 - 43,200, expect a bounce to 43,500 - 43,800.
Wait for confirmations before entering trades.
US30 sellOverall Trend:
The overall trend has been bullish, but there has been a breakout below the ascending trendline.
The price is currently retracing towards support zones.
Key Levels:
Main Resistance: Range between 45,208 - 45,300 (upper red zone)
Main Support: Range between 44,300 - 44,500 (lower red zone)
Important Mid-Level: Around 44,866
Trading Scenario:
After hitting resistance, the price has started a correction.
The highlighted green area marks a potential entry zone.
📉 Trading Signal:
🔹 Enter Short Position:
If the price pulls back to the 44,600 - 44,700 area and shows signs of bullish weakness, a short position could be considered.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Above the resistance zone at 45,208 (e.g., around 45,300)
🔹 Take Profit:
First level at 44,300
Second level at 43,663 (shown on the chart)
Third level at 43,140 if the downtrend continues
🔹 Risk Management:
The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade seems reasonable. Reassess the trade if the price breaks above 44,866.
✅ Conclusion:
Currently expecting a bearish correction, but if reversal candles or weakness in sellers are observed at support levels, there might be a chance for a trend change.
US Wall St 30Hello dear traders!
This is an updated analysis of Dow Jones. Please note that since you may not have enough information about smart money and liquidity, let me put it simply for you: Whenever this trend line breaks, you can set the stop loss above this trend line and determine your target based on your strategy.
A scalper trader utilizes positions and always has a fixed risk to maintain a consistent outcome, and should never use unreasonable risk because the market is continuously changing. What matters is that we are winning.
Yesterday, I was waiting for the price to reach the Secret Order Block zone, but when my trade entered a good profit, I closed it and didn't feel the need to hold the trade until the very end. So, this is the cleverness of a trader in how to use analysis to their advantage. The previous zone seemed to be ineffective for a significant drop, so I have replaced this updated analysis with the previous one.
Key Points
Resistance (1.H): 77943
Secret Order Block: 44994
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
US30 TRADE IDEA: SHORT | SELL (10/08)Price has been bullish overall. While it has been overall bullish - price hasn’t broken from its consolidation, therefore in the meanwhile we’ll take advantage of the situation. Price has broken down on the 4H TF, so we’re looking for an optimal entry. Although I have marked out FVG - I believe the uppermost order block is a great place to enter from.
RR 1 : 2.69
RR 2 : 2.95
RR 3 : 4.82
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
Market Analysis for US30 (Sell)US30 has broken through the fair value gap, confirming a strong bearish momentum and aligning perfectly with our trading strategy. This setup indicates a market imbalance correction, creating an optimal sell opportunity. With price action showing rejection from key resistance levels, we anticipate further downside movement. Stops are placed above the FVG for risk control, and targets are set at the next support zone. This is a textbook example of our strategic approach to capitalizing on market inefficiencies.
Dow Jones 30-Min Short: Bearish Momentum Building Toward 42kThe Dow Jones has triggered my short position following a significant volume spike, currently trading below the key EMA levels. The technical setup suggests a bearish continuation toward the 42k price zone. This aligns with a short-term correction in equities after December marked the Dow’s worst monthly performance in over two years.
Fundamentals:
• Major indexes continue to struggle, with the Dow and S&P 500 facing extended losing streaks.
• Market sentiment remains cautious as investors digest recent corporate earnings, geopolitical risks, and upcoming key economic data such as ISM Manufacturing PMI.
• Despite a strong year-end rally, December losses reflect broader market uncertainty, further pressuring the Dow.
Technicals:
• Price remains below both the 50 and 200 EMAs, signaling bearish momentum.
• Volume analysis highlights increased selling pressure, confirming bearish sentiment.
• Immediate support at 42,000 aligns with key demand zones and historical price reactions.
With these conditions in play, I’ll manage risk carefully, monitor for any major shifts, and adjust my position accordingly. Pay yourself and trade responsibly!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
US30 Mid Week Consideration 👀👉 The markets could move in any direction today. Over the past three months, since the Bank of Japan rate hike, we’ve been witnessing aggressive liquidity runs and significant, uneven reversals, particularly on Wednesdays. This midweek phenomenon has caught many traders off guard, making it challenging to adapt. It appears to reflect adjustments in the market algorithms targeting liquidity.
For this reason, I’m sitting out of the New York session today. It’s worth emphasizing that staying out of the market can be just as valuable as posting or executing a trade idea. If you have time, I encourage you to review past charts and observe this recurring Wednesday or midweek reversal phenomenon.
Stay vigilant and know when to step aside. Reducing the frequency of trades is as important as placing them. Focus on quality setups and recognize when the best move is no move at all. While this isn’t financial advice, it’s a practical observation that could prove useful.
Trade smart, and let patience guide you.
Bullish bounce?DJ30 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 44,106.94
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50%^ Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 43,791.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 44,547.96
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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US30 Short Setup: Riding the Retrace to Key Support Levels!Since the elections, traditional markets have been climbing to new highs, showcasing strong bullish momentum. However, I’m now eyeing a short opportunity on the Dow Jones (US30) as it retraces to key support zones around 44,400–44,500. This area appears to be a strong support zone, and my plan is to capitalize on the retracement for a potential long setup near the 44,000 price range.
Currently, US30 is trading below the FibCloud, suggesting room for a retrace to the 44,800 level before continuing lower. My strategy here is to profit from the retracement, then re-evaluate for a long trade based on market conditions near the support levels.
Key Levels:
• Support Zone: 44,300–44,500
• Resistance Zone: 44,800
• Take Profit: 44,440
• Stop Loss: Above 45,100
Market Outlook:
With tomorrow being a U.S. bank holiday, volume may vary significantly. I’ll closely monitor price action and market reactions for further confirmation. This trade aligns with the broader market behavior while taking advantage of shorter-term retracements.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 44,592.03
1st Support: 44,083.28
1st Resistance: 45,084.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
A Drop Is Coming!Based on the NDS Mathematical Model, in the upcoming week, the final node F3 will be completed, and a decline across all indices is expected:
📉 First Target: 44,470
📉 Second Target: 42,846
📉 Third Target: 41,652
Following this decline, the Dow Jones Index is anticipated to resume its upward trend. Please note.
the responsibility for acting on this analysis lies solely with the individual trader!
DOW/US30 - HOW FAR DOES IT REACH THE CEILINGTeam, we have not been providing any trade signal since last week,
however, we did some scalping trade during the week,
but now we are looking the chart, and it is time to consider
We are shorting the DOW at 44860-44935, STOP LOSS at 45035
Target 1 at 44796-44806
target 2 at 44636-65
target 3 at 44336-52
Once the target 1 hits, take some partial and bring stop loss to BE.
DOW JONES - Idea for a long position !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we have the same scenario as on S&P500, we are bullish, so I expect a long position if price fills the imbalance lower and then rejects from trendline.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Bearish drop?US30 is breaking out of the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 43,901.47
1st Support: 43,331.19
1st Resistance: 44,528.35
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.