The Bigger Picture on the US100 Hey guys, If you have seen my most recent posts you wont be surprise to see I'm bearish on the markets and have been for some time. With market valuations out of whack, Ungodly like debt in Government, cooperate, and leverage used by traders, 40% of all the US currency printed in 2020-2021 but production at an all time low causing inflation we haven't seen since the 80s and i feel will get even worse and lastly The Fed having to stop its purchases and tighten policy with interest rate hiking probably faster then the market was pricing in. This is a giant bubble with some gaint problems they will send it falling at least in my estimate 40% but trend is even further at 57%. Obviously I dont think it will sink like a rock there and we will have some rebounds but as the fed keeps tightening and i think its safe to assume funds and firms will go bust they will send it back down further and further. Although this is gloomy I don't think its financial collapse, once inflation is taking care of and the excesses of finance have been washed away they market will be set for another massive decade long bull market with growth prospects for the world coming from India, Australia, Mexico and all over Africa.
My plan for this year and next is to watch the FED on interest rate hikes and statements and also inflation numbers, Watch Silver/gold this usually head south first and recover first and when the market starts the recover gold/silver will skyrocket to the moon. and Watch debt levels for both Governments and cooperate, Picking company that have low debt levels now that can take the opportunity that will come will massively improve your longer term portfolios.
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US500SHORT
BOS - BREAK OF STRUCUTRE ✅✅✅🎯 WHAT IS BOS ?
BOS - break of strucuture. I will use market strucutre bullish or bearish to understand if the institutions are buying or selling a financial asset.
To spot a bullish/bearish market strucutre we should see a higher highs and higher lows and viceversa, to spot the continuation of the bullish market strucuture we should see bullish price action above the last old high in the strucutre this is the BOS.
🎯 BOS for me is a confirmation that price will go higher after the retracement and we are still in a bullish move
Kindly see attached photos
US500 LONGS 📉📉📉Expecting bullish price action on this pair as price is in a bullish trend on a HTF, taked out liquidity below 4300 closed above bullish, retraced to fill the bullish imbalance and right now we are going higher for the w1 imbalance and 4700. This is a swing entry so please remember it will take some time to capitalise
What do you think ? Comment below..
S&P500 BULLS WILL GET A BEAR HITAs WXYX waves are compressed in an ENDING DIAGONAL , the result of over anticipation ( Euphoria) is favourable to BEARS .
This index is ready to fall from 4th jan for its wave''C''.as per NEO WAVE time cycles
The ongoing wave has 5 subdivisions in a ''CLASSIC ELLIOTT WAVE'' Pattern, which is easy to Trade in OPTIONS
4645 is the first target for BEARS to HIT the BULLS
B SELVAM BE MBA
OPTION BUYING COACH
S&P500 to test its support @ 4434A simple A B C zigzag correction is completed in S&P500 index.Wave 'A' is 5 wave(wxyxz )marked as 12345 and Wave'C' is 5wave terminal expanding pattern(3,3,3,3,3)
Minimum requirement of wave''C'' is achieved (62%ofA) @ 4819 on 4th Jan'22.
This index will take a breath at this zone(62%) and test for its support level before making any upmove further.
The first support level ( c2,c4 trendline) is @4434. If this level brokes, we can see another bout of decline as this index starts its next phase of bear market
3 STAGE CONFIRMATION OF BEAR MARKET IN S&P500The expanding triangle environment (distribution at high level) is at ending stage in S&P500 .
Yes in all world indices.
Today12/22/21 if SPX not breach 4656 (62% of wave''A'') then first confirmation for weak bulls.
IF SPX falls below 4495 then second confirmation of weak bears.
Finally IF SPX FALLS BELOW 4326 (OUT OF THE EXP,TRIANGLE) then final confirmation of STRONG BEARS
B.selvam be,mba,option buyer,coimbatore,india
US30 LONGS UPDATE 📉📉📉We are in profit on this trade, i expect bullish price action way above liquidity pool and new ATH"s to be formed, vix is down and we are in a risk on market environment that should support our long idea.
What do you think ? Comment below..
NASDAQ LONGS UPDATE 📉📉📉Expect the price to reach weekly high and close all the bearish imbalances, vix is down we are in a risk on market environment and indexes should rise+santa claus rally that is coming next week.
What do you think ? Comment below..
VIX LONGS ✅✅✅I see bullish price action on VIX as we are approaching an important area of support if you will, price closed all the bullish gaps made on the last week's panic and right now its going in my opinion to close bearish gap near 28$.
This means RISK OFF in the markets this means SHORT INDEXES.
What do you think ? Comment below..
SUPPLY AND DEMAND - US500 (5-11 Dec 2021)MN TF:
Candle close is lower than previous month
W1 TF:
New W1 Supply zone formed
D1 Direction
H4 TF:
Supply zones formed
H1 TF
Sell zone identified
US Market Technicals Ahead (8 November – 12 November 2021)Investors are to take note of the end of Daylight Saving Time (DST) that will effectively have the US exchanges open at an hour later, depending on your time zone starting today.
$SPX is currently closed at 200% ATR(14) away from its 10 days moving average, the first time since September 2020. Data on inflation will be the highlight of the U.S. economic calendar in the week ahead as investors continue to digest the Fed’s decision to begin tapering stimulus measures, marking the beginning of less accommodative monetary policy.
Earnings season is winding down, but there are still several companies set to report during the week. China’s Communist Party looks set to green-light a third term for President Xi Jinping.
Here’s what you need to know in the coming week.
Market Technicals
The benchmark index $SPX continues its high octane rally with a fresh new high established at 4,718 level, gaining +2.00% (+92.15 points) during the week.
$SPX is currently closed at 200% ATR away from its 10 days moving average, the first time since September 2020.
The immediate support to watch for $SPX this week is at 4,660 level, a break of its short term uptrend momentum.
Inflation data
Data on producer price inflation for October is scheduled for release on Tuesday, followed a day later by figures on consumer price inflation.
The CPI numbers are expected to hit their highest levels so far post-pandemic, with economists forecasting an increase of 0.6% month-on-month and 5.8% year-on-year. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy costs, is expected to rise by an annualized 4.3%.
At its latest meeting the Fed stuck to the view that high inflation would prove “transitory” and is not likely to require a rapid increase in interest rates, prompting investors to call it a “dovish taper.”
While the central bank has so far managed to communicate plans to begin scaling back its monthly bond purchases without triggering a taper tantrum, elevated inflation figures that fuel rate hike speculation could change that.
Earnings
Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have boosted equities and Wall Street’s main indexes closed at record highs on Friday following a strong U.S. jobs report and positive data for Pfizer’s ($PFE) experimental antiviral pill for COVID-19.
Companies reporting in the coming week include entertainment company Walt Disney ($DIS), drugmakers AstraZeneca ($AZN) and BioNTech ($BNTX) along with Softbank ($SFTBY), PayPal ($PYPL), Coinbase ($COIN) and AMC Entertainment ($AMC),
China
The top leaders of the Chinese Communist Party are set to meet in Beijing from Monday through Thursday, where the decision-making Central Committee could give the go-ahead for an unprecedented third term for President Xi Jinping.
The meeting comes at a time when growth in the world’s second largest economy is faltering amid stringent measures to curb virus outbreaks, a clampdown on the property market, energy shortages and disrupted supply chains.
Data on Sunday showed that Chinese exports slowed in October, but still beat forecasts while imports fell short of forecasts, pointing to continued weakness in domestic demand.
5 YEAR BEAR MARKET AHEADMY Chart clearly show's that SPX just completed it's 5th wave expansion after major 4th wave which was ended on 2009
As per NEO wave analysis the ''TERMINAL 5 TH WAVE'' in S&P500 INDEX is ended this month after a spectacular Rally for 13 years.
Now the game has to change on the hands of BEARS for at least 5 years.
I invite any querries about my wave counts and timing.
B.selvam ,B.E,MBA,
ANALYST
US500/SPX: Correction NeededWhat a year for SPX, this was by far the most incredible bull run I have witnessed.
The bull run can continue however I would like to see a correction in the price for discounts to buy.
Now that the majority of sellers have been taken out of the market, it could be time to start seeing those retracements in price as illustrated.
What is your view? Don't forget to leave a like and a comment.
S&P500 CORRECTION SEQUENCE IIWave ''A'' completed as 3 wave as ZIGZAG subsequently, Wave ''B'' completed as FLAT.
Wave''c1'' corrected above 38,2%of Wave'A' (minimum requirement of wave 'c') and wave c2 is yet to finish by 15th OCT
If it halts at either4407 (61.8% of c1) or 4431(100%of c1) as per NEO wave logic we can expect c3 will unfold .
Hence short positions can be taken below 4327
US500 SHORT SCENARIOdeep price actyion, manage rr ! goodluck
US500 is made out of top 500 companies in the US. from corona crisis almost every company made losses.... everyone is asking why is it stil going higher and higher.. wel that is because the top 5 companies made so much profit even more then the 495 other ccompanies...
AMAZON
TESLA
MICROSOFT
FACEBOOK
APPLE
recent we had the FACEBOOK shut down issue, that means no more advertising for AMAZON.. so for me it means fundamently short on US500
US500 ANALYSISThe yellow and red lines mean: I think prices can return in these areas.
blue lines mean: I think the price can reach these areas. They are therefore known as transaction targets.
If you want to use this deal, please risk only one percent of your account balance.