US500, D1 | Potential bearish reversalPrice could potentially reverse off a key resistance level, we could see the momentum carry price down to its take profit target.
Entry: 4046.40
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
Stop Loss: 4155.75
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
Take Profit: 3916.25
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonaccci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Us500
S&P500: Testing February's Resistace. Key to the trend.The S&P500 is testing February's LH trendline again for the first time since March 6th on strong bullish 4H tech (RSI = 64.370, MACD = 14.890, ADX = 34.844). This is also where the 0.5 Fibonacci level is and right over it the 4H MA200. We will target R1 if the LH breaks (TP1 = 4,080) and R2 (TP2 = 4,160) as long as the 0.618 holds upon re-test.
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SPX to see a temporary move higher?US500 - 22h expiry - We look to Sell at 4018 (stop at 4057)
Buying pressure from 3867 resulted in all the initial daily selloff being recaptured.
An overnight positive theme in Equities has led to a higher open this morning.
A move to 4022 will form an intraday bearish Gartley pattern.
There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 3921 and 3901
Resistance: 4017 / 4022 / 4086
Support: 3924 / 3900 / 3820
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NIKE: Bullish Flag, Possibly Beating Earning Estimate Again?Price Action Analysis on NIKE, Inc
On the Daily Timeframe, NKE is moving above EMA90. NKE is breaking out of the bullish flag pattern, indicating a possible bullish bias ahead. The Stochastic made a bullish divergence, signifying a possible upside movement to the target area.
Fundamental Drives
- China sales rebounded further due to ending its zero covid policy.
- Improving earning report, potentially beating earning estimate again.
All other explanations are presented on the chart.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/support area.
Support the channel by smashing the rocket button and sharing your opinions in the comment below!
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the NKE"
S&P500: U.S. Jobs Data Impact on Expected Fed Rate HikeOn the daily chart of the S&P 500, the Federal Funds futures indicate a probability of nearly 60% for a 50 basis point rate hike. Today's release of U.S. employment data may either reinforce the possibility of a 50 bps rate hike or tilt the balance towards a smaller increase of 25 bps. Experts predict that the U.S. economy will see the addition of around 200,000 new nonfarm jobs in February, with a projected increase in wages from 4.4% to 4.7%, and a steady unemployment rate of 3.4%.
Ideally, weaker U.S. jobs data would be preferable. Otherwise, the Federal Reserve may have to take action by implementing a 50 bps rate hike this month, which could speed up the decline in stock prices. If today's U.S. jobs data is below expectations, it may push back the anticipated Fed rate hike to 25 bps. On the other hand, if the employment data is strong, it will likely solidify the idea of a 50bp Fed rate hike later this month, resulting in higher yields and U.S. dollars but lower stocks.
US500 H4 | Reversal from 61.8%Looking at the H4 chart, price is currently approaching our sell entry at 3971, which is an overlap resistance along with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. If price were to reverse, it could drop to our take profit level at 3907, which is an overlap support level and also aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Our stop loss will be placed at 4021, which is an overlap resistance level along with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
S&P500 Best buy signal since early January.The S&P500 index (SPX) is on a 1 week rebound following the March 13 Low which was made on Support Zone 2 and is so far on the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up. All candles have closed inside this pattern and as you see so far every bearish and bullish wave follows similar structure as the previous one.
We are near the best buy signal since January 06 as the 1D MACD is above to form a Bullish Cross. Our short-term target is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and medium-term 4190 (near Resistance).
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US500, D1|Potential bearish breakoutBanking crises in the U.S. and Switzerland have shaken financial markets causing price to breakthrough 1st support
Entry: 3,858.85
Why we like it:
Price has broken through 1st support
Stop Loss: 4,052.71
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
Take Profit: 3,755.50
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US500 (SPX) Outlook 3/19Bearish on indices in general. Here are the areas I find interesting at this point. As indices are loosely inversely correlated with the dollar, this is in line with DXY outlook expecting dollar strength in the short term.
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 MAR 20
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 MAR 20
No trade for SnP last week since levels not reached.
Scenario Planning:
1) Trades will be guided by the channel
2) Long on support and accept of 3788 // 3893
Volume Analysis:
Weekly: High vol up bar close above middle = demand
Daily: No Supply ave vol down bar
Price reaction levels:
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4175 4094 3928
3788 3502-3580
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
S&P500 Two targets on this newly started riseThe S&P500 made the first rebound on the bottom of the Channel Up.
Breaking over the MA50 (4h) has confirmed the short term bullish sentiment.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy this pull back as close to the bottom of the Channel as possible.
Targets:
1. 4000 short term (under the MA200 (4h)).
2. 4220 long term (top of the Channel Up and +11.00% rise).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) has formed the same pattern it did on the November 3rd and December 20th bottoms.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
This is a continuation of this trading plan:
BITCOIN and S&P500 on similar fortunes. Target 64000 and 4900.his is not one of our usual analyses but we found a pattern that Bitcoin and S&P500 shared in the past and may replicate in the future now that the Bull Cycle has restarted.
Based on this the first target for both of them when the get out of a Bear Cycle is Fibonacci 2.0 from the last High before the final selloff.
For Bitcoin that target is 64000 and for the S&P500 4900.
Long term outlook don't get confused with our usual shorter term signals.
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Looking for SPX stem dips.US500 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 3858 (stop at 3818)
Levels close to the 61.8% pullback level of 3972 found sellers.
An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning.
Intraday, and we are between bespoke support and resistance 3858-3983.
Immediate signals are hard to interpret.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 3983 and 4000
Resistance: 3983 / 4077 / 4086
Support: 3848 / 3818 / 3800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
US500 Bullish ProjectionSince January 2022, the US500 has been experiencing a downtrend. Recently, the price has broken through the trendline and subsequently retested it, indicating a bullish signal. I predict that the price will continue to move towards my target zones.
However, it is possible that the price may remain within a certain range for a period of time, or even fall below the trendline. Nonetheless, my overall bias remains bullish.
What do you think? like and comment below
S&P500 Has started the new 1 month bullish legS&P500/ SPX has been on Higher Highs/ Higher Lows in the past 3 days, forming a bullish reversal exactly on the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up.
The RSI is very similar to the previous bullish leg in January.
Buy and set Target A at 4050 (Fibonacci 0.618 within Channel Zone 0.5 - 0.618) and Target B at 4280 (Fibonacci 1.236 extension and top of the Channel Up).
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US500 Outlook 3/12Bullish on indices in general, would like to see this week put in what would be the monthly low.
