DXY EconomyThu
6/9
Z.1 - Financial Accounts of the United States
1:00 p.m.
CP - Commercial Paper
4:15 p.m.
H.15 - Selected Interest Rates
4:30 p.m.
H.4.1 - Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fri
6/10
1:00 p.m.
CP - Commercial Paper
4:15 p.m.
H.15 - Selected Interest Rates
4:15 p.m.
H.8 - Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the U.S.
Mon
6/13
1:00 p.m.
CP - Commercial Paper
4:15 p.m.
H.10 - Foreign Exchange Rates
4:15 p.m.
H.15 - Selected Interest Rates
Tue
6/14
1:00 p.m.
CP - Commercial Paper
4:15 p.m.
H.15 - Selected Interest Rates
Wed
6/15
1:00 p.m.
CP - Commercial Paper
2:00 p.m.
FOMC Meeting
Two-day meeting, June 14-15
Press Conference
4:15 p.m.
H.15 - Selected Interest Rates
Thu
6/16
1:00 p.m.
CP - Commercial Paper
4:15 p.m.
H.15 - Selected Interest Rates
4:30 p.m.
H.4.1 - Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fri
6/17
9:15 a.m.
G.17 - Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
1:00 p.m.
CP - Commercial Paper
4:15 p.m.
H.15 - Selected Interest Rates
4:15 p.m.
H.8 - Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the U.S.
USA
S&P Breaking Key LevelPattern: Bearish Pennant
Trend: Bearish on the D and Bearish on the 4HR
Entry: Searching for cheap entry around the breaking level
Indicators: ATR, Moving Average
Position: Short
Levels:
* StopLoss: above the upper trend line on the pennant -4150.00
*TakeProfit: Retest of the previous low -3880.00
*RiskReward: 2
bank of america - not looking goodhi,
looking on the big picture, we are in great black hole, i think about a cosmos - as a universe,
rising of costs of goods, rising of rates, credits highs... slowing down economy,
as we know, big players want to play and like to make swings, so do not catch into the nest of the fisherman ...
bank of america - great but looking on pivot and Fibonacci trend, i suppose that bottom is very low ...
i suppose that the index want to hit 25 usd ... there is a strong mayor resistance line - uptrend, if this trend would be attacked and defeated, I suppose that we are going down, then 20 usd and 16 usd ...
4 usd or even low for stock of bank of america in 2009 it was a nice gift from wall street bankers for all people in the world.
all the lines shows that the momentum - split of lines are in 2025 , 3 years to come, we will see.
it depends of the speed and the strike of the index, if it goes fast down, bottoms will be deep, if it will go normal, soft down, i hope that price would stop somewhere.
big problems are automated players, algorithms, waiting right now for they move ... to sell .
BAC To Rise In Price?Good Day To The Investing World
The Zachs Rating on the graph is suggesting a "Buy", and its clear to see why.
Firstly, the stock is just about on an uptrend. Second, with the US recovering from the big hit on Risen Interest Rates, Bank of America is a huge factor to consider.
As always, check the graph incase you think differently!
Has the US Dollar peaked, or is this a correction?Hello everyone! From today I will start sharing analysis on all sorts of markets, that will be shorter than usual and focused only on a specific pair/topic. Rather than trying to put everything together like I used to in the past, I will try to stay on point and condense the information. That's because readers weren't really going through everything as it was too much. If you enjoyed the old format or you wanna see how I used to write, below I've added most of my 2022 analysis. Even though it's older, some of that stuff is still useful, especially if you read it and try to think how we got here.
Now let's get into the DXY and answer the question on the title. My answer is that no, I don't believe the USD has peaked and that yes, this is a correction. Essentially what happened was that the USD got extremely overbought, and it trapped many late longs. In my opinion it needs some time to consolidate and chop in the 99-105 range before breaking higher. One thing I really need to clarify is that although I think the top isn't in, it absolutely could be. It's just that based on several things I take into account in my analysis, it hasn't.
Yes the US has huge deficits, too much debt, an overleveraged economy and therefore the USD is going to go down hard against many other currencies one day. However as most countries, corporations and ordinary people still need dollars in order to transact in the financial system, to pay debts and so on, the USD remains King. With inflation and interest rates going up, the demand for dollars went up as people scrambled to ahold of them in order to pay back their growing debts, bills and so on. What people also need to remember is that most of the debt in the world is denominated in USD, and therefore when interest rates go up and the dollar goes up, it creates a positive feedback loop where the dollar keeps getting stronger and stronger. Currently this loops seems to have broken as US bond yields have been trading lower for about 2 weeks now, something that has allowed for the DXY to pullback along with bond yields. What we need to remember that although other countries have strong economies and less debt than the USA, the USA remains one of them most self-sufficient countries out there. Many countries in a much worse position to it, and therefore their currencies could do a lot worse than the USD. In my next ideas I will go through all of these currencies separately, as each one of those has its own unique bullish or bearish case.
Finally, in terms of price action, I do expect the DXY to go down a bit more. Not much more before it bounces, but until I see it close below 99 or 105, I will be treating this as a range. No reason to take huge positions aiming for new 80 or 120, as the DXY has already had a huge move, and we are sitting in the middle of nowhere. Like I said above, it is possible that the top is in and after some chop it goes lower. Therefore I'd like to see some bullish price action before I step in again.
Never gone this far...In most of the latest crashes since black Monday in October 1987, the yield bond rate only passed 15%-18% far from the EMA of 55 periods (Monthly chart, LOG scale). Since the beginning of the year 2022 the yield rate passed the EMA 55 nearly more than 80%. I really don't know if it means something...