US WALL ST 30
Short trade us30 from 12 novembre (PATIENCE IS KEY)Yesterday, I closed my trade around 43,300 as I believed the price was nearing a potential reversal. However as we can see now, the market has smashed straight through to my original take-profit (TP) zone.
Here the lesson: It's crucial to always stick to your trading plan unless you have 100% confirmation that the market is reversing. Premature exits, like mine, might secure some profit, but they can leave substantial gains on the table. In this case, holding on with just a little more PATIENCE would have brought the trade to full potential.
Why PATIENCE matters:
1. Avoid emotional decissions: reacting too early can cost you. Let the market prove its intentions before deviating from your plan.
2. Maximize profitabillity: let your TP be hit unless clear signs indicate a reversal.
3. Discipline equals succes: Sticking to your strategy, even during uncertainty, builds consistency over time.
I still hold my XAGUSD (silver) , EURUSD, DOGECOIN and ofcourse XAUUSD(Gold) trade also. I will let u know.
DOW JONES - Idea for a long position !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we have the same scenario as on S&P500, we are bullish, so I expect a long position if price fills the imbalance lower and then rejects from trendline.
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US30 / UNDER CPI PRESSURE / 4HUS30 /4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The analysis begins by noting a profitable decline of 590 pips, indicating that the asset has experienced a significant downward movement recently, which has been profitable for traders taking short positions.
The price is approaching an FVG zone between 43,381 and 42,984. A Fair Value Gap typically represents an area where the price may experience consolidation, or a period of sideways movement, before it makes a decision to either move higher or lower.
If consolidation occurs within the FVG, the price may rise toward a supply zone (44,252 to 44,532), which suggests a resistance area where selling pressure could occur, preventing the price from moving higher.
The analysis highlights a bearish sentiment, meaning the overall expectation is for the price to continue moving downward unless there is a breakout above the supply zone , If the price fails to stabilize above the FVG, further decline is expected. The target for this decline is a support zone between 42,716 and 42,335, where buyers might enter, potentially halting the downward move.
The downward pressure is noted as the dominant force unless the price manages to break above the supply zone ,Traders will need to watch whether the asset stabilizes within the FVG, as this will determine whether the bearish trend continues or a reversal occurs.
US30 Trendline Breakout AnalysisRecently, US30 (the Dow Jones Industrial Average) broke through a key resistance trendline, signaling a potential shift in market momentum. Here’s why we think this breakout is significant and why the index may continue to rise:
Positive Economic Indicators: Recent economic data has shown resilience, with strong corporate earnings reports and steady employment numbers, reducing fears of an imminent recession. These factors boost investor confidence, attracting buying pressure and supporting upward price movement.
Lower Interest Rate Concerns: With inflation showing signs of cooling, the Federal Reserve may ease on aggressive rate hikes, which typically weigh on equities. The market often rallies when the outlook on interest rates is more favorable, as it lowers borrowing costs and encourages investment in riskier assets like equities.
Technical Breakout Confirmation: The recent breach of the resistance trendline was supported by high trading volume, which often validates the strength of a breakout. Additionally, other technical indicators, such as moving averages and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), show bullish momentum, suggesting that the breakout is not a false signal.
Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Investors appear to be shifting toward a "risk-on" mode, with increased demand for growth-oriented and blue-chip stocks in the US market. This shift in sentiment often leads to further gains in major indices like the US30, especially as it represents stable, high-performing companies.
Seasonal Trends and Year-End Rally Potential: Historically, the end of the year often brings about a “Santa Claus rally” in equity markets, where stock prices trend upward due to favorable market sentiment and portfolio adjustments. This seasonal pattern may further support the US30’s upward trajectory as we approach the year-end.
US30 / TRADING INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Trends:
Following Trump’s win, the US30 index rose by 4.90% , The index is now testing historical peak levels around 44,045, with a potential to reach 44,532 if the upward trend holds.
Technical Levels and Price Action:
The analysis suggests that if prices stay below a certain “ascending channel line,” it could indicate weakness, possibly leading to a decline , The first potential downside target is a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 43,381 and 42,984 , If prices break this zone, further declines could target another FVG range between 42,716 and 42,335.
Trend Confirmation:
If the price remains below the second FVG zone, it might confirm a downtrend , Conversely, if it stays above these levels, it suggests potential for a continued increase.
US30USD Will Fall! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for US30USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 42,066.9.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 41,539.1 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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US30 / Consolidation Zone with a Bearish BiasUS30 Technical Analysis
The price has a consolidate between 42130 and 41970
Bearish Scenario: Breaking 41970 by closing 1h or 4h candle under it, will be a bearish trend to get 41740 and then 41560
Bullish scenario: any breaking above 42130 will support the bullish trend to get 42290 and 42450
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42130
Resistance Levels: 42290, 42450, 42590
Support Levels: 41970, 41750, 41560
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by stability above 42130
- Consolidation 41970 and 42130
US30 / Key Levels for Breakout from Consolidation ZoneUS30 Technical Analysis
Following the retest at 42,450, the price has dropped approximately 500 points as anticipated.
Currently, US30 is expected to consolidate between 41,970 and 42,130 until a breakout occurs.
Bearish Scenario: The price needs to break 41960 and stabilize under it to continue the bearish side toward 41740 and 41560
Bullish scenario: any breaking above 42130 will support the bullish trend to get 42290 and 42450
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 41970
Resistance Levels: 42130, 42290, 42450
Support Levels: 41750, 41560, 41350
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by stability above 42130
- Consolidation 41970 and 42130
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 41,894.89
1st Support: 41,497.27
1st Resistance: 42,478.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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DOW JONES - Short from bearish OB !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from OB.
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US30USD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 42,119.2.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 42,845.4 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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US30USD Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US30USD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 42,851.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 43,893.3 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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US30 -Futures dip ahead of earnings-packed weekFutures dip ahead of earnings-packed week
US30 Technical Analysis
The price has recently reached a new high, and to confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, it must stabilize above 43,350, potentially targeting 43,630.
However, if the price closes a 4-hour candle below 43,215, this would suggest a bearish reversal, with the next target being 42,920.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 43215
Resistance Levels: 43450, 43650, 43870
Support Levels: 43025, 42820, 42450
Trend Outlook:
- Consolidation 43350 - 43215
- Bearish By stability below 43215
- Bullish by stability above 43350
US30 Market Analysis (Sell Bias):US30 Market Analysis (Sell Bias):
We are selling US30 due to key technical indicators pointing towards a potential downside move. The price is currently at strong resistance levels, where past price action has shown difficulty in breaking higher. In addition, the trend lines indicate a downward trajectory, and pivot points are aligning with this resistance, reinforcing the sell signal.
The stochastic oscillator is also showing overbought conditions, suggesting the index is overextended and due for a pullback. With these factors in play, a sell position aligns well with the current technical setup.
DOW JONES - Potential long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from OB.
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Dow Jones Index (US30): More Growth is Coming?!
US30 successfully violated a resistance line
of a horizontal parallel channel on a daily time frame on Friday.
It indicates a highly probable bullish trend continuation.
Next resistance - 43150
For entries, consider a retest of a broken structure.
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