USB Stock Short All timeframes are massively overbought
There is a pattern on H4 and H1
This is a weekly high where there is a lot of resistance
Since it is against the trend I would normally not go for such a trade but stocks look like they need to come down so this could be a trade
tight stop loss and take profit when it hits the H4 trend as this is still very uptrend
USB
USB U.S. Bancorp Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of USB U.S. Bancorp prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $42.5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $4.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
USB U.S. Bancorp Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of USB U.S. Bancorp prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 32.50 usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $0.77.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
💾 U.S. Bancorp 2008 Type Of Crash IncomingWe are now at #5 of the TOP10 biggest banks in the USA, this one seems pretty bad as well.
Let's start with the weekly chart and then we move to the monthly for the bigger picture:
✔️ This week USB had the worst week since Feb. 2020, Covid days.
✔️ A major support level failed in the form of 0.618 Fib. which can lead to lower prices.
✔️ We have a bearish cross on the MACD and RSI trending lower; I will show you the charts this time.
USB Weekly MACD:
USB Weekly RSI:
✔️ While the monthly chart lost EMA10 and EMA100, support was found at MA200.
✔️ The MACD is trending down while already bearish.
How far down it goes will depend on the politics, how much money they decide to print, if the banks will get a bailout or not, etc.
We have to see how it all develops.
The side effects of raising interest.
They wanted to crash the economy... It is working.
Namaste.
USB Bullish inclined Naked Puts 28 Jan Expiry (Jan Track 3)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought
US Bancorp is an American bank holding company. With the Fed intending to increasing interest rates to combat the high inflation numbers. I expect banks to see an increase in their earnings from this especially near term where consumer sentiment is still bullish.
Already the Nasdaq bank index is up around 32% for the year
I Feel
The market in my opinion is in a bearish range. With drops being deeper than the recoveries. USB and a number of the financial counters like MET, TFC, BK, BAC are in a similar price pattern. Mostly near the bottom of their range.
If the range continues it will also be aligned to my near term POV on the banking sector
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
On the flip side as I do feel we are market wide in a bearish sideways movement. Having USB drop and break the range is also a possibility. Will need to monitor this. Also the price action since 25 Oct 2021 has been bearish.
Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer
This trade is really not about up or down but really about trading on the lack of expected volatility. Do we expect defining movements in Jan?
Look For New Information
There is an Earnings release on the 19 Jan that I only realised after I entered the trade. This is very careless of me... I will need to be vigilant during that period. But generally earnings in the past three quarters have beaten estimates
How Do I Feel Now
Somewhat lukewarm with my decision. I believe the uncertainty is due to the 19 Jan Earnings I did not notice. Also while the daily chart is showing a range and I am reacting to it and not predicting a bottom. I am still apprehensive as it can break the range.
Trade Specs
Sold 160 Puts @ 0.25 - Strike 51
% to Strike 10.14%
ATR % is 94%
BP used 81K
Max Gain: est $3896
Cup and handle $USB USB has several things going for it here.
- Big ole cup and handle, we are testing the top of the cup now.
- Handle was a perfect downtrend, we broke above downtrend
- Now consolidating above breakout and just below ATH
- Financial sector has been hot
- If we break above consolidation highs I will enter
$USB: Monster setupAll timeframes are setting up for a big move in $USB here, daily is kicking off a fresh uptrend after the recent bottom, weekly and monthly are about to trigger a trend as well, and by EOY the yearly will flash a 10 year uptrend signal which aims for somewhere between $220 and over $1600 per share by the year 2030. I think overall, the return vs risk proposition here is tilted significantly in our favor to buy both speculative swing positions, as well as potential long term positions too.
Keep a close eye on this setup, might be extremely rewarding and it is extremely low risk considering the potential upside at hand...
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Finance sector industry getting momentum!Stocks usually moves in clusters, and it is obvious that finance sector becomes hot since last week.
If you check the last week performance of the companies over 100 Billion market cap, soon you will notice 5 out of the first 10 best performance belongs to Finance sector. Interestingly, Wells Fargo ( check my WFC analysis published on Feb 16th) was the best performer and the only one with double digit return in a week among 88 companies with over 100 billion market cap..!
This types of analysis and results can help you differentiate a true analyst from crooked pumpers..!
Moshkelgosha
Is it really a harmonic pattern or a price action trend?The vertical lines describe the daily time line better for forecast the future price, however I think we need more candles to assure that what is going to happen next.
In my opinion, the price is at the end of the wedge right now and there could be a possible bullish position hiding in the bottom again scene we’re at the bottom price at all time.
What do you think?
BanksLike the airline stocks, big banks have all formed similar patterns leading into Monday. Funding seems to have shifted to the banks and airlines. Many banks will be reporting earnings this coming week, including JPM, WFC, Citi (not shown) on Tues. 7/14, USB and GS Wed. 7/15, and BAC, MS, and First National Bank (not shown) Thurs. 7/16.
US: Major Banks in uptrend, attractive Risk RewardMajor banks in USA e.g. JPM, BAC, UBS are showing uptrend hence buying opportunities on correction
Attractive risk reward
Following entries are valid only for trading on 15 June 2020
JPM
Entry: 99.35
SL: 97.53
Target: trail the price
BAC
Entry: 24.60
SL: 24.05
Target: trail the price
USB:
Entry: 37.25
SL: 36.70
Target: trail the price
USB - DAILY CHARTHi, today we are going to talk about U.S. Bank and its current landscape.
As nowadays we live in a consumerist society and access to a credit card has continually become easier to obtain, is reasonable to predict that the card debts are also going to rise too, as financial education isn't the strong point of U.S consumers, and are used to the debt culture.
The heat up U.S economy put credit card companies in a more comfortable zone as the unemployment rate remains near to historic lows, which helps customers to keep up with their bills. However, the question that worth to be raised here is, if the 90 days past due card debt is probably surging to 2.01%, the highest level since 2010 amid a heated economy, what is going to happen with this type of debt, once the U.S economy make its first downward movement of correction and make harder for customers pay their credit card bills. Even with the credit card issuers tighten their credit standards, we can't be sure it's going to be enough to avoid a crisis on the sector, which could lead to a flood of bad debt, decline of new credit card issuance and other types of liabilities. This scenario could mean concerning news for U.S. Bank if the company doesn't progressively start to deploy the proper countermeasures for this scenario.
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USB at resistance pre-earningsUSB hit a Weekly + Daily resistance today at 40.85 where I took September 40 Puts. Implied Volatility was cheap so I went with Singles. Also later this morning there was unusual Put volume that came across the scanner but I had already taken the trade near the open.
Market Sentiment
I find myself net short Financials going into this earnings season. That is entirely due to the fact that these stocks are hitting technical resistance levels that fit my trading plan. Fundamentally the pundits are talking about how this may be a bad quarter due to lack of interest rate hikes. The fact that everyone is thinking one way (down) makes me want to start looking for hedges in this sector.
The Dimon Bottom Hype Is OverCNBC has loved to refer the recent pullback in the SPX as the "Dimon Bottom" because CEO Jamie Dimon purchased roughly $26 million worth of JPM shares. However, it's not looking for those wanting to hold to believe in the recovery dream.
Whether investors want to believe it or not, the U.S. economic cycle is rolling over; and, considering the very high correlation to the SPX, J.P. Morgan shares will unlikely be saved.
Since 2014, I been warning of potential headwinds from energy exposure in U.S. banks. It may not cripple the sixth-largest bank in the world, but death by 1,000 cuts won't be any better for shareholders.
On Tuesday, JPM reported a 20 percent decline in trading revenues, as well as a $500 million increase in provisions (up 60 percent) due to their energy exposure. Fee revenues were down 25 percent.
Technically, the weekly chart is showing more downside is to come. Traders are watching a 20-weekly bearish convergence with the 50- and 72-weekly EMA. Price action is, also, currently below the 200-weekly EMA.
The inability to show support above this level and challenge $59.60 could poise further stress on shares.
Near-term, we'll see price action test the trend/price demand between $52.30-$53.50. A close below $52.30 would open up $48.3 and trend lower to $43.74.
If looking at Fib. retracements, a close underneath Aug 24, 2015 Black Monday low, 1.618 Fib. extension would stand at $37.54. This would be my target for Q2-17.
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