⁉️ DOW JONES - Market AnalysisHello traders!
⁉️This is my analysis on US30.
Here we are in a bearish market structure, so I am looking only for shorts. I expect bearish price action from here as price filled the imbalance and now is in bearish orderblock. We can correlate this move with VIX.
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US WALL ST 30
US30 updated analysisUS30 is in a local uptrend for this entire month. As the monthly candle closed as a bullish candle, we could potentially see a further uprise to the monthly Doji or liquidity zone. As the support shown is daily 20EMA and previous resistance where possible buy opportunity may arise.
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US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 AUG 01 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 AUG 01 Week
Last week market reached previous supply zone. Long on retracement continues.
And if price broken down of channel is is rejected,
target could be 30406.
Possible scenarios:
1) Continue of upward momentum for long on retracement
3) Rejection at previous supply zone + breakdown of channel for short
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32563 31867
30406 29639 26212
Weekly: Ave vol up bar close at high = strength
Daily: Ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness
H4: High vol narrow spread up bar followed by ave vol up bar close off high = weakness
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Have a profitable week ahead.
US30 is in buy zone!!US30 is in local uptrend and the price is almost nearing the monthly liqidity zone. Price action is highly bullish and high probability that price will continue to rise up to the monthly doji zone. Current price action on 4H is highly bullish and likely to rise to the resistance.
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The FED rising rates, why DXY falling?Market participants are currently starting to get priced in with the potential for a 75 bps hike in the Fed's interest rate. This can be seen from the yield on 10-year government bonds which fell to 7.35% yesterday. Previously, the yield had perched above 7.4%. The 10-year US Treasury yield also fell to 2.76%. The yield of US debt securities has fallen quite a lot from last week's position, which had touched 3%.
At the FOMC last night, the fed said that a rate hike was a move to fight inflation. Higher interest rates work to slow down inflation by cooling off demand.
Another discussion is about "recession fears" are an exaggeration. The Fed reassures investors that don't worry about media coverage of a recession, they are really working to avoid a recession in America.
Instantly investors holding confidently put their money into US assets. Circulation of money is slightly reduced, but the value of the currency tends to strengthen. We can see investors' confidence as seen in the wall street chart recorded a significant bullish in 2 hours, while the USD tends to weaken in the short-term.
But this optimism will definitely strengthening of the USD in the long-term.
We can monitor the strengthening of the USD in early August from the labor data through the release of ISM Manufacturing PMI, ADP Employment Change, and Non Farm Employment Change/NFP.
US30 l DAILY l OUTLOOKMy perspective we are still in a bear market and have yet to form a bottom. On average bear market last up to a year with different levels of pullbacks.
What I see from the 4 hourly chart:
1. "MULTIPLE BOS POSITION" @ 31530 In between major S&D zone 31275 - 31735
- Touch / Breakthrough 1 - May 24, 2022 (downtrend channel broken into a retest of BOS into uptrend)
- Touch / Breakthrough 2 - June 10, 2022 ( BOS broken back into downtrend)
- Touch / RETEST 3 - June 27, 2022 ( BOS was retest and rejected to the downside)
- Touch / Retest 4 - July 8, 2022 (BOS was retest and rejected to the downside)
- Touch / Breakthrough 5 - July 19, 2022 ( BOS was broken to the upside and retested on July 2022)
2. Testing key major zone of 32100 - 32480 which has played as support and resistance in the past
3. Next major BOS area is at 32650
Don't get played by the pullback...
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JULY 25 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JULY 25 Week
Last week's long preference worked well.
Weakness shown over 3 TF analysis. We may see
short opportunity temporarily.
Possible scenarios:
2) Market rotation = trade at boundary of range
3) Behavior change scenario
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32563 31867
30406 29639 26212
Weekly: Ave vol up bar close off high = weakness
Daily: Ave vol UT bar = weakness
H4: Ave vol tiny spread up bar = weakness
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
US30 Chart H1Here is my view for US30 on H1. The price could go up, you can put a pending order on the Order block or find an entry on LTF within OB Zone. Trade Safe!
US30 - Looking good to short down to 31334Seeing this untested supply as we broke structure towards the downside.
It's very important to check for structural breaks/reversal patterns on the 2min timeframe before jumping in from the ideal entry zone.
US30 Idea H1Here is my view for US30 on H1. The price could go up, you can put a pending order on the Order block or find an entry on LTF within OB Zone. Trade Safe!
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JULY 18 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JULY 18 Week
Last week, rotation strategy worked well again. Point to note for Dow, unlike
NASDAQ and SNP, we didn't see bullish volume returning.
So we will still adopt the rotation strategy.
Also with minor strength on Weekly tf, we can also look for long oppportunity
on retracement.
Possible scenarios:
2) Market rotation = trade at boundary of range
3) Behavior change scenario
4) Trend continuation - channel boundary trades
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32563 31867
30406 29639 26212
Weekly: Ave vol down bar close toward high = minor strength
Daily: Ave vol u bar close at high = minor strength
H4: Very high vol narrow spread up bar close off high
followed by ave vol tiny spread up bar = weakness
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
US30Like we predicated this is not our father's house. So your SL should have protected you and kept you at least 1% up. We keep watching and waiting
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JULY 11 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JULY 11 Week
Last week, rotation support long was good. 3 TF analysis is displaying weakness.
We should be expecting lower prices temporarily.
I'm keeping the existing scenario plan from last week.
Possible scenarios:
1) Channel resistance / rotational resistance = short
2) Market rotation = trade at boundary of range
3) Behavior change senario
4) Trend continuation - channel boundary trades
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32563 31867
30406 29639 26212
Weekly: Low volume up bar close off high = minor weakness
Daily: Ave vol up bar close toward low = weakness
H4: Very high vol up bar close off high toward middle + level close in background
= weakness
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
One little deal right now This is one of the small trades I have now taken without reversal, hope you like it. Thanks