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SP500 Secondary Trend. Bowl + handle. Resistance zone. 11 2023Logarithm. Large timeframe 1 week. On the chart a big bowl, you can say already with a handle, the price is testing the resistance of the previous market highs for the 3rd time (entering this zone). Breaking through it, this resistance will become a very strong support during the pumping (probability no more). Simplifying the complex is the key to success. Complicating the simple is a guarantee for your own confusion and mistakes on the plain. It is based on knowledge and experience, which always leads to simplification of actions, not to complication !!!! The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such. The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such. 1️⃣ The increase in % rates will stop closer to the US presidential election, which is logical. 2️⃣ Before elections, the ruling party always shows the people the positive in its work for the people, even if there is none, i.e. injects money into the economy. 3️⃣ Handing out "free money" to potential voters before elections. Who will take it to the stock and cryptocurrency markets. 4️⃣ Changing the bear market cycle to a conventionally bullish one in 2024 and a bullish one in 2025. 5️⃣ Overcoming previous all-time highs, this is the third time we have tested this resistance of the SP500 index. In other words, everything is as always. Before the elections, “everyone is good” and is pushing the economy up. USA together with the Fed. Only the so-called “black swan” can influence this, whether it is real (there are no such things) or staged, it doesn’t really matter. But, this is all a hypothetical probability, nothing more, which must always be kept in mind. Therefore, when the market rises, protect your profits with stop losses or hedge with correlated positions. As a rule, nothing happens, and if it does, the event itself is always inflated by the media and bloggers tens of times in importance, thereby creating the illusion of fear. Don't fall for such tricks, either. The present, and especially the future, is not always a projection of a repetition of the past. It may be conditionally the same, but the details are radically different. This must always be remembered. On linear, it looks like this: The main trend of the index More than 100 years for clarity. Publication 11/22/2022 SP500 index. The whole trend. Anniversary 100 years Vertical growth by +372% (madness, super pump) Before the super collapse of the “Great Depression” Publication 11/22/2022 SP500 index. Pumping before the "Great Depression" Code 372-69 The game controls the people, not the people the game. The concept of a lot is always replaced by a little, a little more, until all their expectations “burst” from greed. This encourages some to become wiser, some, on the contrary, the closer the abyss, the cuter the devils.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SpartaBTC
5
The Fall of the S&P 500 is a Trading Opportunity in QQQ The recent correction of the S&P 500 presents itself as a buying opportunity, with no signs of a 2000 dotcom-like bubble and projections to reach 6,000 points by the end of 2024. In this context of volatility, especially in the wake of Nvidia's results and doubts about artificial intelligence, it is recommended to adopt tactical strategies to manage risk. Currently, the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (known as QQQ and also as the “little Nasdaq”) is in a trading range between 485.36 and 450.84 points, with support at 419.89 points and a recent all-time high of 503.52 points. The Pre-Market Checkpoint is at 453.55 points, and the RSI shows a corrective move since August 22, with a current value of 41.77%. These technical levels suggest key areas to execute and adjust positions in a volatile environment, taking advantage of the buying opportunity in the market. An adaptable strategy for trading derivatives, such as futures or CFDs (Contracts for Difference), is the use of simultaneous long and short positions on the same index or underlying asset, similar to the “ strangle ” logic. Unlike with options, this strategy involves opening a long (buy) and a short (sell) position in the same asset to capture sharp market movements. In the case of expected volatility in the QQQ, a trader could hold both positions and adjust their size in each based on market movements, allowing them to take advantage of large fluctuations without relying on a specific market direction. This tactic effectively manages risk while maintaining exposure to significant movements in either direction. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by ActivTrades
Earnings season produces wild movesAfter the closing bell on Tuesday, Tesla reported its earnings for the first quarter of 2024. Despite the report showing a 9% YoY decline in total revenue and a staggering 55% YoY drop in net income, along with an increase in operating costs by 37% YoY, shares of the company soared more than 12% in the aftermarket. The price action, however, was not the same for Meta Platforms, which delivered much better results yesterday, with revenue growing by 27% YoY, net income by 117% YoY, and operating costs by 6% YoY; yet, the company’s shares plummeted more than 15% following the announcement. While trying to wrap our heads around these moves, we would like to point out the double divergence forming on the monthly graph between the price and RSI, shown in Illustration 1.01. In addition to that, we would want to highlight an impending bearish crossover between the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA, both of which currently act as crucial resistance levels. If the SPX breaks and maintains ground above them, it will be positive, but if the SPX fails, it will be slightly worrisome. Besides that, another spike in the VIX will also be concerning. Today, there are several important data releases, including jobless claims, GDP growth rate, wholesale inventories, and pending home sales. Furthermore, several big names are reporting their earnings, most notably Alphabet and Microsoft. Illustration 1.01 Above is the monthly chart of SPX and RSI. Yellow arrows indicate the first and the second divergence between the price and RSI. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPX
by Tradersweekly
Wilshire 5000 - approaching a decision point.The Wilshire 5000 is basically the broad market literally every publicly company in the America and also some foreign corporations are incorporated in this index We are coming to a decision area, not right now. But over the course of the next few months and years. We could see a breakout up and a continuation of the ever uptrend or a breakdown, and change in longterm trend Since these numbers are denominated in ever worthless dollars betting up with periods of panic has forever been the right call. Place your bets accordingly.
FRED:WILL5000PR
by BallaJi
SPX500: Testing Support, 3 Scenarios.The S&P 500 index dropped to test the lower trendline of the ascending channel, which also corresponds to the support level of 4000.0, the 23.6% Fibonacci level, and the intersection of the 50-day moving average. It is likely that the price will rebound towards the level of 4085.0, with three potential scenarios: 1- The price fails to make a new high and tests the neckline of the Double Top pattern to continue its downward movement. 2- The price surpasses the level of 4085.0 and reaches the level of 4160.0, but fails to make a new high above the previous peak that lasted from February 1st to February 20th. Momentum indicators show a divergence indicating the formation of a Double Top pattern with a neckline at 4085.0. 3- The price surpasses both levels of 4085.0 and 4160.0 and aims to continue its upward movement in the current ascending channel, with a target of 4300.0. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let me know your thoughts in the comments, and show your support by liking the idea. Please follow if you're interested in more ideas like this. Your support is greatly appreciated!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Candlestick_OB
easyMarkets S&P500 Daily - Quick Technical OverviewThe S&P 500 is near a medium-term upside support line, drawn from the low of October 13th, 2022. Also, we can see that the psychological 4000 zone is something to be carefully monitored. If that whole territory gets violated, further declines are possible. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S
by easyMarkets
U.S. Stock Market: What To Expect In 2023? 2022 has become the most volatile year in a decade: the world economy is going through tough times, central banks are struggling with high inflation, and the stock market has been under pressure from a bearish trend since the beginning of the year. Will the situation change in 2023 and what should investors expect? The main reason for the decline in the U.S. stock market this year has been higher inflation and the U.S. Federal Reserve's (Fed) response to curb inflation. June saw record inflation data which broke a 40-year high and cemented a bearish trend in the market which had been going on since the beginning of the year. As history shows, the average bear market since World War II has lasted 14 months and resulted in declines of more than 30% from previous highs. The current trend has now lasted more than 11 months. From this, we can conclude that statistically speaking, we are two-thirds of the way through. In addition, one of the fundamental reasons why the market will show strong growth soon is the excess of money from investors. A serious bear market forms precisely when people start selling stocks when they are in need of money. Right now, investors are selling stocks simply because they are afraid of losing value. But such corrections always come to an end pretty quickly, replaced by an equally tumultuous rise. Investors are holding huge amounts of cash right now, and the money supply is at record levels. That gives confidence that markets will rebound quickly. Better now is the opportunity to buy companies with strong financial fundamentals at a discounted price. In addition, inflation in the U.S. continues to slow: November data showed a decline to 7.1%, which exceeded analysts' expectations. The dynamics of inflation and the rate of its slowdown are a certain signal of the Fed's successful policy, giving additional hope to stock market participants that the regulator will start easing its monetary policy this year. Basically, experts consider three scenarios for the U.S. economy this year: Optimistic Scenario. Economic activity continues to slow down, and the economy remains under pressure, but growth remains at 1%. Inflation slows at an accelerated pace, and the Fed may cut the rate to 4.25%, by the end of 2023. Moderate Recession. The economy may experience a mild recession during the first half of 2023, but by the second half of 2023, economic activity recovers, the Fed cuts the rate to 4.75%, and signals further easing of monetary policy while maintaining a downward trend in inflation. Stagflation. This scenario is based on a more sustained inflation trend in 2023, which encourages the Fed to take more aggressive steps and allows rates to be cut only to 5.5% at the end of 2023. However, the likelihood of this scenario developing is very low, as inflation is already showing a good rate of deceleration. At the same time, some believe that the U.S. can avoid a recession this year and go with the optimistic scenario. The stock market is supported by strong economic macro data and some issuers have already proven their ability to withstand a rate hike. The stock market has fallen on fears and expectations last year, but in such situations, fear quickly changes to euphoria. There is potential in the U.S. stock market, and we should not rule out the possibility that the S&P 500 index could gain 15% in 2023 from current positions.
SP:SPXLong
by FOREXN1
17
S&P500: Another drop? S&P500: By the book again? Classic technical analysis! Literally a school of technical analysis! In its last 3 attempts, the index tried to break the resistance level while MACD shows 'the cross' (the blue line dropped below the orange one which indicates a change in the trend) and led the market to another down-trend period of several weeks. As you can clearly see on the graph, the index has failed every time since the beginning of the year, will the situation be different this time? Trade safe!
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by pridefulDove59918
USD : Bulltrend alarm !!After the very nice uptrend of the last months, Dollar gives a short term alarm. This one comes after the breakout of the trendline. The last support is the flat of daily SSB at 109.73 points . This first alert signal show a weakness in the dollar bullrun, with momentum that diminished since last week.Also the cross of the daily MACD confirmed the loss of strenght. A real bearish signal will be given by a comeback below daily Cloud, that could trigger a more important retracement to come. An invalidation of this signal would be given by a comeback above the daily cloud with momentum. So a breakout of the 112.20 points .
TVC:DXY
by Augustus1st
AAPL - Short PositionWhen looking at AAPL current underlying value and most recent price behaviour when using a 2-hour range, investors can see a shooting star bar formation. Underlying price movements of AAPL witnessed a loss of its initial gains in this instance, the shooting star formation shows a bareish correction after a failed attempt to keep underlying stock prices higher. When observing 50 and 100 day ranged EMA averages investors can see that on the 29/08/22 – 30/08/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed beneath the longer 100-day EMA moving average. This dead cross was followed by a strong down trend, underlying prices falling 5%. This was after bullish rallies that were witnessed since July. On 06/07/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed above longer 100-day EMA moving average. This fresh bullish crossover was followed by a rally that saw the underlying share value to increase over 20%. Currently EMA moving average lines are not moving back towards one another, instead they are moving parallel in a different trajectory. This was after the rejection of bullish momentum. Therefore, the down trend is more likely to strengthen before corrections occur. Based on EMA moving averages and candlestick patterns and behaviour we are bareish in sentiment. We anticipate that the stock will fall further and have taken a short position as a result.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by vf_investment
3
GOOG - Short PositionWhen looking at GOOG current underlying value and most recent price behaviour using a 2-hour range, investors can see inside bar formations. Underlying price movements of AAPL witnessed a loss of its initial gains in this instance, the inside bar formation suggest bareish continuation of momentum since most recent EMA dead cross. Lateralized underlying price momentum was witnessed between 24/05/22 and 03/08/22. Fresh bullish crossovers occurred 4 times during this period, three dead crosses also occurred. This lateralized pattern saw underlying prices fall to as low as $100 and reach highs up to $120. Bullish trends occurred after the fresh bullish EMA cross over witnessed on 03/08/22, underlying prices rising above 5%. When observing 50 and 100 day ranged EMA averages investors can see that on the 25/08/22 – 29/08/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed beneath the longer 100-day EMA moving average. This dead cross was followed by a strong down trend, underlying prices falling over 10%. Shorter 50-day EMA average dropped significantly bellow the longer 100-day EMA average. Bullish momentum was rejected on 13/09/22. A hanging man, three bar formation can be witnessed indicating a weakness in preceding trend and an indecision with regards to the proposed top. Currently EMA moving average lines are not moving back towards one another, instead they are moving parallel with great difference between one another. Therefore, the down trend is more likely to continue. Based on EMA moving averages, MACD and candlestick patterns and behaviour we are bareish in sentiment. We anticipate that the stock will fall further and have taken a short position as a result.
CAPITALCOM:GOOGShort
by vf_investment
4
Amazon Short PositionCurrently priced at $135 Tesla’s underlying stock price sits between its weekly PP 0.236 and PP 0.382 Fibonacci resistance pivots . Currently priced just below weaker PP 0.382 resistance level the stock is trading above its central PP level. This is a bareish signal. Investors should expect a correction towards its support. Furthermore, Tesla’s underlying price sits outside the 20-day ranged Bollinger’s upper bound. This is also a bareish signal, investors should expect a correction towards it’s lower bound. Based on these signals it’s reasonable to assume a bareish correction towards the Fibonacci’s support. We anticipate Tesla’s underlying price to reach it’s 0.382, R1 resistance pivot before bareish corrections occur. Based on buy trends since the start of the year represented by the green candles, Tesla’s underlying stock price has pretty much reached the top of a buying trend and investors are about to witness bareish corrections. I have presented this using swing low and high prices since the start of the year. Therefore, we have set a purchase price between the PP 0.236 and PP 0.382 resistance level . We anticipate based on buying trends that the green candles will reach a price of at least $137. The team have set a target price in line with the Fibonacci’s middle support pivot of PP 0.706. The buyer should sell around $101.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by vf_investment
3
SPDR S&P 500 ETF - Short PositionWhen looking at SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST current underlying value and most recent price behaviour when using a 2-hour range, investors can see a confirmed break out. The point in which the selloff crossed the $408 price point, a rejection of bullish momentum. A candle-close confirmation consolidation occurs around the $398 price point before further bareish momentum. Underlying price movements of SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST witnessed a loss of its initial gains in this instance, the confirmed break out shows bareish correction after a failed attempt to keep underlying stock prices higher. When observing 50 and 100 day ranged EMA averages investors can see that on the 15/09/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed beneath the longer 100-day EMA moving average. This dead cross was followed by a strong down trend, underlying prices falling 1.7%. This was after bullish rallies that were witnessed since 19/07/22 when shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed above longer 100-day EMA moving average. This fresh bullish crossover was followed by a rally that saw the underlying share value to increase over 12%. On 23/08/22 the EMA dead cross saw a sell off over 5%. The fresh bullish cross witnessed on 12/09/22 was soon rejected on 15/09/22. This dead cross saw a sell off over 1.7%. Currently EMA moving average lines are not moving back towards one another, instead they are moving parallel in a different trajectory. Inside bars highlight bareish momentum. This was after the rejection of bullish momentum. Therefore, this bareish down trend is more likely to continue. Based on EMA moving averages and candlestick patterns and behaviour we are bareish in sentiment. We anticipate that the stock will fall further and have taken a short position as a result.
AMEX:SPYShort
by vf_investment
3
MSFT - Short position When looking at MSFT current underlying value and most recent price behaviour when using a 2-hour range, investors can see that on the 02/09/22 a three-bar pattern formed making up a shooting star. In this instance, this was a bareish indication, a failed attempt to correct the underlying stock value´s bearish momentum with bullish momentum. When observing 50 and 100 day ranged EMA averages investors can see that on the 26/08/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed beneath the longer 100-day EMA moving average. This dead cross was followed by a strong down trend, underlying prices falling 7%. This was after bullish rallies that were witnessed since mid-July. On 27/07/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed above longer 100-day EMA moving average. This fresh bullish crossover was followed by a rally that saw the underlying share value continue to increase over 10%. Currently EMA moving average lines are not moving back towards one another, instead they are moving parallel in a different trajectory. Therefore, the down trend is more likely to strengthen before corrections occur. When observing MACD and signal lines, investors can see that 06/09/22 the MACD line crossed beneath the signal line. This further supports our bearish sentiment. Based on EMA moving averages, candlestick patterns and behaviour as well as MACD and signal lines, we are bareish in sentiment. We anticipate that the stock will fall further and have taken a short position as a result.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by vf_investment
4
TSLA- Short PositionWhen looking at TSLA current underlying value and most recent price behaviour when using a 2-hour range, investors can see that on the 01/09/22 a three-bar pattern formed making up a shooting star. In this instance, this was a bareish indication, a failed attempt to correct the underlying stock value´s bearish momentum with bullish momentum. When observing 50 and 100 day ranged EMA averages investors can see that on the 30/08/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed beneath the longer 100-day EMA moving average. This dead cross was followed by a strong down trend, underlying prices falling 5%. This was after bullish rallies that were witnessed since mid-July. On 08/07/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed above longer 100-day EMA moving average. This fresh bullish crossover was followed by a rally that saw the underlying share value increase over 15%. Currently EMA moving average line are not moving back towards one another, instead they are moving parallel in a different trajectory. Therefore, the down trend is more likely to strengthen before corrections occur. Based on EMA moving averages and candlestick patterns and behaviour we are bareish in sentiment. We anticipate that the stock will fall further and have taken a short position as a result.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by vf_investment
3