Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsAUD – The Australian dollar hit a one-year high against the euro on Wednesday as investors were attracted by Australia’s status as a net energy exporter and distance form Europe’s troubles.
Explaining Australia’s improving outlook, RBC Capital Markets notes that “a strong household balance sheet with scope for consumption to move back to its pre-COVID path, backlog of dwelling activity, and recovering confidence underpins our expectation for a strong 2022 and above trend growth.”
CAD – The Canadian dollar rose across the board as the Bank of Canada hiked interest rates for the first time since October 2018 despite recent financial market volatility due to the crisis in Ukraine.
Indeed, Convera Canada ULC noted that “there was a good deal of uncertainty as to how they would respond to the geopolitical events and they stuck to their knitting pretty firmly.” Adding that the BoC’s concern about inflation pressures did a lot “to cement expectations for future interest rate hikes.”
Usd-cad
USDCAD Long IdeaUSDCAD has just approached a key support level in which it has seen positive price action before. The RSI levels on the 4hr and 2hr time frame show oversold levels which indicate that there is room for the price to rise from this area. The target of this trade is located near the 1.274 area with the stop-loss just below the 1.260 zone.
usdcad H4 Potential Bounce | 28th Feb 2022On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud , we can expect bullish continuation from our entry at 1.27846 in line with 100% Fibonacci retracement towards our take profit at 1.28764 which is in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement . Alternatively, price may break entry structure and head for stop loss, which coincides with the horizontal swing low support at 1.27001.
USD/CAD LONGPrice Is In A Strong Channel Approaching A Strong Support.
Price Broke Back Through Our Resistance To Continue In The Channel.
Fib Levels Being Respected On Daily Timeframe.
Potential Double Bottom Forming.
** I will be waiting for a double bottom reversal pattern around the 1.26833 if this does not succeed I will then look to enter around 1.26657 given the right candlestick patterns form.**
USDCAD LONG UPDATEPosted this on my page yesterday. Broke past our confirmation line and hit a high of 90 PIPS profit today📈 Still possible to get in now again.
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USDCAD Week of 2/21 OutlookExpecting a new bearish leg during next week in USDCAD. The risk reward can be much greater if you catch the shift in orderflow on the lower timeframes, the entry shown is not a position I have taken.
As always the market can choose to shift bullish for fundamental reasons, but my technical bias is short for next week.
USDCAD Potential for bearish reversal | 23 Feb 2022On the H4 timeframe, We see the possibility of bearish continuation from our sell entry at 1.27834 in line with horizontal swing high resistance towards our take profit at 1.26643 in line with the 100% Fibonacci extension level. Alternatively, price may hit our stop loss at 1.28141 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Bearish outlook on USDCAD: 22 Feb 2022On the H2 time frame, prices tapped into a resistance area at 1.27735, in line with the graphical resistance area and 100% Fibonacci extension. This presents an opportunity to play the drop to the next support target at 1.26504, in line with the fibonacci confluence level and graphical support. Stochastic is reaching our resistance as well where we could see a reversal below this level
Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsCAD – The Canadian dollar strengthened on Wednesday as oil prices rose and domestic CPI showed inflation further heating up, supporting expectations for the Bank of Canada to begin hiking interest rates next month.
GBP – Sterling edged up on Wednesday after data showed inflation in Britain was at its highest level since March 1992, reinforcing expectations the Bank of England will further hike interest rates in the months ahead.
USDCAD potential for dip! | 14th Feb 2022Prices are on bearish momentum and abiding to our descending trendline. We see the potential for a dip from our sell entry at 1.27407 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci Projection towards our Take Profit at 1.26718 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci extension and 100% Fibonacci extension. RSI is showing bearish momentum and prices are trading below our Ichimoku clouds, further supporting our bearish bias.
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USDCAD is on bearish momentum! | 9th Feb 2022Prices are on bearish momentum and at a graphical overlap. We see the potential for a dip from our sell entry at 1.27141 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 1.2662 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. RSI is at levels where dips previously occurred and ichimoku clouds are also supporting our bearish bias.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsCAD – The Canadian dollar weakened on Tuesday, giving back some of the previous day’s sharp gains as oil prices fell, with WTI slipping below $90 per barrel.
Commenting on CAD’s performance, OANDA noted that “Some of that weakness has been attributed to the pullback we’re seeing with crude prices. The relentless rally with oil seems to be showing some exhaustion.”
EUR – The euro weakened for a second day on Tuesday as market participants continued to reassess the ECB’s policy outlook as ECB members continued to push back against last week’s hawkish monetary policy meeting.
During her testimony on Monday, ECB President Lagarde attempted to taper expectations of aggressive interest rate hikes, arguing that high inflation is unlikely to get entrenched. While ECB’s Hernandez stressed on Tuesday that any central bank move “has to be gradual.”