NEW ATH 80K This chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT), showing price movement data for 2024. Below is a breakdown of key elements that support the hypothesis of a new all-time high (ATH) for BTC reaching 80K:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart uses Fibonacci retracement levels based on a previous high and low. The key Fibonacci levels plotted are:
0.236 (~80,918 USDT)
0.382 (~75,471 USDT)
0.5 (~71,069 USDT)
0.618 (~66,666 USDT)
These levels indicate potential support and resistance zones. A significant breakout above the 0.236 level around 80,918 USDT would suggest a strong upward momentum, supporting the idea of BTC reaching an ATH.
Trendline Analysis: A red ascending trendline shows a previous strong upward price movement earlier in 2024. This trendline could serve as future support, helping BTC continue its upward trend towards new highs.
Channel Pattern: A channel is plotted on the chart, showing a consolidation phase between March and September 2024. The breakout from this channel has pushed BTC upward, which often indicates the possibility of higher price levels.
Moving Averages: The red and pink lines on the chart likely represent different moving averages (perhaps 50-day and 200-day moving averages). These lines are currently supporting the upward price movement, adding further confidence to the bullish outlook.
Price Targets: The chart indicates that BTC's price currently sits around 62K USDT, and the chart is projecting a bullish breakout toward 80K USDT. The Fibonacci 0.236 level (~80,918 USDT) aligns closely with this price target.
Volume Analysis: The volume bars at the bottom show varying levels of trading activity, but no sharp drop in volume, indicating steady buying pressure that could push prices higher.
In conclusion, this chart analysis shows BTC breaking key resistance levels and potentially heading towards a new ATH around 80,918 USDT (or 80K). The technical indicators suggest strong bullish momentum, with Fibonacci levels providing a path for higher prices.
USA
Daily analyzes of EURUSD - Dollar regains lost positionsAmong the important fundamentals from Monday is Factory Orders for the month of August in Germany from 8am GMT. It is very likely that we will see another contraction that will negatively affect the Euro. In general, the industry in Germany has started to shrink and there are no chances for growth.
The other important news is related to retail sales in the Eurozone at 11am GMT. Although we expect levels around zero or very little growth in retail sales.
Among the world events that affect the currency markets are the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, where mainly the Euro may suffer due to disrupted supplies of both goods and fuels.
Overall, the Dollar will be in a stronger position this week and we at World-Signals.com expect the Dollar to strengthen against the Euro.
In the last week, the Dollar has taken about 200 pips on the Euro. In retrospect, the Dollar had 3 losing weeks, and only in the last one did it regain some of the lost positions.
Use the 1.1010 levels to open short positions with a 6-8 business day closing target.
JASMY jasmy "wedge view"This is the wedge view for Jasmy based on 100 day and 50 day past moving averages trajectory leading up to Nov 1st 2024. The range anyway. This does not mean the price is subject to necessary stay within the boundaries of the purple lines drawn as much as the projected outcome for the price in a variable sense according to today from the indicator I use. Obviously, BTC movement seems to always impact the rest of exchange traded cryptocurrency tokens or coins so when the price of BTC fell so did everything else. Seems like a cop out for the price of cryptocurrency trends to always fallowe BTC necessarily considering how indicators should in some ways tell a different story for different cryptocurrency.
CNY/USD Trend since 06 2007. Channel. Reversal zone.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. At the moment, the currency is stronger than the dollar.
The main trend is a descending channel. The price is in it now.
Secondary trend — breakout of the descending trend line. Price growth to the median of the channel, and in case of its breakthrough, to the resistance. If not, then a pullback to the lower zone of the channel.
Local trend — The nearest events and news background, which can affect (not necessarily) locally (movements to the median of the channel, i.e., the middle, if it is positive) on the yuan rate. This, in less than 1 month, namely from October 22 to 24, 2024 will be held 7.16 XVI BRICS summit (short for Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) in Russia in Kazan.
Line graph for visualization.
SPX & Bitcoin Correlation & US presidential election #Spx 1D chart;
Let me first talk about the importance of the S&P 500 chart;
They are positively correlated (i.e. they move together):
*#Nasdaq100
*#Oil
*#Bitcoin (sometimes)
Now, what I want to draw your attention to is that just before the presidential elections, in September and October, there was always a decline. After the elections, there has been a continuous upward trend in the first 100 days.
Not counting the 2008 world economic crisis, this has never changed in the last 3 elections. Even after the 2008 crisis, after falling for a while, it started to rise immediately afterwards. The data we are evaluating here is the first 100 days.
In September 2024, I indicated the decline with an orange circle
With a decline in October, a long-term uptrend may begin.
If Bitcoin also shows a correlation here, which is my expectation as in the #Btc chart I drew earlier, we will start a permanent uptrend after suffering for another 1 month.
SP500 end of first 100 days data after the US Presidential election:
Post 2020 Election (Joe Biden): +17%
Post 2016 Election (Donald Trump): +10%
After 2012 Election (Barack Obama - Second Term): +10%
After 2008 Election (Barack Obama - First Term): -19%
The W1DOW maker is looming. BEAR MARKET watch.
Look at that August Monthly hammer candle after the Yen carry trade wobble.
The Global Dow jones index is at an all time new high
This rise is BASED on a wall of #FIAT capital that has been clicked and borrowed into existence.
And speculation of an AI revolution
But Money creation is not wealth creation.
An general AI will be deflationary, as more decisions outsourced from Humans to the "mainframe" :0
Most of my idea's I have shared on assets have been to the upside even after bearish down moves. Stocks, Gold & Crypto. Right Back in 2020 I shared a thesis of a Roaring 20's echo meltup and here we are melting up ...
Yet the party must end sometime
so we watch and have one foot in and foot out from this point.
Secular Bull markets have a lifespan of 15-18 years ...
and this one has required multiple rounds of QE (liquidity injections) to achieve this run.
So we will are looking for #BTC hit $100k the Russell 2000 to make new high's, before setting the stage for a bear market that could be quite extraordinary.
Dollar Index Breakdown - Is the Decline Set to Continue? 🤔📉 Dollar Index Breakdown - Is the Decline Set to Continue? 🧐💵
Hey traders, it's time to revisit the Dollar Index (DXY)! We've had some fantastic trading opportunities in the past, especially with the short on USD/JPY, and now, things are getting even more interesting.
Despite the Federal Reserve holding off on rate cuts for now, the anticipation is building. Rate cuts seem to be on the horizon, which could have significant implications for the dollar's strength. But as always, I follow the charts, and they’re signaling something big.
🔍 Key Insights:
The 100.97 level is shaping up as new resistance for the DXY.
We could see a drop below the 100 mark, with a target range between 94.63 and 92.9.
Global factors, such as the BRICS nations' efforts to reduce dependence on the dollar, along with geopolitical and economic developments, are adding to the bearish sentiment.
With less than a 15% chance of intervention in the coming months, I’m eyeing another short on the dollar.
Stay tuned, as I’ll be covering EUR/USD and USD/JPY in my next posts. Don’t forget to check out Bitcoin—it’s shaping up to be the most intriguing asset on the market right now!
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
DXY IdeaRegarding my BTC/USD and EUR/USD trades, we’re keeping a close eye on the Dollar Index (DXY). The recent price action has been confusing, but we are currently rejecting last Friday’s heavy selling area. This keeps us within a bearish range, and we’re anticipating a potential market shift to the downside.
If this bearish scenario unfolds, we plan to let our EUR/USD trades run over the weekend. Let’s keep observing how this plays out.
Stay focused, and let's see where the market takes us.
USDCAD - Short Trade IdeaHere is my short trade trade for USDCAD.
Price took out trendline liquidity and a swing high on a broader outlook. Now we have reversed, creating a Unicorn model and equal lows as a target. I am waiting for a retracement into this area to confirm a trade. I would look at the lower timeframes at that point to determine if price isn't poised to trade higher.
- R2F
TOLL Brothers #TOL new high vs US single family home priceHomemakers are making money over fist.
Does this confirm that the housing bull market will continue.
It seems like it doesn't it
This ratio highlights the housing bottom in the 90's
this Ratio also topped out in 2005 before the housing bubble popped
#Roaring20's
Rebound on gold zoneTrend (LT): Bullish above the 200 SMA
Trend (CT/MT): Bearish below EMA 7 / SMA 20
Price bounced back to SMA 200, plus stabilization in gold zone (neutral)
ROB Breakout Monitoring
Wait for potential crossover of EMA 7 with SMA 20
Buying above 47.29/47.30 (approximately)
(13% at stake if successful)
The stop loss (SL) position will depend on the candle pattern.
No sales for me.
It is important to note that this analysis is a personal interpretation and does not constitute an investment recommendation.
In your opinion, direction SOUTH or north?
Meta PlatformsDaily chart with ichimoku.
Price under the tankan and under the kinjun.
We are above the cloud. Be careful, the cloud is thin and prices could pass through it easily.
The SMA 200 is under the cloud, so no worries.
MACD increasing, but above the 0 line.
The RSI is slightly below 50.
To conclude, the trend is bullish, we must monitor the break of my red line, which could announce a corrective movement.
Happy trading to you.
Crazy people making crazy claimsRecently news outlets have been reporting in 2 things about the US-Mexico relationship 1st is the super peso. 2nd is the lowering of interest rates in the USA. When looking at the news I saw multiple articles contradicting themselves. Saying things like "the mexican peso got stronger because of the rasing inflation" or as in this one where it says the "the advancment is atributed to the coments of Jerome Powell, which gave hope to rate cuts" as you can see in this one : elmanana.com.mx
Meanwhile you have this one which shows raising inflation in Mexico, which I have to admit it's true, the cost of living in mexico is rising. This means that every day the mexican peso es less able to afford goods or services.
www.msn.com
On the other hand with the united states' recent slight decrease in inflation has prompet the FED to be more inclined to realize a rate cut. This in order to boost the markets before the elections. This is very likely to excite the markets, as money from bonds will likely migrate to the stock market. Contrast this with Mexico where the central bank is claiming to reach it's inflation target by the end of 2025.
www.msn.com
For these people I have some basic economic facts they should be aware of. When you have rasing inflation your currency doen't apreciate it depreciates. Thats because you aren't able to afford buying as much with the same amount. Therefore if the inflation of you currency increases while the inflation on another currency decreases then the most likely outcome is that the decresing inflation currency will apreaciate in contrast to the other one. Aditionally if the US market begins to grow at a faster rate in contrast to the mexican market then the currency will also depreciate. Therefore saysing that the lowering of interest rates in the USA is good for the mexican peso is just insane.
Nasdaq Composite - Can U see this happening?I can.
See it.
And also Believe it.
These securities are measured in #Fiat
which only becomes worth ... less with each passing year.
Until #Vivek comes into office, of course and backs the dollar with a basket of commoditie!
(maybe that basket may include #BTC)
Inverse head and shoulders has massive linear and log targets
Will be fun to watch this play out.