US30 - PRE NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05062022NFP DAY!!!
Since my last post, price has literally just moved sideways.
Currently there is very little volume in anticipation of NFP @ 8:30AM EST
I don't currently see an entry but I am looking for price to pull back into the 33200-33400 range and exhibit signs of exhaustion/reversal.
At that point I will consider and entry but it looks like that is atleast a couple hours away.
Also have to take into account that it is Friday and I don't particularly like holding trades over the weekend so I may just sit out today and come back fresh next week unless I see a really good opportunity: 1:3 RRR and SL outside of structure.
Let's see what happens today.
Watch out for news and Happy Friday!
US WALL ST 30
US30 - PRE NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05052022Happy Cinco de Mayo!
Daddy J. Powell sent the market soaring 1000 points with his bullish remarks despite runaway inflation and economic contraction last month.
I think the bullish bias from larger timeframes may still be intact.
We will see where the market goes over the next few hours. May stay out today we'll see.
US30 - POST NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05052022THE BEARS ARE BACK IN TOWN.
After the push up yesterday following Daddy J. Powell's comments, the market (shocker) has corrected itself and continued with the overall bearish directional bias.
IMO the comments made yesterday about the "strength" of our current economic and labor situation were simply a distraction from the fact that they announced the largest interest rate increase since the year 2000.
Had they not made these comments, the markets would have not only gone up, they would have PLUNGED.
So instead we had this dog and pony show of "everything is fine" while the house is burning in the background.
That's why initially the market jumped up 1000 points after this "news" but today the real market factors came back into play and here we have the result.
All of the 1000 point gain that was realized yesterday has been completely erased and by all of my measures, the bears are still in control here.
I anticipate price to hover sideways during Asian and early London session.
I will then be looking to get back in somewhere around good ole 33200-33300 level to continue the ride downwards, targeting previous structure lows.
Have a good night and see you tomorrow morning!
#Dowjones violated the broadening wedge/I expect growthUS30 (Dow Jones) broke above the descending broadening wedge that I discussed in my previous idea. I anticipate a growth but before that we should watch out for a solid retest to the violated wedge. There's a possibility that the market can drop a little bit more before rising. So we should be cautious. I will wait for further bullish signs for long entries. With first target at 35455.
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US30 - POST NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05042022Well that was a doozy!
As anticipated, news threw all technicals out the window and pushed price up over 1000 points in 2 hours at the time of this writing.
With this new push up we will see where price goes during Asian and London session but it price forms a support at this new 34000 area then potentially we may be looking at a further push up to retest previous levels of support/resistance heading towards 35000.
If not, price may run out of gas in this 34000 area and then look to continue the push down to approximately the 33000 or 32500 levels.
Have a good night and see you before NY session tomorrow morning!
US30: Bullish signs and developments/new trend might begin!Hello friends,
Let's look at US30 (Dow Jones) technical aspect on 4 hours timeframe. The index is currently in a correction and it is developing into an descending broadening wedge. This wedge formation is considered as a classic bullish reversal pattern and it means we may likely see the market changing direction to the upside. US30 also bottomed two times around 32400 before in February 2022 and in March 2022. In the recent decline, price again fell all the way to this same zone and price again reacted. By the look of things I expect price to rise at least to reach the top of the descending broadening wedge. If the wedge gets broken to the top side, this will indicate a change in trend and this will sponsor a strong impulse to the upside.
This goas in line with its counterparts Nas100 and S&P500. These three are having correlation and we can expect both to rise. I have discussed about Nas100 in the previous idea. See the link below to my Nas100 idea.
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US30 - PRE NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05042022FOMC Day today
Major US economic news including probable interest rate announcement.
With that in mind, price hovered sideways during Asian session and early London session.
Has now pulled back into the zone of approximately 33200 - 33425
Despite news, I'm still targeting a sell order in this zone once price shows signs of exhaustion or a reversal pattern.
Keep an eye out on news today and I will talk to you after NY session!
US30 - POST NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05032022Price today pushed down to around 33000 and kind of just hovered between there and 33300
Ranging market full of indecision pending tomorrow's FOMC Meeting.
Keep an eye on the news for interest rate decision and other news that can send this moving.
I anticipate price will continue in this range of 33000 - 33300 throughout Asian session and early London session tonight.
From there I think the bearish move will continue with news fueling this but we will see.
Have a good night!
US30 - PRE NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05032022US30 - PRE NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05032022
Definitely looking bearish still.
Looking for a retrace in price with signs of exhaustion on the M5, M15, M30, or even H1 to get into a sell on the continuation of the downward momentum with a stop above previous structure.
Happy Trading!
DOW JONES 📉📉📉Expecting bullish price action on DOW JONES after price takes out weekly lows liquidity + institutional figure 33000$ where a lot of stops loses where, we have a clear bullish momentum confirmation on the H4 and we should go bullish from there.
What do you think ? Comment below..
US30 - PRE NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 05012022Overall bias coming into the first trading day of the month is still definitely bearish.
I'm looking for price to retrace a bit before getting in on a sell order.
Patiently waiting for signs of exhaustion/reversal near previous structure highs on the lower TFs along with confluence around the 38.2 fib level drawn out which falls in a supply/demand zone.
Happy trading and see you post NY session!
US30 Prediction H1Here is my view for US30 on H1. The price could go down, you can put a pending order on the Order block or find an entry on LTF within OB Zone. Trade Safe!
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 MAY 02 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 MAY 02 Week
If no exception, market will likely continue toward 32427-32167 Scenario1 extension
from last week's analysis.
Wait for price reaction.
Play scenarios mapped out:
1) Test of 34220 breakdown, and continue toward 32167-32427 region
2) 32167-32427: If level is broken and later market returns to this area,
and is supported, next may be an attempt for an upward move
3) Market not ready for downward move toward 32427, return to clear
demand between 34220 - 33081 region
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
36446 35750 35330
34945 34367 34220
33066 32492 32167
Weekly: Average volume down bar close at low = weakness
with some demand
Daily: Ave volume down bar closing at low = weakness
H4: High vol down bar closing off low = minor strength
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Have a profitable week ahead.
US30 Following 2008 Crash PatternI was watching the patterns in 2008 crash, and how it might translate into today's situation.
Although there are quite some differences between the 2 events. We are having a "war" at this point, and hoping it doesn't escalate.
Pray for peace in Ukraine.
That aside. I have the image of the 2008 Weekly candle chart pasted for easy reference against the present market candles. If you look up my previous ideas, I have mentioned the same.
In 2008, it was a head and shoulders, a break of the neckline, a re-test of the neckline and a further dive down.
In the current market, it is not as obvious, but we are making a lower low, on the weekly today (although there is about 6 hours left 'till market closes for the week).
As with a couple of weeks prior, a strong rejection bearish candle (1) led to a fall in 4 consecutive weeks.
2 weeks ago, we had a strong rally but held barely under the close of the strong rejection bearish candle (1) shown in orange highlights.
With a couple more hours before market closes, I do expect that current momentum holds the candle bearish.
Next week, we'll see how the market reacts. Should another bear candle follow, I would anticipate for price to reach lower into a key demand area around 33200.
US30 Dow Jones Crash on MondayNice expanding cone to the downside.
Will likely crash through the week into the FOMC meeting.
US30 - POST NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 04292022What an end to the month :/
After my last post, price floated sideways for a couple hours then right after market open at 9:30AM EST price shot up and stopped me out @ 33875 then shot back down to my TP of 33400 and continued pushing down all the way to my previous TPs earlier in the week of 33200 and 32950
I have to say I'm a bit salty about this but I'm just going to add some pepper and keep it cooking.
In retrospect the 2 things I could have done differently here are:
1. Entered the trade during London session - this would have been the absolute optimal time to enter with a ridiculous risk to reward of 1:5 minimum but the only problem with that is I was asleep and usually am at 2AM. So this is probably not feasible to try and adjust much.
2. Once I was stopped out I could have looked for exhaustion and a sign of the bears coming back into the market on the M1 timeframe. I went down to the M5 and M15 after being stopped out but didn't see any big wicks or clear reversal patterns that indicated to me price was going to start dropping. This combined with a strong bullish close on the H1 off a possible 38.2 fib level on a bullish countertrend and I thought I should just let this one go, and I did :/
3. Once price dropped a bit I could have gotten back in albeit at a lower level but at an indication of exhaustion on the M15 which did occur. I was already checked out of the market by this point tbh and not in front of my trade station just tracking on mobile so I called it in for the week.
I learned some valuable lessons this week including the importance of documenting my trades in detail.
I feel that this platform gives me a good place to do this while also sharing my findings and journey with others who are also trying to find their way to consistent profits in this trading game.
With that, I hope to continue doing these pre and post NY market analysis videos for my own journaling and growth as a trader but I also hope that maybe you get some value along the way :)
Have a great weekend, take a break from the charts and refresh.
See you pre NY session on Monday!
US30 - PRE NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 04292022Price pushed back up to approximately 34000 during Asian session and kinda floated sideways during early London session.
There was some nice exhaustion that formed around 2-3 AM which would have potentially made a good entry point but I wasn't awake for that :/
Price now appears to be pushing down retesting recent support of approximately 33800
As of now I'm staying out, I would like to see price push back up to this 34000 - 34200 level and show some signs of exhaustion/reversal before getting in to continue the larger overall bearish trend which I believe is still intact.
We'll see what happens today as this is the final trading day for the month.
See you after NY session!
Good luck!
US30 - POST NY SESSION ANALYSIS - 04282022Interesting movements today.
Price dropped from my entry of 33650 to about 32250
Did not reach my target of 33200 for a 1:4 risk to reward but I was trailing my stop along the way so I secured profits at 33400 when price started to retrace.
Had it not been for trailing my stop I would have gotten stopped out as after price entered that zone in the 33200s it pushed all the way back up to 33900+
The name of the game on this one was proper trade management without a doubt.
Closing out the week and the month tomorrow I still believe the overall bearish bias is still intact.
I am looking for price to push back up to about 34200 which is a previous level of structure and see if it begins to exhibit any signs of exhaustion or countertrend reversal.
If so I will be looking to get in around this 34200 weekly support and resistance level and continue riding the bearish momentum down to my previous target of 33200.
If price breaks above this level it may indicate the beginning of a reversal in the overall bias and possibly consider a short term buy position but that will all depend on the price action over the next few hours in Asian and early London sessions.
See you all pre NY session tomorrow.
Have a good night!