S&P500 H4 / Possible retracement until 5100
Hello Traders!
I expect a bearish S&P500 as it sets a new ATH. Taking into consideration the DXY position at the moment, I expect a strong bullish momentum on DXY, respectively bearish US indices.
I expect a retracement or a consolidation at the FIB levels.
US500SHORT
S&P500 Testing the FVG / Bearish Breakout Sign?💡Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to S&P500. I see a rejection from the FVG H4, that could be a potential sell signal.
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US500 4 Hours Chart AnalysiaRising Wedge Created On 4HR Chart
Bearish Reversal on the Horizon?
The US500 has formed a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential bearish reversal. This pattern, characterized by converging trendlines with a steeper support line, suggests that upward momentum is waning.
Key Observations:
Upward Trend : The pattern has developed during an uptrend, indicating exhaustion of the bullish momentum.
Converging Trendlines: The resistance and support lines are sloping upwards, coming to a point of convergence.
Volume: A declining volume trend accompanies the pattern, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Breakout Watch: A decisive break below the support trendline could confirm the reversal, offering a short entry opportunity.
Trade Strategy:
Entry : Look for a clear break below the support trendline with increased volume as confirmation.
Stop Loss: Set above the last swing high within the wedge.
Take Profit: Measure the height of the wedge at its widest part and project this distance from the breakout point for a potential target.
Risk Management:
Monitor for false breakouts and adjust positions accordingly.
Keep an eye on broader market sentiment and news that may impact the index.
Trade with caution and ensure proper risk management protocols are in place.
This trade idea is based on technical patterns and should be used as part of a comprehensive trading plan. Always consider the risk associated with trading financial instruments.
S&P 500 H4 / Bearish Market Structure Idea ✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to S&P 500 H4. I would like to see another ATH set, and after that, I will look for a short entry. I expect that the S&P 500 will reach the resistance level, and if confirmed, I will execute a short trade. I will look for a short entry in the smaller time frame. The target is the FVG at the price of 5000-4980.
Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives.
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US500Is US500 exhausting at resistance zone?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence( on lower time frame) suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 4840.
What you guys think of it?
US100 17348.6 +0.14 % SHORT IDEA INTRA-DAY SETUP 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great 🛑
A look at NASDAQ ahead of LONDON OPEN 📌
* Asian range taking beautifully.
* We are trading above the D, & W OPEN on the S&P 500 ( SMT)
* Looking for a sweep of BSL for continuation with the bears.
* If we take Asian lows 1st the trade is still valid for NY.
* we will just wait for BSL to be taken
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
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Reacceleration of inflation presents a trouble for the FEDYesterday, the market became slightly spooked by the release of higher-than-expected inflation numbers in the United States. The immediate reaction of the SPX to the news was negative, with the index erasing its early gains; the same price action could be observed in the Nasdaq 100 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Nevertheless, market indices recovered much of their losses by the close and have been trending sideways.
The reacceleration of inflation in the United States represents a hurdle for the FED in its quest to tame inflation (likely causing it not to cut interest rates at the next meeting at the end of January 2024 or in March 2024). In addition to that, it could shatter the investors’ expectations of premature rate cuts if no significant improvement is seen in the next print. In turn, that could negatively affect the stock market down the road.
In regard to technicals, the resistance at $4,800 continues to play a crucial role; if the price manages to break above it and close there (ideally for at least two consecutive days), it will be very positive. The resumption of growth in RSI, MACD, and Stochastic on the daily chart will also bolster a bullish case. However, the flattening of these indicators and a failure of the RSI to break above 70 points will be slightly concerning.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the 5-minute graph of the SPX. The yellow arrow indicates the moment when inflation numbers were released in the United States.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Neutral
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Global markets are turning lowerIn the first week of 2024, major U.S. indices turned to the downside. Year-to-date, the Nasdaq 100 declined by about 2.2%, the S&P 500 by 1%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.3%, and the Russell 2000 by 3%. The situation is no better overseas, where in the Chinese market, major indices also slipped lower. In particular, the Hang Seng Index lost about 5.3%, the CSI 300 lost 3.7%, and the Shanghai Composite Index lost 3%. The same story also played out in Europe, where the DAX declined by about 1.7%, the UK100 by 0.8%, and the French CAC40 by 2.3%. On top of that, Europe saw a reacceleration of inflation, putting much anticipation on these numbers in the U.S. that are scheduled for release on Thursday. If inflation is also reaccelerating in the U.S., it will likely put pressure on the FED to keep conditions tight for longer than expected. As a result, this can lead to repricing in the markets.
Now, on the subject of technicals, there is a divergence between the price and RSI on the weekly graph. Simultaneously, the RSI is peaking below 70 points, which is a bearish sign. As for the daily chart, all RSI, MACD, and Stochastic continue to develop bearish structures, tilting the odds toward more weakness. Consequently, we will monitor the resistance near $4,700; if the price fails to regain ground above it (with at least two consecutive closes above it), it will be concerning.
Illustration 1.01
The red and green arrows on the weekly chart of SPX show the divergence between the price and the RSI.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of the Hang Seng Index, which has been declining since 27th January 2023, erasing about 28.3% of its value. For the first week of the current year, the index is down approximately 5.3%
Illustration 1.04
Illustration 1.03 shows the CSI 300 on the daily graph. The CSI 300 has been declining since 18th February 2021, losing about 44.6% of its value.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
US500 ShortThis index reached its highest high today, and I am anticipating that the might be a pullback to the 0.2 fib level.
Entry at 4400, S.L at 4450, and TP at 4300. My R: R for this trade is 1:2.
Remember, risk only 1-2 % of your account.
S&P 500 IndexTarget makes an impulse wave to wave 5 downtrend
- Max "SL" (4328.03)
- Target 1 (4200.11)
- Target 2 (4157.47)
- Target 3 (4114.83)
hint>
Daily - the lowest price for wave 4 at the golden zone level
- Expected to wave 5 uptrend (4597.07)
H4 - Expected market pullback (Uptrend Mome)
- LL to LH
US500 working with liquidityHello Trader! A significant amount of liquidity was taken out with the upward impulse. Now, there's a high probability of heading down to capture the lower liquidity.
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Critical 4 weeks for DAX Following weekly chart.
The last time when I get a short signal to in weekly chart was 4 weeks before COVID crash. (red area in the chart)
Now I got the same signal and unfortunately this is the most trustworthy signal for me.
I think this 4 weeks are really critical and what I expect is we might way to go to gaps below.
Be careful and be careful!
short at 4342-50 to target short time 4310-15 so an easy 30 pipsshort #sp500 #us500 at 4342 with very short time tp at 4311-15 around so a good 30 pips in pocket ,for long term or short term dependt of the #us #cpi tomorrow there the target 2 on simply chart below #nasdaq too can short for 50 pips no problem #gold #wti #eurusd #usdjpy #gbpusd
-much overbought and up for no reason
-while "vix" up in same time,so strange
S&P500 - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on US500.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from higher timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I expect bullish price action from here as we can see that price filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block.
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US500 Long Term SELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders
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S&P500 - Short after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on US500.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 1H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + psychological price level 4500.
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S&P500 - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on US500.
Technical analysis: Even if we are bullish here on daily timeframe, I expect a retracement for short term period, as price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block. The target is imbalance lower and bullish order block.
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