USDCHF Outlook 21 March 2023The USDCHF has been trading within the narrow range of 0.93 and 0.9237 (which coincides with the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level).
With the Swiss National Bank (SNB) interest rate decision due on Thursday, the USDCHF is likely to continue consolidating along this range.
As the directional bias of the USDCHF is heavily dependent on the volatility of the DXY, a breakout in the interim for the USDCHF is likely to be driven by a strong move on the DXY.
If the SNB hikes rates by 50bps as forecasted, taking interest rates to 1.50%, this could strengthen the CHF and see the USDCHF trade lower.
If the price breaks below the immediate support level of 0.9237, the next key support level is 0.91. However, watch out for possible hesitation at the interim support level and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.9174.
Usd-chf
USDCHF in descending triangle?USDCHF -
The primary trend remains bearish.
Our short term bias remains negative.
A break of the recent low at 0.9230 should result in a further move lower.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look for losses to be extended today.
24h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 0.9228 (stop at 0.9261)
Our profit targets will be 0.9146 and 0.9126
Resistance: 0.9300 / 0.9340 / 0.9360
Support: 0.9250 / 0.9230 / 0.9200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF H4 | Reversal from a major level?Price has reversed from 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance
Entry: 0.9331
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
Stop Loss: 0.9438
Why we like it:
There are multiple swings high resistance
Take Profit 0.9163
There is an overlap support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Will USDCHF find support at oversold extreme?USDCHF - Intraday -
There is no sign that this bearish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing low of 0.9059.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
We look to buy dips.
With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended.
We look to Buy at 0.9077 (stop at 0.9045)
Our profit targets will be 0.9157 and 0.9167
Resistance: 0.9145 / 0.9160 / 0.9180
Support: 0.9125 / 0.9110 / 0.9095
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF H4 | Potential bullish reversal Looking at the H4 chart, Price is approaching our buy entry at 0.9144 which is overlap support, if price were to reverse from this level, it could push up to our take profit at 0.9288 which is overlap resistance. Stop loss will be at 0.9059
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Buying USDCHF at supportTrade Idea: Buying USDCHF
Reasoning: Found support at a 50% Fibonacci level
Entry Level: 0.9315
Take Profit Level: 0.9417
Stop Loss: 0.9277
Risk/Reward: 3:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
USDCHF H4 | 10th MarchLooing at the H4 chart, price is testing our support level which we are looking for buy at 0.9283 which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement which is overlap support. Stop loss will be at 0.91546 and take profit will be at 0.9436
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF for a possible bounceAfter price broke structure to the upside, it reacted off a higher timeframe supply which it used to retrace back towards the initial expansion that left behind a clean OB with an imbalance. Price then formed liquidity at both the top of the expansion and above this OB and is now looking to take it out with the assistance of the long term OB to continue to the upside and take out liquidity at the top too. NFP to possibly fuel this move too.
USDCHF H4 | Potential bullishPrice is approaching our overlap support, we could see it could potentially push up the next resistance
Entry: 0.9287
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Stop Loss: 0.9212
Why we like it:
There is a support level
Take Profit: 0.9440
Why we like it:
There is a stong resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF: Channel Up running out of fuel?The USDCHF pair is trading inside a Channel Up for the past month and the neutral technicals on the 1D time frame (RSI = 53.552, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 31.980) suggest that this is a buy opportunity. Righfully so the price is near the the bottom of the Channel and on a tight SL you can target the 0.382 Fibonacci, with the strongest Resistance being the 1D MA200 up ahead.
We believe the better trade is to short if this Channel Up breaks downwards and in particular under the 1D MA50. We expect to see a Support 1 test (TP1 = 0.9100) and if broken, move lower towards Support 2 (TP2 = 0.89500).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
USDCHF long after the break 🦐USDCHF after the rejection by the weekly resistance at the 0.94500 level retraced back exactly at the daily support over the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
The recent news makes the price bounce over it and we can see how a new test of the previous recent high in this moment.
Moreover the price shift the bias and we are in a bullish environment on the 4h hour time frame with a clear series of higher highs higher lows.
We will wait for a potential break of the weekly resistance and in that case we ll check for a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
USDCHF to find resistance at previous support?USDCHF - Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.9348 (stop at 0.9375)
Short term bias has turned negative.
Our bespoke support of 0.9341 has been clearly broken.
Previous support at 0.9340 now becomes resistance.
50 4hour EMA is at 0.9350.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.9349.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 0.9281 and 0.9271
Resistance: 0.9315 / 0.9340 / 0.9360
Support: 0.9295 / 0.9275 / 0.9260
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF to breakdown?USDCHF - Intraday
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Short term momentum is bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
The primary trend remains bearish.
0.9341 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 0.9341 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 0.9339 (stop at 0.9364)
Our profit targets will be 0.9279 and 0.9269
Resistance: 0.9370 / 0.9387 / 0.9400
Support: 0.9341 / 0.9320 / 0.9290
USDCHFUSDCHF has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
USDCHF Potential BreakoutHey Traders, Above is a technical overview on USDCHF and the most important zone to watch. USD short term bears are kicking in as the market is pricing too much USD strength. following this scenario if we get a dip below 0.927 we will be looking for a potential retrace around that zone as it has been rejected multiple times as it's mentioned in the chart. keep in mind the risky macro context we are going through this week including Fed speech tomorrow and NFP on Friday also CPI data the coming week!
USDCHF Potential Forecast Pre-CPI | 6th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. CHF's CPI is going to be released at 3.30pm SGT.
2. The CPI accounts for a majority of overall inflation
3. This affects The Swiss National Bank's decision on raising or lowering interest rates
3. Will update more when the CPI is released
Technical Confluences
1. Price is currently heading towards the support at 0.93500 which coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci line
Idea
If the CPI released is worse than expected/previous, expect CHF to drop towards the support at 0.93500 which coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci line.
Alternatively, if the CPI is better, price could head back up towards the resistance at 0.94000
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
USDCHFUSDCHF Long-Term Perspective macro chart on the left side
USDCHF can continue its current rejection on 0.94200 all the way down to 0.92000 psychological level which can create a long opportunity around the area on the lower time frame for another Bullrun to the main target which is around 0.95500
USDCHF lower time frame (minor chart on the right side)
For now, looking for short opportunities for the bearish continuation till the highlighted key area which overlaps with the area on the left-hand side chart and my Long-Term Perspective
USDCHF, H1 | Wait for the bounceWe're eyeing the major support at 0.9353 which is a swing low support that price has bounced from multiple times in the past. If prices do inch down to here, we could see a bounce minimally to 0.9385 which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Failure to bounce from here could see prices drop to major support at 0.9331.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHF intraday dips attract buyers.USDCHF - Intraday - We look to Buy at 0.9371 (stop at 0.9347)
Our short term bias remains positive.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Daily signals for sentiment are at oversold extremes.
Our profit targets will be 0.9431 and 0.9441
Resistance: 0.9430 / 0.9450 / 0.9470
Support: 0.9420 / 0.9400 / 0.9380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF, H4 | Bearish divergence drivng the dropWe're seeing price react off our sell entry at 0.9429 which is a multiple swing high resistance + bearish divergence vs stochastic. Prices could fall to our take profit target at 0.9356 which is a multiple swing low target that coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
In terms of stop loss, we're keeping it tight at 0.9460 which coincides with a swing high back in 06 December 2022.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USDCHFUSDCHF has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
USDCHF Potential Forecast | 1st March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. CHF's CPI increased to 0.6% from previous -0.2%.
2. This shows that inflation is increasing which might cause the Swiss National Bank to raise interest rates. 3. Overall with the continued strengthening of the DXY, I'm expecting USDCHF to continue bullish.
Technical Confluences
1. The overall bias for USDCHF on the H4 chart is bullish.
2. To add confluence to our bias, price is above the Ichimoku cloud and along an ascending trend-line.
3. Expecting price to head towards the resistance level at 0.94560.
Idea
Price is currently at a key resistance at 0.94. Looking for price to break above 0.94150 before price can possibly continue bullish towards the next resistance level at 0.94560.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.