US30 Potential SellsUS30 Has now created a double top and now also broken structure to the downside looks likely to tank down +500points.
I am expecting price to break above Asian Highs for a liquidity grab and then start to show rejections @38570.00 where I will be looking for small time frame confirm for entries with sl@around 38600.00 risking (30points). This may vary depending on how Price breaks Asian High.
So Lets stay patient, looks likely that early sellers will be taken out and enough Liquid grabbed to then fuel the move down.
Us30short
Most overbought condition 1) Most overbought condition since May 2021 on the weekly RSI 14.
2) Converging trendlines at 38,200 stretching back since late 2021 create solid roof tested 3 times at least on 2 separate trend-lines which would make for a very tough level to break, especially when it's this overbought.
***A correction down to retest the connecting lows trend-line since late 2022 would make a lot of sense even if a new high would be reached in the future, a correction down is very likely in the current technical condition - Which would be down to the 34,200 floor.
US30 H1 / TWO POINTS OF INTEREST / POSSIBLE SCENARIOS FOR LONG✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to US30 H1. I see two possible scenarios where I will look for a long entry in case of confirmation of retracement.
You can see two resistance zones from where I expect US30 will go bearish. In case of confirmation of retracement from the resistance zones, I will execute long trades until the price of 37760.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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📉📆 US30 Daily Rejection: Targeting 37161 Test 🎯🔻💥I have noticed that the RSI indicator on US30 is at 69.1 and has been consistently decreasing. This indicates that there is a strong possibility that US30 will start to experience a decline in its value. It is not surprising to see this bearish trend, as other commodities have also been showing similar signals. Based on my analysis, I predict that US30 will initially reach a value of 37161 before continuing to drop further.
US30/USD Shorts from 37780.0 down towards 37500.0This week, my outlook for US30 leans towards a bearish correction downward. Given the recent strong bullish rally, the diminishing bullish pressure indicates a potential retracement to sweep liquidity and address imbalances below. Subsequently, we'll be on the lookout for buying opportunities around the 37500.0 psychological level.
The ongoing distribution and the change in price character on the hourly timeframe signal readiness for a downward move. Upon reaching our designated (6hr) Point of Interest (POI), I'll await further confirmation through a redistribution on the lower timeframe within the zone before considering a sell setup.
Confluences for US30 Sells are as follows:
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity and equal lows.
- Price has changed character on the hourly and price has left a clean 6hr Supply Zone.
- Candlestick anatomy showing that bullish pressure is getting exhausted.
- Major imbalances left below as well on the higher time frame that need to be filled.
- Price has been moving very bullish recently and is due for a correction.
- If price wants to continue in a bullish direction I expect for price to tap into the 4hr demand.
P.S. While my current stance is bearish in the short term, my overall outlook for the market remains bullish. This bearish perspective is a temporary one, allowing us to align with the prevailing trend eventually. It's crucial to note that my bearish scenario may be invalidated, considering the presence of equal highs nearby.
HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
🎄📉 US30 Targets 33000 & 29000 - "Merry BearXmas" 🎯❄️Greetings! It's important to note that the financial market is currently experiencing a bearish trend, which has been confirmed and requires your attention. In particular, the US30 index is displaying unmistakable indicators of a downtrend that is likely to persist well into the New Year. Given this situation, it's crucial to take immediate steps to safeguard your investments and mitigate potential losses. Don't hesitate - act swiftly to ensure your financial well-being and set the stage for future prosperity.
RSI has reached a resistance on the 3 Weekly chart.
Target 1: 33000
Target 2: 29000
See my analysis on the Zodiac Shift.
Silver 3 Weekly:
Gold 3 Weekly:
It's no coincidence that Gold and Silver are also showing the same bearish sign.
US30/USD Imminent Shorts down towards 36600.0My bias for this weeks forecast is for US30 to see a temporary bearish move to the downside. As price has now slowed down, it shows that bullish pressure has now become exhausted. To add, we can see there was a clean 4hr supply which has triggered this initial bearish move.
Having observed the expected retracement and correction back up to 37500.0, I now anticipate a price decline in my POI. This expectation is based on the objective to fill in imbalances below and sweep liquidity, including the previously established equal lows. Given the current holiday season, I also anticipate price movements to be slow and choppy.
Confluences for US30 sells are as follows:
- Tapped into a 4hr supply zone that has caused CHOCH to the down side.
- Wyckoff distribution has been formed and validated via a CHOCH on the 15min.
- Imbalance left below as well as liquidity to target such as the relative equal lows.
- No reversal magnets above my POI which makes my setup more favourable for sells.
- In order for price to keep going up it must come down to tap into some sort of demand level.
- Rejection candle within our zone on the higher time frame reinforces that bullish pressure has now become exhausted.
P.S. Even though my confluences are very strong for sells at the moment, we can't disregard a possible rally which breaks this 4hr supply zone. We have to remember that price overall is still bullish so we have to be cautious when trying to enter a counter trend trade like this.
If you found this post insightful, be sure to drop a like and comment below your thoughts!!!
Market Dynamics: Large Players Enter as Price Reaches Highs
The price has been on a significant bullish rally, breaking historical highs. This suggests that the price has encountered strong buying interest, indicating the presence of buy-side liquidity. From a technical perspective, this suggests that a retracement may be imminent.
As further confirmation, on the daily chart, we can see that the price reached the liquidity of its previous high and swiftly reversed, creating a breaker pattern. If the price continues to decline, it is likely to experience a shallow retracement to prevent buyers from recovering all their losses.
Additionally, in the highlighted area, we can clearly observe a decrease in buying activity and an increase in aggressive short positions. This could be an indication of the involvement of institutional or large traders, and it's something to keep a close eye on.
Furthermore, the catalysts scheduled for tomorrow add more weight to the possibility of a correction. In my experience, this type of price action often occurs before significant market-moving events. A significant correction is highly probable.
For setting stop-loss (SL) levels, I've shared both aggressive and conservative ideas. I've also provided take-profit (TP) levels based on Fibonacci retracement levels at -272 and -618, with the last one indicated by the white line on the chart.
Please note that trading involves risks, and it's essential to use proper risk management techniques and consider your own trading strategy and risk tolerance when making trading decisions. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.
SDOW a Dow Shorting ETF Long from an Intermediate Term BottomSDOW has leveled off at a near-term bottom after a downtrend as confirmed by bullish
divergence on the RSI and MACD while the price went sideways in consolidation.
Volatility has contracted as have trading volumes. I see this as a buying
opportunity with a stop loss of 20.5 below the low pivot in consolidation and the first
target at 22 underneath a standard retracement with the final target at 25 in the area of
the early November pivot high. A call option set at a strike of $22 expiring in 4-7 months
is a supplement to the idea. I expect that interest rate fades or any lessening of geopolitical
tensions may affect things throughout the trade and perhaps force trade management along the
way. Overall, I have an expectation of 18% for the shares and about 100% for the call option.
US30 Opportunities from daily levelsI am expecting bearish Monday for US30 since we are currently sitting at daily key level from Jan 2022. In case of breaking the current level I'm expecting this to increase the probabilities of the next zone to provide some good pips. Weaker zones below marked as possible targets, although I'd secure some of the profits much earlier.
US30/USD Shorts down towards 34400.0 (possibly lower)From my US30 analysis we are currently approaching a key level of supply, even though we are very bullish the market requires a pull back in order to mitigate the inefficiencies left below, Hence why I am temporarily bearish this week. I see price reacting from the daily supply and dropping towards 34400.0 or even lower to more discounted zones in order for price to continue in its bullish trend upwards.
As of current price I would be waiting for a distribution to play out on the lower time frame and a clean CHOCH because we will be counter trend trading back down. As of my designated target, there is lots of imbalances as well as liquidity in the form of asian lows.
Confluences for US30 Shorts are as follows:
- Price about to tap into a daily supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside.
- Current price has swept lots of liquidity (EQHs) and has taken out swing highs just below.
- Price is premium so it's ideal to sell from this daily supply zone that we are approaching.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside as well as imbalances that needs to get taken.
- Price has been moving bullish and requires a pull back if price wants to continue in uptrend.
- Price is slowly distributing before the mitigation of zone but pending a clean CHOCH.
P.S. we are at the top of this internal structure that has caused a huge break of structure to the downside in which price is more probable to react from. As we have entered a premium POI I would be looking at imminent sells soon as possible once my confluences are met.
US30 DJI on 20-11-2023 : BEARISH BIASEDUS30 Index can go Bullish if,
H1/H4 closing happens above 35000, it can move bullish upto 35150 level.
or it can go Bearish if,
H1/H4 closing happens below 34880, it can move bearish upto 34730 level
#️⃣ Trend expectations from 8:00AM to 12:30PM USA Time EST.
#️⃣ Trade with 1-2% risk only.
US30 confirms the positivityHello everyone, Despite the weakness of recent trading in the index price and its fluctuation near 35050, its positioning within the axes of the ascending secondary channel shown in the attached drawing and the stability of the support represented by the level of 34728 confirms the positive continuity for the upcoming trading.
Currently, with the Stochastic indicator presenting positive momentum as it rushes towards the 80 levels, the price will be able to overcome the stable barrier at 35050, opening the door to reaching additional stations, which may start from 35245 and reach about 35442 in the medium-term trading.
Pivot Price: 35050
Resistance prices: 35254 & 35442 & 35699
Support prices: 34728 & 34469 & 34084
The general trend expected for today is bullish
US30 (Achieves goals)hello everyone,Yesterday, the index price formed a strong upward attack by exceeding the additional stable barrier at 34738 , achieving significant gains by attracting towards 34985 . We currently confirm that the price is adhering to the bullish scenario and by trying to form the 34738 level for new support. The bullish bias calls us to wait for recording new gains starting from 35254.
Also, the continued fluctuation of the Stochastic indicator within the overbought level will reduce the chances of the price forming any bearish corrective bounce before reaching the previously suggested additional target.
Pivot Price: 34738
Resistance prices: 34985 & 35254 & 35565
Support prices: 34395 & 34084 & 33688
US30 making some additional gainshello everyone,The index price activated the positive path in Friday's trading by rushing above the 33989 level to record additional positive gains by being attracted towards the main resistance extending towards 34341 and settling below it, as is clear in the attached drawing.
Currently, and in an attempt to present the main indicators of positive momentum, we recommend waiting for the price to break through the previously mentioned resistance to confirm its move to the next positive stage, and then to start targeting new positive stations that may start from 34341, while the risk of falling below the moving average 55, which is currently positioned near 33989 , lies in the price forming strong negative waves that may It causes him to suffer significant losses by gravitating toward 33701 and 33407, respectively.
Pivot Price: 33989
Resistance prices: 34341 & 34526 & 34776
Support prices: 33701 & 33407 & 33049
The general trend expected for today: bullish if the condition is met
US30 IMPORTANT DECISION Hello traders it looks like its make or break time for us30
the price is on a very sensitive zone A Major key level + a falling trendline.
however it looks to me that the buyers are still keeping strength on the market it is very likely and possible we can see a breakout and a further continuation to the upwards just like the nasdaq100
but the possibility of a rejection and down is still there.
id say its 65 percent probability it goes up and 35 percent it goes down.
the global direction is still unclear no confirmation was shown i will update you guys if i see anything.
US30/USD Shorts from 34600.0 down towards 33800.0My bias for US30 currently is for a bit more upside in order to mitigate the 22hr supply zone or the 19hr, both are apart of a key weekly supply level. From this we will expect a sweep of the asian high as well as a consolidation before entering to show that price is slowing down and buys have now become exhausted.
We will then wait for a wyckoff distribution and a CHOCH on the lower time frame before we execute our sell positions. As price has been very impulsively bullish I am expecting a retracement for sure hence my bias.
My confluences for US30 shorts are as follows:
- Price approaching key weekly supply level that caused a CHOCH to the downside.
- There's magnets below our POI that need to be taken in the form a liquidity sweep.
- There a lot of imbalances below as well as deeper demand levels for price to mitigate.
- Price has been moving very bullish with minimal pull backs so price needs to come down.
- For price to continue in bullish trend it needs to react off a stronger level of demand.
- 22hr supply has also swept liquidity, good sign that the zone will hold.
P.S. I am overall bullish however, as we are approaching a key supply I can see a short term sells playing out in order to fill the imbalances below and mitigate a deeper level of demand. This makes sense because us as traders, we ideally want to buy from a discounted price. As of this week we do have CPI coming on Tuesday, I would personally wait after just to see how price reacts from this major news event then make my move.
Trade safe and hope you guys have a good week ahead!
US30 4H repeats pressure on additional resistanceThe proposed scenario for nearby trading depends on the stability of the current resistance. With its stability, we expect the price to renew the downward corrective attack, thus targeting the 33989 and 33701 levels, respectively. While the price’s success in penetrating the resistance and holding above it will enable it to resume the upward attack, initially targeting the 34296 level, reaching towards 34526 .
Pivot Price: 33989
Resistance prices: 34296 & 34526 & 34776
Support prices: 33701 & 33407 & 33049
The expected general trend for today: bearish with resistance remaining intact