S&P500: 1D MA100 in support going for a Cycle high.S&P500 just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.850, MACD = 26.670, ADX = 18.407) a week after it tested the 1D MA100. Every time the 1D MA100 gets tested and holds a +15% rally starts that tests the HH trendline. Go long, TP = 6,650.
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Us500
S&P500 - Long from bullish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on US500.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bullish OB.
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S&P500 retesting ATH,The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The S&P (US500) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on Friday 24th Jan the S&P index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 6012, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6012 level could target the upside resistance at 6080 followed by the 6117 and 6130 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 6012 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook targeting a further retracement and a retest of 5964 support level followed by 5925.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 6100 zone, US500 was trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 6100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SPX 500 Returns to All-Time HighsDuring the last session, the SPX 500 index gained more than 1.2% following the release of PPI data in the United States. The core PPI (m/m) remained in line with expectations at 0.3% , providing a slight relief to the market, which had been on the edge after annual CPI inflation came in at 3.0%, exceeding the 2.9% forecast.
This mixed inflation data has given the U.S. index an opportunity to recover, as it remains uncertain whether the Federal Reserve will continue its aggressive interest rate policy. Persistently high rates have been impacting domestic consumption in the U.S. for several months, and if the central bank maintains rates at 4.5% in upcoming decisions, it could eventually become a bearish factor for the SPX 500.
Momentum Builds
In recent weeks, the SPX 500 had been trading within a sideways range, with a ceiling at 6,080 points and a floor at 5,840 points. However, the growing buying momentum has now pushed the index back toward all-time highs. If bullish pressure remains strong through the end of the week, a breakout from this range could pave the way for a more significant upward movement.
MACD Indicator
Both the signal line and the MACD line remain above the neutral level at 0 , adopting a steady upward slope.
The histogram has begun to oscillate slightly above the zero level.
If these conditions persist over the next sessions, bullish momentum could continue in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
6,082 points – The most critical resistance level at the moment, corresponding to the previous all-time high. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce the current bullish bias, opening the door to a stronger uptrend.
5,960 points – Nearby support, aligning with the mid-range of the consolidation phase and coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud and the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If price action falls back below this level, it could strengthen selling pressure and delay the possibility of new highs in the short term.
5,840 points – Distant support level, where a pullback to this zone could put the long-term uptrend at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
S&P consolidation continuesThe S&P (US500) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on Friday 24th Jan the S&P index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 6012, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6012 level could target the upside resistance at 6080 followed by the 6117 and 6130 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 6012 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook targeting a further retracement and a retest of 5964 support level followed by 5925.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 consolidation is over. Massive rally starting.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 27 2023 Low. For almost the past 30 days it has been ranging sideways on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The index is no stranger to this at all.
On the contrary, this is a common Consolidation Phase that SPX has been through another 3 times within the Channel Up. As you can see, every time the index recovered from a Bearish Leg below the 1D MA50, it consolidated for around 1 month above the 1D MA50 and then resumed the Bullish Leg to complete at least a +15% rise from the bottom.
The 1D RSI sequences among all those fractals (including today's) are identical. As a result, we are preparing for a massive rally any day now, expecting a new +15% Bullish Leg to reach at least 6600.
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S&P500: Breaking out towards 6,210.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.592, MACD = 11.130, ADX = 24.014) as it is ranging between the 1H MA50 and 1H MA200. This consolidation is taking place near the top of the Channel Down, a pattern almost identical with January's. When that pattern broke to the upside, it almost hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Our short term target is just under this level (TP = 6,210).
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Bullish continuation?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 6,034.09
1st Support: 5,984.27
1st Resistance: 6,125.76
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S&P500 - Short after BOS !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on S&P500.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. We have hidden divergence for sell on H4 and regular divergence on H1, so after BOS I will open a short.
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750 dolla spy.gm,
wanted to share my outlook on the stock market today.
---
fear is accelerating. uncertainty is going parabolic in a way we haven’t seen since the covid crash. people are running. insiders are exiting. the herd is collectively turning bearish.
but i’m bullish.
---
here’s exactly why:
-quantitative easing is coming back.
-rate cuts are on the horizon.
-the us dollar is depreciating.
-economic expansion is inevitable.
-the artificial intelligence boom is just getting started.
---
while most people fumble their bag up here, drowning in fear, we look for significantly higher prices into 2026.
---
ps. i left out upside targets and timeframes because none of that matters at the moment. only the structure does. if you like the structure, use it. don't give me any credit. i don’t need it.
if you make a dolla this next year, donate a tenth of it to someone who needs it more than you. the universe will handle the rest.
🌙
S&P500: Neutral on 1D shows enormous upside potential.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.735, MACD = 16.510, ADX = 17.690) as it just crossed over the 1D MA50 again and after a 1D MA100 rebound remains relatively low inside the Channel Up pattern. The 1D RSI is also bouncing on the S1 level, where the September 6th 2024 bullish wave originated and reached the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. That is an excellent technical level for the next HH (TP = 6,300).
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S&P500 4H Bullish Cross signals rally to 6200.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been consolidating within a Rectangle pattern, which is coming out a MA100/200 Bullish Cross on the 4H time-frame. The identical consoliation phase of July - August 2024 bottomed right after such Bullish Cross and then rebounded towards the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level before pulling back to the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) again.
With the 1D MACD about to confirm the bottom with a Bearish Cross similar to September 04 2024, we expect a strong rally to start by the end of the week and target 6200 (just below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
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S&P500 1 month rally ahead. Target 6300.The S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a Channel Up since mid July 2024.
Today's downside gap opening tested the 1day MA100 for the 2nd time in 2 weeks and buying pressure immediately kicked in.
The 1day MACD pattern is identical to the September 06 2024 1day MA100 rebound. This ended up with a rally to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and for the next 30 days at least target 6300 (1.786 Fib).
Previous chart:
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US500 Trade insight Price breaks above December high 6102.21 so I believe we are currently on a retracement to 5901.87 for continuing to the upside.
If the ISM manufacturing PMI news happening at 10:00 UTC-5 NY push proce to my POI then I'll stick to my buy bias but if it pushes price to the upside without getting to my point of interest then I might look for a short sell from 6024.40 down to my Poi for buy.
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Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 5,979.20
1st Support: 5,818.18
1st Resistance: 6,113.40
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S&P500 starting a Channel Up on Golden Cross to 6200The S&P500 index is trading inside a Channel Up on the (1h) time frame.
A (1h) Golden Cross was just formed and the whole pattern draws comparisons with November's (2024) Channel Up.
Both started with a +6% rise that pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which in turn initiated the Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 6200 (near the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, like November).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is also forming the same Channel Up as November, after getting oversold under 30.00.
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SPX to find sellers at market price?SPX500USD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 6058 level.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 6058 (stop at 6099)
Our profit targets will be 5942 and 5920
Resistance: 6102 / 6190 / 6235
Support: 6030 / 5980 / 5940
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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S&P500: Buy the dip and target 6,215.The S&P500 index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.213, MACD = 29.690, ADX = 23.794) as it has completed the technical dive following the 4H Golden Cross just like August 21st 2024, and is rebounding. The two patterns are so far similar, both rebounding on oversold 4H RSI, and the September 2024 rebound almost reached as high as the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. We aim for another close test of the 1.5 Fibonacci (TP = 6,215).
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