S&P500 INTRADAY Bearish energy build up below 5920Bearish Scenario:
The intraday sentiment remains bearish, with the recent price action appearing as a corrective pullback. The key resistance level to watch is 5920—a rejection at this level could trigger renewed selling pressure. A move lower could target initial support at 5730, with further downside extending toward 5624 and potentially 5600 if bearish momentum persists.
Bullish Scenario:
Alternatively, a breakout above 5920 and a daily close higher would negate the bearish outlook and shift momentum in favor of the bulls. This could open the door for a rally toward 6000, followed by 6052 and ultimately 6160 if buying pressure continues.
Summary:
The S&P 500 is at a critical decision point, with 5920 acting as the key level. A rejection here favors further downside, while a breakout and sustained strength above it could signal a bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price action for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Us500
Another 682 point crash for S&P500 to 5,130?It's been a brutal year so far with the Trump Presidency.
And it's been a rough year for the S&P 500, dropping from 6,149 to 5,811.
The main culprit?
Political instability in the U.S.
The current administration’s unpredictable decisions, sudden tariff hikes, and policy shifts have left investors uneasy and consumers lacking confidence.
Here are six executive orders that have dragged the market down:
Tariff Hikes on China, Mexico, Canada and Europe –
Higher import costs hurt U.S. businesses, especially in tech and retail, slashing profits. Remember imposing tariffs are one thing but there will be retaliatory action.
Environmental Rollbacks –
ESG investors pulled back, hitting energy and industrial stocks.
Work Visa Cuts – Tech and healthcare struggled to hire, slowing innovation.
Healthcare Subsidy Cuts – Uncertainty in insurance and pharma led to stock drops.
Also with the cutting of USAID and with turbulence with WHO this isn't helping the situation
Trade Agreement Pullouts – Supply chain chaos hurt multinational corporations.
ALso with the cutting ties with Ukraine and now with the UK prohibiting funding to the Ukraine (latest on)
With shaky policies and no clear direction, market confidence is shot. Until stability returns, expect more turbulence.
With the price action, it is possible to see this M Formation play out for the SP500.
And it is looking bad, really bad - not great - In Trump's voice.
M Formation
Price<20MA
Needs to break <200MA
Then the next target will be around 5,130...
Let's actually hope I am wrong this time and something miraculously happens to pump up the market again.
We can take advantage and short stocks, indices etc... But there is a moral issue involved with wanting the market to crash. Remember that.
S&P500 1D MA200 hit after 16 months!The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a multi-year Channel Up since the October 12 2022 market bottom and hit yesterday its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 16 months (since November 01 2023).
This is naturally an excellent technical buy entry for the long-term on this structure but is also a Higher Low for the Channel Up. At the same time, the 1D RSI has almost reached its oversold barrier (30.00), which during those 2.5 years has offered the 5 most optimal buy signals.
Given that each rally after such Higher Low has been -4% weaker than the previous, we can expect the one that is about to begin to be +20% (-4% less than the previous one of +24%). As a result, our new long-term Target is 6900.
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US500 Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 5,819.9.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 5,578.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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S&P Oversold bounce backThe S&P 500 (US500) index maintains a bullish bias within the broader long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests a period of consolidation following the retest of the all-time high on February 19, 2025. The market is currently at a critical juncture, with the 5918 level acting as a key support zone.
Bullish Scenario:
The 5918 level serves as a newly established support, aligning with the consolidation range and prior resistance.
A corrective pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish bounce, could confirm continued upside momentum.
Upside targets include:
6000 (50-day moving average)
6055 (20-day moving average)
6100 over the longer term
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed loss of 5918 support with a daily close below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook.
This could trigger a deeper retracement, exposing the following downside levels:
5854 (next key support)
5800, with a potential extension to 5777 if selling pressure accelerates
Market Outlook:
The 5918 level remains pivotal—holding above this support sustains the bullish bias, while a decisive break below it signals potential downside continuation. Traders should closely monitor price action and volume around this key level to assess the market’s next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US500 Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 5,973.19.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,138.47 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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S&P Retest of IMPORTANT support, The week ahead 03rd March '25 The S&P 500 (US500) index maintains a bullish bias within the broader long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests a period of consolidation following the retest of the all-time high on February 19, 2025. The market is currently at a critical juncture, with the 5918 level acting as a key support zone.
Bullish Scenario:
The 5918 level serves as a newly established support, aligning with the consolidation range and prior resistance.
A corrective pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish bounce, could confirm continued upside momentum.
Upside targets include:
6000 (50-day moving average)
6055 (20-day moving average)
6100 over the longer term
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed loss of 5918 support with a daily close below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook.
This could trigger a deeper retracement, exposing the following downside levels:
5854 (next key support)
5800, with a potential extension to 5777 if selling pressure accelerates
Market Outlook:
The 5918 level remains pivotal—holding above this support sustains the bullish bias, while a decisive break below it signals potential downside continuation. Traders should closely monitor price action and volume around this key level to assess the market’s next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500, US GDP grew by 2.3% in Q4 The U.S. GDP grew by 2.3% annually in Q4, confirming the initial estimate and meeting market expectations. S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 5918 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 5918 level could target the upside resistance at 6018 followed by the 6060 and 6106 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 5918 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5866 support level followed by 5827 and 5777.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 Is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders. in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5850 zone, S&P500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 5850 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
S&P500 Channel Up bottomed. Huge reversal expected.The S&P500 index (SPX) had been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 2024 Low and yesterday broke below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 20 days. Since January 17, every such break below the 4H MA200 has been a technical buy opportunity.
This time it is even stronger as the index appears to be replicating the Channel's first price structure and more specifically Leg (d). What followed after Leg (d) bottomed, was a symmetrical with (b)-(c) +7.05% rise to form a top at (e).
The confirmation for this rise came when the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for this confirmation to continue with additional buying on S&P and target 6330, which would be a +6.22% rise, symmetrical with (b)-(c).
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Falling towards pullback support?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 5,938.92
1st Support: 5,865.87
1st Resistance: 6,051.54
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S&P500: Bottom is close to the 1D MA100. Be ready to buy this.S&P500 just turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.037, MACD = 10.020, ADX = 22.686) as it reversed the early gains and is currently on Friday's low levels, getting closer to the 1D MA100. That is the strongest support level in the last 40 days and according to the 1H RSI, the index may be close to a bottom. The 1H Death Cross typically prices the low on this pattern and we expect a reversal starting tomorrow. Go long and target the LH trendline (TP = 6,120).
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S&P INTRADAY oversold bounce back? S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 6007 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6007 level could target the upside resistance at 6057 followed by the 6106 and 6146 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 6007 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5980 support level followed by 5967 and 5918.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P drops 1.5% in worst session of '25S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after retest of all time high on 19th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at 5980 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance now newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 5980 level could target the upside resistance at 6070 (20 DMA) followed by the 6100 and 6140 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 5980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5920 support level followed by 5830.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 Channel Up testing its bottom.S&P500 is trading inside a Channel Up that just hit its MA200 (4h).
This is a strong short term buy opportunity for the next bullish leg.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 6200 (+3.29% rise like the previous bullish leg).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) got oversold. The last 3 times this happened, the price immediately rebounded.
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S&P drops to test THIS key supportThe US markets wobbled at the start of Friday’s session, with major indices pulling back. However, the outlook isn’t overly bearish yet, as the S&P 500 is testing a key level here around 6075. A bounce into the close is still possible from here, but the bulls need to show and quickly.
Even if the index closes near current levels, it wouldn't necessarily signal the end of the bullish trend. To turn short-term bearish, I would need to see a breakdown below the 6,000 level, which had been a strong support before the recent breakout. If that level fails, it would be a bearish signal, potentially leading to a deeper correction toward the long-term trendline or even the 200-day moving average.
For now, the focus remains on short-term support and resistance levels. The 6075 level, marking the high of the hammer candle from last Wednesday, is a key short-term support level where the 21-day exponential moving average also converges. Should the S&P 500 experience a deeper pullback, this will be the first major test for the bulls.
On the upside, 6100 is the level I am watching, which acted as resistance in December and January before breaking last week, and now we are back below it slightly. Beyond this level, there isn’t much immediate resistance until this week’s all-time high of 6148.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
US500 - Follow the Optimism!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my latest US500 analysis (attached to the chart), it rejected the blue circle zone and surged by over 5%.
What's next?
🏹 As long as US500 remains within the short-term rising channel marked in red, any bearish movement toward the lower red trendline should be considered a correction and a potential opportunity to look for trend-following long positions.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish drop?S&P500 is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 44,428.26
1st Support: 43,846.79
1st Resistance: 44,809.04
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S&P500 Channel Up priced a bottom. Buy.S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a 20 day Channel Up.
The price hit today the 1hour MA200, while the 1hour RSI breached the oversold limit and rebounded.
The two times this happened before, it was a signal that the Channel Up has formed a bottom.
The bullish waves that followed, rose by at least +2.00%.
Buy and target 6200 as the new higher high of the Channel.
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S&P corrective pullback after bullish breakout to new ATHS&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high.
The key trading level is at 6080 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance now newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6080 level could target the upside resistance at 6140 followed by the 6160 and 6200 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 6080 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 6030 support level followed by 6000.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.