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Bearish Flag Pattern Setup on SPX, Target at 4320Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour Chart. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) appears to be in a bearish flag pattern setup. This continuation pattern is seen with the 1st leg of declines from all time highs to a low around 4430. SPX consolidated a bit and now is attempting to break below the 4430 support. Completion of this setup should take SPX towards 4320. Technical Indicators SPX is currently trading below its short (50-MA), medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) fractal moving averages. There have been negative crossovers on the short and medium as well as the medium- and long-term MAs, adding to the bearish nature of the pattern setup. Also, the RSI is trading below 50 and the KST is in a negative zone. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go short at market, with a stop loss at 4525 and a target of 4320. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.64. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. Currently I have exposure to SPX.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Ceddy86
1
USDGBP GBP / USD is trading at 1.3829; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating an ascending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen at 1.3765 and then resume moving upwards to reach 1.3965. Another signal in favor of a further uptrend will be a rebound from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the bullish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 1.3655. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 1.3565. Yours sincerely. LED in Spain on 09/3/2021
Short
by wallstreetstocks
EURUSDHello, receive a cordial greeting. The buying interest around the single currency remains well and sound at the end of the week and pushes EUR/USD back to the area above the 1.1900 zone, or new multi-day highs, in the wake of US NFP. EUR/USD in fresh tops around 1.1900 EUR/USD keeps the bid stance on Friday after the US economy created 235K jobs during last month, coming in short of expectations for a gain of 750K jobs. The July's reading was revised to 1053K (from 943K). Yours sincerely. LED in Spain on 09/3/2021
Long
by wallstreetstocks
BTC CONSOLIDATION ! As stated by many experts, the current bullish momentum can only be supported by strong demand, otherwise, BTC’s price could move sideways or risk returning to its former range below $40,000. The amount of on-chain activity is a useful indicator to measure say demand. As the first cryptocurrency by market cap climbed to its all-time high, above $60,000, the network saw a rise in its number of transactions. This was probably triggered by a FOMO effect from retail investors jumping into the crypto space for fear of missing out on future gains. This phenomenon was driven by Elon Musk promoting Dogecoin, the boom in the non-fungible token (NFT) sector, and the yield offered by some DeFi protocols competing with Ethereum. Bitcoin benefited from this new wave of investors adopting cryptocurrencies, and digital assets. Thus, a combination of institutional and retail interest and capital allowed BTC’s price to reach a new ATH. Transactions fees at that moment skyrocketed. This happened right until the moment when BTC collapsed in the first of 3 capitulation events spread out across May, June, and July. On-chain activity dropped with the market and has been unable to recover since. As seen below, data from explorer Mempool.space shows that fees have gone from 100 sats/vB to around 7 sat/vB for a high-priority transaction. Via Twitter, analyst Mr. Whale said the following on the decline in Bitcoin’s on-chain activity: Data shows there is virtually no demand for Bitcoin right now. The BTC mempool has been flatlining for weeks, which is even worrying some bulls. We’re in for another big crash, yet most are too greedy to admit that. Bitcoin On-Chain Activity At A Low, Whales Take Over The Market? On the other hand, pseudonym analyst “ChimpZoo” sees the other side of the coin. The analyst believes the lack of on-chain activity could be bullish for BTC’s price based on 2 reasons. First, this indicates a decline in retail participation or that a low amount of BTC’s supply is being held by “weak hands”. The large inflow of retail investors experience in the first months of 2021, some analysts believe, led to speculation, high funding rates, and a high level of over-leverage trading positions. All those factors accelerated Bitcoin’s dropped from its ATH and operated as bearish catalyzers. Recent price action to the upside lacks those variables, which could suggest that this rally could be more sustainable. In addition, ChimpZoo claimed that the lack of on-chain activity and the rally point to an increase in whale activity, and in strong hands coming into the market. This is supported by Jarvis Labs’ Accumulation Trends metric. As seen in the chart below, in the past 30 days Bitcoin whales have been accumulating more BTC than smaller investors. The more yellow and closer to 1 on this metric, the more whales have been accumulating. Thus, this could explain the low on-chain activity. Analyst Checkmate acknowledged that the market is at an uncertain point, but tends to incline more to the bullish side: The divergence between onchain activity and supply dynamics atm is simply insane. Activity looks like a bear. Supply looks like a juiced bull. Truly a challenging structure to assess direction in, but in my view, supply dynamics trump activity. Shows conviction and strength.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by globalsymmetrygroup
S&P 500 CRASH ? 53rd record close level for the S&P in 2021 The S&P and NASDAQ closed higher and at record levels again. The Dow industrial average fell modestly. Highlights include: S&P and NASDAQ up for the seventh day in the last eight S&P closes at a record level for the 53rd day NASDAQ in 2021 NASDAQ index closes at a record level for the 32nd in 2021 Advances on the New York Stock Exchange total 1406. Declines total 1885. Unchanged 203 major indices are on track for monthly gains S&P on track for the best month since April with one more day to go The final numbers are showing: Dow industrial average felt -55.9 points or -0.16% at 35399.90 S&P index rose 19.39 points or 0.43% at 4528.76. The new intraday high reached 4537.80. NASDAQ index rose 136.39 points or 0.90% at 15265.89. The new intraday high reached 15288.10 Russell 2000 index fell 11.16 points or -0.49% at 2265.99 Nine of 11 S&P sectors were higher led by: Real estate, +1.2% Technology, +1.1% Consumer discretionary +0.92% Communication +0.74% Declining sectors were led by: Financials -1.47% Energy -1.16% Materials -0.17% Industrials -0.15%
UShort
by globalsymmetrygroup
ridethepig | CNH Market Commentary 22.08.2021Buyers position marks (5) as a soft and temporary floor. Other events can cause the base to appear a lot stronger than it does, so the transfer of the attack from one direction to the other can be subtle, although not a matter of pure chance. It has been a relatively straight forward flow, but one that has not seen much light thrown on the subject thanks to noisy explanations. As can be seen in the charts below, @ridethepig was concerned at the highs. The said possibility of a temporary floor is much rather a natural profit taking move in the struggle against sentiment. A considered judgement about the perverse signally from PBOC and Xi ought to look something like; base at 6.35xx is strong support (after the powerful legs lower it is very sensitive). That is the real truth, we are inside a multi-year decline that could go a lot. lot lower, for now, we shall have to content ourselves with limiting adding short positions till we are back above (4) highs at 6.587x for another test of the lows in our current range (6.58x - 6.40x).
Long
by ridethepig
2
✅CAN GOVERNMENTS BAN BITCOIN?🚀 CAN GOVERNMENTS BAN BITCOIN? The rise and rise of the payment means that are not under the government control has been a thorn in the butts of all governments for the last 3 or so years. And as the price of bitcoin was storming the new heights during the lockdown rally the chatter of the need to ban/control/confiscate/tax were getting louder and louder The motivations of the governments for this move are just as transparent as they are despicable for us, the people. But before I dive into the analysis of the situation, which seems to be far away from butterflies and unicorns, I must reveal my bias, to avid being accused of being a crypto skeptic by the local mob of crypto bugs. I consider myself a libertarian, which means that I believe in Individualism, limited government, peace, tolerance, and free markets. That makes me a natural crypto enthusiast, as decentralized finance is a path to a freer more open society with the alternative to the fiat money issued by the governments, which might act as a check on their inflationary and spending appetites. I was an early fan of Bitcoin and I hold a crypto portfolio myself. Now, governments by definition don’t share libertarian values, thus whatever is seen as a benefit from the freedom-loving perspective is evil to the governments. And the lack of surveillance capabilities and the fact that crypto might compete with the precious fiat paper are the reasons why any government will seek to ban crypto at some point in the future. One more serious problem for the state is that crypto, thanks to its relative anonymity might allow people to avoid paying taxes, which causes ire among the officials. As always, reasons for the ban that will be cited to the public will have nothing to do with reality . Among those, is the need to clamp down on the black market, online drug sales, tax evasion might be mentioned as well and all that will be served under the sauce of protecting us, the little guys. Interestingly enough, the governments are racing to launch their own electronic currencies , because, just as one might design a coin to be untraceable, one might design it to be 100% traceable as well. In addition to that, if all of us have our bank accounts with the central bank , entirely new forms of previously impossible ways to control the people emerge. Central bank’s Electronic money can be restricted geographically, or in any other way, for example, banning you, personally, from buying burgers, because some bureaucrat thought that you are too fat, while feeding all the info about your speeding directly to the CB . All it will take to leave you penniless is turning off your account with the CB . Absolute control over the economy of the likes of which even the Soviets could not have dreamt of. But now that we arrived at the obvious conclusion that the governments have more than enough reason to go for a ban, let’s examine whether they have the means to do so and what will that do to the prices. And unfortunately, I happen to be quite pessimistic on this front. All it would take is a law banning crypto. Of course, If a small country bans Crypto it will affect neither its price nor its usability even for the country’s residents, however, if such a law is passed by the EU, or the USA, it's game over. You see, most of the technologies that changed our lives in the last 20 years have one thing in common, which is the network effect. The internet, social media, and online platforms such as Uber or Amazon, benefit from the fact that the more people use their service the more valuable the network is and hence even more people join in to use it, while the benefit for those already using It increases. The same goes for Crypto. In the last years, we’ve seen more and more companies starting to accept bitcoin as payment, while purchasing it got easier and easier. There are even Bitcoin ATMs where I live, that allow customers to buy and sell crypto for cash which is super convenient. The Bitcoin brand itself is probably worth more than 100 billion dollars , thanks to the fact that even the older people have heard about it by now. And all that was pushing the price higher, as the expectations of further growth justified 1 million dollars per Bitcoin in the not-so-distant future. However, if there is a major government such a the US that issues a blanket ban, all companies that accepted crypto will cease doing so immediately, and the crypto marketplaces and exchanges will cease to function and stop accepting payments from that jurisdiction. If it is the US that bans crypto, it would mean a de fact ban on using dollars to buy it, which would make this technology unusable for most of us. The state might take it a step further and make transacting in crypto, or even just holding it a criminal offense, which would reduce the number of people using it to the few shady cartels south of the border. The ban would also make mining impossible, and as we know mining not only creates now coins but is also essential for the functioning of the network. Without it, transactions would be impossible. Therefore, the user base will be limited by the mining capacity left in the world, drying up transaction fees making it even harder to use. Hedgefunds and those who are important to the system will be warned about the ban beforehand, so it will be us, the little guys who will lose our savings. The price will collapse as leveraged players will be trying to exit the asset, causing panic and a massive selloff. And for those who say that «this is impossible simply because this is impossible»(read, I still trust the government) let me remind you of how unceremoniously gold was essentially banned from using it as means of exchange by the US government with the gold confiscation act of 1933. The robbery of the century- something that was unimaginable and unheard of previously, was done peacefully with the stroke of a pen and everyone obeyed and traded in their gold for the Fed papers. And keep in mind that gold was far more widespread, used, and relied on that crypto now, which means that if the Ban of crypto came in today, there would be no mass riots on the streets. So, please, excuse my pessimism when I say that when not if the powerful nations of the world decide to ban our fancy shining coins of liberty, they will succeed . And I am of an opinion that this will happen sooner rather than later, because «they» can not let the whole thing get too big to fail. What I mean is that if the market cap of all the coins is 1-3 Trillion, they can handle the damage of wiping off this wealth. However, if it gets to 10-15 Trillion the consequences of the collapse might destabilize the system itself. In conclusion, as much as I don’t want this to happen, the ban is not only possible but highly likely and will come sooner rather than later, with the early birds of partial bans being India and China showing us the way. However, that does not mean that we can’t enjoy a couple more of the bullish waves making 100-300% and enriching ourselves hand over fist, which is why we’ve all gathered here, at the end of the day! Just jump off the train before the wheels fall off! Thanks to all who read the text with so many letters in it. I am expecting a fiery discussion in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ProSignalsFx
1