US Market Technicals Ahead (8 Feb – 12 Feb 2021)All three US major averages finished the week in the green, with each posting its best week since November 2020 as fears of the short-squeeze in a handful of stocks leading to broader market contagion subsided. Investors will be focusing on earnings and the prospects for a hefty new coronavirus relief package in the week ahead. Markets will also be watching the latest consumer price inflation numbers on Wednesday amid expectations for an uptick as the economic backdrop improves and the vaccine roll-out gains momentum.
Here’s what you need to know to start your week.
S&P500 (US Market)
The benchmark index ($SPX) kicks off the month of Feburary with a weekly gain of +5.03%, the best week of the index since November 2020. This rally not only fully recovered the correction from the initial week, but it also established a new all time high for $SPX at 3,895 level. Additionally, $SPX is now back above its 20DMA, along with the consolidated Trend Channel highlighted last week.
At the current junction, the week’s rally of $SPX have exhibited a Bearish Divergence pattern; as the daily rally of $SPX is accompanied with a volume exhaustion. The first signs of weakness in this rally will require a re-test of all-time high resistance turned support at 3,870.
1. Earnings
Better-than-expected corporate results so far in the fourth quarter have driven up analysts’ expectations, and S&P 500 ($SPX) companies are on track to post earnings growth for the period instead of a decline as initially expected. Upcoming U.S. reports in the week ahead include Cisco Systems ($CSCO), Twitter ($TWTR), General Motors ($GM), Pepsi ($PEP), Coca-Cola ($KO), AstraZeneca ($AZN) and Walt Disney ($DIS).
Upbeat earnings along with stimulus talks and progress on the vaccine rollout boosted equities last week, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq recording their largest weekly percentage gains since the U.S. elections in early November.
Upbeat fourth-quarter results would bolster expectations for a strong rebound in earnings in 2021 and help to ease investor worries that valuations are overstretched.
2. Stimulus
U.S. President Joe Biden’s push for his $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief package gained momentum on Friday after the U.S. Senate narrowly approved a budget blueprint allowing Democrats to push the legislation through Congress in coming weeks with or without Republican support.
Republicans have proposed a $600 billion aid package, less than a third the size of the Democratic plan.
Congressional committees are set to start drawing up legislation this week and Speaker Nancy Pelosi has predicted the final legislation could pass Congress before March 15, when special unemployment benefits that were added during the pandemic expire.
Data on Friday showing a smaller-than-expected rebound in the U.S. labor market in January underscored the need for more stimulus to bolster the economy.
3. Inflation data
Market watchers will be paying close attention to Wednesday’s CPI data amid growing expectations that an uptick in inflation could be larger and longer lasting than the Federal Reserve is currently anticipating.
U.S. Treasury investors are betting on rising inflation as the U.S. economy returns to more normal levels in the second half of this year, after contracting at its deepest pace since World War Two in 2020.
The prospect of a new coronavirus relief package is adding to inflation expectations.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is to speak about the labor market on Wednesday at a webinar hosted by the Economic Club of New York. Thursday’s figures on initial jobless claims will also be in focus.
US500SHORT
S&P 500 to Short in due time?Observing market channel, you can see market may be reaching the top of it's peak soon and a good drop should follow after this.
Stay out of buys unless short term trading and look for sell confirmations for a big drop probably sometime in a couple of months.
Trade at your own risk..
SHORT us500 130+pips=1,300ticks tp1-4 setrunning demo but thought it would be cool to follow up for fun lets go! 50% track debut. lets see how it plays
Long Setup for US500 (SPY, ES, MES)Short term Long Setup for US500
A simple but effective technical analysis using tops and bottoms with scale in strategy.
Scaling refers to the trading strategy of buying multiple orders at different prices so as to limit the impact of putting in one big order.
SPX500USD UPDATEFOLLOWING OUR PREVIOUS IDEA OF A SUBWAVE 4 TO WAVE 5, WE SEEM TO BE ENDING THE BULLRUN AND ENTER ANOTHER CORRECTIE PHASE, WITH DISTRIBUTION (MANIPULATION OF HIGHS) BUILDING UP AND A ENDING DIAGONAL OF THE SUB WAVE 5. THE DECLINE START OR CONTINUE FROM THE NEW YEAR. TRADE SAFE AND HAPPY COMING HOLIDAYS
US500 - S&P500 - Sell Time - H4 ChartUS500 - S&P500 - Sell Time - H4 Chart
Blue Lines are important levels, may pull back to test highs, then down
Look for Selling Opportunities
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🔺 Disclaimer! The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice.
🔺 It is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
🔺 You must do your own research to create your own trading plan for the market.
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US500 3541.1 - 0.32 % SHORT IDEA * CORRECTION AND PRICE ACTIONHey everyone
A look at the S&P 500 that is currently trading is a bear flag looking for a break below of the structure, the index rallied up with the bull and was bound to correct this move to complete that big gartley pattern so previous swing lows will be our targets and guided by the fibonacci levels a break above of structure will change the whole trading plan.
As always higher time-frames for direction and whats happening in the overall chart and lower time-frames for entry opportunities.
LET'S SEE HOW IT GOES..
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET THE WINS RUN...
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ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
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If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
us500 short call then possibly following up with a reversal Us500 call is based on some analysis ive been back testing based on the 50% update the reversal will be around that price area then the buy back up lets see
SPX500 Making Head & Shoulders PatternMake sure you like the post if you enjoy the publication! Thanks for the support!
Price currently making a head and shoulders pattern on the 2HR. Looking to target the daily retest zone to look to possibly take a long from there next. Wait for the 2HR candle to close for confirmation. We want a doji, spinning top or a bearish candle and will enter at close immediately.
[S&P500] US500 IS ON DOWNTREND!Price reached bear zone on D1.
Structure: downtrend
Tendency: downtrend
=> Wait Bear Zone on smaller timeframe and candle signal to sell.
SPX500 with Expected correction.US500 - Intraday
We look to Sell
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Momentum is stalling with the posting of new highs and indicates bearish divergence.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a possible turnaround is possible. We have a 78.6% Fibonacci pullback level of 3507 from 3588 to 3210.
We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 3444 from 3588 to 3210.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 3444 and 3420
Resistance: 3508 / 3526 / 3536
Support: 3490 / 3485 / 3444
S&P 500 Analysis UpdateSnp Reached the daily strong resistance we might be looking for shorts in this area
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