WTI / OIL PoV - Break Point 65$ / 62$ / 47$ LONG The price of oil has recently undergone a significant retracement, dropping to its lowest levels in the last three months. This decline has been influenced by several factors, including trade tariff policies and decisions made by OPEC+.
In March 2025, the price of Brent crude fell below $70, touching a low of $69.76, its lowest since September. In New York, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) lost 1.64%, reaching $67.24. New tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on imports from Canada and Mexico have fueled uncertainty about international trade, raising concerns that global economic slowdown might cause oil demand to fall behind supply.
Additionally, OPEC+ decided to increase production by 138,000 barrels per day in April, with the goal of reaching a production level of 2.2 million barrels per day by 2026. This decision contributed to an oversupply that could negatively affect prices, especially if economic growth slows.
Trade tariffs have had a direct impact on the oil market. In February 2025, China imposed a 10% tariff on U.S. crude oil in response to U.S. tariffs, contributing to the drop in oil prices to their lowest levels of the year. Additionally, U.S. crude oil inventories increased beyond expectations, indicating further weakness in demand.
Geopolitical tensions, such as the U.S. proposals to take control of Gaza and the intention to strengthen sanctions on Iran, have added further uncertainty to the market, affecting consumer and investor confidence.
Regarding the price levels you’ve identified for potential purchases, it's important to note that the oil market is influenced by a combination of geopolitical, economic, and supply factors. The support levels at $65, $62, and $57 that you've pointed out may represent significant technical levels, but it’s crucial to monitor geopolitical developments and trade policies that can affect price volatility. It is advisable to consult up-to-date sources and market analysis before making investment decisions.
USA
US Tariffs Global Stock Market Crash and International Reactions
Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I am talking to you about what happened yesterday, Liberation Day. Yesterday, US President Donald Trump announced new "reciprocal" customs duties against several countries, including the European Union, China, the United Kingdom and many others. This announcement, called "Liberation Day" by the White House, has triggered a series of chain reactions on global markets.
The new tariffs, ranging from 10% to 46%, have been justified as a measure to rebalance international trade practices and protect the American economy. However, the immediate impact has been a significant collapse of global stock markets. Investors, worried about possible retaliation and the escalation of trade tensions, have reacted by massively selling their shares.
In Europe, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the EU was ready to respond with appropriate measures, while Italian President Sergio Mattarella called the new tariffs a "profound mistake." The oil market also took a hit, with the price of WTI falling to $69.87 a barrel.
The impact on financial markets was devastating. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones closed down 3.5%, while the Nasdaq lost 4.2%. European stocks were not far behind, with London's FTSE 100 losing 3.8% and Frankfurt's DAX falling 4.1%. Asian stocks also suffered sharp declines, with Japan's Nikkei closing down 3.7%.
For forex traders, these dynamics represent both a challenge and an opportunity. Market volatility can offer opportunities for profit, but it also requires careful risk management. It is essential to closely monitor geopolitical news and market reactions to make informed decisions.
In conclusion, the global economic landscape is in a phase of great uncertainty. As a trader, it is essential to stay updated and ready to react quickly to changes. Keep following my updates for more analysis and trading tips.
Happy trading everyone!
2 April Liberation Day: USA-Europe War Impact on ForexHi, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an event that is shaking global markets: the tariff war between the United States and Europe.
Sunday, April 2, we started in force and new American news, celebrating "Liberation Day" by President Donald Trump. These data, which include 25% tariffs on your steel, aluminum and automobiles, look to rebalance the trade deficit of the United States. However, Europe is not ready to be saved. Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, has said that Europe has not started this matter, but is ready to defend its interests with a strong plan for control2.
The tension between the economic power has caused a significant impact on the market. The European stock exchange has not recorded consistent losses, with Milan having lost 16.4 million euros. Europe has responded with tariffs to its strategic American products, such as whiskey, motorcycles and legumes, and is evaluating further measures to protect its own industry4.
Forex Impact
This commercial war will bring about repercussions directly on the Forex market. Here's what to expect:
Removal of the American Dollar (USD): Protectionist tariffs tend to reforce the dollar, as they reduce the command of foreign currencies for imports. In addition, the increase in the price could lead the Federal Reserve to modify its own monetary policy, increasing interest rates.
Volatility of European Currencies: The euro (EUR) may rise in pressures due to economic uncertainties and European constraints. Also the value of the Swedish crown (SEK) may be negatively influenced.
Opportunity for the Trader: The volatility generated by these tensions offers opportunities for the Forex trader. Significant movements and exchange rates can be completed with trading strategies soon, but fundamentally adopt rigorous risk management.
Conclusion
The tariff war between the United States and Europe represents a significant loss for the global economy and the Forex market. Tomorrow will be a crucial day, and the trader will not carefully monitor the resources to adapt their own strategy. Always advise me to do my own analysis and operate with prudence.
Happy trading everyone!
Geopolitical Analysis and Impacts on Currency Markets
Hello, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about how recent geopolitical news is impacting the Forex market, analyzing the main currency pairs and providing a detailed technical picture.
Current Geopolitical Context
This week, the geopolitical landscape has been characterized by a series of significant events. Among them, tensions between the United States and Russia have dominated the scene, with a phone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin that has opened up the possibility of a negotiation in Ukraine. However, the situation on the ground remains critical, with Russian forces advancing in several Ukrainian regions2. Furthermore, uncertainty over gas supplies in Europe has led to significant volatility in energy markets, with the price of gas falling by 3%.
Impacts on the Forex Market
Geopolitical tensions have had a direct impact on the Forex market, influencing volatility and capital flows. For example:
EUR/USD: The pair has been showing a bearish trend, influenced by economic uncertainty in Europe and the strength of the dollar as a safe haven.
USD/JPY: The dollar has gained ground against the yen, thanks to the perception of economic stability in the United States.
GBP/USD: The British pound has been under pressure due to concerns about economic growth in the United Kingdom.
Technical Analysis
A technical analysis of the major currency pairs reveals the following trends:
EUR/USD: Technical indicators suggest a "sell" position, with key support at 1.0832 and resistance at 1.0862.
USD/JPY: The pair is showing "buy" signals, with an uptrend supported by resistance at 148.09.
GBP/USD: Indicators are mixed, with resistance at 1.2944 and support at 1.2920.
Conclusion
Geopolitical dynamics continue to play a crucial role in determining the movements of the Forex market. Investors should carefully monitor global developments and use technical tools to make informed decisions. The current volatility offers opportunities, but also requires careful risk management.
I hope this analysis has been useful to you in better understanding the connections between geopolitics and Forex. Stay tuned for more updates!
$VVV - AI Moonshot ticketThe big drawdown prior was due to 50% of the supply being airdrop on TGE -- no VC's, no Presale. The airdrop claim window was open for 45 days and has now closed.
33m tokens were remaining, over $130m in value and the team burnt the lot of it.
basescan.org
Updated tokenomics can be found on CoinGecko, and currently 51% of circulating supply is timelocked and staked with massive 80% APR.
Can see a breakout of prior downtrend, triangle correction (abcde on 1hr chart). Price retested and moving up for the Wave 3 rally.
USA Based project providing inference service for AI -- product ready, similar to OpenAI but crypto native. Founder: Erik Voorhees, multi-millionaire Bitcoin OG from 2011 and founder of ShapeShift.
You do not want to miss this one, already listed on Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance Futures. Can pick up on Aero aswel. Still only 100m mcap with $255m FDV.
Europe - America War, Impact on Forex
Hello, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an important issue that is shaking up the international market: the trade war between the European Union and the United States. Recently, the European Union responded to the duties imposed by the United States on steel and aluminum with countermeasures worth 26 billion euros. In response, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 200% duties on all wines, champagnes and spirits from France and other countries represented by the EU2.
This escalation of trade tensions will certainly have a significant impact on the FOREX market. Let's see together what the consequences could be:
Market Volatility: Trade tensions between two of the world's largest economies will increase the volatility of the FOREX market. Investors will seek safe havens, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY), increasing the demand for these currencies.
Euro (EUR) depreciation: The euro could come under downward pressure due to concerns about the economic impact of tariffs on key EU sectors, such as wine. The reduction in exports of wine and other alcoholic products could negatively impact the EU's trade balance.
US dollar (USD) appreciation: The dollar could strengthen further, as investors view the US as a safe haven in times of economic uncertainty. However, the increase in tariffs could also lead to higher inflation in the US, complicating the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rates.
Impact on the currencies of wine exporting countries: The currencies of major European wine exporters, such as the euro (EUR) and the Swedish krona (SEK), could come under downward pressure due to the decrease in exports to the US.
In conclusion, the tariff war between the European Union and the US will have a significant impact on the FOREX market. Investors will need to monitor developments closely and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. Stay tuned for more updates and market analysis!
Happy trading to all!
BIGGEST ECONOMIC RESET: BTC!🚨 WHAT IF THE BIGGEST ECONOMIC RESET IS HAPPENING BEFORE OUR EYES? 🚨
We’ve seen governments manipulate markets before, but what if we’re witnessing the most sophisticated financial maneuver in history?
Right now, the U.S. is drowning in historic levels of debt—over $35 trillion—with interest payments soaring to nearly $1 trillion per year. The system is unsustainable. But what if Trump, or whoever is pulling the strings, is playing the ultimate financial chess game? 🎭
🔹 The Playbook:
1️⃣ Crashing Bitcoin from $109K to $60K:
• Market manipulation? Coordinated selling? Whatever it is, we see heavy downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
• The Federal Reserve begins lowering interest rates, making money cheaper.
• Institutions, possibly even governments, buy Bitcoin at $60K, accumulating billions—or even trillions—at a discount.
2️⃣ Pumping Bitcoin to $120K:
• After accumulating at low prices, strategic moves (regulatory shifts, institutional adoption, positive media cycles) push Bitcoin up.
• The U.S. government (or key financial players) now holds Bitcoin at twice the original value.
• Instead of selling, they use Bitcoin as collateral to take out new loans at higher valuations—doubling their money on paper.
3️⃣ Paying Off U.S. Debt with Bitcoin Gains:
• Now sitting on a $10T profit, the U.S. (or its financial arms) uses the capital to pay off a significant portion of its debt.
• Trump, or whoever executes this plan, is suddenly praised as the savior of the U.S. economy.
• The media calls it “the greatest financial turnaround in history.”
4️⃣ Dumping Bitcoin Again—Back to GETTEX:25K -$35K:
• After securing profits and lowering debt, Bitcoin is strategically dumped back down.
• The cycle repeats: Buy low, manipulate, sell high, control the financial game.
• The next cycle? 2027. This could be the biggest financial fraud scheme—or the smartest economic move in modern history.
💡 What If This is the Plan All Along?
• Bitcoin-backed national reserves become reality.
• Debt cycles are no longer a problem—they become a trading strategy.
• The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury master market cycles instead of fighting them.
• The average investor? Left chasing shadows in a manipulated system.
👀 Sounds insane? Maybe. But in a world where trillions are printed overnight, where governments engineer financial crises and solutions, and where crypto is no longer just “internet money” but a strategic asset, anything is possible.
🔥 What do you think? Is this the master plan, or just another conspiracy theory? Drop your thoughts below!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #EconomicReset #Trump #FederalReserve #DebtCrisis #FinancialManipulation #Markets #Crypto2027
BTC PoV The projection of a potential rise in Bitcoin (BTC) starting from liquidity points at 75K, 65K, and 57K suggests a recovery dynamic from a bearish phase. If BTC were to rise above the 75,000 USD level, it could trigger a significant bullish push, as this is an important resistance level that, once broken, would open the way for new highs. This would mark the end of a correction and the resumption of the bullish trend. On the other hand, if the price were to drop to 65,000 USD, this level could represent an accumulation opportunity, with a potential recovery from this zone, confirmed by an upward movement. In a worse-case scenario, if BTC were to fall to 57,000 USD, it would be a key support level, a zone where the market could attempt a rebound. If the buyers' response were positive, BTC could find the strength to rise again and resume its bullish trend. Essentially, the liquidity points at 75K, 65K, and 57K are critical levels in determining the future direction of BTC, with a potential recovery depending on the market’s reaction to these supports and resistances.
In parallel, a potential recession in the United States could directly impact the value of the dollar, with significant implications for Bitcoin. During a recession, the Federal Reserve's monetary policies could become more accommodative, with interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy. This increased liquidity could drive investors toward assets like BTC, as Bitcoin is seen by many as a hedge against inflation and the depreciation of the dollar. If the recession were to weaken the dollar, BTC could benefit from increased demand for cryptocurrencies as an alternative to the traditional monetary system. However, if the Fed were to counter the recession with policies that strengthen the dollar, possibly to attract foreign investments, the price of BTC could suffer, as a stronger dollar might reduce Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In conclusion, BTC's future direction depends not only on its technical levels but also on global economic policies and macroeconomic dynamics, which could favor a BTC rally if the recession weakens the dollar, or slow its growth if the dollar maintains strength.
Why the US strategic reserve is a bad thing for crypto.Another Controversial Opinion
Honestly, I’m frustrated with how this is unfolding. Crypto was never meant to be controlled by the USA—it was created as a humanitarian concept to empower individuals, offering a decentralized, anonymous, and universally accessible financial system.
But, as always, when there's money, resources, or anything valuable, the USA steps in to take control.
Take the music industry as an example—one of many sectors transformed (or destroyed) by the US.
Why Is the US Crypto Stockpile a Bad Thing?
Because it goes against Satoshi Nakamoto’s vision.
By aggressively accumulating and stockpiling Bitcoin, the US is making crypto less attractive to the rest of the world. People who assume every country will blindly follow the US are mistaken. What's beneficial for the US is not necessarily good for China, India, Pakistan, Indonesia, or any country competing against US financial dominance.
Unlike gold, which can be mined anywhere, the US stockpiling over 200,000 Bitcoin gives it a massive advantage. Other nations may reject crypto simply because they see it becoming a US-controlled asset.
The Political Weaponization of Crypto
Now, Trump is positioning himself as "The Crypto President"—which, while beneficial under his leadership, means that Democrats will inevitably become the anti-crypto party.
Turning crypto into a political weapon is dangerous in the long run. Is gold tied to a political party? No. So why should crypto be?
Conclusion
Crypto needed regulation, and that’s it.
The US obsession with controlling everything valuable often ends up destroying it.
Let’s not forget: crypto is nothing without its global communities—and where are most of these people? In countries that are actively resisting US financial dominance, primarily in the BRICS nations.
When Trump and his family rug-pulled $1 billion through Trump/Melania meme coins, that money didn’t just come from the US—it came mostly from foreign investors gambling on memes.
This is not what Satoshi Nakamoto envisioned when he released Bitcoin as open-source software for humanity.
The end result? The SPX500 dictates the market, Bitcoin follows, and altcoins mirror Bitcoin. Wall Street is now the puppet master of crypto.
If crypto follows the path of the music industry, billionaires will get richer, but ordinary people won’t. Altcoins will be wiped out, and Bitcoin will dominate everything.
Trump's Golden RatioTrump has launched his own personal token that he will use solely for his own benefit for bribes and money laundering. He's not a politician, he's a businessman who knows how to make money. Creating his own cryptocurrencies is direct proof of that. The $TRUMP token plays a role as the president's personal token for the Republicans to donate to him and a legal way to get money from other politicians. The whole saga with his token is just beginning, it is one of the few steps in building the Trump family the greatest business ever.
As far as the chart is concerned, we should wait for a bounce into the golden section area. Now there was a FUD regarding the ByBit hack, it's like a fake attempt to panic the crowd, but it didn't work with smart people. Only the strongest are left here, who have survived everything they can.
Horban Brothers.