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USD/JPY Next Possible Movement USD ( U.S Dollar ) / JPY ( Japanese Yen ) Technical Analysis Chart Update Time Frame - H1 According to Long Time Frame - LTF H-4 It is following the Elliot waves in Bearish Trend and Has completed Impulsion and its Correction H-1 It is following the Rising Wedge Pattern and Rejecting from the Lower Trend Line ( LTL ) According to Short Time Frame - STF Its is following the Elliot waves and it will complete its 5th wave at Fibonacci Level - 78.60% It is also Following Bearish Channel for correction and can Follow Short Buy Trend
by ForexDetective
DXY: will we have more fresh highs?Hey traders, Above is a technical overview on DXY and the most important zone to watch, i highly recommend to take a look at DXY at the beginning of every trading week if not everyday, that will help you to Spot the direction of USD pairs and allow you to trade them in a more professional way. in the coming week we are monitoring USD INDEX for buying opportunity around 106.4 zone, once we will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed. Trade safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
16
Alphabet Inc - Short PositionWith an underlying share value equal to $117, Alphabet Inc has seen bullish movements since our last position published on 28/07/22. When reassessing Alphabet Inc using a 4hr range, investors can see that it’s now trading above its central Fibonacci PP level. In fact, the stock is trading above its PP 0.382 1st level resistance. The underlying price of Alphabet is in line with it's PP 0.5 resistance level. This is a bearish signal, investors should anticipate bullish trends to begin to correct and for stock prices to bear towards their support. Whilst it would be reasonable to anticipate the bullish resistance trend to continue to strengthen, this signal tells us to begin to anticipate a bare and profit off a short. This notion is further supported by the 20-day ranged Bollinger Band. The underlying stock price is currently trading close to the Bollinger’s upper bound which suggests a correction toward it’s lower bound, close to the Fibonacci’s central PP level. It would be justified to set a buy price in line with the Fibonacci’s P 0.5 resistance pivot. We anticipate the underlying stock price of Alphabet to reach this resistance point before bareish corrections occur. Therefore, we have set a buy price in line with the PP 0.5 resistance pivot, our investors will look to buy at a price of $118. Based buy and sell trends since the start of the year, we anticipate a strengthening bareish trend. We anticipate bareish trends to strengthen over bullish trends and for the underlying stock price to reach it’s Fibonacci support level. We have set a target price in line with the Fibonacci’s PP 0.5 support level. The buyer should sell at around $105.
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by vf_investment
1
Why isn't the US officially in a recession? The US has technically entered a recession in the second quarter 2022 as the economy contracted 0.9% year over year, following a 1.6% decline in the first quarter. However, the official body that is tasked to make a call on whether the economy is in a recession has yet to declare that the US is in fact in an economic downturn. Slowdown in private and public spending In the April-June period, GDP shrank for the second straight quarter, which the US Department of Commerce attributed to the drag in private inventory and residential fixed investments, reduced federal government spending and a drop in non-residential fixed investment. General merchandise stores and motor vehicle dealers in the US eased their inventory build-up in the recent quarter, leading to the drop in private inventory investment, while the government’s move to cut down on its non-defense spending resulted in lower federal government spending. These factors offset the increase in exports and personal consumption spending in the second quarter. While the second consecutive drop in GDP reached the widely accepted definition of a recession, the US, according to a body that gets to say when the country is already in one, has yet to make a call. Who makes the call? The National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonprofit organization founded in 1920, serves as the “official” arbiter of whether the US, the world’s largest economy, is in a recession or not. The NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee consists of eight members who are among the country’s top economists working at leading academic institutions. The committee keeps track of the dates of peaks and troughs that frame economic recessions and expansions and its decision is based on a wider set of indicators including income, spending and employment. The NBER defines a recession as a period that involves a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months.” Growth slowing While the US is not in an official recession, many analysts acknowledged that the country’s economic growth is slowing. Even US President Joe Biden said “it’s no surprise that the economy is slowing down” as the economy came off of last year’s historic growth, regaining all the private sector jobs lost during the COVID-10 pandemic. “But even as we face historic global challenges, we are on the right path and we will come through this transition stronger and more secure,” Biden said in a statement last week following the release of the quarterly GDP report. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell also remains optimistic on the economy, telling reporters in a recent press conference: “I do not think the US is currently in a recession and the reason is there are too many areas of the economy that are performing too well.” Strong jobs data “This is a very strong labor market ... it doesn’t make sense that the economy would be in a recession with this kind of thing happening,” Powell said. In June, non-farm payrolls rose by 372,000 month over month, topping the 250,000 market estimate, with the unemployment rate unchanged at 3.6%, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. “The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,” Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics, was quoted by CNBC as saying. The strength in US consumption and employment are still providing support to the economy, but some analysts are warning that it is only a matter of time before the US succumbs to a recession as soaring inflation continues to dampen consumer appetite, while the volatility in financial markets linger due to uncertainties surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic, stagflation concerns and other factors. The International Monetary Fund last week lowered its outlook on the US economy, now expecting a 2.3% growth this year, down from its previous 3.7% expansion forecast, while it expects the world economy to rise 4.2%, slower than its anticipated 3.6% growth forecast.
ECONOMICS:USGDPQQ
by BlackBull_Markets
Possible next move in SPXHi everyone. Today I'm gonna talk about SPX. In this moments the price have 2 posibilitties: Option A: We have a double bottom pattern and the price will go to the level of pattern and then we need to wait a intentional canddle who confirms the change pattern. In this point it's good enter to long (more risk) Option B: The price will go to te resistance and then will fall to the support (here we can enter with a short). In the support we need to wait if the price will go down or bounce to the resistance again (good opportunity to enter long) Thanks for read this and leave me a comments or questions and if you like this analysis, follow me. See you soon !
SP:SPX
by huraz
SPXThe euro has fallen below the dollar for the first time in nearly 20 years as the war in Ukraine pushes the single currency down. A single euro bought $0.998 on the foreign exchange market at 12:45 GMT, down by 0.4% in the day's trading. Fears that Russia may restrict Europe's supplies of energy have increased the chances of recession in the euro area. The European Central Bank has lagged other central banks in raising rates, further weakening the euro. Currencies tend to rise when the relevant central bank increases interest rates, as international investors eye a larger return for holding assets priced in that currency. The dollar has also been strong in recent months, buoyed by the US central bank raising interest rates, and investors seeking the safe haven of dollar assets in times of global turmoil.
SP:SPX
by cryptobetgang
APPLE IS TURNING GREEN 🍏 - MARKET IS ON!!!My theory that APPLE will be the crucial chart is paying dividends. APPLE Share is on the Rise, above key resistance of 154$ My targets are 212$ and 249$ I had told everyone here: Things can get better faster than most think: I also shared with you today how Tech beats inflation (i used the Tesla chart given that Elon tweeted today): Market could be on the rise again and our Saturday morning could be something like this: Call me crazy, i don't mind, after all i'm super fine even if i would be making sense to just myself but during the 'Panic days' I posted this: If there is something about the markets is the 'correlation' with America. I have learned how to pay attention to the 'signals' Americans give. In this case it was Biden signaling the rebound and i paid attention, that's all. Empire strikes back. Negative GDP was painted Green.. Professor is Long. One Love, the FXPROFESSOR
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by FX_Professor
1
What's Hot: The stakes are high for the widow maker tradeThe widow maker trade is back. At over 136 yen to the US dollar, the yen is approaching levels of weakness last seen in the summer of 1998. Investors are now betting that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) under growing pressure to stabilise the yen will have to abandon its 0.25% cap on benchmark bond yields and allow them to rise. If this were to happen, it would have widespread ramifications allowing the yen and Japanese rates to rise. BOJ’s unprecedented quantitative easing program is getting harder to defend The BOJ kept its bond purchase plan unchanged for the July-September quarter, even though its actions are weighing on the yen. It insists the Japanese economy still needs support. While this is true, the BOJ needs to take a balanced approach by considering both the merits and side effects of its ultra-easy monetary policy. As it stands, liquidity deteriorated on the JGB market and the weaker yen continues to drive up imported inflation. The BOJ spent more than ¥16Trn (US$118Bn), its largest monthly purchase in June since Governor Haruhiko Kuroda took the helm of the BOJ in 2013, as it sought to suppress yields. The JGB market faces continued pressure with a gauge of liquidity pointing to worst levels since 2013. A rise in the index implies a decline in liquidity. Inflation becoming a concern A gauge of Japan’s inflation expectations has climbed to a seven-year high, as a weak yen compounds the effect of elevated commodity prices. In Tokyo, the core CPI (excluding only fresh food) increased 2.1% YoY in June, picking up from a 1.9% YoY rise in May. The boost from energy prices barely changed owing to government subsidies for oil wholesale companies. The June BOJ tankan (short term economic outlook), showed business confidence Diffusion Index (DI) among large manufacturers decline in June for a second quarter in a row owing to parts shortages, surging raw material costs and lockdowns in China. With raw material prices surging and the yen depreciating, the output price DI continued to show pass-through of higher costs to sales prices, and corporate inflation expectations increased further. BOJs containment of yields becoming a costly affair By implicitly capping 10-year Japanese government bond yields at 0.25%, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is struggling against the tide of rising global interest rates. In doing so, the BOJ now owns almost half of all Japanese government bonds (JGB). This could spell trouble for the Japanese government as it relies on the BOJ indirectly underwriting its spending with large debt purchases. According to Mitsubishi UFJ, the BOJ may have been saddled with as much as ¥600Bn (US$4.4Bn) in unrealised losses on its JGB holdings earlier this month, owing to the widening gap between domestic and overseas monetary policy. They estimate if 10-year yields reach 0.65%, paper losses on JGBs could exceed the BOJs capital base, which totalled ¥10.9trn at the end of March. As the BOJ’s own calculations use book value as opposed to market value, it reflects no change in its finances. Yen remains a favourite habitat of FX reserves in Q1 According to the IMF, global FX reserves managers sold euros, US dollars, and pounds in Q1 2022 and bought more yen than any other currency making it a favourite habitat of FX reserves. FX reserves probably had to shore up a decreased share of yen assets owing to the yen’s decline. Persistent demand from reserve managers alongside Japan’s status as the world’s largest net creditor may also help provide a floor for further downside. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
by aneekaguptaWTE
2
Microsoft Short PositionCurrently trading around $270, Microsoft is priced close to this month’s R1, PP1 pivot resistance level. Currently priced bellow this weaker resistance level the stock is trading above its central PP level. Furthermore, using a 20-day ranged Bollinger investors can see that the price currently lies just below its upper bound. In fact, the upper bound is equal to the R1, PP1 resistance level supporting a bareish sentiment. Based on these signals, it would be reasonable to assume a bareish correction towards its support. However, it would also be reasonable to assume more bullish movement towards it’s PP1 resistance pivot before any bareish corrections were to occur. Based on buy trends represented by the green candles, it would seem as though there will be modest bullish movements before the stronger bareish corrections were to occur. This trend is represented by swing high and low patterns since the start of the year. Therefore, we have set our purchase price in between the PP 0.5 and R1 resistance levels. We anticipate based on chart trends that the green candles will reach the price of at least $275 before any bearish corrections occur. The team have set a target price in line with the Fibonacci’s S1, PP 0.382 support pivot. The buyer should sell around $244. Moreover, negative earnings are expected to be announced today. Therefore, expect bareish corrections in line with this report.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by vf_investment
Alphabet Inc-Bullish Swing The 20-day ranged Bollinger band presents a support or lower bound (red line) equal to $105. This is the price in which the stock closed at yesterday the 26/07/22. Before today the, the stock’s price was equal to the Bollinger’s 20-day ranged support level indicating a bullish correction before further bearish movements in line with the current macroeconomic environment. Since trading has opened today, we have witnessed a correction towards the Bollinger’s resistance landing just beneath the Bollinger’s middle bound (orange line). Bullish movements are further supported by RSI and SMA indicators. The purple RSI is beginning to cross the yellow SMA suggesting bullish stock price movements. Furthermore, the MACD indicator presents the red MACD line also crossing its blue signal further supporting a bullish swing before further bearish movement. In line with these signals, I anticipate the stock to beat the Bollinger’s middle bound and anticipate a strengthening buying trend. For this swing trade, I have set a strike price equal to $112. My target is bullish, I will sell before the end of the week at price greater than this strike.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by vf_investment
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST - SHORT POSITIONUsing a 20-day ranged Fibonacci, investors can see that SPY-S&P-500 has closed yesterday 18/07/22 at $381. Using a 20-day ranged Fibonacci, investors can see that this price is closer to its resistance level of $397 whereas it’s support is equal to $363. This is a bareish signal, investors should expect a correction closer to it’s support. For further accuracy, using standard deviation; Bollinger bands have been applied using a 20-day range. The Bollinger’s lower bound is equal to $369, it’s upper bound is equal to $392. This Bollinger further supports the bareish signals presented by the Fibonacci given that it’s currently priced closer to the Bollinger’s upper bound. Therefore, it presents an additional bareish signal with a smaller and more accurate range in comparison to the Fibonacci. A MACD indicator is a 9-day EMA, it is used to identify turns. The blue MACD line appears to be running parallel to the red signal line. This suggests neither a bearish nor a bullish sentiment. Based on the MACD DEMA it would be reasonable to anticipate a steady momentum of price movement. All things considered; I would anticipate steady, bearish underlying movements of the SPY-S&P-500. The buyer should set a strike price in line with the Fibonacci’s $397 resistance. I anticipate the stock to reach it’s lower bound Bollinger level of $369 by the end of the week.
AMEX:SPYShort
by vf_investment
1